• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전기업종

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The Effect of Baltic Dry Index on the Korean Stock Price Volatility (발틱운임지수가 한국 주가 변동성에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Ki-Hong;Kim, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to use the EGARCH model and Granger causality test to analyze how the change in the BDI affects the Korean stock price volatility. The main analysis results are summarized as follows. First, according to the results of the mean equation, the change in the BDI is significant in large-cap stocks, as well as in the manufacturing, service, and chemistry indexes, but not in others. This implies that the Korean stock market does not respond appropriately to the maritime market situation; further, the increase in demand for raw materials has not led to a real economic recovery. Second, in the result of the variance equation, the coefficient on the change in the BDI is negative(-), and the change in the BDI is significant for all size indexes. Particularly, the change in the BDI has a greater impact on the volatility of small-cap stocks than that of large-cap stocks. The results of the analysis of the sector indexes were statistically significant for the service, financial, construction, and electric and electronics industries, but not for the manufacturing and chemical industries. In particular, the changes in the BDI have the greatest impact on the construction industry. Third, according to the Granger causality test results, the change in the BDI leads the financial industry and construction industry. There is, however, no relationship between the BDI and the other indexes. This shows that change in the shipping freight index can be used to predict the volatility in the Korean stock market. This can help investors and policymakers make better decisions.

Analysis of the Low-Carbon Economy of China on the Emissions of Carbon (탄소 배출량에 대한 중국 저탄소 경제의 분석)

  • Chen, Si Jia;Ahn, Jong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.528-534
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzes the factors affecting China's carbon emissions from 1985 to 2016. In recent years, the whole industries of China are in the midst of industrialization and have several problems. Now, the low-carbon economy has become the main task of China's economic development. This study analyzes the factors affecting China 's carbon emissions by selecting relevant data onto the Chinese yearbook and using a time series model. The analysis shows that related industries continue to innovate and increase the use of green energy such as electricity, but coal is still the largest share of the energy consumed. As energy use efficiency increases and industrial R&D investment increases year by year, carbon emissions are increasing every year. In addition, there is a stereotype that industry is the biggest factor affecting carbon emissions. The research found that the impact of the industry on China's carbon emissions is declining gradually. While controlling industrial carbon emissions, keeping continue to improve technology development and focusing on carbon emissions from other industries are critical to reduce overall carbon emissions. Based on the empirical results, if we can change stereotypes starting from the nature of the data, we will quickly reach a low carbon sustainable development economy.

Production Efficiency Analysis of Offshore and Coastal Fisheries Considering Greenhouse Gas (온실가스를 고려한 연근해어업의 생산효율성 분석)

  • Jeon, Yonghan;Nam, Jongoh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.79-105
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    • 2021
  • In the circumstance of standing out the climate change issue, the purpose of this study is to compare the efficiency of offshore and coastal fisheries according to whether or not greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are considered, and then to present policy alternatives based on the analysis results. For analysis, the traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA), the slacks-based measure (SBM) and the SBM-undesirable models were used, and robust analysis of variance (ANOVA) and Wilcoxon Signed-rank tests were performed. As a result, the study showed that the average efficiency of fisheries decreased as the traditional DEA extended to the SBM model considering the slack and the SBM-undesirable model including the GHG emissions. Specifically, the average efficiency of the traditional DEA model, SBM model, and SBM-undesirable model was analyzed as 0.7350, 0.5820 and 0.4976 respectively. In addition, the results of the robust ANOVA and Wilcoxon Signed-rank tests all showed that there are statistically significant differences in efficiency between offshore and coastal fisheries as well as among traditional DEA, SBM and SBM-undesirable models. As a policy alternative to the analysis, it was suggested that to improve the efficiency of coastal and offshore fisheries, it is necessary to actively implement the new fishing vessel project and develop smart and electric hybrid fishing vessels.

Assessing the Impacts of EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms and Its Policy Implications: An Environmentally Extended Input-Output Analysis (환경산업연관분석을 활용한 탄소국경조정 메커니즘 도입에 따른 국내 산업계 영향 분석과 대응전략)

  • Yeo, Yeongjun;Cho, Hae-in;Jeong, Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.419-449
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to quantify the potential economic burdens of EU's carbon border adjustment mechanisms faced by Korean domestic industries. In addition, this study tries to compare and analyzes changes in the burden of each industry resulted from the implementation of the domestic low-carbon policy. Based on the quantitative findings, we intend to suggest policy implications for establishing mid- to long-term strategies in response to climate change risks. Based on the environmentally extended input-output analysis, the total economic burdens of the domestic industries due to the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanisms are estimated to be approximately KRW 8,245.6 billion in 2030. Looking at the impacts by industry, it is found that major industries such as petrochemicals, petroleum refining, transportation equipment, steel, automobiles, and electric/electronic equipment industries are expected to account for 84.3% of the total potential burdens. In addition, in multiple policy scenarios assuming technological developments and energy transition following the implementation of domestic low-carbon policies, the total economic burden of carbon border adjustment is expected to decrease by about 11.7% to 15.0%. The main result of this study suggests that we should not view EU EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism as a trade regulation, but to use it as a momentum for more effective implementation of the low-carbon and energy transition strategies in the global carbon neural era.

Detecting Weak Signals for Carbon Neutrality Technology using Text Mining of Web News (탄소중립 기술의 미래신호 탐색연구: 국내 뉴스 기사 텍스트데이터를 중심으로)

  • Jisong Jeong;Seungkook Roh
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Carbon neutrality is the concept of reducing greenhouse gases emitted by human activities and making actual emissions zero through removal of remaining gases. It is also called "Net-Zero" and "carbon zero". Korea has declared a "2050 Carbon Neutrality policy" to cope with the climate change crisis. Various carbon reduction legislative processes are underway. Since carbon neutrality requires changes in industrial technology, it is important to prepare a system for carbon zero. This paper aims to understand the status and trends of global carbon neutrality technology. Therefore, ROK's web platform "www.naver.com." was selected as the data collection scope. Korean online articles related to carbon neutrality were collected. Carbon neutrality technology trends were analyzed by future signal methodology and Word2Vec algorithm which is a neural network deep learning technology. As a result, technology advancement in the steel and petrochemical sectors, which are carbon over-release industries, was required. Investment feasibility in the electric vehicle sector and technology advancement were on the rise. It seems that the government's support for carbon neutrality and the creation of global technology infrastructure should be supported. In addition, it is urgent to cultivate human resources, and possible to confirm the need to prepare support policies for carbon neutrality.

A Study on Industries's Leading at the Stock Market in Korea - Gradual Diffusion of Information and Cross-Asset Return Predictability- (산업의 주식시장 선행성에 관한 실증분석 - 자산간 수익률 예측 가능성 -)

  • Kim Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.355-380
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    • 2004
  • I test the hypothesis that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability in Korea. Using thirty-six industry portfolios and the broad market index as our test assets, I establish several key results. First, a number of industries such as semiconductor, electronics, metal, and petroleum lead the stock market by up to one month. In contrast, the market, which is widely followed, only leads a few industries. Importantly, an industry's ability to lead the market is correlated with its propensity to forecast various indicators of economic activity such as industrial production growth. Consistent with our hypothesis, these findings indicate that the market reacts with a delay to information in industry returns about its fundamentals because information diffuses only gradually across asset markets. Traditional theories of asset pricing assume that investors have unlimited information-processing capacity. However, this assumption does not hold for many traders, even the most sophisticated ones. Many economists recognize that investors are better characterized as being only boundedly rational(see Shiller(2000), Sims(2201)). Even from casual observation, few traders can pay attention to all sources of information much less understand their impact on the prices of assets that they trade. Indeed, a large literature in psychology documents the extent to which even attention is a precious cognitive resource(see, eg., Kahneman(1973), Nisbett and Ross(1980), Fiske and Taylor(1991)). A number of papers have explored the implications of limited information- processing capacity for asset prices. I will review this literature in Section II. For instance, Merton(1987) develops a static model of multiple stocks in which investors only have information about a limited number of stocks and only trade those that they have information about. Related models of limited market participation include brennan(1975) and Allen and Gale(1994). As a result, stocks that are less recognized by investors have a smaller investor base(neglected stocks) and trade at a greater discount because of limited risk sharing. More recently, Hong and Stein(1999) develop a dynamic model of a single asset in which information gradually diffuses across the investment public and investors are unable to perform the rational expectations trick of extracting information from prices. Hong and Stein(1999). My hypothesis is that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability. This hypothesis relies on two key assumptions. The first is that valuable information that originates in one asset reaches investors in other markets only with a lag, i.e. news travels slowly across markets. The second assumption is that because of limited information-processing capacity, many (though not necessarily all) investors may not pay attention or be able to extract the information from the asset prices of markets that they do not participate in. These two assumptions taken together leads to cross-asset return predictability. My hypothesis would appear to be a very plausible one for a few reasons. To begin with, as pointed out by Merton(1987) and the subsequent literature on segmented markets and limited market participation, few investors trade all assets. Put another way, limited participation is a pervasive feature of financial markets. Indeed, even among equity money managers, there is specialization along industries such as sector or market timing funds. Some reasons for this limited market participation include tax, regulatory or liquidity constraints. More plausibly, investors have to specialize because they have their hands full trying to understand the markets that they do participate in

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