• Title/Summary/Keyword: 종단궤적

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An Exploratory Methodology for Longitudinal Data Analysis Using SOM Clustering (자기조직화지도 클러스터링을 이용한 종단자료의 탐색적 분석방법론)

  • Cho, Yeong Bin
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 2022
  • A longitudinal study refers to a research method based on longitudinal data repeatedly measured on the same object. Most of the longitudinal analysis methods are suitable for prediction or inference, and are often not suitable for use in exploratory study. In this study, an exploratory method to analyze longitudinal data is presented, which is to find the longitudinal trajectory after determining the best number of clusters by clustering longitudinal data using self-organizing map technique. The proposed methodology was applied to the longitudinal data of the Employment Information Service, and a total of 2,610 samples were analyzed. As a result of applying the methodology to the actual data applied, time-series clustering results were obtained for each panel. This indicates that it is more effective to cluster longitudinal data in advance and perform multilevel longitudinal analysis.

The Relationship between Elderly Poverty and Depression Trajectories (노년기 빈곤궤적과 우울궤적의 관계 연구)

  • Kim, Myoung-il
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.617-635
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study was to investigate both poverty and depression among older adults, focusing on the relationship of these two trajectories. For expanding the understanding about elderly poverty and depression, the study measured the longitudinal patterns of various transition in these two variables. The data for the study is 1st to 9th waves (2006-2014) of Korea Welfare Panel Study (KoWePS), and 4,431 older adults were used for the final analysis. For data analysis, Semi-parametric group-based modeling and Dual trajectory model were selected. The main results of this study were followings; First, The trajectory groups were identified: non-poverty, decrease poverty, increase poverty, remain high-poverty, chronic poverty groups and 4 trajectories of depression: stable, remain low-depression, risk of depression, chronic depression groups. Second, the study was tried to anticipate the longitudinal transition of poverty and depression status, and investigate the concurrent relationship in these two variables. It turned out that the stable poverty status led the stable depression, and vice versa. Based on these result, this study for elderly welfare were discussed to reduce risk for poverty and depression.

Longitudinal Dynamic Relationships of Delinquent Peers and Delinquency Trajectories (비행또래집단과 청소년비행 간의 종단적인 역동적 관계)

  • Chung, Ick-Joong;Lee, Eun-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2010
  • This study advances the knowledge of developmental patterns in affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency during adolescence; data were obtained from waves 1-5 (2003-2007) of the Korea Youth Panel Survey. Semi-parametric group-based modeling (SGM) identified 3 affiliative trajectories of delinquent peers from age 13 to 16: rarely or never, persistently affiliative, and declining groups; and five developmental trajectories of delinquency: non-offending, late onset, low-level continuous, desisting, and chronic groups. A joint trajectory analysis predicted the membership of delinquency trajectories conditional on delinquent peer trajectories. Persistently affiliative group was more likely than others to follow chronic trajectory of delinquency; the rarely or never affiliative group was more likely to be non-offending. This study may help reconcile different theoretical models such as influence, selection, and enhancement models with respect to the role of delinquent peers in delinquency. The distinct theoretical models are equally valid, albeit each model pertains to a specific aspect of longitudinal patterns of affiliation with delinquent peers. Implications of this study for youth welfare were discussed to reduce increased risks for both affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency.

Development of Social Work Strategies for School-linked services - Based on Latent Class Growth Analysis of Delinquent Behaviors in adolescence - (학교연계 서비스를 위한 사회복지실천 전략 개발 - 청소년기 경비행행동의 차별적 발달궤적에 대한 잠재계층성장분석 -)

  • Lee, Sang-Gyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.377-406
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    • 2009
  • This study used laten class growth analysis to identify discrete developmental patterns of delinquent behaviors in adolescence. This present article also examined associations among these trajectories to determine how the development of delinquent behaviors relates to protective and risk factors, which include parental monitoring, attachment with parent, association with deviant peers, self-control, and negative stigma from others. Four-wave panel data from a Korea Youth Panel Study were used for the latent class growth model analysis. The sample consisted of 3,446 adolescents who were assessed at 4 measurement waves with approximately 1-year interval. Four trajectories of delinquent behaviors emerged: delinquency persistence, delinquency increaser, delinquency decreaser, normative group(almost no delinquent behaviors). Association with deviant peers had the most proximal strong influence on the probability of being in the delinquency increaser and delinquency persistence group compared, noed to the normative group. Parental monitoring, self-efficacy and negative stigma also differentiated the four delinquent behavior trajectories from one another after controllig for socio-demographic variables. The study suggested that there is a significant heterogeneity in the timing and change rate of delinquency progression. Adolescent delinquency prevention and intervention programs will need to consider this heterogeneity and enhance attention to protective and risk factors depending on the subpopulation.

Influential Factors of Social Relation on the Change in the Depression Level of Elderly -Longitudinal Analysis using a Latent Growth Model (노인의 사회적관계 요인이 우울 궤적에 미치는 영향 -잠재성장모형을 이용한 종단연구)

  • Kim, Jin-hun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.138-148
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    • 2019
  • Although social relation factors are confirmed to be closely associated with the depression level of the elderly through the preceding studies, there has been no specific study on subfactors of social relation that influence the trajectory of depression level. Considering such limitation, this study aims to analyze influencing subfactors of social relation on the trajectory of depression of the elderly. The 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 6th-year data of the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Ageing (KLoSA), which were provided by the Korea Employment Information Service (KEIS), were used in this study and 2,484 people aged 65 and over who responded to all the four-session surveys were used as final analysis subjects. In the result of the longitudinal study on depression level of the elderly aged 65 and over, the individual depression level was confirmed become lowered over time, showing a positive change. Also, the conditional model of Latent Growth Modeling (LGM) was applied to identify specific social network factors that influence the longitudinal change of depression level of the elderly. In the result of the analysis, it was found that initial value of depression of the elderly was influenced by whether they have a spouse or not, number of household member, meeting with close people, whether they do economic activity or not, whether they have a religion or not, etc. and the rate of change in depression of the elderly was influenced by number of household member, meeting with close people, expectation about life, etc. Through above results, this study suggests a need for specific programs and supports to continuously lower the depression level of the elderly.

A Methodology for Improving fitness of the Latent Growth Modeling using Association Rule Mining (연관규칙을 이용한 잠재성장모형의 개선방법론)

  • Cho, Yeong Bin;Jun, Jae-Hoon;Choi, Byungwoo
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2019
  • The Latent Growth Modeling(LGM) is known as the typical analysis method of longitudinal data and it could be classified into unconditional model and conditional model. It is common to assume that the growth trajectory of unconditional model of LGM is linear. In the case of quasi-linear, the methodology for improving the model fitness using Sequential Pattern of Association Rule Mining is suggested. To do this, we divide longitudinal data into quintiles and extract periodic changes of the longitudinal data in each quintiles and make sequential pattern based on this periodic changes. To evaluate the effectiveness, the LGM module in SPSS AMOS was used and the dataset of the Youth Panel from 2001 to 2006 of Korea Employment Information Service. Our methodology was able to increase the fitness of the model compared to the simple linear growth trajectory.

Examining Trajectory of Retirees' Physical Health and Its Predictors : The Impact of Retirement Characteristics (중·고령은퇴자 신체건강 변화궤적의 예측요인 : 은퇴특성이 미치는 영향을 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Mee-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.375-376
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 은퇴 후 신체적 건강이 시간이 지남에 따라 어떤 변화양상을 나타내는지, 은퇴 후 신체적 건강에 영향을 주는 것으로 알려진 은퇴 특성(은퇴시점, 은퇴자발성 여부) 변인이 은퇴 후 신체적 건강의 궤적에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 분석하고자 하는 목적으로 실시되었다. 분석 자료는 국민노후보장패널 3차시(2009년), 4차시(2011년), 5차시(2013년) 종단자료이며, 2,857명을 대상으로 잠재성장모형 분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과, 첫째, 중 고령은퇴자의 신체적 건강은 시간의 흐름의 변화를 알아보기 위해 무조건부 모형을 통해 확인한 결과, 중 고령은퇴자들은 시간이 지남에 따라 더 높은 수준의 ADL 값을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 중 고령은퇴자의 신체적 건강변화와 관련이 있는 은퇴특성은 무엇인지 조건부 모형을 통해 알아본 결과, 은퇴 특성 변수로는 조기은퇴자일 때, 은퇴가 비자발적일 때, 건강상 이유로 은퇴했을 때 더 높은 ADL 초기값을 보였다. 또한 변화궤적 영향요인을 살펴본 결과, 은퇴특성에서는 어떤 변수도 유의성을 보이지 않았고, 인구사회학적 변수 중에서는 연령이 높을수록, 소득이 높을수록 ADL의 증가속도가 더욱 가파른 것으로 나타났다.

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The mediation effect of grip strength trajectory on the association between exercise participation and life satisfaction among couples (중노년기 부부의 운동참여가 삶의 만족도에 미치는 영향에 관한 악력 궤적의 매개효과)

  • Joo, Susanna;Jun, Hey Jung
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.91-109
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the interdependence of Korean middle and old-aged couples in the association between exercise and life satisfaction through grip strength trajectory. Data were drawn from the nationally representative Korea Longitudinal Study of Aging (KLoSA) collected from 2006 to 2016. The sample included couples over 45 years of age in the first wave and participated in all six waves of the survey (Ncouple=1,997). There were three steps for analyses: correlation, parallel latent growth curve model, tests of indirect effects of the mediation paths. Covariates included in the models were husbands and wives' characteristics (age, education, work status, chronic diseases, marital satisfaction, contact frequency with friends or neighbors) and couple's household income. Results showed husbands' and wives' life satisfaction and grip strength were interdependent upon each other. Also, exercise participation of both husbands and wives was associated with both husbands' and wives' life satisfaction via the initial level of grip strength of husbands. Moreover, exercise participation of only husbands was associated with wives' life satisfaction through the initial grip strength of husbands. These results suggest the aging processes of middle and old-aged couples need to be understood in the context of gender dynamics and couple interdependence.

Influence of Protective and Risk Factors on Delinquent Behavior Trajectories (청소년 비행행동의 궤적에 영향을 미치는 보호요인과 위험요인)

  • Lee, Sang-gyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • no.39
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    • pp.315-342
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    • 2008
  • The aim of this study was to examine growth trajectories of delinquent behaviors during adolescence. In addition, the effects of protective and risk factors that might account for individual difference in the level of delinquent behaviors and in the rate of change were examined. Four waves of data in the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS) were used to analyze the linear growth modeling. The sample consisted of 3346 adolescents who were assessed at 4 measurement waves with approximately 1-year intervals. The results showed significant individual differences in both final level of delinquent behaviors and in the rate of change across 3 measurement occasions. Adolescent gender, family's socioeconomic background predicted the final level and the rate of change of delinquent behaviors. The protective effects of positive parenting and self-control were significantly associated with problem behaviors and the risk effects of the association with deviant peers and negative stigma were significant on the final level of delinquency. Self-control and deviant peer affiliation had differential influences over time significantly. Practice and policy implications as well as further research topic were discussed in the light of searching for important factors in preventing adolescent problem behaviors.

Transition in Living Arrangement and Life Satisfaction in Old Age (노년기 거주형태 변화와 삶의 만족도)

  • Baik, Ok Mi
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.301-308
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the relationship between transition in living arrangement and life satisfaction outcomes among older adults in Korea. This study utilized the secondary data of 2 waves(2005-2011) of a Korean Retirement and Income Study from the National Pension Research Institute. This study categorized living arrangement transition over time into 16 categories and used generalized the estimation equation(GEE) modeling to examine the relationship between living arrangement transition group membership and life satisfaction. The results showed that transition in living arrangement in old age was partly and significantly associated with life satisfaction in later life. In particular, the best living arrangement type in older adults in terms of life satisfaction was the coresidence with spouse compared with residence alone or residence with their children. The group of residence with their children was not related to higer satisfaction. More research is needed to explore the mechanism behind older people's trajectory in transition in living arrangement.