• Title/Summary/Keyword: 증거 이론

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Jingfang's yaobian theory seen from Dasan Jeong Yagyong's view on the Book of Change. (다산역의 관점에서 본 경방의 효변설)

  • Bang, In
    • Journal of Korean Philosophical Society
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    • v.131
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    • pp.199-222
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    • 2014
  • This essay aims at clarifying Dasan Jeong Yagyong's view on Jingfang's yaobian theory. As is well known, Jingfang was a scholar of the Earlier Han period who exerted a profound influence on the theoretical development of Xiangshu School by creating the various techniques for interpreting the Zhouyi. Jingfang is also important in relation with Dasan's commentary of the Zhouyi, because some part of Dasan's interpreting techniques are thought to have their origin in Jinfang. For example, Dasan used the bigua theory of which the origin could be traced back into Jingfang. However, in this article, I did not deal with the bigua theory because I am going to write another article about it. In stead, my focus will be put on analyzing how Dasan evaluated Jingfang's yaobian theory. The main issues of my argument can be summarized as following. Firstly, in terms of yaobian, Jeong Yagyong called attention to Jingfang's annotation on the Zhouyi in which Jingfang utilized the yaobian method in three occasions, i.e., the first nine of the Qian(乾初九), the sixth nine of the Guan(觀上九), and the sixth nine of the Bo(剝上九). It seems that Jeong Yagyong set forth enough evidence about Jingfang's use of yaobian at least in relation to two cases of the first nine of the Qian and the sixth nine of the Bo, while the other evidence of the sixth nine of the Guan was not so persuasive. However, even if it is evident that Jingfang made use of the yaobain in two cases, there is no reason to equate it with that of Dasan. If one takes a close look, it becomes clear that Jingfang's way of yaobain is very different from Dasan's. Secondly, Jeong Yagyong mentioned Jiayi(賈誼) who lived about one hundred years before Jingfang, as the person who utilized the yaobian in his book of Xinshu(新書). If it is certain that Jiayi was aware of the yaobian, we can assume that the yaobian technique had been handed down from Jiayi to Jingfang. The manuscript excavated from the Mawangdui tomb also increases the possibility that Jiayi could have had the knowledge on the yaobian. In the chapter of Muhe(繆和) of the Mawangdui Zhouyi, there appears the phrase, i.e., "the first six of the qian, qian goes to mingyi," which shows exactly the same form of the yaobian in the Mr Zuo's Spring and Autumn Annals(春秋左氏傳). The burial period of Mawangdui tomb is estimated at the same year of B.C.168 in which Jiayi died. Therefore, judging from that fact, it becomes evident that the yaobain method was widely diffused around B.C.168. Subsequently, it is possible to infer that the yaobian method had been handed down from the period of Jiayi to Jingfang. If we could present the persuasive evidence to support that inference, it would also have the effect of consolidating Dasan's argument about the yaobian.

An Empirical Study for the Existence of Long-term Memory Properties and Influential Factors in Financial Time Series (주식가격변화의 장기기억속성 존재 및 영향요인에 대한 실증연구)

  • Eom, Cheol-Jun;Oh, Gab-Jin;Kim, Seung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Hyuk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.63-89
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    • 2007
  • This study aims at empirically verifying whether long memory properties exist in returns and volatility of the financial time series and then, empirically observing influential factors of long-memory properties. The presence of long memory properties in the financial time series is examined with the Hurst exponent. The Hurst exponent is measured by DFA(detrended fluctuation analysis). The empirical results are summarized as follows. First, the presence of significant long memory properties is not identified in return time series. But, in volatility time series, as the Hurst exponent has the high value on average, a strong presence of long memory properties is observed. Then, according to the results empirically confirming influential factors of long memory properties, as the Hurst exponent measured with volatility of residual returns filtered by GARCH(1, 1) model reflecting properties of volatility clustering has the level of $H{\approx}0.5$ on average, long memory properties presented in the data before filtering are no longer observed. That is, we positively find out that the observed long memory properties are considerably due to volatility clustering effect.

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Parameter. Subset Principle, and the Acquisition of Korean Reflexive Anaphora (매개변항, 부분집합원리, 재귀대명사습득)

  • Cho, Sook-Whan
    • Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
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    • 1989.10a
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    • pp.296-301
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    • 1989
  • 본 논문의 목적은 매개변항(parameter)과 부분집합원리(subset principle)를 재귀대명사 구조분석 및 습득에 적용하여 보편문법(Universal Grammar)과 언어습득의 상호관계를 검토하는 데에 있다. 본 논문은 첫째, 재귀대명사 '자기'를 매개변항이론에 근거하여 분석하고, 둘째, 재귀사의 구조를 부분집합원리에 적용하여 '자기'의 습득과정을 관찰한다. 본 논문의 목적을 위해 두 가지 가설을 세워 실험적으로 검증하였다. 실험결과, 선행사자격 습득단계의 가설이 확증되었으며, 지배변항 습득단계의 가설은 결정적 증거가 미비해 앞으로의 과제로 남아 있다.

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Intelligent Design for Protection Systems of Industrial Power System Using Dempster-Shafer's Theory of Evidence (Dempster-Shafer 증거이론을 이용한 산업 전력 계통의 지능적 보호 시스템 설계)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Cha, Min-Cheul;Choe, Hang-Seob;Kim, Sang-Tae;Kim, Bong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07c
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    • pp.988-990
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, the design automation system is proposed, which adopts the expert system technology and fuzzy decision making technology. It has a capability of selecting the most desirable protective devices for the industrial power systems.

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A cognitive psychological consideration of Michael Chehov's acting techniques (미카엘 체홉 연기 테크닉에 대한 인지심리학적 고찰)

  • Jin, Hyun-Chung;Cho, Joon-Hui
    • (The) Research of the performance art and culture
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    • no.37
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    • pp.365-389
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    • 2018
  • This research aims to study Michael Chekhov's acting techniques scientifically, because his techniques has been studied only theoretically or empirically. Especially, this study focuses on 'imagination' and 'Psychological Gesture' from the perspective of cognitive psychology. Chekhov thought 'imagination' as the basis and core of all the works of acting. In cognitive psychology, it is called as 'imagery' and means 'a representation of the mind of the object not communicated by the sensory organs currently'. This study starts with defining imagery and takes a brief look at the features and kinds of imagery. Then the researcher will prove scientifically the possibility of training acting using imagery as Chekhov's assertion. For the proof of the validity of imagery, we'll look for the theoretical evidences-functional equivalence hypothesis, psychoneuromuscular theory, symbolic learning theory, psychophygiological information processing-and experimental ones-measurements of cerebral blood flow or event-related potential, experiments with fMRI(functional magnetic resonance imaging) or PET(positron emission tomography). As a result, we can see that imagery is functionally identical to perception and improves fulfillment of cognitive and physical tasks. As proving physical changes can draw out psychological changes(feeling) on the medium of imagery, we can also see the validity of Psychological Gesture. From the above research, even if Chekhov developed the acting techniques only on the basis of his experience, his techniques can be thought as having scientific validity. Though insufficient, this study can be a help for actors or students as they using Chekhov's techniques.

Oriental Environmental Values to Build a Sustainable Civil Society (지속가능한 시민복지사회를 만들기 위한 철학과 전략)

  • Lim, Gill-Chin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.261-277
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    • 2001
  • 이 글을 다음과 같이 요약한다. 첫째, 경제발전은 인간의 욕구를 충족시키기 위한 수단이다. 둘째, 경제발전에 관한 여러 이론들이 있다. 어떤 한 이론도 경제 발전을 충분히 설명하지 못한다. 여러 가지 복합적 요인을 고려하는 것이 타당하다. 셋째, 경제발전의 영향은 환경을 파괴한다는 증거가 있다. 넷째, 지속가능한 시민복지사회를 만들려면 동양적 환경가치관의 재발견과 적용이 필요하다. 다섯째, 1972년 스톡홀름 회의이후 환경보존과 관련하여 여러 가지 제도적 발전이 있었다. 그중 Agenda 21의 실천은 정부와 시민에게 중요한 움직임이다. 여섯째, 더 넓은 지속가능성 즉 5 가지 지속가능성의 적용을 권장한다. 특히 문화적 지속가능성의 실천이 중요하다. 일곱째, 국가투자를 적정화하면 환경투자비율을 높이면서 국민복지를 향상시키고, 경제성장을 지속하는 것이 가능하다. 여덟째, 지속가능한 시민복지사회를 만들려면 개인과 단체가 전략계획의 실천을 일상화해야한다.

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Uncertainty Data Reasoning Considering User Preferences Based on Dempster-Shafer Theory (사용자 성향을 고려한 Dempster-Shafer Theory 기반의 불확실한 데이터 추론)

  • Kim, Hee-Seong;Kang, Hyung-Ku;Youn, Hee-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2012.06b
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    • pp.510-512
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    • 2012
  • 상황인식 서비스 분야에서 불확실한 데이터를 추론하는 것은 매우 어렵고 복잡하다. 이러한 상황정보들에서 얻어지는 데이터는 불확실성을 내포하고 있어서 불확실한 추론 결과를 초래할 수 있다. 비록 불확실성 문제들을 해결하기 위해 퍼지 이론, 뉴런 네트워크, 동적 베이지안 네트워크, 은닉 마르코프 모델과 같은 여러 종류의 방법들이 제시되었지만 이러한 방법들은 가설들을 하나의 숫자에 의해 신뢰의 정도를 표시하기 때문에 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 논문에서는 사용자들이 제공받는 서비스들에 대하여 만족도를 평가한 후 수집된 데이터를 활용하여 사용자들의 상관 관계를 분석한다. 그리고 Dempster-Shafer 이론을 사용하여 사용자들로부터 측정된 믿음 값을 융합한다. 이는 불확실성 값을 낮추어 추론결과의 정확성을 높이고 증거구간을 재설정하여 사용자들에게 신뢰성 있는 적응형 서비스를 제공하게 한다.

DFT 계산을 이용한 카이랄 α,β-불포화 N-Acyloxazolidinone에 의한 비대칭 Diels-Alder 고리첨가 반응의 메커니즘 연구

  • Kim, Guk-Hyeon;Kim, Yeon-Jun;Kim, U-Yeon
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2013.04a
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    • pp.153-165
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    • 2013
  • 카이랄 ${\alpha},{\beta}$-불포화 N-Acyloxazolidinone은 Diels-Alder 반응의 친다이엔체로서 dialkylaluminium chloride 촉매하에서 높은 반응성과 부분입체선택성을 가지는 것이 이미 실험적으로 알려져 왔다. 제안된 Diels-Alder 반응의 메커니즘을 토대로 진행한 DFT 계산에서 dimethylaluminium chloride(이하 DMAC)는 $TiCl_4$에 비해 높은 endo 선택성을 띄는 반면, $TiCl_4$는 부분입체선택성에서 우세했다. 특히 DMAC는 현저히 낮은 활성화 에너지를 나타내어 이론적으로 반응속도의 측면에서 상당한 이득이 있음을 예측할 수 있다. 또한 chiral auxiliary로서 phenyl과 isopropyl은 구조적인 차이로 인해 선택성에서 역시 차이를 보였다. 계산화학적인 방법을 통한 입체선택적 Diels-Alder 반응의 분석은 알려진 메커니즘에 대한 명확한 증거를 제시할 뿐만 아니라 다른 유기합성 반응에 있어서 새로운 반응을 개발하는 데 이론적인 근거를 뒷받침 한다.

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A Preliminary Study on High School Students' Understanding of the Distinction between Scientific Theories and Scientific Laws (과학 이론과 과학 법칙의 차이에 대한 고등학생들의 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Ah;Park, Byeong-Geon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to explore high school students' understanding of the distinction between scientific theories and scientific laws. Understanding of the distinction between these two concepts, which belong to the nature of science, has been receiving little attention. We surveyed thirty-two students from a local high school with three-part, open-ended questionnaire. The result revealed that these students shared common misconceptions such as 'scientific theories are unproven, scientific laws are proven and absolute', and 'if a theory is proven with enough evidence, it becomes a law'. Moreover, students tend to regard earth science less sophisticated than physical science, because they recognize a lot of its theories to be unproven in their view. It is indicated further that teaching the difference between scientific theories and laws explicitly could help students possess more appropriate view toward earth science.

Causal reasoning studies with a focus on the Power Probabilistic Contrast Theory (힘 확률 대비 이론에 기반을 둔 인과 추론 연구)

  • Park, Jooyong
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.541-572
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    • 2016
  • Causal reasoning is actively studied not only by psychologists but, in recent years, also by cognitive scientists taking the Bayesian approach. This paper seeks to provide an overview of the recent trends in causal reasoning research with a focus on the power probabilistic contrast theory of causality, a major psychological theory on causal inference. The power probabilistic contrast theory (PPCT) assumes that a cause is a power that initiates or inhibits the result. This power is purported be understood through statistical correlation under certain conditions. The paper examines the supporting empirical evidence in the development of PPCT. Also, introduced are the theoretical dispute between the PPCT and the model based on Bayesian approach, and the current developments and implications of research on causal invariance hypothesis, which states that cause operates identically regardless of the context. Recent studies have produced experimental results that cannot be readily explained by existing empirical approach. Therefore, these results call for serious examination of the power theory of causality by researchers in neighboring fields such as philosophy, statistics, and artificial intelligence.