• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조정적 회귀분석

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Sustained Vowel Modeling using Nonlinear Autoregressive Method based on Least Squares-Support Vector Regression (최소 제곱 서포트 벡터 회귀 기반 비선형 자귀회귀 방법을 이용한 지속 모음 모델링)

  • Jang, Seung-Jin;Kim, Hyo-Min;Park, Young-Choel;Choi, Hong-Shik;Yoon, Young-Ro
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.957-963
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, Nonlinear Autoregressive (NAR) method based on Least Square-Support Vector Regression (LS-SVR) is introduced and tested for nonlinear sustained vowel modeling. In the database of total 43 sustained vowel of Benign Vocal Fold Lesions having aperiodic waveform, this nonlinear synthesizer near perfectly reproduced chaotic sustained vowels, and also conserved the naturalness of sound such as jitter, compared to Linear Predictive Coding does not keep these naturalness. However, the results of some phonation are quite different from the original sounds. These results are assumed that single-band model can not afford to control and decompose the high frequency components. Therefore multi-band model with wavelet filterbank is adopted for substituting single band model. As a results, multi-band model results in improved stability. Finally, nonlinear sustained vowel modeling using NAR based on LS-SVR can successfully reconstruct synthesized sounds nearly similar to original voiced sounds.

Analysis of Employment Effect of SMEs According to the Results of Technology Appraisal for Investment (투자용 기술평가 결과에 따른 중소기업의 고용효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jun-won
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to confirm whether the current technology appraisal model for investment, which is designed to identify high-growth SMEs in sales, which is one of the characteristics of gazelle companies, has the possibility of expanding employment effects. For SMEs classified as technology investment adequate firms(TI1-TI6) through technology appraisal for investment between 2016 and 2018 were targeted. At this time, the employment effect was analyzed by dividing the absolute employment effect and the relative employment effect. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the technology appraisal items for investment defined as innovation characteristics did not have significant explanatory power for the absolute employment effect. However, for the relative employment effect, among innovation characteristics, technicality(TC) was found to have significant explanatory power, and this is because the item appraised based on future growth potential. In particular, the relative employment effect is meaningful in terms of the actual employment effect, and the conclusion is drawn that the current technology appraisal model for investment is an appraisal model with the possibility of expansion in terms of employment effect.

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A Study on Promoting Inter-organizational Linkages for Vocational Rehabilitation of People with Psychiatric Disabilities : Focusing on Linkage Experiences and Predictors (지역기반 정신장애인 직업재활수행기관간 연계강화에 관한 연구 : 연계경험 및 예측요인 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Keum-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.54
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    • pp.35-64
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    • 2003
  • This study is to explore experience on the inter-organizational linkages for vocational rehabilitation of people with psychiatric disabilities and to find out predictors affecting the linkages. This study used triangulation a way as to combine the advantages of both the qualitative and the quantitative approach. The qualitative approach is based on grounded theory by Strauss & Cobin. The quantitative research used the samples of 122 organizations, and was analyzed by multiple regression & logistic regression. The results are as follows. First, as results of in-depth interview, interviewees perceived linkage experience as 'turning the eyes on the other organization in community', namely 'the pursue of collaboration'. This concept is classified four types: initiative, cooperative, authoritative and passive type. Second, according to Tobin(1986)'s five phase of the closeness of inter-organizational linkages, our linkages were found to be in third phase, "coordination". Finally, predictors of the attempt of having linkages & linkage strengthening were analyzed by logistic regression & multiple regression. 'The experience of professional training on people with psychiatric disabilities' and 'the resource dependency' have statistically significant relation with the attempt to have linkages. 'The length of current service', 'the experience of professional training on people with psychiatric disabilities', and 'recognition about other organizational activities' are significantly related to strengthening linkage. Based on the results of this study, alternatives for promoting inter-organization linkages for vocational rehabilitation of people with psychiatric disabilities were proposed.

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The Analysis of Profit Adjustment and Business Performance Using Deferred Corporate Taxes Information (이연법인세 정보를 이용한 이익조정 및 사업성과 분석)

  • Yun, Han-Kuk;Kim, Jin-Seop
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.602-609
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    • 2021
  • Under accrual basic accounting, financial statements may be less reliable compared to cash basis accounting. The purpose of this study is to conduct an empirical analysis to determine the possibility of profit adjustment through the increase and decrease of deferred tax accounts. For our empirical analysis, a dummy variable of '1' was used as a dependent variable when the deferred tax net assets increased from the previous year and '0' when the deferred tax net assets decreased. Meanwhile, the variables of interest were discretionary accruals and ROA variation compared to the previous year. Logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the relevance between variables. Results found larger discretionary accruals related to lower net deferred tax assets compared to the previous year. In addition, there was a correlation between ROA and net deferred tax assets only if the ROA increased and net profit was greater than '0'. Study results will enable deferred tax information to be used in investment decision-making, and supervisory institutions can establish policies to prevent profit adjustments and enhance reporting standards.

Success and Failure Factors for Workout SMEs (워크아웃 중소기업의 성공과 실패 요인)

  • Lee, Byeong-Ho;Kim, Moon-Kyum;Kim, Soon-Choul
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.23-42
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, it is analyzed that the financial factors of successful/unsuccessful companies in restructuring among Korean SMEs. For this purpose, the cases of 494 SMEs that had been subjected to workout programs due to financial distress between 2008-2014 were collected from A bank which is a SME financing bank, and had been subjected to logistic regression and t-test. And the sample cases are categorized into two groups, companies subject to external audit and the others, to provide more reliability. The result suggests; First, in all sample cases of SMEs, those are success factors for workout in connection with smaller total assets, lager sales amount, lower ratio of intangible assets, higher ratio of operating profit, lower ratio of short-term debt, higher ratio of long-term debt, and longer corporation history. Secondly, several factors have different influence on companies subject to external audit and the others. Lastly, the success factors for workout in Korean SMEs turned out to be different from those suggested in previous studies that are focused on large company. Some of the financial factors that led financially distressed firm to a successful restructuring showed the same results as large companies, but some of them were not related to them or even had the inverse influence on SMEs. This implies that SMEs have their distinctive success factors.

A new sample selection model for overdispersed count data (과대산포 가산자료의 새로운 표본선택모형)

  • Jo, Sung Eun;Zhao, Jun;Kim, Hyoung-Moon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.733-749
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    • 2018
  • Sample selection arises as a result of the partial observability of the outcome of interest in a study. Heckman introduced a sample selection model to analyze such data and proposed a full maximum likelihood estimation method under the assumption of normality. Recently sample selection models for binomial and Poisson response variables have been proposed. Based on the theory of symmetry-modulated distribution, we extend these to a model for overdispersed count data. This type of data with no sample selection is often modeled using negative binomial distribution. Hence we propose a sample selection model for overdispersed count data using the negative binomial distribution. A real data application is employed. Simulation studies reveal that our estimation method based on profile log-likelihood is stable.

An Analysis of the Asymmetry of Domestic Gasoline Price Adjustment to the Crude Oil Price Changes: Using Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (국제 유가에 대한 국내 휘발유의 가격 조정 분석: 분위수 자기회귀시차분포 모형을 사용하여)

  • Hyung-Gun Kim
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.755-775
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    • 2022
  • This study empirically analyzes that the asymmetry of domestic gasoline price adjustment to the crude oil price changes can vary depending on the level of gasoline price using quantile autoregressive distributed lag model. The data used are the weekly average Dubai price, domestic gasoline price at refiners and gas stations from the first week of May 2008 to the second week of October 2022. The study estimates three price transmission channels: changes in gas station gasoline prices in response to changes in Dubai oil prices, changes in refiners gasoline prices in response to changes in Dubai oil prices, and changes in gas station prices relative to refiners gasoline prices. As a result, the price adjustment of refiner's gasoline price with respect to Dubai oil price appears asymmetrically across all quantiles of gasoline price, whereas the adjustment of gas station prices for Dubai oil price and refiner's gasoline price tend to be more asymmetric as the quantile of gasoline price increases. Such a result is presumed to be due to changes in the inventory cost of gas stations. When the burden of inventory cost is high, gas stations have an incentive to more actively pass the increased buying price on their selling price.

An Empirical Study on the Role of M&A initiated by Banks to the Insolvent Firms which File Petitions to the Court of Law in Korea (부실기업에 대한 M&A 시의 채권 금융기관의 역할에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Young-Kyu;Son, Sang-Hyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.33-59
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 부실기업의 갱생에 있어 중요한 요인인 청구권자들 사이의 정보불균형 및 이해갈등 문제에 초점을 맞추어 부실채권 정상화를 위하여 채권자주도로 시도되는 M&A의 성공여부에 영향을 미치는 요인을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 로지트(logit)모형에 의하여 M&A의 성공여부를 회귀분석한 결과, '청산가치비율'(+)은 1%의 유의수준에서, '구경영진 부실경영책임여부 가변수'(-)와 '파산이후 순이익 정리계획안 계획대비 달성률'(+)은 5%의 유의수준에서 관련성을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 '광고연구개발비율'(+) 및 '파산이후 매출액증가율'(+)은 1%의 유의수준에서 관련성을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 채권자가 주도하는 M&A의 성공요인으로 파산전후 청구권자들 사이의 정보불균형 문제가 적은 부실기업일수록 그리고 '광고연구개발비율'이 높은 부실기업으로서 상대적으로 무형적인 자산의 가치가 높고, 전문적인 제품을 생산하는 기업은 M&A의 성공 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 부실기업에 대한 부채조정 등 재무구조의 변화에 따라 '파산이후 매출액증가율'이 높은 기업일수록 M&A의 성공가능성이 높다고 추론할 수 있을 것이다 그러나 '담보권 있는 금융기관 수 비율'(+), '금융비용부담률'(-)과 '대주주지분율'(-) 등은 비유의적인 것으로 나타나서 부실기업의 부채조달내역의 우선권 구조, 재무구조 불안정성 및 소유구조 등은 M&A의 성공여부와 관련성이 거의 없는 것으로 나타났다.

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바젤2 자산상관계수 계산공식의 현실성 검토: 중소기업 대출 포트폴리오를 대상으로

  • Gwon, Tae-Go;Jeong, Jae-Man;Jo, Tae-Geun
    • 한국산학경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.73-100
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 기업은행은 1999년${\sim}$2003년 중소기업 대출 자료로 바젤2 자산상관계수 계산공식의 현실성을 검토하였다. 실증분석 결과에 따르면, 자산상관계수는 매출규모와는 양(+)의 관계를, 신용등급과는 음(-)의 관계를 갖는 것으로 나타나 바젤2 계산공식이 상정하고 있는 자산상관계수 패턴이 국내에서도 현실성이 있었다. 이는 자산상관계수가 매출규모와 음(-)의 관계를 보이는 것으로 보고한 Kim-Park(2004)과 상반되는 결과이다. 또한, 바젤2에서는 60억원 이하의 매출규모에 대해서는 60억원으로 간주하고 있지만, 매출규모 60억원 이하에서도 자산상관계수가 매출규모와 양(+)의 관계를 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 바젤2 계산공식에 의해 산출된 자산상관계수는 자료로 추정한 자산상관계수가 비해 1.3배${\sim}$19.2배 높으며, 이러한 차이는 통계적으로 유의할 뿐 만 아니라 경제적으로도 유의하다. 회귀분석 결과에 의하면, 바젤2 자산상관계수의 상향편의는 주로 계산공식에서 절편을 과도하게 높게 설정하였기 때문에 발생한 것으로 나타났으며, 바젤2에서는 매출규모와 자산상관계수간의 관계를 선형으로 설정하였지만, 로그선형이 실제 자료를 더 잘 적합시키는 것으로 나타났다. 이상의 결과로 보건대, 바젤2의 자산상관계수 계산공식은 비교적 현실적으로 고아된어져 있지만, 국내의 실정에 맞게 조정하기 위해서 보다 광범위한 실증분석이 필요한 것으로 판단된다.

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The Strategic Aliances and Corporation valuation (전략적 제휴와 기업의 단기성과)

  • Kim, Won-Ki;Park, Joon-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.67-106
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 전략적 제휴가 단기적으로 기업가치에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 가에 관한 실증적 연구이다. 본 연구의 단기적인 성과 결과는 선행연구와 유사하게 나타났다. 즉, 윈도우 (-20, +20) 사이의 표본에 대한 실증적 연구결과, 시장모형과 시장조정모형 모두 전략적 제휴라는 이벤트 발생 시에 비정상수익률과 누적비정상수익률이 발생한다는 사실을 발견하였다. 이러한 사실은 한국의 제휴기업들도, 제휴로 인하여 기업의 효율성이 증대되어 기업가치가 상승한다는 시너지 가설이 적용된다는 사실을 발견하였다. 단기성과에 영향을 미치는 특성요인과의 관계를 조사하기 위해서 회귀분석을 해 본 결과, 총자본수익률(ROI)과 LQHC(토빈의 Q비율이 낮고 사내잉여금수준이 높은 기업은 1의 값, 그 외는 0을 가지는 가변수)가 통계적으로 유의한 변수로 나타났다. 두 변수 모두 단기성과와 부(-)의 관계를 보였다. 총자본수익률이 부(-)의 관계를 보인 것은 Das, Sen, 그리고 Sengupta(1998)의 연구결과와 유사하게 나타났다. 즉, 수익성과 단기적인 기업가치와의 관계가 부(-)의 관계를 보이는 것은 수익성이 낮은 기업일수록 제휴에 대한 일반 투자자의 기대가 크다고 해석할 수 있다. LQHC변수가 단기성과와 부(-)의 상관관계를 보이는 것은 투자기회가 낮고 사내잉여금수준이 높은 기업은 단기성과와 부(-)의 관계를 의미한다. 결론적으로 기업이 전략적 제휴를 맺음으로 해서 기업가치에는 단기적으로 정(+)의 영향을 미친다고 할 수 있다. 이러한 결과는 새로운 경영흐름의 하나인 제휴를 통하여 기업의 경영효율을 높일 수 있음을 시사하고 있다.

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