• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주기적 자기회귀이동평균 모형

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Estimation of Layered Periodic Autoregressive Moving Average Models (계층형 주기적 자기회귀 이동평균 모형의 추정)

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Kim, Jung-Gun;Kim, Sun-Woo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.507-516
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    • 2012
  • We study time series models for seasonal time series data with a covariance structure that depends on time and the periodic autocorrelation at various lags $k$. In this paper, we introduce an ARMA model with periodically varying coefficients(PARMA) and analyze Arosa ozone data with a periodic correlation in the practical case study. Finally, we use a PARMA model and a seasonal ARIMA model for data analysis and show the performance of a PARMA model with a comparison to the SARIMA model.