• Title/Summary/Keyword: 중국 GDP

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An Analysis of Factors Influencing on Chinese Agricultural Exports to Korea (중국 농수산품의 대(對)한국 수출 영향요인 분석)

  • Ji-Eun Pyeon;Eun-Young Nam
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to analyze the factors influencing exports of agricultural products(HS01~HS24) from China to Korea by estimating the gravity model with panel data from 31 provinces in China. The results of the empirical analysis from the panel Tobit model are as follows: The effects of GDP and GDP per capita on agricultural exports are reversed, but their impacts are different on exports of each product, notably HS03, HS07 and HS20. As expected, distance decreases Chinese agricultural exports, and the impact of the relative exchange rate variable is also statistically significant, although it differs from product to product. However, differences in latitude, which considers the heterogeneity of climate and agricultural production conditions between Korea and each Chinese region, does not seem to affect agricultural exports to Korea. The road length, which affects the logistical conditions of each province in China, is not statistically significant either. On the other hand, increases in the number of Chinese visitors to Korea raises the amount of Chinese agricultural exports, including exports of HS03 and HS20. The results also shows that after the Korea-China FTA agreements, agricultural exports have actually decreased, especially exports of non-processed agricultural products, such as HS07.

A Study on Estimating Tourism Elasticities using Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) model (ARDL 모형을 이용한 관광탄력성 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2017
  • This study was to investigate the elasticity in tourism demand of Chinese tourists visiting Malaysia through ARDL models by using Chinese tourists arrivals, GDP, CPI, transportation costs and others. When China was implementing an open-door policy with foreign countries in the early 15th century, the movement of Chinese was very limited, and then communication between China and other countries was very weak. However, the Chinese government persistently and entirely implemented an open-door policy by participating in the World Trade Organization(WTO) in 2001. The Chinese government has opened the economy through foreign direct investment by providing various incentives for foreign investment. As a result, inbound and outbound Chinese movements increased in the early 21st century. China was one of the top five most visited tourist destinations in the world by 2016, and also Chinese tourists traveling abroad increased, so they made Malaysia a popular tourists destination because of increase sharply to around 1.41 million. This study examined the significance of major economic factors affecting the increase in Chinese tourists arriving in Malaysia. Other factors that induced their arrival included income, tourism prices, transportation costs and promotional activities. Short-run shocks from the Asian economic crisis and the outbreak of SARS were included to understand how tourism demand in Malaysia was affected. Finally this study found that the combination of the ARDL and the Error Correction Model were useful to statistically estimate the elasticities of tourism demand.

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Determinants for Korea-China Tarde Volume (한.중 무역량에 영향을 미치는 결정요인 분석)

  • Liu, BeiBei;Choi, Chang Hwan
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.121-138
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    • 2014
  • China and Korea have interacted with each other for 20 years since 1992 when China and Korea established diplomatic relations. During this period, the trade and investment between two countries have increased rapidly. In addition to the enhancement of economic cooperation and the expansion of personal exchange, the relationship between two countries was upgraded to mutual strategic cooperative relationship in 2008 from the 1 friendly and cooperative relations and the economic exchange and cooperation were largely expanded. In this paper, the current situation and characteristics of the trade between China and Korea were figured out. In order to find out the development direction of China and Korea trade, through empirical analysis, the correlation of decisive factors that influence the trade amount of these two countries were analyzed. In terms of dependent variables for the empirical analysis, the trade amount between China and Korea was considered. While the GDP of these countries, the direct investment amount of two countries and the openness of external trade of these countries were considered as independent variables. The degree of economic freedom of these countries was set as policy variable. According to the analysis results, when the GDP of China and Korea is getting higher, there is positive influence on the trade amount of China and Korea. It is showed that the direct investment of Korea has positive influence on the trade amount of China and Korea. Meanwhile, there is negative influence of China's direct investment on the trade amount. When the degree of freedom of these countries is getting higher, the influence of trade amount was showed significantly. Furthermore, when the economic freedom of these countries is getting higher, the insignificant things about trade amount of China and Korea were extracted as insignificant.

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A Study on the Long and Short Term Effect of Exchange Rate about the Import of Korea's Fisheries during Feely Flexible Exchange Rate System Period - Focus on Main Fisheries Imported from China - (자유변동환율체제하의 수산물 수입에 대한 환율의 장단기 영향분석 - 중국으로부터의 주요 수산물 수입품목을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Woo-Kyung;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes the long and short term effect of exchange rate on the import of Korea's fisheries focussed on main fisheries imported from China. The estimation models consist of the following contents. The first model consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{CHO}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{CHO}$, $EXC_t$ and $GDP_t$. The second one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${JMQ_t}^{NAG})$ and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{NAG}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the third one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{AH}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{AH}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the forth one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{KO}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{KO)$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the last one is made up of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{GAL}$) and three independent variables-, ${RP_t}^{GAL}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. and. The estimation results show that exchange rate of the independent variables are statistically significant in only the first model. The figure is elastic. Especially, the effect of exchange rate in first model is grater than that of the. However, the effect of exchange rate, one of independent variables in the ECM, is not statistically significant.

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Comparing $CO_2$ Abatement Cost Patterns of OECD Countries (이산화탄소 감축정책에 따른 OECD 국가들의 GDP 손실액 패턴 분석)

  • Lee, Seung-Wan;Cho, Yong-Sung
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.55-81
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    • 2007
  • Most studies on $CO_2$ abatement cost with a computational general equilibrium(CGE) model focus on a specific country. On the contrary, this study compares and analyses the $CO_2$ abatement cost functions across 20 countries, consisting of OECD countries, China and Brazil, with a CGE model. For this purpose, we estimate the GDP loss from $CO_2$ emission reduction, assuming the 4 sector model. Our findings show that those cost curves are convex but different among the countries. However, despite of the difference in the cost curios, we have found that one group of countries has the relatively constant average abatement cost and the other group has the increasing average cost. The reason why such a pattern occurs is explained in terms of the variations of value-added and $Co_2$ emission coefficient by sector across the countries. As an environmental policy implication, this study presents information about which country is similar to one another in terms of the abatement cost.

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The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia and Its Economic Effects: A CGE Approach (CGE모형을 이용한 동아시아 역내포괄적경제동반자협정(RCEP)의 경제적 영향 분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2013
  • This study aims at conducting a quantitative assessment of potential economic effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) consisting of 10 Member States of the ASEAN, Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand using a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model. Three different policy scenarios are carried out based on baseline scenarios: China-Japan-Korea FTA (Scenario 1); ASEAN+3 FTA (Scenario 2); and the RCEP (Scenario 3). The impacts of three scenarios are described in terms of real GDP, Equivalent Variation as a measure of welfare, export and import volumes, trade balance, and terms of trade. This study finds that the RCEP is to lead to an increase in real GDP of all members of the RCEP, with Korea as a winner with a highest additional economic growth of 2.43 percent, which implies that Korea is in a better position to play a leading role in promoting the RCEP.

Trend of Regional Economic Development Disparity, Convergence and Inverse U-type Hypothesis Test in China (중국 지역경제발전 격차의 추세, 수렴과 역U자 가설 검증)

  • KIM, Sang-Wook
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.226-253
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    • 2009
  • The study analyzes the trend of regional economic development disparity in China, sets up research period from 1952 to 2008, and uses the after-modified regional GDP data by the first national economic census in 2004. The results as follow. Firstly, the Coefficient of variation(CV) with after-modified GDP data lower than the pre-modified data. Secondly, generally speaking, after-reform and open period's disparity lower than pre-reform and open period. In particular, the regional development disparity increased slowly after 1990, not rapidly. Third, the new cycle of the inverse-U type is appeared from 2002. Fourth, compared with Herfindhal-Hirschman index(HHI) and Theil Entrophy index(TEI), the lower level regions more affect to reduce the disparity in 1980s, and it also affect to reduce the disparity after 2000. Fifth, the convergence hypothesis test finds that the regional economic development disparity has been converged in 1978-2008. Sixth, the inverse-U type hypothesis not has statistical significance, from 1952 to 2008, but it has statistical significance from 1991 to 2008. This result same as the CV and the convergence test.

A Study on Income and Price Elasticities of Tourism Demand in Korea (한국관광수요의 소득 및 가격탄력성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 2017
  • This study examined the income and price elasticities of tourism demand model by using the ARDL models. This paper used the ARDL & ARDL-RECM model based on the annual number of tourists arrivals, GDP and CPI including tourists from the US, Japan and China entering Korea. First, the income elasticity of the US was inelastic and insensitive necessities for long-run US tourists in the ARDL model. China's income elasticity was elastically sensitive luxuries. Second, the US and China's own price elasticities were very elastic to tourism demand in both models. Third, the US's cross price elasticity showed the relationship between inelastic positive substitutes and inelastic negative complements in China in ARDL model. The cross price elasticities of the US and China showed inelastic positive substitutes in the ARDL-RECM model. Fourth, the coefficients of the error correction term were such that the actual sign and the expected sign of the US and China coincided with the negative sign in the ARDL-RECM model. Therefore, first, it can be established in a tourist policy or tourism strategy through income elasticity. Second, we can improve the quality and differentiation of products, recognizing that Korea's tourism price is more elastic than other markets through price elasticity.

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북한 대중국 교역 의존도의 국제 비교

  • Jeong, Su-Jin;Choe, Yeong-Yun
    • KDI북한경제리뷰
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.41-58
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    • 2020
  • 1998~2017년 북한의 교역을 관측한 결과, 북한의 대중 교역 비중은 꾸준히 증가하여 2017년에는 그 비중이 94.8%까지 높아진 것으로 관찰됐다. 즉, 동기간의 북한의 대중국 교역 의존도가 급증한 것을 확인 할 수 있다. 이러한 북한의 대중국 교역 의존도가 북한만의 특이한 교역 구조인지 확인하기 위해 본고는 ① 전세계, ② 아시아, ③ 중국 접경 국가를 비교군으로 설정하여 시계열 및 횡단면 비교를 각각 실시하였다. 먼저 시계열로 비교한 결과 1998~2017년 전 기간 동안 북한은 전세계, 아시아, 중국 접경 국가 보다 대중국 교역의존도가 현저히 높았던 것으로 나타났다. 또한 북한은 대중국 교역의존도 증가 추세 역시 가장 가파른 국가로 확인됐다. 예를 들어, 1998년 북한의 대중국 교역 의존도는 24.8%, 아시아 지역의 대중국 교역 의존도는 6.5%로 북한이 아시아 지역에 비해 약 3.8배 높았으나, 2017년의 경우 북한 94.8%, 아시아 19.4%로 약 4.9배 더 높은 것으로 나타나 지난 20년 동안 북한의 대중국 교역 의존도가 다른 전세계 국가들에 비해 가파르게 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 구체적으로 중국 접경 국가군에 소속된 개별 국가와 비교한 결과, 북한 다음으로 대중국 교역 의존도가 높고, 가파르게 증가한 국가는 몽골과 미얀마인 것으로 관찰된다. 그러나 몽골, 미얀마는 북한에 비해서 대중국 교역 의존도 증가 추세는 상대적으로 완만하다. 다음으로, 본고에서 설정한 최종 관측연도인 2017년 한해에 대해 횡단면 비교를 실시하였다. 횡단면 비교에서는 대중국 교역 의존도를 수출입 의존도로 세분화하여 비교하고, 대중국 GDP 의존도를 추가하여 비교했다. 그 결과 2017년 북한의 대중국 수출입 의존도 모두 전세계, 아시아, 중국 접경 국가들 중 가장 높은 순위를 기록했다. 특이한 점은 북한의 대중국 교역의존도는 수출보다 수입에서 높게 나타난 반면, 북한 다음으로 대중국 교역 의존도가 높은 몽골과 미얀마의 경우 수입보다 수출의 대중국 의존도가 높게 나타났다는 점이다. 대중국 GDP 의존도의 경우 북한은 중국 접경 국가들 중 몽골과 베트남 다음으로 의존도가 높은 국가로 확인된다. 추가적으로 2017년의 북한, 몽골 및 미얀마의 교역 특징을 알아보았다. 먼저 북한, 몽골, 미얀마의 대중 교역 품목을 비교한 결과 이들 3개국 모두 공통적으로 주로 석탄, 천연가스 등의 천연자원을 중국에 수출한다는 특징을 가진다. 그러나 수입의 경우 북한은 대두유와 같은 식량류와 합성 직물, 무선 전화기 등을 주로 수입하는 반면, 몽골과 미얀마는 산업 생산에 필요한 에너지 및 부속품을 주로 수입한다는 차이점이 있었다. 다음으로, 2017년 북한과 몽골, 미얀마가 가장 많이 교역한 중국의 성(省)을 비교해본 결과, 북한은 요녕성, 몽골은 내몽고자치구, 미얀마는 운남성과의 교역이 가장 많았다는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 이를 통해 대중 교역 의존도가 높은 3개 국가들이 중국과 국경을 접한 성(省)과 가장 교역을 많이 한다는 특징을 확인할 수 있었다.

Determinants on the Capital Structure of Small and Medium Sized Enterprises in China (중국 중소기업의 자본구조 결정요인)

  • Yang, Zhen Tao;Park, Hee-Jung;Kang, Ho-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2013
  • The proportion of small and medium sized enterprises based on the number of corporations in China is 99%, the number of employees is 80%, and the proportion of GDP is 60%. These facts show that small and medium sized enterprises have an very significant effect on the economic growth of China. However, most of the researches conducted so far have studied large corporations, thus, there are relatively insufficient researches on the determinant of the capital structure of small and medium sized enterprises. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to confirm the factors that determine the capital structure of small and medium sized enterprises in China. To achieve this purpose, we performed multiple regression method to 45 small and medium sized manufacturing enterprises listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. Results of this study are as follows. First, the growth appeared to have a significant positive effect to the debt ratio in 1% significance level. Second, the profitability appeared to have a significant negative effect to debt ratio in 1% significance level. Third, the firm size appeared to have no effect on the debt ratio. Fourth, the secured value and tax shield effect by non-debt appeared to have a weak positive effect on the debt ratio, however these variables showed statistical insignificant.