• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.105-105
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• 2023

최근 기후변화로 인해 매년 집중호우 및 태풍으로 인한 침수피해가 증가하고 있다. 현재 국내에서는 이러한 피해를 줄이기 위해 구조적 대책뿐만 아니라 치수사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 비구조적 대책들이 대두되고 있다. 비구조적 대책으로는 재해예방사업 등에서 투자우선순위를 결정할 수 있는 다차원법, 홍수취약성지수 등과 같은 정량적, 정성적 홍수위험도 평가가 대표적이다. 하지만 기존 시군구별 홍수위험도 평가는 빈도별 홍수위험지도의 침수면적을 반영하지 않았었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 서울특별시를 대상으로 빈도별(50, 80, 100 및 200년) 설계홍수량에 따른 홍수위험지도를 작성하고 IBA(Indicator Based Assessment) 방법을 활용한 홍수위험도 평가를 실시하였다. 홍수위험지수는 4가지 항목(Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability 및 Capacity)과 8개의 세부지표로 구성하였다. 분석결과, 송파구와 성동구는 100년 빈도, 용산구와 강남구는 80년 빈도와 100년 빈도에서 홍수위험지수의 순위 변동이 관측되었다. 순위 변동이 발생한 주요 원인으로는 홍수위험도 평가에 반영된 Exposure 및 Vulnerability 항목에 포함된 세부지표별 지수가 시군구 내 빈도별 침수면적이 변화함에 따라 증가 혹은 감소했기 때문이었다. 본 연구를 활용하면 빈도별 침수면적 변화에 따른 시군구별 홍수위험도를 파악할 수 있으며, 그에 따른 예방책 또한 마련할 수 있을 것이다. 그리고 공간분석을 통해 도출된 통계지도를 활용하여 홍수위험에 직접적으로 노출된 건물 및 인구 밀집지역을 파악하고, 해당 지역을 대상으로 치수사업을 전개할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.5D
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• pp.665-675
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• 2008

The objective of this paper is to provide an approximate cost estimating model for tunnel that can be utilized both in quick construction cost estimating for design alternatives, and in evaluating efficiently the cost effects according to the environmental changes during design and construction stage. To meet this requirement, this study analyzes critical cost factors influencing tunnel construction costs. The cost factors include 7 elements such as rock drilling method, advancing method, type of detonator, loader capacity, unit weight and soil volume change factor, length of tunnel. This paper investigates the cost variance according to the change of the cost factors. The result is expected to be used in formulating approximate tunnel cost estimating model.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.73-95
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• 2023

The purpose of this study is to analyze the industrial structural changes and types of specialized in the shipbuilding cities, which are representative sectors of industrial city decline, and explore regional responses. Most cities designated as special areas for industrial crisis response in 2018 are specialized in shipbuilding. While the shift from prosperity to recession since the 2010s is the main factor, each city has responded differently to the industrial crisis. The analysis, targeting seven shipbuilding cities, shows that regions where large shipyards of major corporations with high industrial competitiveness are located have relatively less decline during business fluctuations, and there is a tendency for a decrease in industrial structural diversity during prosperous periods and an increase during recessionary periods. Based on the resistance and recoverability to industrial crises, the industrial paths of shipbuilding cities are classified into four types. Considering regional industrial structure and competitiveness, it is necessary to develop customized support strategies such as maintaining and declining shipbuilding industries and fostering new alternative industries.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.43 no.6
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• pp.821-830
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• 2023

Various studies has tried to unveil causes of cost overrun and schedule delay in the road construction project. However, these causes need standardization due to difference by guidelines, relevant research, and facilities. Therefore, this study identifies and elaborate standard road construction cost and schedule variation factors that can be used in the planning and execution of the project. variation factors have been derived and grouped through literature review and modified and supplemented through expert interview. In addition, the connection with the relevant guidance factors is confirmed and the usability is reviewed by applying actual road construction cases. The factors suggested in this study comprehensively include factors of related guidelines and previous research, more clearly distinguish, support decision making.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.99-125
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• 2013

Renewable energy industry not only has a promising future but also has more risk than conventional energy industry because of its characteristics. Therefore, in this study, an analysis of domestic renewable energy company risk has been performed. The risk of domestic wind and photovoltaic energy companies has been analyzed by using time varying beta model. The model has been constructed based on risk factors like firm size, firm diversification index, domestic installation, and so on. The principal result of analysis can be summarized as follows. First, risk factors affect domestic renewable energy companies have been discovered. Variables like firm size, growth rate of debt ratio, firm diversification index are statistically significant. I found that large firms are less riskier than small firms. It is also confirmed that companies with high diversification index and high debt ratio have high risk. Second, I got the result that policy factors like domestic renewable energy installation and government R&D expenditure could decrease risk of domestic renewable energy company. Third, relative sensitivity of each risk factor have been discovered. The effect of each variable gets bigger in this order: growth rate of domestic installation, firm size or diversification index, growth rate of debt ratio, growth rate of government R&D expenditure.

• Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.87-98
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• 2010

There have been growing concerns for the sea level rise due to global warming in recent years. Sea level rise is a serious problem to densely populated coastal areas, because it may affect the coastal landforms to be damaged. Especially coastal sand deposits like coastal dunes are more sensitive than the other coastal landforms. In this paper, Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) and Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) dating method were used to identify the Holocene geomorphic changes of coastal dune field in Shinduri located at the western coast. The main results in this study that are the dunefield in the study area may have begun to form at around 6.8 ka and it has grown seaward thereafter. Then, dunefield appears to have extensively developed since 3.7 ka. This result, together with previous works on the sea level and climatic changes in the western coast of Korea suggest that the dunefield has been affected by the sea level regression since the Holocene high stand in the Holocene at around 6 ka and climatic change from warm and humid to cold and dry conditions occurred at 4.5 ka.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.77-95
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• 2011

This paper investigates the relationship between export and economic variables such as trade insurance, world economy activity, relative price, unemployment rate, exchange rate volatility, using monthly data. I employ Johansen cointegration methodology since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. The results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between export and variables. Also, the empirical analysis of cointegrating vector using the CCR, DOLS, FMOLS reveals that the increases of trade insurance has positive relations and the increases of exchange rate volatility have negative relations with export. Especially, DOLS based on Monte Carlo simulations, of this estimator being superior in small samples compared to a number of alternative estimators, as well as being able not only to accommodate higher orders of integration but also to account for possible simultaneity within regressors of a potential system. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get the additional information regarding the responses of the export to the shocks of the variables. The result indicates that export positively to trade insurance and then decay fast compare with exchange rate volatility. Consequently, trade insurance plays the role of trade policy for export promotion in Korea. Whereas, increase of exchange risk result in reduction of export. Therefore, the support of trade insurance should be expanded and the stabilization of the foreign exchange market must be done for the export promotion.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.381-390
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• 2010

This study assessed the hydrogeological characteristics of a seepage area of white leachate. The geological characteristics of the leachate were determined by a surface survey, and an electrical resistivity survey and borehole image processing system (BIPS) were applied to estimate the distribution of discontinuities, to assess the geological structure of the seepage areas. Fluctuations in groundwater level within boreholes were measured during periods of precipitation in the dry and wet seasons. The results show that electrical resistivity is lower in the seepage section than in non-seepage sections. The distribution of fracture zones and limestone cavities was inferred from the logging data and BIPS data. Variations in groundwater level and groundwater recharge, related to rainfall events, show the direct effect of rainfall events during the rainy season. We obtained a strong relationship between seepage amount and rainfall (correlation coefficients of 0.83-0.97).

• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.51-82
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• 2002

This paper focuses on the process of national family politics through the project of family planning which became one of the main factors that brought the structural change in Korean families after 1960's. The family planning was established under the national project which was tightly driven by the government, and the new families were built artificially and coercibly by the plan rationality. The various and diverse forms of the national family politics were revealed in the process of the project. For example, the image of the modern families was forcedly adopted in order to justify the project, the families in this period were under microscopic surveillance in order to accomplish th e project effectively , etc. Modern nuclear families were derived through the economical and social support on the families only with a few number of children, and the structural change was made through the medical technique and support. Consequently, during the forty years after the project, the size of the families were reduced drastically, various and diverse forms of families were generated, and the modern family action and value were wide spread and generalized. Through the project, the government has been establishing th family patterns and norms which were so suitable to the modernization project that the families were able to be pulled into public sphere. The family problems in this process became very serious. However the government repeatedly forced the families to be the reoresentative of welfare state through new-modern political discourses. The welfare through the family is coerced to replace the weakness of welfare state. However the family is not the subject of the welfare, but the object of the welfare. The governmental family politics must make more efforts to gave the families to be the object to the welfare.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.635-646
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• 2016

This paper proposes a housing business model, where the presale and Chonsei housing are supplied under a presale system at the same time based on the characteristic correlation between the housing presale market and Chonsei market in Korea. Markowitz portfolio theory was used to review the risk diversification effects from the changes in the ratio between the presale housing supply and the Chonsei housing supply. The housing sale price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the presale housing supply. The housing Chonsei price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the Chonsei housing supply. The proposed housing business model was applied to major areas in Korea to examine the risk diversification effect. Comparisons of the regional portfolio analyses showed that the flexibility of the proposed housing business model can be quite effective because each regional housing market exhibits different characteristics. Market participants, such as developers, construction companies, consumers, and government, can expect various effects through the proposed housing business model. Nevertheless, policy support is necessary for practical applications of the proposed housing business model. In particular, public funds from the government need to be introduced.