• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주가 이동 방향 예측

Search Result 73, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

An Empirical Study on Predictive Modeling to enhance the Product-Technical Roadmap (제품-기술로드맵 개발을 강화하기 위한 예측모델링에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Park, Kigon;Kim, YoungJun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-30
    • /
    • 2021
  • Due to the recent development of system semiconductors, technical innovation for the electric devices of the automobile industry is rapidly progressing. In particular, the electric device of automobiles is accelerating technology development competition among automobile parts makers, and the development cycle is also changing rapidly. Due to these changes, the importance of strategic planning for R&D is further strengthened. Due to the paradigm shift in the automobile industry, the Product-Technical Roadmap (P/TRM), one of the R&D strategies, analyzes technology forecasting, technology level evaluation, and technology acquisition method (Make/Collaborate/Buy) at the planning stage. The product-technical roadmap is a tool that identifies customer needs of products and technologies, selects technologies and sets development directions. However, most companies are developing the product-technical roadmap through a qualitative method that mainly relies on the technical papers, patent analysis, and expert Delphi method. In this study, empirical research was conducted through simulations that can supplement and strengthen the product-technical roadmap centered on the automobile industry by fusing Gartner's hype cycle, cumulative moving average-based data preprocessing, and deep learning (LSTM) time series analysis techniques. The empirical study presented in this paper can be used not only in the automobile industry but also in other manufacturing fields in general. In addition, from the corporate point of view, it is considered that it will become a foundation for moving forward as a leading company by providing products to the market in a timely manner through a more accurate product-technical roadmap, breaking away from the roadmap preparation method that has relied on qualitative methods.

Migration Pattern of the Oriental Honey Buzzard Pernis ptilorhynchus at Hongdo Island in Korea (전남 홍도를 통과하는 벌매(Pernis ptilorhynchus)의 이동 양상)

  • Choi, Young-Bok;Chae, Hee-Young;Kim, Sung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.50-55
    • /
    • 2009
  • To understand the status of the migrating Oriental Honey Buzzard(Pernis ptilorhynchus) in Korea, we carried out a preliminary study on the number and local movements of the Honey Buzzard from September 2005 to October 2007 at Hongdo Island, Jeonnam Province, Korea. A total of 702 Honey Buzzards in 2005, 404 individuals in 2006, and 659 individuals in 2007 were recorded during the fall migration season, but during the spring migration season only two and eight birds were observed in 2006 and 2007 respectively. The migrating Honey Buzzard showed peak numbers from 20 September to 5 October at the study site. According to observation of arrival time of538 Honey Buzzard in October 2007, a total of 2l6 birds(40.l %) were passing over Hongdo Island between 7:00 AM to 8:00 AM, rising skyward on columns of warm air. This suggests the use of thermal currents and avoidance of nocturnal movement for crossing water. They preferred moderate winds(<5 m/s in speed) from northwest, but the migrating number apparently decreased in case of strong winds (${\geqq}5 m/s$). This suggests that wind speed and direction are important environmental factors for migration of the Oriental Honey Buzzard. At present, it is unclear which breeding population(from north-eastern China or Japan) passes over Hongdo Island. Moreover, it is difficult to prove migration route and to understand migratory behaviors of the Oriental Honey Buzzard in Korea. To prove the breeding sites and routes of the migrants over the study site, we need more detailed and further studies such as satellite tracking researches.

Research and Policy Directions against Ambient Fine Particles (초미세먼지 문제 해결을 위한 연구 및 정책 방향)

  • Kim, Yong Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.191-204
    • /
    • 2017
  • Concerns on the air pollution problem caused by ambient fine particles have become a big social issue in Korea. Important factors that should be addressed to develop effective and efficient air quality management policy, especially, against fine particles are discussed and research and policy directions to address these factors are suggested. It is suggested that two factors are in high priority; one is scientific understanding of the major formation mechanisms of fine particles and the other is the process of policy decision and implementation. For the scientific understanding, smog chamber measurement, intensive field study, and chemical transport model development that can simulate the characteristics of Northeast Asia are considered to be important. For the policy directions, priority setting of the proposed policies and development and implement of effective communication sytem are considered to be important.

Analysis of Bed Change Caused by Hydraulic Structure Using 2-D model (수공구조물에 따른 2차원 모형을 이용한 하상변동 분석)

  • Son, Ah-Long;Son, In-Ho;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kwon, Taek-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.535-535
    • /
    • 2012
  • 하천 환경의 변화는 자연적으로 일어나기도 하지만, 우리나라 경우 대부분 하천 정비, 골재 채취, 수중보와 하구둑 등 하천시설물의 건설, 그리고 댐 및 교량건설 등 인위적인 요인에 의한 변화가 지배적이다 이렇게 환경이 변화하면 하천의 평형 상태는 파괴되며 하천의 평형 상태를 복원하는 과정에서 하천의 침식 또는 퇴적이 일어나며 이러한 과정의 총체적인 결과로서 하상변동이 일어나게 된다. 하상변동은 단기적인 면에서는 하천에서의 취수, 배수, 주운동 하천관리에 직접적인 영향을 주며, 장기적인 면에서는 하천시설물의 안정, 홍수위 및 지하수위 변화, 홍수터와 같은 하천부지의 변화 등 하천 및 유역 관리에 광범위한 영향을 주고 있다 하천의 유황 및 하상재료의 인위적인 변화에 의한 장기적인 하상변동 효과를 예측하고 분석하는 것은 하천계획 및 관리 면에서 매우 중요하다. 또한 하천 정비사업 등에 의한 영향을 제대로 평가하기 위해서는 비교적 단기간의 홍수 또는 호우 사상에 대한 단기적인 하상변동 효과를 정확하게 예측하는 것은 필수적이다. 외국에서는 하상변동 예측의 필요성을 일찍이 인식하여 다수의 하상변동 예측모형이 개발되어 하천 실무에 사용되고 있으며, 국내에서도 하천 흐름의 등수 역학적 해석을 위해 여러 가지 수치 기법들에 대한 연구가 진행되고 발전되어져 왔다. 현재 국내에서는 측량 자료이용과 모형적용의 용이성을 이유로 1차원 점변 부정류 해석프로그램인 HEC-RAS 모형을 많이 사용하고 있으며 대부분의 하천 정비 기본계획 수립에 있어서도 1차원 해석 모형을 적용하고 있는 실정이다. 국내에 서 수행된 하상변동 예측에 관한 연구들은 대부분 1차원 모형이므로 하천의 사행의 진행이나 유사의 횡방향 분포 등은 고려할 수 없다. 또한 하상변동 계산 시 이동상 부분의 전체가 균일하게 상승 또는 하향하는 것으로 가정하기 때문에 흐름이 급변하는 데 적용하는 것은 적합하지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 4대강살리기 사업이 진행중인 낙동강유역 구미보지점을 대상으로 2차원 흐름 및 하상변동 수치모형인 CCHE2D 모형을 적용하여 50년, 100년, 200년 빈도별로 모의를 실시, 보설치 전 후의 하상변동을 비교 분석 하였다. 모의 결과 보설치 후의 경우 보 상류단은 전반적으로 퇴적의 양상을 보였으며, 보 하류단의 만곡부의 경우 홍수량이 증가함에 따라 유속 및 소류력이 비슷한 패턴으로 증가하여 침식이 관찰되었다. 특히 보 직하류의 경우 수문을 기준으로 다량의 침식이 있음을 보였으며, 침식이 계속 진행된다면 보유실과 같은 심각한 결과를 초래할 수 있기 때문에 침식을 방지 할 수 있는 다양한 장치가 마련되어야 할 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the Ultra Thick FCA Butt Weldment of Hatch Coaming in a Large Container Vessel (대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Beom;Lee, Dong-Ju;Lee, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.33-40
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a predictive equation of transverse residual stress at the thick FCA butt weldment of large container vessel. The variables used were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the H-type specimen was designed to reproduce the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. Based on the results, the predictive equations of the mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress at each location of the weldment were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The predictive equations were verified by comparing with those measured by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

Jet Entrainment Effect in Buoyant Jet and Iso-Thermal Fire Modeling (부력제트의 주위공기 유입효과 및 등온기체 모델링)

  • Lee, Eui-Ju
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.111-115
    • /
    • 2009
  • Acetone LIF and Rayleigh scattering measurements were performed to identify the entrainment of ambient air in the buoyant jet qualitatively. The air entrainment near nozzle exit was enhanced with increasing both an axial distance and Reynolds number. The results supported that the air entrainment had to be considered in isothermal model for the development of its accuracy. Also, this paper provided an isothermal model based on the ideal plume, of which radiative heat loss fraction was assumed to 0.35 and the entainment of isothermal jet was considered. This simple model could be used in compartment or semi-enclosure fires such as tunnel, and it is more reliable because of introducing entrainment effect in isothermal jet.

A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the ultra thick FCA butt weldment of hatch coaming in a Large Container Ship (대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Beom;Lee, Dong-Ju;Park, Dong-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KWS Conference
    • /
    • 2009.11a
    • /
    • pp.102-102
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to establish the predictive equation of transversal residual stress at the thick weldment of large container ship. In order to do it, the variables used for this study were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Here, the level of restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the h-type specimen was designed to simulate the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. With H-type test specimen designed, the effect of the variables on the distribution of transversal residual stress at the weldment in a container ship was evaluated using the comprehensive FEA. Based on the results, the predictive equations of mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress in each location of residual stress were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The validation of predictive equations was verified by comparing with measured results by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

  • PDF

Calculation Method of Oil Slick Area on Sea Surface Using High-resolution Satellite Imagery: M/V Symphony Oil Spill Accident (고해상도 광학위성을 이용한 해상 유출유 면적 산출: 심포니호 기름유출 사고 사례)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Shin, Hye-Kyeong;Jang, So Yeong;Ryu, Joung-Mi;Kim, Pyeongjoong;Yang, Chan-Su
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.37 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1773-1784
    • /
    • 2021
  • In order to minimize damage to oil spill accidents in the ocean, it is essential to collect a spilled area as soon as possible. Thus satellite-based remote sensing is a powerful source to detect oil spills in the ocean. With the recent rapid increase in the number of available satellites, it has become possible to generate a status report of marine oil spills soon after the accident. In this study, the oil spill area was calculated using various satellite images for the Symphony oil spill accident that occurred off the coast of Qingdao Port, China, on April 27, 2021. In particular, improving the accuracy of oil spill area determination was applied using high-resolution commercial satellite images with a spatial resolution of 2m. Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, LANDSAT-8, GEO-KOMPSAT-2B (GOCI-II) and Skysat satellite images were collected from April 27 to May 13, but five images were available considering the weather conditions. The spilled oil had spread northeastward, bound for coastal region of China. This trend was confirmed in the Skysat image and also similar to the movement prediction of oil particles from the accident location. From this result, the look-alike patch observed in the north area from the Sentinel-1A (2021.05.01) image was discriminated as a false alarm. Through the survey period, the spilled oil area tends to increase linearly after the accident. This study showed that high-resolution optical satellites can be used to calculate more accurately the distribution area of spilled oil and contribute to establishing efficient response strategies for oil spill accidents.

Building a Nonlinear Relationship between Air and Water Temperature for Climate-Induced Future Water Temperature Prediction (기후변화에 따른 미래 하천 수온 예측을 위한 비선형 기온-수온 상관관계 구축)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.21-38
    • /
    • 2014
  • In response to global warming, the effect of the air temperature on water temperature has been noticed. The change in water temperature in river environment results in the change in water quality and ecosystem, especially Dissolved Oxygen (DO) level, and shifts in aquatic biota. Efforts need to be made to predict future water temperature in order to understand the timing of the projected river temperature. To do this, the data collected by the Ministry of Environment and the Korea Meteororlogical Administration has been used to build a nonlinear relationship between air and water temperature. The logistic function that includes four different parameters was selected as a working model and the parameters were optimized using SCE algorithm. Weekly average values were used to remove time scaling effect because the time scale affects maximum and minimum temperature and then river environment. Generally speaking nonlinear logistic model shows better performance in NSC and RMSE and nonlinear logistic function is recommendable to build a relationship between air and water temperature in Korea. The results will contribute to determine the future policy regarding water quality and ecosystem for the decision-driving organization.

  • PDF

2-D Axisymmetric Non-linear Finite Strain Consolidation Model Considering Self-weight Consolidation of Dredged Soil (준설매립지반의 자중압밀을 고려한 2차원 축대칭 비선형 유한변형 압밀 모델)

  • Kwak, Tae-Hoon;Lee, Dong-Seop;Lim, Jee-Hee;Stark, T.D.;Choi, Eun-Seok;Choi, Hang-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.8
    • /
    • pp.5-19
    • /
    • 2012
  • Vertical drains along with the preloading technique have been commonly used to enhance the consolidation rate of dredged placement formation. In practice, vertical drains are usually installed in the process of self-weight consolidation of a dredged soil deposit because this process takes considerable time to be completed, which makes conventional analytical or numerical models difficult to quantify the consolidation behavior. In this paper, we propose a governing partial differential equation and develop a numerical model for 2-D axisymmetric non-linear finite strain consolidation considering self-weight consolidation to predict the behavior of a vertical drain in the dredged placement foundation which is installed during the self-weight consolidation. In order to verify the developed model in this paper, results of the numerical analysis are compared with that of the lab-scaled self-weight consolidation test. In addition, the model verification has been carried out by comparing with the simplified method. The comparisons show that the developed model can properly simulate the consolidation of the dredged placement formation with the vertical drains installed during the self-weight consolidation. Finally, the effect of construction schedule of vertical drains and of pre-loading during the self-weight consolidation is examined by simulating an imaginary dredged material placement site with a thickness of 10 m and 20 m, respectively. This simulation infers the applicability of the proposed method in this research for designing a soil improvement in a soft dredged deposit when vertical drains and pre-loading are implemented before the self-weight consolidation ceases.