• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주식투자

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An Analysis on the Influence of the Financial Market Fluctuations on the Housing Market before and after the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기 전후 금융시장 변동이 주택시장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.480-488
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    • 2016
  • As the subprime mortgage crisis spread globally, it depressed not only the financial market, but also the construction business in Korea. In fact, according to CERIK, the BSI of the construction businesses plunged from 80 points in December 2006 to 14.6 points in November 2008, and the extent of the depression in the housing sector was particularly serious. In this respect, this paper analyzes the influence of the financial market fluctuation on the housing market before and after the Global Financial Crisis using VECM. The periods from January 2000 to December 2007 and January 2008 to October 2015, before and after the financial crisis, were set as Models 1 and 2, respectively. The results are as follows. First, when the economy is good, the Gangnam housing market is an attractive one for investment. However, when it is depressed, the Gangnam housing market changes in response to the macroeconomic fluctuations. Second, the Gangbuk and Gangnam housing markets showed different responses to fluctuations in the financial market. Third, when the economy is bad, the effect of low interest rates is limited, due to the housing market risk.

Developing a Trading System using the Relative Value between KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Stock Index Futures (KOSPI 200과 S&P 500 주가지수 선물의 상대적 가치를 이용한 거래시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Young-Min;Lee, Suk-Jun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2014
  • A trading system is a computer trading program that automatically submits trades to an exchange. Mechanical a trading system to execute trade is spreading in the stock market. However, a trading system to trade a single asset might occur instability of the profit because payoff of this system is determined a asset movement. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a trading system that is trade two assets such as a pair trading that is to sell overvalued assets and buy the undervalued ones. The aim of this study is to propose a relative value based trading system designed to yield stable and profitable profits regardless of market conditions. In fact, we propose a procedure for building a trading system that is based on the rough set analysis of indicators derived from a price ratio between two assets. KOSPI 200 index futures and S&P 500 index futures are used as a data for evaluation of the proposed trading system. We intend to examine the usefulness of this model through an empirical study.

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주요국가에 있어서의 경쟁법$\cdot$경쟁정책의 개정 움직임

  • 한국공정경쟁연합회
    • Journal of Korea Fair Competition Federation
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    • no.26
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 1997
  • 세계 경제질서의 급속한 변화에 따라 최근에 많은 선진국들이 경쟁법을 개정하거나 앞으로 개정할 움직임을 활발히 전개하고 있다. 특히 이중에서 글로벌 경제의 급속한 진전에 따라 여기에 대응하기 위한 경쟁법의 개정 움직임도 활발하게 이루어지고 있음을 음미해보아야 할 것이다. 미국은 반트러스트법의 개정을 검토하기 위하여 공청회를 개최하고 ''95년 5월 ''새로운 하이테크 글로벌 시장에서의 경쟁정책''이라는 보고서를 발표하였으며, 이에 따라 합병심사에서 효율성을 앞세워 미국 국내기업의 해외 진출을 지원하고 합병을 용이하게 하도록 ''92년에 제정된 합병 가이드라인을 개정하였다. EU의 구주위원회도 기업결합의 글로벌화가 촉진되도록 ''96년 7월 합병규제규칙을 개정하여 업계가 손쉽게 합병을 할 수 있도록 절차에 있어 일원적 처리의 범위를 확대하였으며, 기업의 규제대상이 되는 연간 매상고기준을 인하하고 합병심사의 대상기업이라도 경쟁상 중대한 문제가 발생하지 않는 것으로 판단되면 공동체 시장에서 적합성을 선언할 수 있도록 하고, 경쟁제한법 협정의 적용제외 규정에서 수직적 제한에 대한 경쟁법 적용여부의 결정은 당사자의 시장점유율을 고려해서 적용여부를 결정하는 등 폭넓은 선택이 가능하도록 개정하였다. 이에 따라 EU국가인 독일, 영국, 프랑스 등의 EU회원국들은 EU합병규제규칙 및 EU경쟁법과의 조화가 이루어지도록 자국의 법체계를 정비하고 있다. 이에 따라 독일은 지난 ''97년 7월 31일에 경쟁제한금지법 제정 이후 40년만에 근본적인 개정의 필요에 따라 EU경쟁법과의 조화, 카르텔에서 적용제외 규정을 글로벌 경제구조에 맞도록 과감히 삭제$\cdot$축소하고, 합병규제대상의 매상고기준을 상향(5억$\right$10억마르크)하고 법체계를 명확하고 알기 쉽게 정리하는 개정(안)을 발표한 바 있다. 그리고 영국 무역산업성 장관은 지난 ''97년 8월 7일 영국의 경쟁법개정(안)을 금년 가을까지 성립을 목표로 발표하였는데, 그 주요 내용은 반경쟁적 협정 및 시장지배력 남용에 대한 강력한 억제력과 중대한 남용행위에 제재금을 부과함으로써 경쟁을 통한 소비자의 이익과 선택을 확보하고 산업계의 불필요한 부담을 경감토록 하여 글로벌시장 경쟁에서 혁신과 투자를 자극하도록 유도하였고, 프랑스는 생산업자와 유통업자에 의한 부당염매금지 제도를 도입하고 경쟁제한행위금지 위반시의 벌칙을 강화했다. 일본은 치열한 국제경쟁에 대응하고 경제구조의 개혁과 사업자활동을 보다 촉진하기 위하여 지난 1997년 6월 11일 일본독점금지법을 개정하여 독점금지법에 위배되지 않는 범위에서 지주회사 설립 금지를 해체하고 대규모회사 주식보유총액제한 규제대상을 완화하는 한편 국제계약신고제도를 폐지하였다. 캐나다는 합병신청서 제출기간을 연장하고 통신판매를 직접규제대상으로 경쟁법 개정을 준비하였고, 호주는 거래관행법을 개정하여 연방정부와 주$\cdot$준주 정부간의 경쟁정책의 법적용을 통일하고 거래관행법 적용을 모든 사업에 확대하며, 재판매가격유지행위의 금지대상에 용역(전기통신서비스)도 포함시키고 시장참입을 촉진하는 제도를 신설하였다. 뉴질랜드는 합병이 국내시장에 영향을 주는 경우에는 외국에서의 합병에도 경쟁법을 확대적용하도록 하였다. 위와 같이 세계의 많은 국가에서 경쟁정책에 대한 새로운 동향과 공정거래법에 대한 개정작업이 활발히 이루어지고 있는데, 본고는 미국, EU, 독일, 영국, 프랑스, 일본, 캐나다 및 호주와 뉴질랜드 등 주요선진국에서의 공정거래법 개정 동향에 대한 주요 내용을 소개한 것이다.

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Software Package for Pipe Hydraulics Calculation for Single and Two Phase Flow (배관 유동의 주요 변수계산을 위한 소프트웨어 시스템의 개발)

  • Chang, Jaehun;Lee, Gunhee;Jung, Minyoung;Baek, Heumkyung;Lee, Changha;Oh, Min
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.628-636
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    • 2019
  • In various industrial processes, piping serves as a link between unit processes and is an essential installation for internal flow. Therefore, the optimum design of the piping system is very important in terms of safety and cost, which requires the estimation of the pressure drop, flow rate, pipe size, etc. in the piping system. In this study, we developed a software that determines pressure drop, flow rate, and pipe size when any two of these design variables are known. We categorized the flows into single phase, homogeneous two phase, and separated two phase flows, and applied suitable calculation models accordingly. We also constructed a system library for the calculation of the pipe material, relative roughness, fluid property, and friction coefficients to minimize user input. We further created a costing library according to the piping material for the calculation of the investment cost of the pipe per unit length. We implemented all these functions in an integrated environment using a graphical user interface for user convenience, and C # programming language. Finally, we verified the accuracy of the software using literature data and examples from an industrial process with obtained deviations of 1% and 8.8% for the single phase and two-phase models.

The Future Direction of HD Map Industry Development Plan and Governance (정밀도로지도 산업 발전 방향 및 대응방안 연구)

  • WON, Sang-Yeon;MOON, Ji-Young;YOON, Seo-Youn;CHOI, Yun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.120-132
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    • 2019
  • As a key infrastructure for positioning autonomous vehicles, HD maps are making efforts to equip autonomous vehicles and connect them with services worldwide. Global companies like Here and TomTom have contracted an agreement with three German automobile companies(BMW, Audi, Daimler) by establishing systems including from the production of HD maps to loading autonomous vehicles. Japan has organized a DMP(Dynamic Map Platform) by collaborating public and private section and performing establishment of HD map on private section-oriented. Korean companies related with autonomous vehicles are also cooperating with various companies such as vehicles, sensors and maps. But public and private sections are establishing HD maps respectively. Accordingly, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport implemented and signed memorandum for private and public cooperation in April 2019, Joint establishment council of HD map has launched in August 2019. This study performed domestic and foreign trend analysis about HD map and interviewed to related companies. And analyzed solutions for interactive cooperation of private and public section in HD map industry, purposed step-by-step strategy for operation and operation plan for joint establishment council of HD map.

The Effect of the National Pension Service' Activism on Earning Management after Adoption of the Korea Stewardship Code

  • Kwon, Ye-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2022
  • The Korea Stewardship Code 'Principles on the Fiduciary Responsibilities of Institutional Investors' was introduced in 2016 and the National Pension Service adopted it in 2018. the National Pension Service casted 'dessent' vote on the agenda which is able to reduce the ownership interest of shareholder in general meeting. This paper examines whether 'dissent' voting affected on the ownership interest of shareholder or not. The 'dissent' vote on the agenda are related to revision artical of corperation, appointment or compensation of director and auditor, approval of financial statements ect. The proxies of earnings management is discretionary accruals calculated by modified Jones model. The control variablies are size of assets, liabilities per assets, returns on assets. The results of this study are as followings. First, the 'dissent' voting on the agenda are related to revision artical of corperation, M&A, approval of financial statements ect. are not significant because their sample size is too small, Second, the 'dissent' voting on appointment of director and auditor affected on reduction of discretionary accruals. So the National Pension Service activism shall affect on increasing the ownership interest of shareholder. Third, the 'dissent' voting on compensation of director and auditor is not affected on reduction of discretionary accruals. This results show that 'unconditional dissent voting' on the agenda in general meeting is not to reduce the ownership interest of shareholder.

A Fundamental Study on the Load Resistance Characteristics of Revetment Concrete Block with Recycled Concrete Aggregate and GFRP Rebar (순환골재와 GFRP 보강근을 적용한 호안블럭의 하중저항특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yongjae;Kim, Jongho;Moon, Doyoung
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.42-51
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    • 2022
  • Aggregate resources in Korea are expected to run out owing to an increase in development demand and construction investment. Recycled concrete aggregates (RCA), extracted from waste concrete, have a lower quality than natural aggregates. However, RCA can produce concrete similar in quality to the normal concrete by aggregate pretreatment, use of admixtures, and quality control. RCA are most suitable for use in precast concrete products such as sidewalk blocks and revetment blocks. Herein, the feasibility of producing revetment blocks using recycled aggregate concrete (RAC), similar in quality to normal concrete, was analyzed. The amount of RCA was varied, and moderate high early strength cement and steam curing were used to produce the concrete test blocks. In the block test, the load resistance characteristics of the blocks were evaluated to determine optimal RAC and glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) rebar compositions. Thus, the variable that reduced the cement content was determined at the same level as that of natural aggregate concrete by the control of steam curing. In the concrete block test, although this depends on the reinforcement ratio, the RAC block exhibited the same or better performance than a normal concrete block. Therefore, the low quality of RCA in RAC is no longer a problem when concrete mixing and curing are controlled and appropriate reinforcement is used.

Cash Retention and Firm Value of Entertainment Enterprises (엔터테인먼트 기업의 현금보유가 기업가치에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Nam-Gon;Kim, Jee-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the following important financial questions using entertainment enterprises: 1) how does cash reserve affect a firm's financial value? 2) what factors influence the level of cash retention of a firm? For empirical tests, we use accounting and financial data of entertainment companies listed in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets for a long-term time period covering from 2000 to 2018. The main findings of this paper are as follows: First, entertainment companies maintain higher level of cash holdings compared to non-entertainment companies. Second, the cash holdings of entertainment enterprises have positive influence on firms' financial value. Third, among various firm characteristics known for affecting the cash holdings level, leverage and profitability exhibit strong relationships in entertainment enterprises. Entertainment firms with lower leverage and higher profitability tend to reserve more cash inside them. These findings suggest that entertainment companies are highly valued by stock market participants as having prospective opportunities, thus, firms with sufficient cash holdings tend to have higher firm value. In addition, these findings imply that cash in entertainment enterprises functions as a substitute for debts and the cash holdings are less likely driven by agency problems.

Performance Comparison of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms for Futures Scalping (해외선물 스캘핑을 위한 강화학습 알고리즘의 성능비교)

  • Jung, Deuk-Kyo;Lee, Se-Hun;Kang, Jae-Mo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.697-703
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    • 2022
  • Due to the recent economic downturn caused by Covid-19 and the unstable international situation, many investors are choosing the derivatives market as a means of investment. However, the derivatives market has a greater risk than the stock market, and research on the market of market participants is insufficient. Recently, with the development of artificial intelligence, machine learning has been widely used in the derivatives market. In this paper, reinforcement learning, one of the machine learning techniques, is applied to analyze the scalping technique that trades futures in minutes. The data set consists of 21 attributes using the closing price, moving average line, and Bollinger band indicators of 1 minute and 3 minute data for 6 months by selecting 4 products among futures products traded at trading firm. In the experiment, DNN artificial neural network model and three reinforcement learning algorithms, namely, DQN (Deep Q-Network), A2C (Advantage Actor Critic), and A3C (Asynchronous A2C) were used, and they were trained and verified through learning data set and test data set. For scalping, the agent chooses one of the actions of buying and selling, and the ratio of the portfolio value according to the action result is rewarded. Experiment results show that the energy sector products such as Heating Oil and Crude Oil yield relatively high cumulative returns compared to the index sector products such as Mini Russell 2000 and Hang Seng Index.

Underpricing of Initial Offerings and the Efficiency of Investments (신주(新株)의 저가상장현상(低價上場現象)과 투자(投資)의 효율성(效率成)에 대한 연구(硏究))

  • Nam, Il-chong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.95-120
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    • 1990
  • The underpricing of new shares of a firm that are offered to the public for the first time (initial offerings) is well known and has puzzled financial economists for a long time since it seems at odds with the optimal behavior of the owners of issuing firms. Past attempts by financial economists to explain this phenomenon have not been successful in the sense that the explanations given by them are either inconsistent with the equilibrium theory or implausible. Approaches by such authors as Welch or Allen and Faulhaber are no exceptions. In this paper, we develop a signalling model of capital investment to explain the underpricing phenomenon and also analyze the efficiency of investment. The model focuses on the information asymmetry between the owners of issuing firms and general investors. We consider a firm that has been owned and operated by a single owner and that has a profitable project but has no capital to develop it. The profit from the project depends on the capital invested in the project as well as a profitability parameter. The model also assumes that the financial market is represented by a single investor who maximizes the expected wealth. The owner has superior information as to the value of the firm to investors in the sense that it knows the true value of the parameter while investors have only a probability distribution about the parameter. The owner offers the representative investor a fraction of the ownership of the firm in return for a certain amount of investment in the firm. This offer condition is equivalent to the usual offer condition consisting of the number of issues to sell and the unit price of a share. Thus, the model is a signalling game. Using Kreps' criterion as the solution concept, we obtained an essentially unique separating equilibrium offer condition. Analysis of this separating equilibrium shows that the owner of the firm with high profitability chooses an offer condition that raises an amount of capital that is short of the amount that maximizes the potential profit from the project. It also reveals that the fraction of the ownership of the firm that the representative investor receives from the owner of the highly profitable firm in return for its investment has a value that exceeds the investment. In other words, the initial offering in the model is underpriced when the profitability of the firm is high. The source of underpricing and underinvestment is the signalling activity by the owner of the highly profitable firm who attempts to convince investors that his firm has a highly profitable project by choosing an offer condition that cannot be imitated by the owner of a firm with low profitability. Thus, we obtained two main results. First, underpricing is a result of a signalling activity by the owner of a firm with high profitability when there exists information asymmetry between the owner of the issuing firm and investors. Second, such information asymmetry also leads to underinvestment in a highly profitable project. Those results clearly show the underpricing entails underinvestment and that information asymmetry leads to a social cost as well as a private cost. The above results are quite general in the sense that they are based upon a neoclassical profit function and full rationality of economic agents. We believe that the results of this paper can be used as a basis for further research on the capital investment process. For instance, one can view the results of this paper as a subgame equilibrium in a larger game in which a firm chooses among diverse ways to raise capital. In addition, the method used in this paper can be used in analyzing a wide range of problems arising from information asymmetry that the Korean financial market faces.

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