• Title/Summary/Keyword: 종 분포 모형

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Analysis of changes of geomorphic riverbed and habitats suitability on flow rate (유량에 따른 하천지형변화와 서식처 적합도 분석)

  • Mi Kyoung Choi;Tae Un Kang;Chang Lae Jang;Hyun Uk An
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.488-488
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    • 2023
  • 유량에 따른 수치모형(Nays2D) 하상변동 모의 결과를 토대로 서식처 적합도 분석 모델(PHABSIM: Phsical Habtiat Suitability Model)의 입력자료로 활용하여, 유량에 따른 하상 지형변화와 그에 따른 어류 서식처 적합도 변화를 분석한다. 금강 2km를 대상으로 2차원 모형인Nays2D를 적용하여 부등류 흐름(댐 방류량, 2년 빈도 유량, 100년 빈도 유량 등)에 따른 하상변동모의를 실시하였고, 모의 결과값(단면 표고, 유속, 수위)을 물리적 서식처 평가 모델인 PHABSIM의 입력자료로 활용하였다. 피라미 서식을 위한 적정 유속과 수심의 서식처 적합도 지수를 이용하여 각 유량별 가중가용면적(WUA: Weighted Usable Area)을 산정하여 비교 분석하여, 유량에 따른 단면 구조의 변화가 WUA와 피라미 서식처 적합도에 어떻게 영향을 미치는지 검토한다. 본 연구는 2차원 수치 모의 결과에 따른 단면(혹은 지형) 변화 양상과, 그에 따라 피라미를 비롯한 다른 생물종(어류, 저서성대형무척추동물)의 분포 경향에 연관성이 있는지를 실제 유량 변화와 생물종 조사 결과(물환경정보시스템에서 제공하는 생물종 데이터 활용)와 연계하여 검토 및 검증해보고, PHAMSIM을 이용한 서식처 적합도 분석 시 고려해야할 변수 및 검증 방법 제언에 중점을 둔다.

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Significance Analysis of Facility Fires Though Spatial Econometrics Assessment (공간계량분석 방법에 따른 시설물 화재 발생 유의성 분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2020
  • Recently, large and small fires have been happening more often in Korea. Fire is one of the most frequent disasters along with traffic accidents in korean cities, and this frequency is closely related to the land use and the type of facilities. Therefore, in this study, the significance of fires was analyzed by considering land use, facility types, human and social factors and using 10 years of fire data in Jinju city. Based on this, OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis, SLM (Spatial Lag Model) and SEM (Spatial Error Model) using space weights, were compared and analyzed considering the location of the fire and each factor, then a statistical model with high suitability was presented. As a result, LISA analysis of spatial distribution patterns of fires in Jinju city was conducted, and it was proved that the frequency of fires was high in the order as follow, central commercial area, industrial area and residential area. Multiple regression analysis was performed by integrating demographic, social, and physical variables. Therefore, the three models were compared and analyzed by applying spatial weighting to the derived factors. As a result of the significance test, the spatial error model was analyzed to be the most significant. The facilities that have the highest correlation with fire occurrence were second type neighborhood facilities, followed by detached house, first type neighborhood facilities, number of households, and sales facilities. The results of this study are expected to be used as significant data to identify factors and manage fire safety in urban areas. Also, through the analysis of the standard deviation ellipsoid, the distribution characteristics of each facility in the residential area, industrial area, and central commercial area among the use areas were analyzed. In, the second type neighborhood facility with the highest fire risk was concentrated in the center. The results of these studies are expected to be used as useful data for identifying factors and managing fire safety in urban areas.

Hydraulic Characteristics of Flows over a Weir (보 월류 흐름의 수리적 특성)

  • Choi, Seongwook;Choi, Sung-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.95-95
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    • 2019
  • 보를 월류하는 흐름은 유량에 따라 상이한 흐름특성을 보인다. 즉, 유량이 증가함에 따라 사류 (supercritical flow), 완전도수 (complete hydraulic jump), 수중도수 (submerged hydraulic jump), 그리고 잠긴흐름 (plunge pool)으로 천이한다. 각 흐름영역에 따른 하상전단응력의 변화는 보의 물받이와 하상보호공을 설계하는데 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 계산유체동역학을 이용하여 보를 월류하는 흐름을 수치모의하여 각 흐름의 수리적 특성을 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 Flow3D를 이용하여 RANS 방정식을 수치해석 하였으며, 난류모형으로 RNG $k-{\epsilon}$ 모형을 이용하였다. 수치모의를 통하여 각각의 흐름에 대하여 평균유속, 하상전단응력, 그리고 흐름저항계수의 종방향 분포를 제시하였다.

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Predicting the Potential Habitat, Host Plants, and Geographical Distribution of Pochazia shantungensis (Hemiptera: Ricaniidae) in Korea (갈색날개매미충(Pochazia shantungensis) (Hemiptera: Ricaniidae)의 기주식물, 발생지역 및 잠재서식지 예측)

  • Kim, Dong Eon;Lee, Heejo;Kim, Mi Jeong;Lee, Do-Hun
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2015
  • In 2014, surveys were conducted in Korea to study the geographical distribution, host plants, and potential habitats of Pochazia shantungensis. The occurrence of P. shantungensis was confirmed in 43 cities and counties nationwide, and identified for the first time in Gyeongsangbuk-do. P. shantungensis has a wide range of diverse host plants comprising 113 species in 53 families, including crops, fruits, and forest trees. Since the hemipteran was first reported in Korea, 138 species from 62 families have been identified as P. shantungensis host plants. This insect feeds on the following major host plants: Malus pumila, Aralia elata, Styrax japonicus, Salix gracilistyla, Broussonetia kazinoki, Albizia julibrissin, Ailanthus altissima, Castanea crenata, Robinia pseudoacacia, and Cornus officinalis. Potential habitat was analyzed in the present study using the Maxent model with 12 variables (8 climate, 1 land cover, 1 forest type, 1 ecological zoning, and 1 distance). The model ROC AUC was 0.884, indicating a high accuracy. In the present study, precipitation of warmest quater, mean temperature of warmest quarter, forest type, and land cover were the most significant factors affecting P. shantungensis distribution, and habitat.

Experimental study on the longitudinal load transfer of a shallow tunnel depending on the deformation tunnel face (II) (얕은 터널의 굴진면 변형에 따른 종방향 하중전이 특성에 대한 실험적 연구(II))

  • Kim, Yang Woon;Lee, Sang Duk
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.499-509
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, the use of underground spaces becomes more frequent and the demands for urban tunnels are rapidly increasing. The urban tunnels constructed in the ground with a shallow and soft cover might be deformed in various forms on the face, which would lead, the tunnels to behavior 3-dimensionally, which may have a great impact on the longitudinal load transfer. The tunnel face might deform in various forms depending on the construction method, overburden and the heterogeneity of the ground. And accordingly, the type and size of the distribution of the load transferred to the ground adjacent to the tunnel face as well as the form of the loosened ground may appear in various ways depending on the deformation form of the tunnel face. Therefore, in this study was conducted model tests by idealizing the deformation behavior of the tunnel face, that were constant deformation, the maximum deformation on the top and the maximum deformation on the bottom. And the test results were analyzed focusing on the deformation of the face and the longitudinal load transfer at the ground above the tunnel. As results, it turned out that the size and the distribution type of the load, which was transferred to the tunnel as well as the earth pressure on the face were affected by the deformation type of the face. The largest load was transferred to the tunnel when the deformation was in a constant form. Less load was transferred when the maximum deformation on the bottom, and the least load was transferred when the maximum deformation on the top. In addition, it turned out that, if the cover became more shallow, a longitudinal load transfer in the tunnel would limited to the region close to the face; however, if the cover became higher than a certain value, the area of the load transfer would become wider.

A nationwide analysis of mammalian biodiversity hotspots in South Korea (전국단위의 포유류 생물다양성우수지역 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Kwon, Hyuksoo;Seo, Changwan;Kim, Myungjin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.453-465
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    • 2014
  • Hotspots are top sites in terms of species diversity as the most threatened and most diverse sites which have been used to select priority areas for reserves. The purpose of this paper is to identify biodiversity hotspots through analyzing nationwide spatial patterns of species richness and rarity of Korean mammals. Four endangered mammals and eleven common mammals were selected as target species. Environmental variables as model input data were consisted of topography, distance, and vegetation structure etc. and Maxent was used to develop species distribution models for target species. Species richness and rarity were used as index of biodiversity. The results of this study were as follows. Firstly, hotspots of species richness for endangered mammals were in high elevation and steep mountain areas. However, species richness for whole mammals were high in low elevation of mountains. Secondly, distribution pattern of species rarity for endangered mammals were similar as richness. However, hotspots of species rarity for whole mammals were a little different from species richness. Species rarity was high in both low and high elevation of mountain areas. This study will provide the useful information for a biodiversity assessment, a habitat conservation, a national ecological network plan, and the management of protected areas.

Distribution of Subgenus Lycoctonum in Korea: Analysis and Verification by GIS (한국산 진범 종집단의 서식상황: GIS를 이용한 분석과 검증)

  • Lee, Soo-Rang;Jeong, Jong-Chul;Park, Chong-Wook
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to ascertain and analyze environmental factors of subgenus Lycoctonum in Korea for conservation and management of rare high land plant species by GIS. We derived the habitat model of Lycoctonum from GPS coordination, habitat factors and digital topology maps. Suitable altitude fur the subgenus Lycoctonum is from 470m to 1320m, and northern slopes(between 15.5 and 36 degrees) are ideal for the Lycoctonum populations. In addition to altitude, slope and aspect, deciduous forest and approximation to water source were found as important factor. Using GIS and the Lycoctonum habitat model, we overlaid elevation, aspect, slope and land cover layers and analyzed buffer from the water source on two topology maps, Yang-Soo and Mock-Dong. After making prediction map for Lycoctonum habitat, we verified the existence of Lycoctonum populations on the predicted sites through field survey. Through this research, we're convinced that GIS software is powerful tool for plants conservation, such as finding unknown habitat or selecting alternative habitat.

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Water balance Change of the Han River Basin by climate change (기후 변화에 따른 한강 유역의 물수지 변화)

  • Kim, Yongchan;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.187-187
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    • 2021
  • 최근 기후 변화로 인한 한반도의 극한 홍수 및 가뭄의 발생 빈도가 급증하고 있다. 이와 같은 이상 기후의 발생으로 연간 강수량의 편차가 더 커지면서 장래 물 부족 문제가 더욱 심화될 전망이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 한강 유역의 수문 모형 구축을 통해 미래 물수지 변화를 정량적으로 예측함으로써 기후 변화가 한강 유역의 수문순환요소와 수자원에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 평가하였다. 레이더 강우 시계열 자료의 활용을 위하여 격자 단위로 분석이 가능한 분포형 수문 모형 VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity)을 사용하였고 모형 구축에는 레이더 강우와 종관기상관측소의 강우 자료에 조건부 합성 기법(Conditional Merging, CM)을 적용하여 보정된 강우 자료를 사용하였다. 제공되는 VIC의 토양, 식생 변수는 공간 해상도가 너무 낮고 유역 내에서도 공간적인 변동성이 크지 않아 침투에 관련된 매개변수를 토지 피복과 연관 지어 격자마다 적정한 매개변수를 회귀 분석하여 새로 산정하였다. 먼저 보정 기간 6년(2009-2014)에 대해 보정을 하고 이후 검증 기간 6년(2014-2019)에 대해 검증을 진행하였다. 보정, 검증 기간에 대한 NSE 값은 각각 0.968, 0.569로 양호한 결과를 보여주었다. 구축된 수문 모형에 기후 변화를 고려하기 위해 GCM 기반의 CMIP6 미래기상자료를 입력해서 미래의 물 수지와 수문순환요소의 변화를 모의하였고 모의 결과, 미래 기간에는 강수의 편차가 더욱 심화되면서 가뭄이 더 빈번하게 발생하는 경향을 보였다.

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Index of union and other accuracy measures (Index of Union와 다른 정확도 측도들)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Choi, So Yeon;Lim, Dong Hui
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.395-407
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    • 2020
  • Most classification accuracy measures for optimal threshold are divided into two types: one is expressed with cumulative distribution functions and probability density functions, the other is based on ROC curve and AUC. Unal (2017) proposed the index of union (IU) as an accuracy measure that considers two types to get them. In this study, ten kinds of accuracy measures (including IU) are divided into six categories, and the advantages of the IU are studied by comparing the measures belonging to each category. The optimal thresholds of these measures are obtained by setting various normal mixture distributions; subsequently, the first and second type of errors as well as the error sums corresponding to each threshold are calculated. The properties and characteristics of the IU statistic are explored by comparing the discriminative power of other accuracy measures based on error values.The values of the first type error and error sum of IU statistic converge to those of the best accuracy measures of the second category as the mean difference between the two distributions increases. Therefore, IU could be an accuracy measure to evaluate the discriminant power of a model.

Bayesian Analysis for Categorical Data with Missing Traits Under a Multivariate Threshold Animal Model (다형질 Threshold 개체모형에서 Missing 기록을 포함한 이산형 자료에 대한 Bayesian 분석)

  • Lee, Deuk-Hwan
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2002
  • Genetic variance and covariance components of the linear traits and the ordered categorical traits, that are usually observed as dichotomous or polychotomous outcomes, were simultaneously estimated in a multivariate threshold animal model with concepts of arbitrary underlying liability scales with Bayesian inference via Gibbs sampling algorithms. A multivariate threshold animal model in this study can be allowed in any combination of missing traits with assuming correlation among the traits considered. Gibbs sampling algorithms as a hierarchical Bayesian inference were used to get reliable point estimates to which marginal posterior means of parameters were assumed. Main point of this study is that the underlying values for the observations on the categorical traits sampled at previous round of iteration and the observations on the continuous traits can be considered to sample the underlying values for categorical data and continuous data with missing at current cycle (see appendix). This study also showed that the underlying variables for missing categorical data should be generated with taking into account for the correlated traits to satisfy the fully conditional posterior distributions of parameters although some of papers (Wang et al., 1997; VanTassell et al., 1998) presented that only the residual effects of missing traits were generated in same situation. In present study, Gibbs samplers for making the fully Bayesian inferences for unknown parameters of interests are played rolls with methodologies to enable the any combinations of the linear and categorical traits with missing observations. Moreover, two kinds of constraints to guarantee identifiability for the arbitrary underlying variables are shown with keeping the fully conditional posterior distributions of those parameters. Numerical example for a threshold animal model included the maternal and permanent environmental effects on a multiple ordered categorical trait as calving ease, a binary trait as non-return rate, and the other normally distributed trait, birth weight, is provided with simulation study.