• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지진 위험도

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Probabilistic Seismic Risk Analysis of Breakwater Structures (방파제 구조물의 확률론적 지진위험도 분석)

  • Kim Sang-Hoon;Yi Jin-Hak;Kim Doo Kie
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2005
  • Recent earthquakes over magnitude 5 in the eastern coast of Korea have aroused interests in the earthquake analyses and seismic design of breakwater structures. Most of earthquake analysis methods such as equivalent static analysis, response spectrum analysis, nonlinear analysis, and capacity analysis methods are deterministic and have been used for seismic design and performance evaluation of breakwater structures. However, deterministic methods are difficult to reflect one of the most important characteristics of earthquakes, i.e. the uncertainty of earthquakes. This paper presents results of probabilistic seismic risk assessment(PSRA) of an actual caisson type breakwater structure considering uncertainties of earthquake occurrences and soil properties. First the seismic vulnerability of a structure and the seismic hazard of the site are evaluated using earthquake sets and seismic hazard map, and then seismic risk of the structure is assessed.

An Analysis of the Sensitivity of Input Parameters for the Seismic Hazard Analysis in the Korean Peninsula (한반도 지진위험도 산출을 위한 입력 파라메타의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Ju;Kyung, Jai-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2015
  • This study is to analyze the sensitivity for the parameters (a and b values, $M_{max}$, attenuation formula, and seismo-tectonic model) which are essential for the seismic hazard map. The values of each parameter were suggested by 10 members of the expert group. The results show that PGA increases as a value and $M_{max}$ become larger and as b value smaller. Big impact on the seismic hazard is observed for attenuation formula, a and b values although there is little impact on $M_{max}$ and seismo-tectonic model. These parameters with big impact require careful consideration for obtaining adequate values that well reflects the seismic characteristics of the Korean peninsula.

Computation of Hypothetical Tsunamis on the East Coast in Korea (공백역 지진에 의한 동해안의 지진해일 산정)

  • 최병호;홍성진;이제신
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 2002
  • Prognostic characteristics of hypothetical tsunamis in the East Sea are discussed based on numerical model simulations of linear long wave theory and wave ray for 28 source zones of tsunamigenic earthquake selected by the seismic gap theory. As a result, the propagation patterns of tsunamis due to hypothetical earthquake are presented and analyses also lead to selection of the geographical zones with low risk of tsunamis.

Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Risk in Seoul Metropolitan Area (서울지역 지진 재해 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.5 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • The principal basic concepts of aseismic design minimize damage of human-life and have little probability during life of structures. For detailed understanding of the design, the best reasonable countermeasure can be possible equally the smallest damage of human-life and economic loss. As a result, it can be achieved by notion of not structure-centered but city-centered, the notion is actualized by development of a macro-level evaluation. A seismic damage between city and country is different. And the larger the city then, the greater the loss by rather collateral hazards than collapse of structures. Hence, the macro-evaluation of an earthquake disaster is suitable for an old city where is center of political and economic activity, and is concentration of population and infrastructure. This study aims to develop comprehensive earthquake desaster risk index, and assesses relative earthquake risk of six zones in Seoul metropolitan area.

Seismic Hazards near the Harbors using Historic and Instrumental Earthquake Data (역사 및 계기 지진 자료를 이용한 주요 항만 지역의 지진재해 위험성)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kang, Su-Young;Jang, In-Sung;Park, Woo-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.419-425
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    • 2009
  • Although earthquake damage was negligible in Korea during the last a few decades, its historic records suggest that the peninsula have experienced severe earthquake damages throughout the history. The potential for disastrous earthquakes, therefore, should always be considered. Harbors handle 99.6% of imported and exported cargo in Korea. Thus, it is necessary to secure the safety of harbors against seismic events and to establish a support system of emergency measures. Although instrumental seismic data are favored for seismic hazard estimation, their history in the peninsula is limited only to the past 30 years, which does not represent the long-term seismic characteristics of the peninsula. We use historic earthquakes with magnitude greater than 5 to observe long-term regional seismic hazards. Results of historic earthquake records indicate relatively high seismic hazard at harbors in Pohang, Ulsan and Incheon. Analysis of instrumental earthquake records reveal relatively high seismic hazard for harbors located along the East coast including Okgye, Mukho, Donghae, Samcheok, Pohang, and Ulsan.

Seismic Fragility Analysis of Track-on Steel-Plate-Girder Railway Bridges Considering the Span Variability and System Damage (경간 구성 및 시스템 손상을 고려한 강판형 철도교의 지진 취약도 해석)

  • Park, Joo-Nam;Kim, Lee-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2010
  • Seismic risk assessment of railway bridges is an important issue for a transportation network, because loss of functionality of railway bridges could result in severe disruption of the railway line, as no redundant routing systems generally exist. Although many studies have been conducted by numerous researchers regarding fragility analyses of bridge structure, little or no studies have been done for fragility analyses of a class of bridge structures considering their geometric variability. This study performs a fragility analysis for Track-on Steel-Plate-Girder (TOSPG) railway bridges in Korea considering their span variability. Seismic fragility curves are developed for a series of bridges with different spans varying from 2 to 15. At last, the fragility curves for the whole TOSPG bridges in Korea are also developed using the total probability theorem. This study is expected to effectively contribute to the seismic risk assessment of railway lines, where a number of bridges are present.

일본의 활단층과 효고현 남부지진의 지진단층 고찰

  • 경재복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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    • 1995.03a
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 1995
  • 일본은 Pacific plate, Philippine plate, Eurasian plate 및 American plate 가 서로 접해 있는 판 경계부에 위치하며 내륙에는 많은 활단층(active fault)이 분포하고 있다. 이러한 활단층은 제4기 이후 단층 활동을 반복하면서 엄청난 재해를 동반하는 대지진의 발생과 함께 지표면에 지진 단층(earthquake fault)의 출현을 초래했다. 따라서 활단층 연구는 지진 예지, 지진 위험도 연구에 매우 중요한 분야가 되어왔다. (중략)

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Intensity Attenuation in the Sino-Korea Craton (Sino-Korean 지괴에서의 진도감쇠)

  • 이기화
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 1999
  • 진도의 거리에 따른 감쇠양상은 두가치 측면에서 중요하다. 첫째는 역사지진의 크기를 평가하는데 사용되고 둘째는 역사지진자료를 이용하여 지진위험도를 평가하는데 이용된다. 한반도의 경우 대부분의 지진활동 자료가 역사지진이므로 이지진들의 크기를 결정하고 이들을 이용하여 지진위험도를 평가하기 위하여 합리적인 진도감쇠양상의 결정은 매우 중요한 과제라 할수 있다 진도의 감쇠양상은 진앙진도와 진앙거리 등 두요소에 같이 의존함이 알려져 있으므로 한반도에서 MMI VIII만의 지진자료를 이용하여 결정된 Lee의 기존의 감쇠공식은 그 사용범위에 한계가 불가피하므로 상기 두 가지 요소를 함께 고려한 새로운 감쇠공식의 유도가 요구되어진다. 지체구조적으로 Sino-Korean 지괴라고 불리우는 중국 북동부와 한반도에서 발생한 MMI VIII-X 지진들의 자료를 이용하여 한반도에서 발생하는 MMI VIII-X의 강진들에 대한 새로운 진도감쇠양상을 결정하였다.

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Analysis of Landslide Hazard Map during Earthquake with Various Degrees of Saturation and Cohesion Values (포화도 및 점착력 변화에 따른 지진시 산사태 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Joonyong;Han, Jin-Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2015
  • Damage of landslide due to earthquake covers a considerable part of total damage due to earthquake. Landslide due to earthquake affects direct damage of human lives and structures, and social system can be paralyzed by losing functions of roads, basic industries, and so on. Therefore, systematic and specialized research examining the factors affecting the slope stability by earthquakes should be needed. However, method of evaluation of slope stability problems due to earthquake contains somewhat uncertainty since many soil properties are predicted or assumed. In this study, influences of change of soil properties such as degree of saturation and cohesion value are analyzed in factor of safety and displacement using seismic landslide hazard maps based on GIS. As the degree of saturation increases or cohesion decreases, it is found that seismic landslide hazard area marked with factors of safety or displacements tends to increase. Therefore, to draw more exact landslide hazard map during earthquake, it is necessary to obtain accurate soil property information preferentially from site investigation data in the field.