• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정규모형

Search Result 591, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

An Alternative Parametric Estimation of Sample Selection Model: An Application to Car Ownership and Car Expense (비정규분포를 이용한 표본선택 모형 추정: 자동차 보유와 유지비용에 관한 실증분석)

  • Choi, Phil-Sun;Min, In-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.345-358
    • /
    • 2012
  • In a parametric sample selection model, the distribution assumption is critical to obtain consistent estimates. Conventionally, the normality assumption has been adopted for both error terms in selection and main equations of the model. The normality assumption, however, may excessively restrict the true underlying distribution of the model. This study introduces the $S_U$-normal distribution into the error distribution of a sample selection model. The $S_U$-normal distribution can accommodate a wide range of skewness and kurtosis compared to the normal distribution. It also includes the normal distribution as a limiting distribution. Moreover, the $S_U$-normal distribution can be easily extended to multivariate dimensions. We provide the log-likelihood function and expected value formula based on a bivariate $S_U$-normal distribution in a sample selection model. The results of simulations indicate the $S_U$-normal model outperforms the normal model for the consistency of estimators. As an empirical application, we provide the sample selection model for car ownership and a car expense relationship.

Finite Element Mesh Dependency in Nonlinear Earthquake Analysis of Concrete Dams (콘크리트 댐의 비선형 지진해석에서의 유한요소망 영향)

  • 이지호
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
    • /
    • v.13 no.6
    • /
    • pp.637-644
    • /
    • 2001
  • A regularization method based on the Duvaut-Lions viscoplastic scheme for plastic-damage and continuum damage models, which provides mesh-independent and well-posed solutions in nonlinear earthquake analysis of concrete dams, is presented. A plastic-damage model regularized using the proposed rate-dependent viscosity method and its original rate-independent version are used for the earthquake damage analysis of a concrete dam to analyze the effect of the regualarization and mesh. The computational analysis shows that the regularized plastic-damage model gives well-posed solutions regardless mesh size and arrangement, while the rate-independent counterpart produces mesh-dependent ill-posed results.

Review of Spatial Linear Mixed Models for Non-Gaussian Outcomes (공간적 상관관계가 존재하는 이산형 자료를 위한 일반화된 공간선형 모형 개관)

  • Park, Jincheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.353-360
    • /
    • 2015
  • Various statistical models have been proposed over the last decade for spatially correlated Gaussian outcomes. The spatial linear mixed model (SLMM), which incorporates a spatial effect as a random component to the linear model, is the one of the most widely used approaches in various application contexts. Employing link functions, SLMM can be naturally extended to spatial generalized linear mixed model for non-Gaussian outcomes (SGLMM). We review popular SGLMMs on non-Gaussian spatial outcomes and demonstrate their applications with available public data.

A numerical study on option pricing based on GARCH models with normal mixture errors (정규혼합모형의 오차를 갖는 GARCH 모형을 이용한 옵션가격결정에 대한 실증연구)

  • Jeong, Seung Hwan;Lee, Tae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.251-260
    • /
    • 2017
  • The option pricing of Black와 Scholes (1973) and Merton (1973) has been widely reported to fail to reflect the time varying volatility of financial time series in many real applications. For example, Duan (1995) proposed GARCH option pricing method through Monte Carlo simulation. However, financial time series is known to follow a fat-tailed and leptokurtic probability distribution, which is not explained by Duan (1995). In this paper, in order to overcome such defects, we proposed the option pricing method based on GARCH models with normal mixture errors. According to the analysis of KOSPI200 option price data, the option pricing based on GARCH models with normal mixture errors outperformed the option pricing based on GARCH models with normal errors in the unstable period with high volatility.

A Study on Poisson-lognormal Model (포아송-로그정규분포 모형에 관한 연구)

  • 김용철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.189-196
    • /
    • 2000
  • Conjugate prior density families were motivated by considerations of tractability in implementing the Bayesian paradigm. But we consider problem that the conjugate prior p($\Theta$) cannot be used in restriction of the parameter $\Theta$. This article considers the nonconjugate prior problem of hierarchical Poisson model. We demonstrate the use of latent variables for sampling non-standard densities which arise in the context of the Bayesian analysis of non-conjugate by using a Gibbs sampler.

  • PDF

Generalized Linear Model with Time Series Data (비정규 시계열 자료의 회귀모형 연구)

  • 최윤하;이성임;이상열
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.365-376
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper we reviewed a variety of non-Gaussian time series models, and studied the model selection criteria such as AIC and BIC to select proper models. We also considered the likelihood ratio test and applied it to analysis of Polio data set.

A Self-Organizing Network for Normal Mixtures (자기조직화 신경망을 이용한 정규혼합분포의 추정)

  • Ahn, Sung-Mahn;Kim, Myeong-Kyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.837-849
    • /
    • 2011
  • A self-organizing network is designed to estimate parameters of normal mixtures. SOMN achieves fast convergence and low possibility of divergence even when sample sizes are small, while PMLE eliminate unnecessary components. The proposed network effectively combines the good properties of SOMN and PMLE. Simulation verifies that the proposed network eliminates unnecessary components in normal mixtures when sample sizes are relatively small.

Testing Log Normality for Randomly Censored Data (임의중도절단자료에 대한 로그정규성 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.883-891
    • /
    • 2011
  • For survival data we sometimes want to test a log normality hypothesis that can be changed into normality by transforming the survival data. Hence the Shapiro-Wilk type statistic for normality is generalized to randomly censored data based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version under the simpl hypothesis. These two test statistics are compared through a simulation study. As for the distribution of censoring variables, we consider Koziol and Green (1976)'s model and other similar models. Through the simulation results, we can see that the power of the proposed statistic is higher than that of Koziol-Green statistic and that the proportion of the censored observations (rather than the distribution of censoring variables) has a strong influence on the power of the proposed statistic.

Bayesian Inference for Autoregressive Models with Skewed Exponential Power Errors (비대칭 지수멱 오차를 가지는 자기회귀모형에서의 베이지안 추론)

  • Ryu, Hyunnam;Kim, Dal Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1039-1047
    • /
    • 2014
  • An autoregressive model with normal errors is a natural model that attempts to fit time series data. More flexible models that include normal distribution as a special case are necessary because they can cover normality to non-normality models. The skewed exponential power distribution is a possible candidate for autoregressive models errors that may have tails lighter(platykurtic) or heavier(leptokurtic) than normal and skewness; in addition, the use of skewed exponential power distribution can reduce the influence of outliers and consequently increases the robustness of the analysis. We use SIR algorithm and grid method for an efficient Bayesian estimation.

An approximate fitting for mixture of multivariate skew normal distribution via EM algorithm (EM 알고리즘에 의한 다변량 치우친 정규분포 혼합모형의 근사적 적합)

  • Kim, Seung-Gu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.513-523
    • /
    • 2016
  • Fitting a mixture of multivariate skew normal distribution (MSNMix) with multiple skewness parameter vectors via EM algorithm often requires a highly expensive computational cost to calculate the moments and probabilities of multivariate truncated normal distribution in E-step. Subsequently, it is common to fit an asymmetric data set with MSNMix with a simple skewness parameter vector since it allows us to compute them in E-step in an univariate manner that guarantees a cheap computational cost. However, the adaptation of a simple skewness parameter is unrealistic in many situations. This paper proposes an approximate estimation for the MSNMix with multiple skewness parameter vectors that also allows us to treat them in an univariate manner. We additionally provide some experiments to show its effectiveness.