• Title/Summary/Keyword: 종 분포 모형

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Potential Changes in the Distribution of Seven Agricultural Indicator Plant Species in Response to Climate Change at Agroecosystem in South Korea (농업생태계 기후변화 지표식물 7종의 분포 특성과 기후변화에 따른 영향 예측)

  • Hyung-Kyu, Nam;Song, Young-Ju;Kwon, Soon-Ik;Eo, Jinu;Kim, Myung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to predict the current and future potential distribution and to identify the factors affecting potential distribution of 7 plants(Lamium amplexicaule L., Trigonotis peduncularis(Trevir.) Benth. ex Hemsl, Capsella bursa-pastoris (L.) L. W. Medicus, Taraxacum officinale Weber, Veronica persica Poir., Conyza sumatrensis E. Walker, Hypochaeris radicata L.) selected as indicators for climate change in agricultural ecosystem. We collected presence/absence data of 7 indicator plants at 108 sites in South Korea and applied the Maxent model. According to future climate scenario, the distribution area of C. bursa-pastoris(L.) L. W. Medicus, T. officinale Weber, and V. persica Poir. was expected to be reduced, but the distribution range was to be maintained. The distribution areas and range of the C. sumatrensis E. Walker and H. radicata L. were expected to be increased. The distribution area and range of T. peduncularis (Trevir.) Benth. Ex Hemsl. and L. amplexicalue L. were rapidly decreased. Non-climatic factors such as land cover and altitude were the most important environmental variable for T. officinale Weber, C. bursa-pastoris(L.) L.W.Medicus, V. persica Poir., T. peduncularis (Trevir.) Benth. Ex Hemsl., and L. amplexicalue L.. Climatic factors were the most important environmental variable for C. sumatrensis E. Walker and H. radicata L.. It is expected that the future potential distribution of 7 indicator plants response to climate change will be used to monitor and to establish the management plan.

A Numerical Study on Spatial Behavior of Linear Absorbing Solute in Heterogeneous Porous Media (비균질 다공성 매질에서 선형 흡착 용질의 공간적 거동에 대한 수치적 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo Chang;Lee, Chi Hun;Song, Jai Woo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a numerical study of the spatial behavior of a linear absorbing solute in a heterogeneous porous medium. The spatially correlated log-normal hydraulic conductivity field is generated in a given two-dimensional domain by using the geostatistical method (Turning Bands algorithm). The velocity vector field is calculated by applying the two-dimensional saturated groundwater flow equation to the Galerkin finite element method. The simulation of solute transport is carried out by using the random walk particle tracking model with CD(constant displacement) scheme in which the time interval is automatically adjusted. In this study, the spatial behavior of a solute is analyzed by the longitudinal center-of-mass displacement, longitudinal spatial spread moment and longitudinal plume skewness.

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Prediction of Stage Discharge Curve and Lateral Distribution of Unit Discharge in an Arbitrary Cross Section Channel with Floodplain Vegetation (홍수터 식생을 고려한 불규칙한 단면에서의 수위-유량 곡선 및 단위유량 횡분포 예측)

  • Kim, Tae-Beom;Jang, Ji-Yeon;Shin, Jae-Kook;Choi, Sung-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2011
  • A numerical model was developed to predict the stage-discharge curve and lateral distribution of unit discharge in open channels with nonuniform cross section or compound open-channels. The governing equation is the one-dimensional momentum equation based on assumptions of the steady and uniform flow conditions in the longitudinal direction and the uniform water surface elevation in a cross section. Vegetative drag force term was included in governing equation in order to reflect the effect of floodplain vegetation on the flow characteristics. Finite element method was applied to obtain the numerical solution of the governing equation. Stage-discharge curve and lateral distribution of unit discharge for a given water surface are calculated based on input data, such as the cross sectional geometry, Manning's roughness coefficient, vegetative information and longitudinal slope of channel bed. The developed model was verified by comparing the calculated results with the observed data and the results of Darby and Thorne's(1996) model and the nonlinear k-$\epsilon$ model. The verified model was applied to estimate the upstream boundary conditions in two-dimensional flow model. The numerical results using laterally distributed unit discharge were compared with those obtained using uniformly distributed unit discharge in two-dimensional flow model.

A Comparative Study on Species Richness and Land Suitability Assessment - Focused on city in Boryeong - (종풍부도와 세분화된 관리지역 비교 연구 - 보령시를 대상으로 -)

  • Shin, Manseok;Jang, Raeik;Seo, Changwan;Lee, Myungwoo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2015
  • The purposes of this study are to apply species distribution modeling in urban management planning for habitat conservation in non-urban area and to provide a detailed classification method for management zone. To achieve these objectives, Species Distribution Model was used to generate species richness and then to compare with the results from land suitability assessment. 59 species distribution models were developed by Maxent. This study used 15 model variables (5 topographical variables, 4 vegetation variables, and 6 distance variables) for Maxent models. Then species richness was created by sum of predicted species distributions. Land suitability assessment was conducted with criteria from type I of "Guidelines for land suitability assessment". After acquiring evaluation values from species richness and land suitability assessment, the results from these two models were compared according to the five grades of classification. The areas with the identical grade in Species richness and land suitability assessment are categorized and then compared each other. The comparison results are Grade1 10.92%, Grade2 37.10%, Grade3 34.56%, Grade4 20.89% and Grade5 1.73%. Grade1 and Grade5 showed the lowest agreement rate. Namely, development or conservation grade showed high disagreement between two assessment system. Therefore, the areas located between urban, agriculture, forest, and reserve have a tendency to change easily by development plans. Even though management areas are not the core area of reserve, it is important to provide a venue for species habitat and eco-corridor to protect and improve biodiversity in terms of landscape ecology. Consequently, adoption of species richness in three levels of management area classification such as conservation, production, planning should be considered in urban management plan.

Application of Habitat Suitability Models for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Fish Distribution (어류 분포에 미치는 기후변화 영향 평가를 위한 서식적합성 모형 적용)

  • Shim, Taeyong;Bae, Eunhye;Jung, Jinho
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2016
  • Temperature increase and precipitation changes caused by change alter aquatic environments including water quantity and quality that eventually affects the habitat of aquatic organisms. Such changes in habitat lead to changes in habitat suitability of the organisms, which eventually determines species distribution. Therefore, conventional habitat suitability models were investigated to evaluate habitat suitability changes of freshwater fish cause by change. Habitat suitability models can be divided into habitat-hydraulic (PHABSIM, CCHE2D, CASiMiR, RHABSIM, RHYHABSIM, and River2D) and habitat-physiologic (CLIMEX) models. Habitat-hydraulic models use hydraulic variables (velocity, depth, substrate) to assess habitat suitability, but lack the ability to evaluate the effect of water quality, including temperature. On the contrary, CLIMEX evaluates the physiological response against climatic variables, but lacks the ability to interpret the effects of physical habitat (hydraulic variables). A new concept of ecological habitat suitability modeling (EHSM) is proposed to overcome such limitations by combining the habitat-hydraulic model (PHABSIM) and the habitat-physiologic model (CLIMEX), which is able to evaluate the effect of more environmental variables than each conventional model. This model is expected to predict fish habitat suitability according to climate change more accurately.

Analysis of Microplastic Transport in the Paldang Reservoir Using MPT-Q3D (MPT-Q3D를 이용한 팔당호 내 미세플라스틱 거동 분석)

  • Sun Mi Lee;Inhwan Park
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.475-475
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    • 2023
  • 직경 5 mm 이하의 미세플라스틱은 인류 활동에 의해 생산되어 하수처리장 처리수, 우수토구, 도로 분진 등 다양한 경로를 통해 하천에 유입되고 있다. 하천에 유입된 미세플라스틱은 하천흐름을 따라 하류로 이동하여 해양환경에까지 이른다. 미세플라스틱은 수체를 따라 이동할 뿐 아니라 수생생물에 의해 섭식되기도 하여 인체 위해성이 우려되는 상황이다. 특히 서울과 경기도의 주요 상수원인 팔당호는 북한강, 남한강, 경안천이 유입되어 형성되기 때문에 미세플라스틱의 유입에 따른 이송-분산 거동 평가가 중요한 영역이다. 본 연구에서는 준3차원 입자추적기법을 이용한 미세플라스틱 거동해석 모형, MPT-Q3D를 개발하였으며 팔당호 내 미세플라스틱의 거동 특성을 분석하였다. MPT-Q3D 모형은 2차원 흐름해석모형과 연계한 입자의 준3차원 거동해석을 위해 step-by-step computation method를 적용하였으며, 전단류에 의한 입자의 수평거동과 난류확산에 및 침강속도에 의한 연직거동 두 단계 계산과정에 따라 입자의 거동을 해석했다. 전단류는 2차원 흐름해석결과로부터 유속의 연직분포식을 적용하여 생성하였으며, 생성된 전단류에 의해 각 연직층 별 유속이 계산되고 𝚫t 이후 입자의 종, 횡 방향 이동거리를 계산한다. 또한 난류확산에 의한 무작위적 거동 계산을 위해 Gaussian 분포를 따른 난수 생성을 통해 무작위적 거동을 계산했다. 각 연직층에 위치한 미세플라스틱 입자의 종, 횡 방향 거동을 계산한 후 입자의 연직거동을 계산한다. 입자의 연직 위치는 난류확산과 침강속도에 따라 계산되며 침강속도는 미세플라스틱의 밀도 및 직경에 따라 결정된다. 현장 샘플링 결과에 따라 팔당호로 유입되는 미세플라스틱은 폴리스틸렌(PS), 폴리에틸렌(PE), 폴리에스테르(Polyester)가 있으므로, 세 종류의 미세플라스틱을 동시에 주입하여 팔당호 내 거동을 분석했다. 남한강, 북한강, 경안천의 유량 차이로 인해 팔당호로 유입되는 미세플라스틱은 대체로 남한강과 북한강의 흐름특성에 영향을 받았다. 경안천의 경우 유량이 낮아 팔당호로 유입되지 못하고 좌안을 따라 하류로 이동됐다. 남한강과 북한강에서 유입된 미세플라스틱은 주로 팔당호 내 소내섬을 거쳐 팔당댐 쪽으로 이동했다. 또한 팔당댐 인근에서는 PP, PE, Polyester 순으로 많은 양이 유입되는 결과가 나타났다.

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Estimation of Fish Species Diversity of Small and Medium Rivers of Korea with Fish Species-Habitat Relationship Models od GAP (GAP기법을 이용한 종소하천의 어류종다양성 예측기법 연구)

  • 박종화;홍성학
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this research were to develop fish-habitat relationship models which can be used to estimate fish species riclmess of small and medium rivers in Korea, and test the accuracy of the models. The models are based on the Aquatic GAP Analysis model in the New York Cooperative Fish & Wildlife Research Unit (19%), and they employ three habitat factors; river size, physical habitat, and water quality of each river segment. Model 1 and model II are based on the water quality standard for life support of EP A and the water quality class of Korea, respectively. Test sites for this study include one urban stream and three less spoiled tributaries of the Han River. The results of this research can be summarized as follows. First, the number of habitat types identified by model I and model II are nine and 14, respectively. Second, the average accuracy of the three distribution maps of rare or endangered fish species are 80.6% (model 1) and 81.2% (model II). Third, the accuracy of fish species richness are 94% (model 1) and 95% (model II), and the water quality is the most important factor affecting fish species richness. Fourth, the accuracy of fish species list are 50.5% (model 1) and 68.7% (model II), but the accuracy of less spoiled stream segments and that of polluted stream segments are 67.1% and 86.5%, respectively. Finally, it can be concluded that the overall performance of model II is better than that of model I at our test sites.

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Numerical Simulation of the Coalescence of Air Bubbles in Turbulent Shear Flow: 2. Model Application (난류전단 흐름에서의 기포응집에 관한 수치모의: 2. 모형의 적용)

  • Jun, Kyung Soo;Jain, Subhash C.
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1365-1373
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    • 1994
  • A Monte-Carlo simulation model, developed to predict size distribution of air bubbles in turbulent shear flow, is applied to a laboratory-scale problem. Sensitivity to various numerical and physical parameters of the model is analyzed. Practical applicability of the model is explored through comparisons of results with experimental measurements. Bubble size increases with air-water discharge ratio and friction factor. Bubble size decreases with increasing mean flow velocity, but the total bubble surface area in the aeration region remains fairly constant. The effect on bubble size distribution of the longitudinal length increment in the simulation model is negligible. A larger radial length increment yields more small and large bubbles and fewer in between. Bubble size distribution is significantly affected by its initial distribution and the location of air injection. Collision efficiency is introduced to explain the discrepancy between collisions with and without coalescence.

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Two-D fluid analysis at flow runoff in the dry stream, Jeju island (제주도 건천의 홍수유출시 2차원 흐름해석)

  • Yang, Won-Seok;Yang, Sung-Kee;Kim, Dong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.587-587
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    • 2012
  • 현재 대부분 하천관리의 흐름해석에서 주가 되었던 1차원 분석은 하천 단면에 따른 횡적인 수면차, 유속분포를 분석할 수 없다는 단점을 가지고 있으며, 특히 유량 및 유속이 급속도로 늘어나는 홍수시에는 그 오차가 더욱 커질 수 있다. 반면에 2차원 모형의 흐름해석은 사행하천의 흐름 특성과 만곡부에서의 종 횡방향 수면경사 및 양안의 수면차와 합류지점의 횡방향 흐름 등의 영향을 고려할 수 있으며 1차원 해석과는 달리 전 단면에 걸쳐 유속 및 수위 분포를 나타낼 수 있어 실제흐름에 가까운 수리량을 얻을 수 있다. 본 연구를 위해 적용된 해석모형인 SMS는 미국 Brigham Young 대학의 환경모형연구실과 미공병단(USACE)의 수로실험국(WES) 등에서 개발한 프로그램으로서 RMA2, RMA4, SED2D 모형 등으로 구성되어 있다. 각각의 모형은 수리 동역학적 해석, 오염물 이송확산 해석, 유사의 이송 및 퇴적 해석이 가능하며 이 중 RMA2를 이용한 2차원 흐름해석을 통하여 보다 적합한 하천관리에 이용가능하도록 하고자 한다. 연구대상 지역은 제주도 한천 하류부로서 제주도 하천 특성상 평상시 건천의 상태를 이루고 있으나 태풍 및 집중호우시 홍수유출이 발생하여 수위가 급격하게 상승하는 양상을 보인다. 대표적인 예로 태풍 '나리'시 최대 일강우량 420mm로 인한 인근 지역에 0.5 ~ 1.5m의 침수흔적을 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 2011년 최고수위를 기록한 태풍 '무이파'를 대상으로 하였으며 대상지역의 Kalesto를 이용한 수위-유속 자료를 이용하여 산출된 유량을 경계조건으로 사용하였고 격자망 형성을 위한 지형 데이터는 지형도 및 측량자료를 이용하여 구축하였다. 사용된 대표적인 매개변수는 하상의 조도계수를 나타내는 Manning의 n값과 유체의 밀도, 속도구배, 구조 등 여러 가지의 유체조건에 따라 변하는 성질인 와점성계수(eddy viscosity)로 요약할 수 있으며 Manning의 n값은 하천설계기준에 따른 하천기본계획의 조도계수를 사용하였고 와점성계수는 적합한 흐름 분포를 결정하기 위해 흐름이 안정될 때까지 변화시켜 해석을 시행하였다. 해석결과 만곡부에서는 급한 흐름을 보이고 있으며 최대하폭 구간에서는 완만한 흐름이 나타나 사행하천의 흐름특성과 횡적인 하천단면에 따른 변화, 하상고 차이로 인한 유속분포를 확인할 수 있으며 이는 보다 유용한 하천관리에 이용가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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Comparison of Some Nonparametric Statistical Inference for Logit Model (로짓모형의 비모수적 추론의 비교)

  • 정형철;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2002
  • Nonparametric statistical inference for the parameter of logit model were examined. Usually nonparametric approach is milder than parametric approach based on normal theory assumption. We compared the two nonparametric methods for legit model, the bootstrap and random permutation in the sense of coverage probability. Monte Carlo simulation is conducted for small sample cases. Empirical power of hypothesis test and coverage probability for confidence interval estimation were presented for simple and multiple legit model respectively. An example were also introduced.