• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전세

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A study on the time-varying causal relationship between the housing sales market and the jeonse market in Seoul (서울 주택 매매시장과 전세시장의 시간가변적인 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Chul hong;Park, Jinbaek
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the causal relationship between housing sales prices and jeonse prices in Seoul, specifically in the Gangnam and Gangbuk neighborhoods. The time-invariant Granger causality test showed bidirectional causality between the sales price and the jeonse price in Seoul and Gangbuk, but no bidirectional causality was found in Gangnam. However, the time-varying Granger causality test showed a Granger causal relationship between the housing jeonse price and the sales price for the entire period after 1993 in all three areas. Notably, the causal effect of jeonse prices on sales prices has been continuous in Gangnam since 2010. These analysis results suggest that an increase in liquidity supply to the jeonse market could increase volatility throughout the housing market, given the strong influence between the sales and jeonse markets in both directions.

System Dynamics Modeling of Korean Lease Contract Chonsei (시스템 다이내믹스 방법론을 활용한 국내전세 구조분석)

  • Park, MoonSeo;Moon, Myung-Gi;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Hwang, Sungjoo;Lee, Jeoung-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2012
  • Since the sub-prime mortgage crisis from the US in 2008, Korean housing market has plummeted. However, Korean local lease contract, Chonsei, price has been increasing. This increase of Chonsei price can be a threat to the low-income people because most of them prefer to live at the house with a Chonsei contract. In order to solve this problem, the Korean Government implemented several Chonsei policies to secure low-incomers' residence by decreasing the price of Chonsei; however, due to the lack of understanding on housing and Chonsei market, Korean government policy seemed to fail on getting effective results. In the housing and Chonsei market, there are many stakeholders with their own interest, hence, simple thoughts about housing and Chonsei market, such as more house supply will decrease house price, would not work in a real complex housing market. In this research, we suggests system dynamics conceptual model which consists of causal-loop-diagrams for the Chonsei market as well as the housing market. In addition, we tries to explain why the policy did not work effectively using the examples from the government's past measures. In results, Chonsei price has its own homeostasis characteristic and different price movement with housing price in the short and long term period. Unless government does not have a structural causation mind in implementing policies in the real estate market, the government may not attain intended effectiveness on both markets.

무너진 인터넷 강국, 대책은 뭘까?

  • Sin, Jin-Sang
    • The Science & Technology
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    • no.2 s.405
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2003
  • '인터넷 대란'의 주범은 MS SQL 서버의 약점을 파고드는 슬래머 웜 바이러스로 드러났다. 영국 BBC 방송은 '슬래머가 전세계에 확산되는 데 걸린 시간이 출몰 이후 10분에 불과했으며, 한국을 비롯한 전세계 인터넷망을 삽시간에 마비시켰다"고 전했다. 출몰과 동시에 8.5초마다 두 배로 확산되면서 불과 10분만에 보안 취약성을 가진 전세계 컴퓨터의 90%이상을 감염시켰다는 것이다.

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전세계의 타이어 산업 전망

  • Korea Tire Manufacturers Association
    • The tire
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    • s.85
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    • pp.13-16
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    • 1979
  • 본자료는 1979년 2월 EXXON CHEMICAL 에서 전세계타이어 산업에 대한 장기전망(1975~1985)을 추정한 것이다. 특히 본조사는 전세계를 7개지역(아세아 태평양, 미국, 중남미, 서구, 동구, 아프리카, 중동)으로 나누어, 각지역별 승용차 및 운송차량(승용차제외)의 보유대수와 Radial타이어의 비율을 추정하여 종합정리한 것이다. <편집자 주>

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라그나로크 월드 챔피언십 지상중계- 전세계 라그나로크 게이머 한데 모여

  • Sin, Seung-Cheol
    • Digital Contents
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    • no.8 s.135
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    • pp.76-78
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    • 2004
  • 전세계 라그나로크 온라인 게이머들이 한국에 모여 실력을 겨루는 축제의 자리가 마련됐다. 전세계 18개국, 2,500만명의 유저들에게 사랑받고 있는 MMORPG 라그나로크 온라인을 개발, 서비스하고 있는 그라비티는 지난달 17일과 18일 양일에 걸쳐 서울 코엑스 태평양관 전관에서‘제1회 라그나로크 월드 챔피언십’대회를 개최했다.

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The Conversion of Chonsei into Monetary Costs and its Relationship with the Consumer Price Index (전세가격의 비용화와 소비자물가지수: 소비자물가지수 자가주거비 반영을 중심으로)

  • JIYOON OH
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.57-77
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    • 2023
  • The Chonsei component holds the highest level of weight (5.4%) in the composition of the Korean consumer price index (CPI). The variations in Chonsei prices are directly reflected in the CPI as a representation of cost swings. The Chonsei refers to a deposit that accumulates the costs related to housing services and is mostly affected by variations in rental rates. Nevertheless, it is important to note that Chonsei prices are also susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates, regardless of the rent prices. Therefore, if Chonsei were directly and one-to-one indexed to the CPI, they could include changes other than residential service prices. After analyzing the time series data of the Chonsei index and rent index inside the CPI, it becomes apparent that the Chonsei index displays an average annual growth rate of 2.3%, whilst the rent index reveals a growth rate of 0.9%. The observed disparity in growth rates indicates a divergence in trends between the two indices. It is posited that the Chonsei index, when capitalized, has had a more rapid increase compared to the rental index, owing to the gradual drop in interest rates. To effectively reflect fluctuations in the housing service costs, proxies for the Chonsei index were utilized in the construction of a consumer price index. The findings of our study suggest that, overall, the newly developed CPI demonstrates a comparatively lower rate of inflation when compared to the official CPI. Furthermore, the inclusion of imputed rents for owner-occupied housing in CPI amplifies this effect.

A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR) (VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화)

  • Kim, Hyun-woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.6315-6324
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    • 2015
  • This study analyses the effects of household finances on rental price of apartment in Seoul which play a major role in real estate policy. We estimate VAR models using time series data. Economy variables such as sales price of apartment in Seoul, consumer price index, hiring rate, real GNI and loan amount of housing mortgage, which relate to household finances and influence the rental price of apartment, are used for estimation. The main findings are as follows. In the short term, the rental price of apartment is impacted by economy variables. Specifically, Relative contributions of variation in rental price of apartment through structural shock of economy variables are most influenced by their own. However, in the long term, household variables are more influential to the rental price of apartment. These results are expected to contribute to establish housing price stabilization policies through understanding the relationship between economy variables and rental price of apartment.

Analysis of the Relationship between House Price, Income Inequality and Macroeconomic Variables (주택가격, 소득불평등 및 거시경제변수간의 관계분석)

  • Kwon, Sun-Hee;Hyun, Seong-Min
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the relationship between housing price, purchase price, Gini coefficient, interest rate, and the employment, considering that the change in housing price was an important factor influencing macroeconomic variables and income inequality. The panel VAR model was constructed considering the panel data, and the Granger causality, Impulse response and Variance dispersion analysis were performed. As a result, when compared to before and after the global financial crisis, it was shown that the rent price had an effect on income inequality, but in the following period, both the rent price and the selling price affected the income inequality. And that it has a large impact on inequality. In addition, the causality between income inequality and employment rate, interest rate, and tax rate was confirmed. Therefore, it is expected that it will be a desirable policy to mitigate income inequality considering the influence of policy variables for economic activation including government real estate policy.

REALTY REPORT-장기 전세 주택 시프트(Shift) 인기몰이

  • 김혜영
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.221
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    • pp.68-69
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    • 2008
  • 서울시가 공급하는 장기 전세 주택 시프트의 인기가 뜨겁다. 올 하반기에는 강남.서초.마포구 등에서 2000여 가구가 넘는 물량이 공급될 예정이다. 실수요자들의 관심이 높아지고 있다.

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