• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지진 시나리오

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Serious Game Scenario Design for Earthquake Response Education and Training in the Gyeongsangbuk-do Province (지진대응 교육 및 훈련을 위한 Serious Game 시나리오 설계방법론 개발 -경상북도를 사례로-)

  • Kim, Seong-Jae;Choi, Ji-Hyang;Nam, Kwang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.769-777
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Earthquake disasters are frequently occur unpredictable situations due to various variables and unexpected situations. As a result, the work process itself is not uniform, making it difficult for public officials in the disaster safety department to familiarize themselves with the earthquake field manual. This paper is specifically and accurately grasp the current work situation conducted by the Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters of the Gyeongsangbuk-do Office and present a plan for designing serious game scenarios necessary for field manual learning. Method: In this study, scenarios were designed based on the GBS(Goal Based Scenario) model, and in the process of assigning missions and roles based on the Gyeongsangbuk-do earthquake field manual, public officials related to earthquakes were able to acquire knowledge and skills to solve practical tasks. Result: Scenario data of the proposed technique was implemented as a systematic procedure by processing various earthquake-related information into logical data and simplifying and abstracting it for game expression for earthquake situation training. Conclusion: In the event of an earthquake due to learning through serious games, related public officials of Gyeongsangbuk-do provincial are expected to be able to respond quickly to various earthquake disasters.

Development of New Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Seismic Coefficients of Korea Part I: Application and Verification of a Novel Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Procedure (신(新) 확률론적 지진재해분석 및 국내 지진계수 개발 Part I: 신(新) 확률론적 지진재해분석 기법 적용 및 검증)

  • Park, Duhee;Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Jeong, Chang-Gyun
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 2009
  • The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) calculates the probability of exceedance of a certain ground motion parameter within a finite period at a site of interest. PSHA is very robust in that it can account for the uncertainties in seismic source, wave passage effect, and seismic site effects and hence, it is the most widely used method in quantifying the future earthquake induced ground vibration. This paper evaluates the applicability of a new PSHA that is alleged to be able to reproduce the results of a conventional PSHA method, but generates a series of earthquake scenarios and corresponding ground motion time histories that are compatible with the scenarios. In the application, a 40,000 year period is simulated, during which 16,738 virtual earthquakes have occurred. The seismic hazard maps are generated from the outputs of the new PSHA. Comparisons with the maps generated by the conventional PSHA method demonstrated that the new PSHA can successfully reproduce the results of a conventional PSHA. The new PSHA may not be very meaningful in itself. However, the real advantage of the method is that it can be used to develop probabilisitic seismic site coefficients. The suite of generated ground motion time histories are used to develop probabilistic site coefficients in the companion paper.

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Analysis of Tsunami Characteristics of Korea Southern Coast Using a Hypothetical Scenario (가상시나리오에 따른 남해안 지진해일 특성 연구)

  • Bumshick Shin;Dong-Seog Kim;Dong-Hwan Kim;Sang-Yeop Lee;Si-Bum Jo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2024
  • Large-scale earthquakes are occurring globally, especially in the South Asian crust, which is experiencing a state of tension in the aftermath of the 2011 East Japan Earthquake. Uncertainty and fear regarding the possibility of further seismic activity in the near future have been on the rise in the region. The National Disaster Management Research Institute has previously studied and analyzed the overflow characteristics of a tsunami and the rate of flood forecasting through tsunami numerical simulations of the East Sea of South Korea. However, there is currently a significant lack of research on the Southern Coast tsunamis compared to the East Coast. On the Southern Coast, the tidal difference is between 1~4 m, and the impact of the tides is hard to ignore. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the impact of the tide propagation characteristics on the tsunami. Occurrence regions that may cradle tsunamis that affect the southern coast region are the Ryukyu Island and Nankai Trough, which are active seafloor fault zones. The Southern Coast has not experienced direct damage from tsunamis before, but since the possibility is always present, further research is required to prepare precautionary measures in the face of a potential event. Therefore, this study numerically simulated a hypothetical tsunami scenario that could impact the southern coast of South Korea. In addition, the tidal wave propagation characteristics that emerge at the shore due to tide and tsunami interactions will be analyzed. This study will be used to prepare for tsunamis that might occur on the southern coast through tsunami hazard and risk analysis.

A Study on the Seismic Damage Estimation in the Model District of Seoul City (서울시 모델 구역 지진피해 추정 연구)

  • Yoon, Eui-Taek;Ryu, Hyeuk;Kang, Tae-Seob;Kim, Jae-Kwan;Baag, Chang-Eob
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.9 no.6 s.46
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2005
  • The seismic damage assessment due io the postulated earthquake was attempted for the buildings in the model district of Seoul City. The model district was selected to represent the typical structural and residential characteristics of Seoul City. The buildings in the model district were classified into 11 structural types. For each structural type, the capacity and fragility curves were constructed with parameters presented in HAZUS. The ground motions due to the postulated earthquakes were artificially generated and ground response analyses were done for three kinds of soil profiles classified with respect to the depth of surface soil layer. The probability of damage state of each structural type was calculated using capacity spectrum method and fragility curve. Finally, the calculated results were translated into GIS database and mapped to evaluate the seismic damage in the model district.

Approaches for Earthquake-driven Multiple Leakage Detection in Water Distribution Networks (지진발생 후 상수관망 다중지점 누수관로 탐지기법의 개발)

  • Choi, Jeongwook;Jeong, Gimoon;Lim, Gabyul;Kang, Doosun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.401-401
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    • 2019
  • 상수관망시스템은 정수처리 된 용수를 수요처에 공급하는 사회기반시설물이며, 주로 지하에 매설되는 시설물의 특성상 관로에 누수가 발생하였을 경우, 정확한 발생지점을 파악하기가 어렵다. 특히, 지진에 의해 시스템 내 다중지점에 누수가 발생할 경우, 장기간 경제적 손실과 사용자의 불편이 예상되므로 신속히 누수지점을 파악한 후, 피해 관로의 적절한 교체 혹은 보수가 이루어져야 한다. 본 연구에서는 지진으로 인해 상수관망에 발생한 다중 누수관로의 정확한 탐지를 위해 다양한 누수탐지 기법을 제안하고 모의결과를 비교, 분석하였다. 가상의 다중 누수 시나리오를 모의한 후, 시스템 내 설치된 수압계와 유량계의 누수발생 전, 후 모니터링 값을 이용하여 1) 최적화 알고리즘을 이용한 Calibration 기법, 2) 수리해석을 통한 누수지점 역추적 기법, 3) 인공신경망을 이용한 Pattern 학습법 등을 적용하였다. 동일한 다중 누수 시나리오를 각 누수탐지 기법에 적용함으로써 누수지점 산정 결과에 대한 정확도를 비교, 분석하였다. 본 연구는 최근 국내에서 발생빈도가 높아지고 있는 지진재해 발생에 대비하여 상수관망시스템의 지진피해 복구 연구를 위해 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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A Development of Tsunami Risk Assessment Model Using a Poisson-Pareto Distribution for Earthquake Frequency and Magnitude (지진발생빈도-크기 분석을 위한 Poisson-Pareto 분포 모형과 연계한 지진해일 위험도 평가 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Kwan-Hyuck;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.330-330
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    • 2017
  • 최근 우리나라 주변에 잦은 지진으로 인한 재해위험도 증가 우려가 커지고 있다. 국내 외에서 지진해일 위험도 평가는 시나리오를 기준으로 수치해석을 수행하고 이들 결과를 활용하는 절차로 수행된다. 그러나 위험도 평가는 하중조건 즉, 지진해일을 발생시키는 지진의 발생빈도 및 크기를 종합적으로 고려한 확률 계산이 우선적으로 요구되나, 기존 분석 절차에서는 고려가 되지 않거나 상대적으로 간략화 되어 진행되고 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 과거 우리나라 주변에 지진 및 지진해일 자료, 수치해석 모형 결과를 활용하여, 지진의 규모와 발생빈도를 종합적으로 고려할 수 있는 지진해일 위험도 평가 방법을 수립하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 첫째, 지진 위험도 평가를 위해서 Poisson-Pareto 분포를 이용하였다. 둘째, 지진발생 위치 및 크기를 고려한 지진해일 위험도 평가 모형을 개발하였다. 셋째, 지진발생 위험도 및 지진해일 위험도를 통합한 해석 모형을 개발하고자 하며, 본 연구애서 제시하는 모든 해석 절차는 매개변수의 불확실성을 고려할 수 있도록 Bayesian 해석기법을 도입하여 진행하였다.

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대만 지진피해평가 system에 대한 검토

  • Gang, Ik-Beom
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.3 no.3 s.10
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2003
  • 대만 국가과학위원회에서는 1998년에 지진재해 구조물 피해 사회경제적 손실을 위한 연구를 위해 HAZ-Taiwan 연구 project를 착수하였다. 관련 software인 TELES(Taiwan Earthquake Loss Estimation System)는 3가지 목표를 위해 다양한 입력 및 분석 module로 구성되어 있다. 1. 피해 지진후 재해 평가 2. 재해복구계획 및 가상 시나리오 제공 3. 재해보험을 포함한 재해대응방안 제시 본 논문은 초기재해평가에 이용될 분석 modules개발 및 적용에 초점을 맞추고 있으며, 분석 module은 지반운동강도 액상화 건물피해 및 사상자 평가분석을 포함하고 있다.

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Artificial Intelligence Estimation of Network Flows for Seismic Risk Analysis (지진 위험도 분석에서 인공지능모형을 이용한 네트워크 교통량의 예측)

  • Kim, Geun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 1999
  • Earthquakes damage roadway bridges and structures, resulting in significant impacts on transportation system Performance and regional economy. Seismic risk analysis (SRA) procedures establish retrofit priorities for vulnerable highway bridges. SRA procedures use average daily traffic volumes to determine the relative importance of a bridge. This research develops a cost-effective transportation network analysis (TAN) procedure for evaluating numerous traffic flow analyses in terms of the additional system cost due to failure. An important feature of the TNA Procedure is the use of an associative memory (AM) approach in the artificial intelligence held. A simple seven-zone network is developed and used to evaluate the TNA procedure. A subset of link failure system states is randomly selected to simulate synthetic post-earthquake network flows. The performance of different AM model is evaluated. Results from numerous link-failure scenarios demonstrate the applicability of the AM models to traffic flow estimation.

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