• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.291-303
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• 2013

After establishing national greenhouse gas emission reduction goals, the South Korean government has been pursuing sector- and industry-specific greenhouse gas emission reduction measures; in support of which, metropolitan city / state governing entities, such as Gyeonggi Province, etc., have been in lock steps by establishing and executing climate change measures that are appropriate for the regional characteristics. However, in the case of local governments, difficulties abound due to the fact that the per-unit greenhouse gas emission amounts and the future emission estimates for establishing reduction targets are not clear. In order to establish correct climate change measure policies, the policy directions and the assessment of verified greenhouse gas emission amounts would need to serve as the basis, and along with the national level climate change effect and vulnerability assessment, there's a need to develop methodologies that take into consideration the local characteristics and conditions. To this end, this study calculated the greenhouse gas emission amounts of the City of Siheung, a basic local government in Gyeonggi Province, by using the GEBT (Greenhouse gas Emission Business-as-usual Tool) developed by the National Institute of Environmental Research to facilitate easy calculations of BAU (business-as-usual) emission quantities by local governing entities.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.87-94
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• 2019

Through a press release dated July 17, 2018, the Anti-Corruption and Civil Rights Commission recommended that the National Fire Agency develop preventive measures against fire in the "Indoor Archery Ground" and "Room Escape Café" etc., which were originally excluded from the category of "Publicly Used Establishments." This study developed the hierarchy of domains and indicators of measurement for fire risk assessment of the new business of publicly used establishments through the Delphi Method. It analyzed the goodness of fit scores (over 3.00) and secured an average score of 4.25. Using AHP analysis, the ratio of consistency for the domains of measurement of fire risk assessment was found to be 4.0%, which was lower than CR ≤ 0.1 (10%). The consistency of subsequent measurement indicators were distributed in the range of 0.1%~3.6%, and they were identified as being commonly consistent. The indicators of measurement appeared as follows in order of importance and priority: Type of Internal Passage of Establishment and Evacuation Capacity of Exit (0.316), Control of Ignition Source (0.141), Inherent Risk (0.106), Appropriateness and Adaptiveness of Fire Detection System (0.097), Control of Inflammables/Combustibles (0.084), Guides and Facilities helping Evacuation (0.075), Fire Resistant Structure and Finishing Materials (0.060), Compartmentalization and Emergency Exit (0.049), Risk of Fire Expansion (0.046), and Appropriateness and Adaptiveness of Fire Extinguishing Facilities (0.026). The findings of this study are expected to be expansively used as data for future research on the development of fire risk assessment indicators.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.18-25
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• 2017

Damage of both life and property has been increased by natural disaster under the influence of climate change, thus many natural disaster vulnerability researches have been carried out to make adaptation policy and impact assessment of climate change recently. Their method for assessing vulnerability usually have used proxy variables for making vulnerability indices. However, because their results were too qualitative and relative it tends to be hard to make absolute comparison and establish standard of prevention or adaptation ability. Accordingly, this study aimed at quantifying natural disaster vulnerability using emergy through recognizing disaster as the relations between order and disorder by system approach. As a result, ordering energy (4.66E+22 sej/yr) and ordered structure (1.98E+22 sej) of Busan in 2003 and disordering energy (7.80E+18 sej), disordered parts (4.55E+20 sej) and rebuilding energy (3.87E+20 sej) by typhoon Maemi were analysed. And then, this was compared with Hurricane Andrew in Dade County. Through this comparison, if the prevention ability of Busan increases, disordered parts can be reduced against the more powerful disordering energy. Also, prevention for additional damages by disaster is needed to practical rebuilding action. In conclusion, it was able to figure out the impact of disaster quantitatively by natural systems and urban systems showing as common measure. Based on this study and further research to make effective prevention for how much prevention ability should be increased will contribute to producing the scientific data for disaster management policy in future.

• 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.06a
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• pp.268-272
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• 2007

현재 시행되고 있는 하천정비와 하도정비는 하천 흐름의 특성을 간과한 채 일괄적으로 진행되어 왔으며 그 결과로 하천의 인공화는 지금까지 계속되고 있다. 이에 따라 하천 및 하도의 물리, 화학, 생물에 미치는 영향은 심각하며, 그 동안 인위적인 하천교란의 요인과 하천교란에 따른 영향, 즉 하상변동, 외래종 식생 침입, 생태서식처 변화 등의 정량적 평가 기술의 수립은 매우 미흡한 상태이다. 뿐만 아니라 하천 교란 극복을 위한 저감기술, 복원기술 및 적응관리 기술 또한 체계적으로 정리되지 못하여 하천과 댐 관리당국이 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 상황을 극복하기 위해서는 하천 교란에 대항하는 회복관리 기술 개발을 위한 교란 평가 기술이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 항공사진 및 GIS기법을 이용하여 국내 주요하천의 원인별 교란실태를 조사하고 분석함으로써 하천교란 조사기술 개발에 응용할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 분석을 위하여 댐 하류의 하천교란 및 적응현장 시범지역을 선정한 후 대상 지역의 항공사진을 GIS화하여 하천 교란 실태를 분석하는 데에 필요한 자료를 생성하였으며 생성된 자료를 바탕으로 하천의 평면 및 단면의 변화특성을 조사할 수 있었다. 또한 경년별 저수로 형태와 하천 중심선 비교 분석을 통하여 저수로의 이동 및 변화 양상을 규명해 낼 수 있었으며 그 결과 댐 하류지역에서 하도안정문제가 발생하였음을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구 결과를 바탕으로 보다 효율적인 하도안정문제에 관한 대책수립이 가능하리라 보며, 이를 위해서는 하천 교란 조사기술 개발에 대한 연구가 뒤따라야 할 것이다.과적임을 알 수 있었다. 실험 결과 본 기법으로 유휴시간에 프로세서를 저전력모드로 바꾸는 기존의 고전적인 전력 관리 기법보다 전체 시스템 전력 소모를 9% 더 절약할 수 있었다. 위성영상과 DEM 개발기술이 87% 이상의 점수를 받아 가장 시장성 및 활용성이 높은 기술로 평가되었으며, 초다분광영상에 대한 기술은 70%를 겨우 넘는 수준에서 평가가 되었다. 멀티센서 공간영상정보 통합처리 기술 개발은 다목적 실용위성의 보유, 국가 NGIS 사업의 결과물이 상당히 축척이 되어 있고, 라이다(LiDAR) 기술의 도입을 위한 환경이 조성되었기에 다른 국가에 비해 멀티센서 기술의 적용과 산업화가 가시화 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 그러나 멀티센서 자료의 수급이 용이하지 못하고, 법 제도적인 한계, 시장의 성숙도가 기대이하라는 점 등의 한계를 노정하고 있다.a var. sieboldii 3. Pinus densiflora, Q. aliena, Q. acutissima, P. thunbergii, Q. acuta 4. Carpinus laxiflora, Camellia japonicas. C. tschonoskii community의 5개 그룹으로 나타났다. 하류의 부착돌말류는 상대적으로 양호한 수질을 가지고 있는 정점 1에서 다양한 생물상을, 탄천의 영향을 받는 정점 2는 상대적으로 수질이 악화되어 호오염성 종들이 높은 분포를 나타내고 있었다. 또한 부착돌말류 중 Cymbella minuta는 다른 부착돌말류에 비해 강한 오염지표성을 나타내고 있었다.p=0.000, $4.76{\pm}3.31$

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.62-72
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• 2017

Spatio-temporal projection of evapotranspiration over croplands would be useful for assessment of climate change impact and development of adaptation strategies in agriculture. Potential evapotranspiration (PET) and dryness index (DI) during rice growing seasons were calculated using climate change scenario data provided by the National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR). A data processing tool for gridded climate data files, readGrADSWrapper, was used to calculate PET and DI during the current (1986-2005) and future (2006-2100) periods. Scripts were written to implement the formulas of PET and DI in R, which is an open source statistical data analysis tool. Evapotranspiration in rice fields ($PET_{Rice}$) was also determined using R scripts. The Spatio-temporal patterns of PET differed by regions in Korean Peninsula under current and future climate conditions. Overall, PET and $PET_{Rice}$ tended to increase throughout the $21^{st}$ century. Those results suggested that region-specific water resource managements would be needed to minimize the risk of water loss in the regions where considerable increases in PET would occur under the future climate conditions. For example, a number of provinces classified as a humid region were projected to become a sub-humid region in the future. The Spatio-temporal assessment of water resources based on PET and DI would help the development of climate change adaptation strategies for rice production in the 21st century. In addition, the studies on climate change impact would be facilitated using specialized data tools, e.g., readGrADSWrapper, for geospatial analysis of climate data.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.93-93
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• 2011

전 세계적으로 기후변화로 인한 기상재해의 피해가 매년 증가하고 있으며, 기후변화로 인한 시민들의 안전, 재산, 인명피해 또한 늘어나고 있다. 이러한 피해를 최소화하기 위해서는 도시지역을 중심으로 한 신뢰성 높은 미래 기후전망 기법이 필수적이며, 미래 기후전망을 바탕으로 하여 기후변화로 인한 향후 발생할 수 있는 위험성의 정도를 전망하여 적응대책을 수립할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 도시지역의 미래 기후전망 기법을 개발하여 서울시의 미래기후를 전망한다. 본 연구를 수행하기 위하여 먼저 IPCC 기후시나리오에 대한 조사를 수행하여 자료를 수집한다. 수집한 자료를 바탕으로 역학적 상세화와 통계적 상세화 기법을 이용하여 고해상도 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 역학적 상세화 기법은 A2시나리오의 ECHO-G/S에서 생산된 기후 시나리오를 이용하여 지역 기후모델인 RegCM3에 적용하여 상세화 과정을 수행하였다. RegCM3를 이용하여 60km로 상세화한 후에 one-way double-nested system을 구축하여 20km까지 상세화 하였다. 20km 해상도의 기후 시나리오는 서울시와 같은 좁은 지역의 기후를 분석하기에는 어려움이 있으므로, RegCM3에 사용할 수 있는 Sub-BATS라는 기법을 이용하여 5km의 고해상도 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 역학적 상세화 결과는 관측결과에 비해 과소 추정되는 경향이 있어, 편차보정을 통하여 관측값에 가까운 자료를 만들어 주었다. 역학적 상세화 결과를 분석한 결과, 기준기간에 비해 미래기간(S3)에는 전체적으로 약 4.9도의 기온상승과 강수량 증가가 나타났으며, 특히 9월에 가장 큰 상승폭을 나타내고 있었다. 강수량의 경우 증가 경향이 뚜렷이 나타나고 있었으며, 여름철에 큰 증가폭을 나타내고 있었다. 통계적 상세화 기법은 역학적 상세화 기법에서 사용된 ECHO-G/S를 포함한 13개의 GCM결과와 우리나라의 57개 지점에 대한 CSEOF기법을 이용하여 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 이 자료는 서울시에 대하여 하나의 지점밖에 존재하지 않아, 서울시내의 지역별 미래 기후전망에는 문제가 있었으므로, Delta method라는 기법을 이용하여 서울 및 인근지역의 AWS 35개 지점에 대하여 미래 기후시나리오를 생산하였다. 통계적 상세화 결과, 13개 GCM의 기온변화는 전체평균 약 3.1도 상승하였고, 겨울과 여름철의 변화폭이 가장 크며, 모델의 불확실성 또한 겨울과 여름에 가장 큰 특징을 가지고 있다. 강수량의 경우 MME에서는 약간의 상승은 나타나고 있었지만 모델간의 불확실성은 여름철에 크게 나타나고 있었다. 역학적 및 통계적 상세화 기후 시나리오(ECHO-G/S, A2)를 비교 분석한 결과, 기온은 역학적 상세화 결과가 약간 크게 나타났으며, 전체적으로 유사한 패턴을 보이고 있었다. 강수량 또한 역학적 상세화 결과가 크게 나타나고 있었다. 역학적 및 통계적 상세화 결과는 S1의 경우 유사한 특징을 보이고 있었지만 S3로 갈수록 차이가 크게 나타나고 있었다.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.210-218
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• 2020

Even though PM₁₀ in ambient air has been steadily reduced, the perception of it has been deteriorated. Forthatreason, first, it can still be mentioned the annual average concentration of PM₁₀ exceeding WHO standards, second, an increase in the number of high concentration days of PM₁₀, and third, lack of consideration for differences in causes and phenomena of PM₁₀ by regions. Therefore, this study was aimed to suggest management types for PM₁₀ in ambient air by clustering 69 cities based on the trends and current levels of PM₁₀. In addition, we proposed complementary measures such as the green infrastructure, ventilation corridors and adaptation measures (limit of exposure) for type III (distribution in the central inner region) and IV (metropolitan city, south-east coast region) where improvement of PM₁₀ was insufficient. Although this study did not consider the cause of PM₁₀ together, there is a significance that the scientific basis for responding to the near future is conducted based on past trends of PM₁₀.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.42 no.3 s.120
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• pp.355-367
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• 2007

As the global warming has been influenced on various sectors including agriculture, fisheries and health, it is essential to project more accurate future climate for an assessment of climate change impact and adaptation strategy. The purpose of this study is to examine the boundary changes in the subtropical climate region in South Korea using observed 30-year(1971-2000) data and projected 100-year data based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. We have selected Trewartha's climate classification among various climate classification, defining the subtropical climate region as the region with monthly mean temperature $10^{\circ}C$ or higher during 8-12 months. By observed data, the subtropical climate region was only limited in Jeju-do and the farmost southern coastal area(Busan, Tongyeong, Geoje, Yeosu, Wando, Mokpo) of South Korea. The future projected climate region for the period of 2071-2100 included have shown that subtropical climate region extended to most of stations except for the ares of Taebaeksan and Sobaeksan Mountains.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.5
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• pp.345-355
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• 2015

Climate change impact on urban drainage system are analyzed in Seoul by using high-resolution climate change scenario comparing 2000s (1971~2000) with 2020s (2011~2040), 2050s (2041~2070) and 2080s (2071~2100). The historical hourly observed rainfall data were collected from KMA and the climate change scenario-based hourly rainfall data were produced by RegCM3 and Sub-BATS scheme in this study. The spatial resolution obtained from dynamic downscaling was $5{\times}5km$. The comparison of probability rainfalls between 2000s and 2080s showed that the change rates are ranged on 28~54%. In particular, the increase rates of probability rainfall were significant on 3, 6 and 24-hour rain durations. XP-SWMM model was used for analyzing the climate change impacts on urban drainage system. As the result, due to the increase of rainfall intensities, the inundated areas as a function of number of flooded manhole and overflow amounts were increasing rapidly for the 3 future periods in the selected Gongneung 1, Seocho 2, Sinrim 4 drainage systems. It can be concluded that the current drainage systems on the selected study area are vulnerable to climate change and require some reasonable climate change adaptation strategies.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.1-13
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• 2016

In an effort to establish adaptive measures for low carbon use and climate change, this study developed storylines for shared socio-economic reference pathways(SSP) and simulated change in land use for each storyline. First, cellular automata modeling was performed using past data, and a transition rule for the local characteristics of each planning area under study was derived by comparing with the results of the base year. Second, three storylines were formulated based on the hypothesized change in land use for the SSP. SSP1, the scenario for sustainability, assumed that the land was developed into a compact city, SSP2 assumed the development of a road through the middle of the land while maintaining the current situation, and SSP3 assumed unsustainable development into a fragmented world. Third, change in land use depending on planning area was predicted by integrating the SSP scenarios with cellular automata(CA) modeling. According to the results of analysis using the SSP scenarios, the urban area ratio increased slightly up to 2020 in SSP1 and up to 2030 in SSP2 and did not change any more subsequently, but it increased continuously until 2050 in SSP3 that assumed low level urban planning. These results on change in land use are expected to contribute towards making reasonable decisions and policies on climate change, and the outcomes of simulation derived from spatial downscaling, if applied to vulnerability assessment, will be useful to set the priority of policies on climate change adaptation.