• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전력수요함수

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Clustering and classification to characterize daily electricity demand (시간단위 전력사용량 시계열 패턴의 군집 및 분류분석)

  • Park, Dain;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.395-406
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the pattern of daily electricity demand through clustering and classification. The hourly data was collected by KPS (Korea Power Exchange) between 2008 and 2012. The time trend was eliminated for conducting the pattern of daily electricity demand because electricity demand data is times series data. We have considered k-means clustering, Gaussian mixture model clustering, and functional clustering in order to find the optimal clustering method. The classification analysis was conducted to understand the relationship between external factors, day of the week, holiday, and weather. Data was divided into training data and test data. Training data consisted of external factors and clustered number between 2008 and 2011. Test data was daily data of external factors in 2012. Decision tree, random forest, Support vector machine, and Naive Bayes were used. As a result, Gaussian model based clustering and random forest showed the best prediction performance when the number of cluster was 8.

Long-term Projection of Nuclear Power Capacity -Trend Analysis Using Logistic Function- (장기 원자력 발전 설비용량 전망 -로지스틱함수를 이용한 추세분석-)

  • 임채영;최영명
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 1998
  • 최근 화석연료의 과다한 사용으로 인한 온실효과 등 지구환경문제가 대두되면서 원자력은 온실가스를 배출하지 않는 에너지원으로서 다시 조망을 받고 있다. 특히 부존 에너지자원이 부족하고 전력의 수요가 급증하고 있는 우리의 사정을 고려한다면 원자력은 향후 수십년간 주요 발전원으로 상당한 역할을 수행할 것으로 기대된다. (중략)

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Study on Modeling Usage Pattern of Appliances in HEMS using Copula Function (Copula를 이용한 HEMS의 부하사용패턴 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Je-Seok;Kim, Yong-Sung;Park, Hee-Jeong;Park, Young-Bae;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.499-500
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    • 2015
  • 최근, 전력소비자 측면에서의 에너지 관리 역할이 중요해짐에 따라 다양한 에너지 관리시스템들이 개발되고 있다. 이 중, 가정용 에너지 관리시스템(Home Energy Management System, HEMS)은 전기가격 및 (신뢰도)수요반응 요청 등에 따라 가전기기의 사용을 조절함으로써, 전력사용 최적화(전력사용 비용 최소화)를 수행하게 된다. 이러한 최적화 문제 내에서 각 가전기기에 대한 사용패턴(편의성)과 관련된 제약조건이 고려되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는, 다변량 간 상관관계(의존성)을 추정하고, 이를 근거로 데이터를 샘플링 하는 데에 유용한 Copula 함수를 이용하여, 각 가전기기의 사용패턴을 모델링하고, 이를 최적화 문제 내 제약조건으로 고려할 수 있는 방법에 대한 연구를 수행하였다.

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A Study on Dynamic Optimization of Time-Of-Use Electricity Rates (계절.시간대별 차등 전기요금의 동태적 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • 김동현;최기련
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 1996
  • This paper formulates dynamic optimization model for Time-Of-Use Rates when a electric power system consists of three generators and a rating period is divided into three sub-periods. We use Pontryagin's Maximum Principle to derive optimal price and investment policy. Particularly the cross-price elasticities of demand are considered in the objective function. We get the following results. First, the price is equal to short-run marginal cost when the capacity is sufficient. However, if the capacity constraint is active, the capacity cost is included in the price. Therefore it is equal to the long-run marginal cost. Second, The length of rating period affects allocation of capacity cost for each price. Third, the capacity investment in dynamic optimization is proportional to the demand growth rate of electricity. However the scale of investment is affected by not only its own demand growth rate but also that of other rating period.

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A Study on Performance Analysis of New Renewable Energy Power Generation for Energy-Climate Change Policy Linkage: A Restricted Cost Approach (에너지-기후변화정책 연계를 위한 신재생발전의 성과분석: 제약비용함수접근법)

  • Lee, Myunghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.339-362
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we simulate the contribution of an increasing renewable energy to demands for fossil fuels and power supply price by estimating a cost function for the Korean electric power generation sector. Since the renewable energy is a composite input, it is not feasible to compute the price index for renewable energy due to data limit. We estimate a restricted cost function, which is derived by minimizing the costs of fossil fuels conditional on the quantity of renewable energy set to its optimal level, jointly with supply relation. In particular, derivation of the shadow price of renewable energy would make it possible to analyze potential costs incurred by power plants.

Measurement of partial discharge point in power transformer using crosscorrelation (상호상관을 이용한 변압기내의 부분방전 위치측정)

  • 문영재;구춘근;정찬수;곽희로
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.34-41
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    • 1993
  • This paper describes an effort to develop a microcomputer-based parameter identification system for three phase and two phase brushless DC motor. Back EMF equation is derived from back EMF waveform of three phase and two phase brushless DC motor. In this paper, a new identification algorithm for the brushless DC motor parameters by Pasek's technique is de veloped. It is found that Pasek's equation is valid for the brushless DC motor, too. The results obtained clearly shows that it is possible to implement the identification system for the determination of the brushless DC motor parameters. To minimize errors due to the ripple component in the measured armature current, dlgital averaging filter is employed. The whole identification process of signal generation, measuring, parameter determination is fully automated. The use of the pmpased method in the parameter identification system shows that the averaged current curve is in excellent agreement with the estimated current curve. Therefore, this close agreement conf i i the validity of this technique.

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Long-Term Operation Modeling for the Hydropower Reservoir in the Han River Basin Using Linear Programming (선형계획법을 이용한 한강 수계 수력발전 댐 장기모형 구축)

  • Lee, Eunkyung;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.156-156
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    • 2015
  • 최근 화석연료의 사용으로 인한 지구온난화 등 환경파괴가 점점 증가하는 추세이며 이로 인해 신재생에너지 중 하나인 수력발전이 주목받고 있다. 수력발전은 물의 위치에너지를 기계에너지로 이를 다시 전기에너지로 변환하는 친환경적인 방식으로 운영된다. 수력발전량은 우리나라 전체 발전량의 1.5% 정도로 적은 양의 발전량을 생산하지만 가동시간이 짧아 전력수요가 급변하는 상황에 대비 가능하기 때문에 수력발전은 필수적이다. 기후변화의 영향으로 연평균강수량은 증가하는 양상을 보이나 연 강수일수는 줄어드는 등 수자원의 불확실성이 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 미래 불확실한 수자원 공급에 대비할 수 있는 수자원의 효율적 활용에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 하천의 유량이 계절에 따라 변동 폭이 크다는 점을 고려하며 월별 발전량을 최대화하기 위해 선형계획법을 적용하는 모형을 구축하였다. 선형계획법은 목적함수와 제약조건식 모두 1차식으로 비선형항을 포함할 수 없으나 초기 해가 불필요하고 최적해가 보장된다는 장점을 가진다. 일부 목적함수나 제약조건식에 비선형항이 포함되어 있을 경우 Successive Linear Programming(SLP), Piecewise Linear Programming(PLP), Taylor Expansion 등의 방법을 이용하여 선형화할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 비선형 제약조건은 Taylor Expansion을 이용하여 선형화하였으며 한강수계 9개 댐의 월간 발전량을 최대화시키는 장기 운영 모형을 구축하였다. 개발 환경은 Linux-CentOS이며 사용프로그램은 통계 분석에 많이 활용되는 R programming이다. R programming은 패키지를 이용한 개발이 용이하고 Windows 뿐만 아니라 Linux, Mac, Unix 등의 운영체제에서도 호환 가능하다는 장점이 있다.

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A Study of Supplier's Bidding Strategies by Piecewise Demand Function (전력 수요함수에 따른 공급자의 입찰전략 연구)

  • Cho, Cheol-Hee;Choi, Seok-Keun;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.615-617
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    • 2003
  • In electricity market with a imperfect competition, participants make plans of biddings and transaction strategies to maximize their own profits. The market price and the quantity are determined by bidding systems and market demands. Practically the characteristics of power demand have rather two forms; elastic region and inelastic region, than constant slope elasticity. Furthermore the price cap in the market can be modelled as a region of perfect elasticity in the demand function. This paper analyses supplier's bidding strategies which are reflected the characteristics of practical demand. Equilibrium strategies are solved by using the Bertrand model and payoff matrices.

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Optimal Design and Economic Evaluation of Energy Supply System from On/Off Shore Wind Farms (육/해상 풍력기반 에너지생산 공정 최적 설계 및 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Minsoo;Kim, Jiyong
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a new framework for design and economic evaluation of wind energy-based electricity supply system. We propose a network optimization (mixed-integer linear programming) model to design the underlying energy supply system. In this model we include practical constraints such as land limitations of onshore wind farms and different costs of offshore wind farms to minimize the total annual cost. Based upon the model, we also analyze the sensitivity of the total annual cost on the change of key parameters such as available land for offshore wind farms, required area of a wind turbine and the unit price of wind turbines. We illustrate the applicability of the suggested model by applying to the problem of design of a wind turbines-based electricity supply problem in Jeju. As a result of this study, we identified the major cost-drivers and the regional cost distribution of the proposed system. We also comparatively analyzed the economic performance of on/off shore wind farms in wind energy-based electricity supply system of Jeju.

Development of numerical model for estimating thermal environment of underground power conduit considering characteristics of backfill materials (되메움재 특성을 고려한 전력구 열환경 변화 예측 수치해석모델 개발)

  • Kim, Gyeonghun;Park, Sangwoo;Kim, Min-Ju;Lee, Dae-Soo;Choi, Hangseok
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.121-141
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    • 2017
  • The thermal analysis of an underground power conduit for electrical cables is essential to determine their current capacity with an increasing number of demands for high-voltage underground cables. The temperature rises around a buried cable, caused by excessive heat dissipation, may increase considerably the thermal resistance of the cables, leading to the danger of "thermal runaway" or damaging to insulators. It is a key design factor to develop the mechanism on thermal behavior of backfilling materials for underground power conduits. With a full-scale field test, a numerical model was developed to estimate the temperature change as well as the thermal resistance existing between an underground power conduit and backfill materials. In comparison with the field test, the numerical model for analyzing thermal behavior depending on density, moisture content and soil constituents is verified by the one-year-long field measurement.