• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.379-391
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 관심거리가 되고 있는 마코프인쇄 몬테칼로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo, MCMC)방법에 근거한 공간 확률난수 (spatial random variate)생성법과 깁스표본추출법(Gibbs sampling)에 의한 베이지안 분석 방법에 대한 기술적 사항들에 관하여 검토하였다. 먼저 기본적인 확률난수 생성법과 관련된 사항을 살펴보고, 다음으로 조건부명시법(conditional specification)을 이용한 공간 확률난수 생성법을 예를 들어 살펴보기로한다. 다음으로는 이렇게 생성된 공간자료를 분석하기 위하여 깁스표본추출법을 이용한 베이지안 사후분포를 구하는 방법을 살펴보았다.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.79-97
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• 2015

This paper attempts to quantify the economic value of the recreational benefits from the Jangheung dam. To this end, the contingent valuation (CV) survey was administrated to a sample of randomly selected 1,000 households from the national population. We used single-bounded model as a method of eliciting the willingness to pay (WTP) and applied a spike model to deal with zero WTP responses (72.5%) from the CV survey. The respondents were asked to state whether to pay a given amount through additional higher income tax once a year for next ten years. The results show that the annual recreational benefits of the Jangheung dam are estimated to be 1,348 won per household, which is statistically significant at the 1% level. Expanding the value to the national population gives us 24.9 billion won per year.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.164-171
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• 2015

Although coal-fired power generation has played a role as base load unit, it has incurred various social costs in the process of generating and providing electricity. It is necessary to extend the proportion of low-carbon power generations, and reduce the ratio of coal-fired power generation to cope with global climate changes. This study, therefore, attempts to estimate the public's willingness-to-pay (WTP) for substitution of supplied electricity from hydro-electricity generation, a representative renewable energy, for coal-fired power generation. To this end, we apply the contingent valuation (CV) method, widely used technique when valuing non-market goods, to elicit the public's WTP. In addition, a spike model is employed to consider zero WTPs. After the empirical analysis with 1,000 households CV survey data, the results show that mean household's WTP for replacing supplied electricity from hydro-electricity generation with coal-fired power generation is estimated to be about 54 KRW per kWh. The results of this study are expected to contribute to determining energy-mix and provide benefit information of hydro-electricity generation.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.409-434
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• 2014

This paper estimates household demand for electricity using a micro-level household expenditure data set. A two-stage estimation method where the endogenous block price estimates are obtained from a discrete block choice model is used. This method successfully identifies a downward sloping conditional demand function with the data, while both the usual two-stage method with instrumental variable estimation and the Hewitt-Hanemann discrete-continuous model fail to do that. The paper simulates the impacts of two hypothetical pricing reforms that reduce the number of blocks and make the price gap smaller. It is shown that the reform may increase the overall consumer benefit, but is regressive.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.75-100
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• 2005

This study attempts to empirically investigate the respondents' preference uncertainty involved in stating their willingness to pay (WTP). In the contingent valuation (CV) survey, we employed two approaches using two split samples. The respondents of one sample were given the opportunity to express intensity of preference through polychotomous choice (PC) WTP question. Those of the other sample were given a follow-up question of confidence measure (0~100%). By incorporating the two elicited degrees of preference uncertainty into examining the WTP responses, we take a comparison of the two approaches in terms of the goodness-of-fit of the examination and the efficiency of the mean WTP estimates. In comparing the DC model with the PC models, the DC model provides more efficient estimates. Moreover, the conventional DC model give some gains in terms of the goodness-of-fit and efficiency in comparing with the PC model most similar to this model. In this specific study, incorporating the preference uncertainty in DC model results greater estimates than conventional DC model without loss of goodness-of-fit and efficiency. This implies that the consideration of preference uncertainty on DC model could correct underestimating. We conclude that DC model provides a better estimate of WTP and preference uncertainty could be a critical information on the DC-CV estimation.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.130-142
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• 2014

The Korean government is considering implementation of the marine ecosystem restoration technology program (MERTP) to analyze the current status of the marine ecosystems and causes for the ecosystem deterioration as well as to eventually establish a master strategic plan for restoring ecosystem functions and preventing ecosystem functional loss. In order to determine likelihood of successful implementation, it is essential to perform an analysis of the economic feasibility of the program. The present study assessed economic feasibility of the MERTP. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation (CV) method is used. In particular, dichotomous choice (DC) format is employed as a method of eliciting willingness-to-pay (WTP) response to incentive-compatible mechanisms. The study also employed the spike model to deal with zero WTP responses from the DC CV survey. This survey of 1,000 randomly selected households in accordance with the guidelines provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (USA) was carried out nationwide in 2013. And, the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about their WTP for implementing the MERTP. The results showed that the annual mean WTP was estimated to be 5,414 won per household. Consequently, the annual benefit from the MERTP would be about 98.6 billion won for the next five years. Economic feasibility assessment utilizing the MERTP investment cost and expansion cost of the value provided that net present value, benefit/cost ratio, and internal rate of return are 337.8 billion won, 5.20, and 65.9 %, respectively, which are bigger than 0, 1.0, and 5.5 %, and that the MERTP passes the cost-benefit analysis.