• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역회귀분석

Search Result 2,727, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Study on the Local Factors Affecting Availability of Car-Sharing in Seoul (서울시의 카셰어링 이용도에 대한 지역적 요인특성분석)

  • Choi, Hyunsu;Park, Juntae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.381-389
    • /
    • 2014
  • This research focuses on the current trend of 'Sharing Transportation' to clarify the regional factors having a decisive effect on the use of Car Sharing. To accomplish this, the current research is built a Database of the regional characteristics of Car Sharing spots based on railway stations in Seoul and performed an analysis of the primary regional factors affecting Car Sharing usage. As a result, we found conclusive factors affecting the use of Car Sharing. This research can be utilized for establishing strategies and effective measures to support the use of Car Sharing and sustainable development with respect to issues of motorization.

Analysis of Determinants of Civilian City Gas Demand Considering Spatial Correlation (공간적 상관성을 고려한 민수용 도시가스 수요결정 요인 분석)

  • Eunbi Park;DooHwan Won
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-86
    • /
    • 2024
  • Recently, research on city gas demand is increasing by reflecting the characteristics of each region. The similarity of the social structure of the adjacent region and the density of the supply infrastructure induce spatial correlation with the clustering that has a microscopic relationship between regions. Accordingly, as a result of analyzing the spatial correlation after dividing the demand for city gas for civilian use into a total of 54 regions based on the jurisdiction of 34 city gas companies, it was confirmed that there was a positive spatial correlation from a global and local perspective. In this study, the demand for city gas for civilian use for 54 regions from January 2014 to December 2022 was composed of panel data, and the spatial panel regression analysis and the general panel regression analysis were compared, and it was found that the spatial error model (SEM) was the most suitable model. This presents policy and practical implications by confirming that the demand for city gas for civilian use in one region has a significant relationship with the adjacent region.

Derivation of Non-linear Regression Equations Between Air Temperature and Water Temperature Considering Domestic Watershed Properties (국내 유역 특성을 고려한 기온-수온 비선형 회귀식의 도출 및 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Hyeon Gu;Lee, Gwanjae;Hong, Jiyeong;Yang, Dongseok;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.139-139
    • /
    • 2020
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)에 따르면 지난 1세기 반 동안 전 세계 평균 기온은 약 1℃가 상승하였으며, 온실가스 축적에 따라 평균기온은 21세기 중반에서 21세기 말까지 1~3℃가 증가할 것으로 전망되고 있다. 이러한 기온의 상승으로 인한 하천의 수온 변화는 수중에서 온도에 민감한 생화학적 반응의 변화를 유발하여 수질 및 수생태 변화에 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 따라서 효과적인 수질 및 수생태 관리를 위해서는 기온과 수온 사이의 명확한 관계 정립을 통해 수질변화를 정확하게 예측하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 국내·외로 널리 활용되고 있는 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool, SWAT) 모형을 통해 기온-수온 회귀식이 하천 수질변화에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석하고자 하였다. 그러나 기존 SWAT 모형에서의 기온-수온 회귀식은 미국 유역의 환경 특성을 바탕으로 도출되었기 때문에 국내 유역에 적용하기에 한계점이 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 국내 유역에서의 실측 기온자료와 수온자료를 사용하여 SWAT 모형 내 기온-수온 회귀식을 재도출하고 적용성을 평가하는 것이다.

  • PDF

Development of Regional Regression Model for Estimating Mean Low Flow in Ungauged Basins (미계측 유역 평균갈수량 산정을 위한 지역회귀모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Min Ho;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.407-416
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to develop regional regression models to estimate mean low flow for ungauged basins. The unregulated streamflow data observed at 12 multipurpose dams and 4 irrigation dams were analyzed for determining mean low flows. Various types of regression models were developed using the relationship between mean low flows and various sets of watershed characteristics such as drainage area, average slope, drainage density, mean annual precipitation, runoff curve number. The performance of each regression model for estimating mean low flows was assessed by comparison with the results obtained from the observed data. It was found that a regional regression model explained by drainage area, the mean annual precipitation, and runoff curve number showed the best performance. The regression model presented in this study also gives better estimates of mean low flow than the estimates by the drainage-area ratio method and the previous regression model.

Comparison of Bias Correction Methods for the Rare Event Logistic Regression (희귀 사건 로지스틱 회귀분석을 위한 편의 수정 방법 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hyungwoo;Ko, Taeseok;Park, No-Wook;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.277-290
    • /
    • 2014
  • We analyzed binary landslide data from the Boeun area with logistic regression. Since the number of landslide occurrences is only 9 out of 5000 observations, this can be regarded as a rare event data. The main issue of logistic regression with the rare event data is a serious bias problem in regression coefficient estimates. Two bias correction methods were proposed before and we quantitatively compared them via simulation. Firth (1993)'s approach outperformed and provided the most stable results for analyzing the rare-event binary data.

Factors affecting regional population of Korea using Bayesian quantile regression (베이지안 분위회귀모형을 이용한 지역인구에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Kim, Minyoung;Oh, Man-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.823-835
    • /
    • 2021
  • Identification of factors influencing regional population is critical for establishing government's population policies as well as for improving residents' social, economic and cultural well-being in the region. In this study we analysed the data from 2019 Population Housing Survey in Korea to identify the factors affecting the population size in each of the three regions: Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions. We applied a Bayesian quantile regression to account for asymmetry and heteroscedasticity of data. The analysis results showed that the effects of factors vary greatly between the three regions of Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions as well as between sub regions within the same region. These results suggest that population-related variables have very heterogeneous characteristics from region to region and therefore it is important to establish customized population policies that suit regional characteristics rather than uniform population policies that apply to every region.

Comparison of Regression Coefficient Significance Test for Temporal Distribution by Multiple Regression Analysis Method (다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 시간분포 회귀식의 회귀계수 유의성 검정 비교)

  • Lee, Sung Ho;Lee, Jae Joon;Park, Jin Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.205-205
    • /
    • 2019
  • 우리나라에서 강우의 시간분포를 위해 보편적으로 사용되고 있는 방법은 Huff 4분위법으로 강우의 시간적 분포특성을 나타내는 무차원 시간분포곡선을 제시한 것으로, 강우의 지속기간을 4분위로 구분하여 각 분위의 강우량 중 가장 큰 값이 속해 있는 구간을 선택하여 그 구간의 위치에 따라 분위를 정하는 방법이다. 현재 실무에서는 Huff의 분위별 곡선에 대한 회귀식은 지속기간 전반에 걸쳐 정확도가 높은 이유로 6차식을 적용하고 있으나, 통계 모델링에서 간결함의 원리에 따라 회귀식이 간결할 필요가 있으며, 통계적 유의수준에 기초하여 회귀계수를 결정하여야 하므로 유의성 검정 방법을 통한 검정결과를 비교할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 회귀계수 유의성 검정결과 비교를 위하여 구미지역의 무차원 누가우량 백분율을 이용한 시간분포 회귀식을 이용하여 유의성 검정 방법인 분산분석 방법(Analysis of Variance)과 변수선택 방법(Backward Selection)의 검정 결과를 도출 및 비교하였다. 통계프로그램인 프로그래밍 R을 이용하여 변수선택 방법 중 후방제거법 함수를 이용하여 최종 회귀식을 도출하고 또한 7차 회귀식을 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법으로 회귀계수를 제거하는 방법으로 최종 회귀식을 산정하였다. 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법의 유의성 검정결과는 프로그래밍 R을 이용한 후방제거법의 결과와 동일한 것으로 분석되었다. 일반적으로 설계강우량의 시간분포를 위한 방법으로 사용되고 있는 Huff의 4분위 방법의 시간분포 회귀식은 회귀계수의 유의성 검정이 이루어지고 있지 않으므로 본 연구결과를 통해 설계강우량 시간분포 회귀식의 유의성 검정방법 제시 및 결과도출과정을 통해 시간분포 회귀식 산정기법으로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

Integrated Equity Analysis Based on Travel Behavior and Transportation Infrastructure: In Gyeonggi-Do Case (교통인프라와 통행행태를 기반으로 한 통합적 형평성 분석: 경기도를 중심으로)

  • Bin, Miyoung;Lee, Won Do;Moon, Juback;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.47-57
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aims at analyzing transportation equity between geographical areas of Gyonggi Province, by taking both the transportation infrastructure and travel behavior into account. Indicators of transportation infrastructure include the indices of road infrastructure, transit infrastructure and regional characteristics. Travel behavior concerns information from bus card data on a survey day. The hot-spot analysis conducted included spatial cluster analysis and global/local regression analyses. The analysis results identified geographical areas of four different classes of transportation equity, from the area with high level infrastructure surrounded by the areas with high level infrastructure (HH) to the area with low level surrounded by the areas with low level (LL). The area of HH type showed big numbers of passengers, trips and transfers, whereas the area of LL type shows big figures of internal trip frequency, travel time, travel distance, travel speed and transit fare. Global regression analysis showed that number of passengers, number of transfers, number of internal trips and mean travel speed are important to the level of transportation infrastructure. GWR with these four significant variables significantly improved the AICs and ANOVA results, which implies that the infrastructure is likely explained by travel characteristics differently between geographical areas in Gyonggi Province.

A Study on the Single-Family House Price Determinants Analyzed by Quantile Regression: In case of locating single family houses in Seoul (분위회귀분석을 적용한 단독주택의 가격형성요인에 관한 연구: 서울시 소재 단독주택을 대상으로)

  • Yang, Seungchul
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.49 no.5
    • /
    • pp.690-704
    • /
    • 2014
  • Single family houses are the traditional & typical type of house in human history. But there had been little attention to single family houses in Korea so that there was little studies on single family houses. This study aimed to analyse price determinants of single family houses in Seoul, using Quantile Regression Analysis(QRA). Because single family houses has large levels of price, quantile regression analysis is more proper than Ordinary Least Square(OLS). The Results of analysis showed that, land coverage ratio, zoning, passed years, basement floor, hight of land, shape of land were important factors to single family houses price. The scale of effect of land coverage ratio to single family houses price was different to price levels of single family houses. And basement floor affected more negative effects to middle price, location and zoning had positive effects to high price single family houses. The degree of influence of determinants of single family houses price was deferent by region, KangBuk and KangNam. In KangNam, land coverage ratio and accessibilities were more important in low price single family houses, green zone and more far way is affected positive effects on single family houses price. In Kangbuk, land coverage ratio affects similar effects on single family houses price.

  • PDF

The Impact of Industrial Diversity to Unemployment and Employment Instability: An Analysis of Regional Economy Using Panel Regression Model (산업구조의 다양성이 실업과 고용불안정에 미치는 영향: 패널회귀모형을 이용한 지역경제 분석)

  • Ryu, Suyeol;Choi, Ki-Hong;Ko, Seung-Hwan;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.129-146
    • /
    • 2014
  • This paper investigates how industrial diversity affects unemployment and employment instability from the perspective of the regional economy. Through this analysis, we examine how the industry-specific policy to promote some industry strategically in most of areas affects the stability of the regional economy. We measure Herfindahl indexes using the 1993-2010 data of 16 regions in Korea, and use panel regression model for empirical analysis. The main results from this empirical analysis are summarized as follows. First, we confirm that the industrial structure of most regions has been changed to the direction of specialization in 1990s and to the direction of diversification in 2000s through analyzing the changes in the values of Herfindahl indexes during the given period. Second, we find from the estimation results of panel regression model that the higher industrial diversity in most of regions is, the lower the unemployment rate is. However, a statistically significant relationship between industrial diversity and employment instability only partially confirmed. Third, there exist high unemployment rate and employment instability in most metropolitan areas, but it is hard to say that this relationship is highly statistically significant. From the results of the empirical analysis, it is likely that the industry-specific policies such as the regional strategic industry development policies unlike policy goals make the unemployment rate to rise and economic instability to increase. From the viewpoint of employment aspects, the strategies to increase industrial diversity would be desirable rather than those to specialize in the industrial structure.

  • PDF