• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지수함수 정도 증가

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Analysis of Causality of the Increase in the Port Congestion due to the COVID-19 Pandemic and BDI(Baltic Dry Index) (COVID-19 팬데믹으로 인한 체선율 증가와 부정기선 운임지수의 인과성 분석)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2021
  • The shipping industry plummeted and was depressed due to the global economic crisis caused by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in the US in 2008. In 2020, the shipping market also suffered from a collapse in the unstable global economic situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but unexpectedly, it changed to an upward trend from the end of 2020, and in 2021, it exceeded the market of the boom period of 2008. According to the Clarksons report published in May 2021, the decrease in cargo volume due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has returned to the pre-corona level by the end of 2020, and the tramper bulk carrier capacity of 103~104% of the Panamax has been in the ports due to congestion. Earnings across the bulker segments have risen to ten-year highs in recent months. In this study, as factors affecting BDI, the capacity and congestion ratio of Cape and Panamax ships on the supply side, iron ore and coal seaborne tonnge on the demand side and Granger causality test, IRF(Impulse Response Function) and FEVD(Forecast Error Variance Decomposition) were performed using VAR model to analyze the impact on BDI by congestion caused by strengthen quarantine at the port due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the loading and discharging operation delay due to the infection of the stevedore, etc and to predict the shipping market after the pandemic. As a result of the Granger causality test of variables and BDI using time series data from January 2016 to July 2021, causality was found in the Fleet and Congestion variables, and as a result of the Impulse Response Function, Congestion variable was found to have significant at both upper and lower limit of the confidence interval. As a result of the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition, Congestion variable showed an explanatory power upto 25% for the change in BDI. If the congestion in ports decreases after With Corona, it is expected that there is down-risk in the shipping market. The COVID-19 pandemic occurred not from economic factors but from an ecological factor by the pandemic is different from the past economic crisis. It is necessary to analyze from a different point of view than the past economic crisis. This study has meaningful to analyze the causality and explanatory power of Congestion factor by pandemic.

The Electrical Characteristics of the Grain Boundary in a $BaTiO_{3}$ PTC Thermistor ($BaTiO_{3}$ PTC 서미스터 입계의 전기적인 특성)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Joo;Lee, Jae-Sung;Lee, Yong-Soo;Lee, Dong-Kee;Lee, Yong-Hyun
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1992
  • PTC thermistor has been fabricated with as-received $BaTiO_{3}$ powder and its electrical properties were investigated. The resistivity of the PTC thermistor was measured at $20^{\circ}C$ intervals from $20^{\circ}C$ to $200^{\circ}C$. The electrical characteristics of the PTC thermistor are determined by the ac complex impedance analysis. The average grain size measured with a scanning electron microscope increased from $3.8{\mu}m$ to $8.8{\mu}m$ with increasing sintering temperature between $1280^{\circ}C$ and $1400^{\circ}C$. The maximum resistivity jump was $4{\times}10^{5}$. The bulk resistivity of the thermistor sintered above $1340^{\circ}C$ decreased with increasing temperature of the measurement. The grain boundary resistance increased exponentially, the grain boundary capacitance decreased, and the built-in potential at the grain boundary increased with increasing temperature of the measurement. The charge densiy at the grain boundary increased with increasing temperature up to $110^{\circ}C$, which leveled off with further increase in measuring temperature.

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Error Performance Analysis of Digital Radio Signals in an Electromagnetic Interference (EMI) Environment of Impulsive Noise Plus Disturbance (임펄스 잡음과 방해파에 의한 전자파 장해(EMI) 환경하에서의 디지털 무선통신 신호의 오율해석)

  • Cho, Sung-Eon;Leem, Kill-Yong;Cho, Sung-Joon;Lee, Jin
    • The Proceeding of the Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.36-54
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    • 1995
  • The error performance of digital radio signals (i.e., M-ary PSK signal, DQPSK signal, MSK signal, GMSK signal) interfered by impulsive noise and electromagnetic interference (EMI) is analyzed and discussed. In analysis at first, the error rate equations have been derived in an electromagnetic interference plus impulsive noise environment. And then, the error performance has been evaluated and shown in figures as a function of carrier-to-noise ratio, carrier-to-interference ratio, impu- lsive index, gaussian noise to impulsive noise power ratio, and interference index to measure the amount of error degradation in digital radio signals. From the obtained results we have known that in the presence of m-distributed tone interference plus inpulsive noise, the more significant the electromagnetic interference amplitude varies, the more significant performance degradation is produced. The listing the digital radio signals from the most degraded to the least is that DQPSK, GMSK, QPSK and MSK signal. In the constant amplitude tone interference plus impulsive noise environment, the effect of in- terference nearly disappears over about 20dB in CIR. The effect of constant tone interference on error rate performance is reduced more remarkably in the region from 10dB to 15dB in CIR. In both enviroments of m-distributed tone interference and constant amplitude tone interference, the more electromagnetic interference amplitude varies and CIR increases, the more error perfor- mance is improved. But it is found out that the performance can not be improved significantly even the electromagnetic interference becomes weak. This describes that the impulsive noise affects dominantly to the performance degradation.

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Re-establishing the Antecedent Moisture Condition of NRCS-CN Method Considering Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics in Watershed Based on Antecedent 5-Day Rainfall (유역의 강우-유출 특성을 고려한 NRCS-CN 방법의 선행토양함수조건의 재설정: 선행5일강우량을 기준으로)

  • Yoo, Ji-Young;Moon, Geon-Woo;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.849-858
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    • 2014
  • The mount of antecedent 5-day rainfall (P5) is usually used to determine the antecedent soil moisture condition for estimating effective rainfall using the NRCS-CN method. In order to re-establish the threshold of P5 considering basin characteristics, this study investigated the sensitivity of the threshold of P5 to effective rainfall by comparing the corresponding observed direct runoff. The overall results indicate that the direct runoff estimated using the re-establihed threshold of P5 has smaller mean error (RMSE of 27.3 mm) than those using the conventional threshold (RMSE of 35.2 mm). In addition, after evaluating the effectiveness of threshold of P5 using the improvement index, the threshold re-established in this study improved the ability to estimate the direct runoff by 30% on average. This study also suggested to employ regression models using topographic indices to re-establish the threshold for ungauged basins. When using the re-established threshold from the regression model, the RMSE decreased ranging from 0.4 mm to 15.1 mm and the efficiency index of Nash and Sutcliffe increased up to 0.33.

Effects of opening distance on liquid-gas spray of pintle injector under atmospheric condition (핀틀 인젝터의 개도가 액체-기체 상압 분무에 미치는 영향)

  • Yu, Kijeong;Son, Min;Koo, Jaye
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.7
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    • pp.585-592
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    • 2015
  • Effects of opening distance on liquid-gas spray of pintle injector were experimentally investigated under atmospheric condition by using water and air as simulants of propellants. Discharge coefficients($C_d$) and mass flow rates were calculated with various injection conditions; 0.1 bar - 1.0 bar for water pressures and 0.2 mm - 1.0 mm for the pintle opening distances. Spray angles were measured from the spray images that were obtained by a shadowgraphy method. When opening distance is 0.2 mm, liquid sheet is not formed properly and it show non-uniform spray. than it can result in combustion instability. it has a weak correlation between the momentum flux ratio and the spray angle, while it has a strong correlation between the momentum ratio and spray angle. Finally the spray angles reduced exponentially when the momentum ratio increased and the spray angles converged to about 40 degrees.

An Optimized PWM Switching Strategy for an Induction Motor Voltage Control (전압제어 유도 전동기를 위한 최적 PWM 스위칭 방법)

  • Han, Sang-Soo;Chu, Soon-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.922-930
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    • 2009
  • An optimized PWM switching strategy for an induction motor voltage control is developed and demonstrated. Space vector modulation in voltage source inverter offers improved DC-bus utilization and reduced commutation losses and has been therefor recognized the preferred PWM method especially in case of digital implementation. An optimized PWM switching strategy for an induction motor voltage control consists of switching between the two active and one zero voltage vector by using the proposed optimal PWM algorithm. The preferred switching sequence is defined as a function of the modulation index and period of a carrier wave. The sequence is selected by using the inverter switching losses and the current ripple as the criteria. For low and medium power application, the experimental results indicate that good dynamic response and reduced harmonic distortion can be achieved by increasing switching frequency.

Ultrasonic Target Strength of Cyprinus Carpio in Accordance with Body Length and Body Weight (이스라엘 잉어 Cyprinus Carpio의 체장 , 체중별 초음파 표적강도에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyoung-Ho;Yoon, Gab-Dong;Park, Hae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 1989
  • Research on the acoustic properties of fish has been carried out by a number of scientific workers from the earliest days of applying acoustic techniques to fish biomass estimates. This paper describes measurements of the target strength of Cyprinus Carpio, which measurements made at 50KHz in the experimental water tank. The results obtained are as follows: 1. The target strength(dB) of the fish has a directivity pattern quite similar to that of a transducer. The maximum value of target strength(dB) is obtained when the fish is insonified to its head-tail axis either from the dorsal or from the ventral side. 2. Empirical relationship between target strength(dB) and body length(cm) of the fish can be estimated as TS=20 Log L-65.4 where TS is the target strength of the fish and L is the body length of the fish. 3. The relationship between target strength(dB) and body weight(g) of the fish can be estimated as TS=6.7 Log W-53.7 where W is body weight of the fish.

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Occurrence and Cenesis of Perlite from the Beomgockri Group in Janggi Area (장기지역 범곡리층군에 부존되는 진주암의 산출상태와 생성관계)

  • Noh Jin Hwan;Hong Jin-Sung
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.4 s.46
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2005
  • Perlite, a hydrated volcanic glass, occurs mainly as a bed-like body, and is distributed intermittently along the unconformity surface between the Beomgockri Group and its lower formations, viz. Janggi Group. The perlite is intimately associated with surrounding pumiceous welded tuff and rhyodacites in space and time. Compared to the typical perlite, the perlite is rather silica-poor and impure, and thus, includes lots of phenocrysts and rock fragments. Nearly the perlite is compositionally rather close to a pitchstone than a perlite in water contents. Petrographic comparison between perlite and associated volcanic to volcaniclastic rocks indicates that pumiceous welded tuff and rhyodacite seem to be Protolith of the Perlite. A Zr/$TiO_{2}$-Nb/Y diagram and field occurrence of perlite and their protolithic rocks also conforms the above interpretation. Kn addition, remnant vesicles in perlite strongly reflect that the precursor of perlitic glass appeared to be pumice fragment as well as volcanic glass. The perlite was diagenetically formed by way of a pervasive water-rock interaction at the deposition of the Manghaesan Formation in lacustrine environment. During perlitization, $SiO_{2}$ and alkali tend to be consistently depleted. Preexisting system of the Beomgockri Group based on the perlite formation should be corrected, because the perlite was formed diagenetically without lateral persistence in its occurrence.

Crystallographic and Magnetic Properties of Co-Ti Dopped Ba-Ferrite, $BaFe_{12-2x}Co_xTi_xO_{19}$ (Co-Ti으로 치환한 Ba-페라이트 $(BaFe_{12-2x}Co_xTi_xO_{19})$ 의 결정학적 및 자기적 특성 연구)

  • 채광표;이우천;이재광;이성호;이영배
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.154-158
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    • 2000
  • Crystallographic and magnetic properties of the Co and Ti-doped BaF $e_{12-2x}$ $Co_{x}$ $Ti_{x}$ $O_{19}$(0.0$\leq$x$\leq$1.0) system have been investigated by means of x-ray diffractometry, Mossbauer spectroscopy, and vibrating sample magnetometer. The structure of the system was found to be the magnetoplumbite structure, and the lattice parameter a is nearly constant and c increase as the doped Co-Ti contents increasing. We found that the saturation magnetization nearly unchanged but the coercivity rapidly decreased between x = 0.0 and x = 0.2 with increasing x in BaF $e_{12-2x}$ $Co_{x}$ $Ti_{x}$ $O_{19}$. From the Mossbauer spectra analysis Co-Ti ions prefer 12k, 4 $f_{vi}$ and 2b sites.tes.

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Recent Changes of Sedimentation Rate in Lake Takkobu, Northern Japan, Determined 210Pb Dating (210Pb 연대측정에 의한 일본 타호부호수의 토사퇴적속도 변화 분석)

  • Ahn, Young Sang;An, Ki-Wan;Lee, Kye-Han;Nakamura, Futoshi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.103 no.1
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2014
  • $^{210}Pb$ dating was conducted to examine the influence of land use changes in the forest catchment on lake sedimentation. The Kushiro River, into which Lake Takkobu drains under regular flow conditions, contributed to an increased sedimentation rate in sampling point at the lake outflow because turbid water from the Kushiro River flows back into Lake Takkobu during floods. The elevated sediment flux from the catchment dilutes the $^{210}Pb$ concentration in sampling points at the inflow of the Takkobu River and the lake outflow, which causes fluctuations in the $^{210}Pb$ concentrations in sediment cores. The $^{210}Pb$ dating was estimated using the CRS (Constant rate of Supply) model. The dates by the CRS model in Lake Takkobu profiles were in good agreement with the dates by $^{137}Cs$. Sedimentation rates reconstructed for the past 100-150 years suggested that sedimentation rates increased drastically following land use changes. While a natural sedimentation rate of $0.01-0.03g/cm^2/year$ is observed until the 1880s, whereas lake sedimentation accelerated to $0.03-0.09g/cm^2/year$ following land use changes such as deforestation and channelization, between the 1880s and 1940s. In particular, the sedimentation rates have been associated with deforestation, channelization, agricultural development and road construction, since the 1980s, and these rates were about 9-28 times higher than those under natural conditions, leading to accelerated lake shallowing.