• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재현도

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Evaluation of impact of climate change on inflow to Chungju Dam by user-centered selection of GCM and downscaling method (사용자 중심의 GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정에 따른 충주댐 유입량 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Kim, Chul-gyum;Park, Ji-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 충주댐을 대상으로 기후변화에 따른 미래 댐운영에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위하여 연구 목적에 접합한 GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정을 위한 절차를 적용함으로써 사용자 중심의 기후변화 시나리오 상세화 자료가 유입량의 재현성 평가에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 우선 편이보정 전의 29개 원시 GCM에 대한 강수량 및 기온의 순단위 시 공간적 재현성 평가를 통해서 상위 16개 GCM을 선정하였다. 이후 상세화 기법을 선정하기 위해서 유입량 전망에 중요하다고 판단되는 총강수량(prcptot) 및 일최대강수량 (rx1day)을 기후지수(Climate Indices)로 선정하였다. 상세화 기법은 과거기간의 재현성이 평가, 미래기간 시그널 왜곡도 평가, 공간상관성에 대한 재현성 평가를 통해 SQM 기법을 선정하였다. 제한적인 기후변화 전망 자료를 고려하여 과거 30년 기간에 대한 모의결과 월단위 모형효율지수(ME) 및 결정계수 ($R^2$)는 모두 0.92로 만족할 만한 결과를 보여 주었다. GCM 선정에 따른 오차는 원시 GCM을 통해 선정된 16개 GCM을 사용한 경우 유입량 재현성 평가에 있어 가장 좋은 결과를 보였다. 전체적으로 상세화 자료를 유역 모델링에 활용하는 경우 GCM의 선정보다는 상세화 기법의 선정이 전체적인 재현성 평가에 있어서 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 미래기간에 대한 평균 유입량 전망은 모든 RCP 시나리오에서 근 미래 보다는 중간 및 먼 미래 기간 동안에 유입량이 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 또한 모든 미래 기간에 대해여 RCP 8.5 시나리오가 RCP 4.5 시나리오와 비교하여 유입량의 증가가 높을 것으로 전망되었다. 홍수 관리측면에서 중요한 일 최대 유입량의 미래 변동은 평균 유입량과 비교하여 최대 두 배 이상의 높은 변화율을 보였다. 댐운영 측면에서는 연간 총 유입량의 변화보다 시기별 유입량의 변동 특성을 이해하는 것이 중요하며, 평균 유입량 및 일단위 최대 유입량 모두 근 미래 기간에 대해서는 RCP 시나리오 모두 7월 및 8월을 중심으로 유입량이 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 반면 중간 미래에서 먼 미래로 갈수록 평균 및 일단위 최대 유입량 모두 전체 기간에 걸쳐 증가하는 경향을 보였다.

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Estimation of Storm-centered ARF in the Context of Temporal and Spatial Scale Characteristics of Storm Events (강우 사상의 시·공간적 규모 특성을 반영한 호우중심형 ARF 산정)

  • Kim, Eunji;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.181-181
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    • 2018
  • 설계홍수량 산정 시 지점확률강우량을 대상유역 내 면적강우량으로 환산하기 위하여 면적우량 환산계수(areal reduction factor, ARF)를 적용한다. ARF 산정방법은 크게 면적고정형 방법과 호우중심형 방법으로 나뉜다. 면적고정형 방법은 현재 국내 하천설계기준에서 설계강우량 산정 시 활용하고 있는 방법이지만, 동 시간에 발생한 강우사상을 활용하지 않고 지점강우량과 면적강우량의 독립적인 빈도해석을 통해 산정되므로 비현실적인 값이라고 볼 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 강우사상의 공간분포 특성을 효과적으로 반영할 수 있는 레이더 강우 자료를 활용하여 한강권역의 호우중심형 ARF를 활용하였다. 호우중심형 ARF는 지속기간 1, 3, 6, 12, 24시간에 대하여 산정하였으며, 재현기간은 강우 사상의 규모에 따라 총 다섯 구간(0-10, 10-20, 20-50, 50-80, 80-100년)으로 분류하였다. 지속기간 및 재현기간에 따른 호우중심형 ARF는 강우 사상마다 산정되므로 다양한 값이 산재(scattered)되어 있는데, 대푯값을 선정하기 위하여 Weibull 분포의 비초과확률 95%의 값을 추출하였다. 두 가지 방법으로 산정된 ARF는 지속기간에 대하여 로그형태로 증가하였으나, 재현기간에 따른 관계에서는 차이를 보였다. 면적고정형 ARF는 재현기간에 대한 민감도가 매우 낮았으나, 호우중심형 ARF는 재현기간에 따라 감소하였다. 또한 호우중심형 ARF는 지속시간이 길수록 재현기간에 대한 민감도가 점차 낮아졌으며 지속기간 24시간 이후로는 일정한 값을 보였다. 이러한 차이는 레이더 실 강우를 활용한 호우중심형 ARF 산정 시에 면적고정형 ARF 산정과정에서 고려되지 않는 강우의 시 공간적 특성을 반영하기 때문인 것으로 사료된다. 따라서 설계홍수량 산정 시 호우중심형 ARF를 적용한다면 보다 현실적인 값을 제시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Deelopment of a Multisite Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Using a Machine Learning (기계학습 기법을 이용한 다지점 일강수량 모의 모형 개발)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.83-83
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    • 2017
  • 수자원공학에서 일강수량 모의기법은 다양한 목적으로 활용되고 있지만, 일반적으로 홍수와 가뭄의 영향을 고려할 수 있는 수공구조물의 위험도 및 신뢰성 평가 및 수자원 계획을 수립하기 위한 입력 자료생성을 목적으로 활용된다. 유역 단위의 분석시 단일 지점에 대한 강수 모의 기법을 적용할 경우 각각의 지점에서 관측된 강수 자료의 시계열 및 통계치 특성이 효과적으로 재현되지만 공간적으로 발생하는 즉, 지점 간의 종속관계를 재현하지 못하는 문제가 발생한다. 이러한 이유로 공간적인 전이 특성이 있는 가뭄 분석 및 유역내 유출량의 공간적 변동 특성 분석에 단일지점별 모의 결과를 이용할 경우 관측 자료와 상반된 공간적 변동성으로 인하여 잘못된 가뭄 및 유출 분석 결과가 도출되는 문제점이 있다. 따라서, 실제적으로 발생하는 강수 특성을 반영한 유역 단위의 홍수 및 가뭄 등의 수문 분석을 위해서는 지점간의 종속성을 반영할 수 있는 다지점 강수 모의 모형의 적용이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 다지점 모의에 있어서, Wilks 모형의 지점별 시변동 특성과 공간상관성 재현 능력, HMM 모형이 갖는 강수 사상별로 분포된 양적 분포 패턴 재현 능력을 복합적으로 나타낼 수 있는 새로운 다지점 일강수량 모의 모형인 기계학습 기반 범주화 기법을 이용한 다지점 일강수량 모의 모형(ML-MRS)을 개발하였다. 또한, 지점별 강수량에 적용되는 확률분포모형은 Gamma 분포로 구성된 혼합모형을 적용하여 단일 확률 분포 모형의 자료 적합 문제를 개선하였다. 모의를 통한 일강수량 시계열 자료는 일 강수자료의 통계량을 효과적으로 모의하였으며, 다지점 모형의 모의 결과를 적용한 가뭄 모의 결과 관측 자료에서 나타나는 공간적 패턴이 재현되었다. 본 모형은 시 공간적 사상을 효과적으로 재현함으로서 지역의 변동특성을 반영한 가뭄, 홍수, 기상 현상 분석 등 활용도가 매우 높을 것으로 판단된다.

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Formulation of a reference coordinate system of three-dimensional head & neck images: Part II. Reproducibility of the horizontal reference plane and midsagittal plane (3차원 두부영상의 기준좌표계 설정을 위한 연구: II부 수평기준면과 정중시상면의 재현성)

  • Park, Jae-Woo;Kim, Nam-Kug;Chang, Young-Il
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.35 no.6 s.113
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2005
  • This study was performed to investigate the reproducibility of the horizontal and midsagittal planes, and to suggest a stable coordinate system for three-dimensional (3D) cephalometric analysis. Eighteen CT scans were taken and the coordinate system was established using 7 reference points marked by a volume model, with no more than 4 points on the same plane. The 3D landmarks were selected on V works (Cybermed Inc., Seoul, Korea), then exported to V surgery (Cybermed Inc., Seoul, Korea) to calculate the coordinate values. All the landmarks were taken twice with a lapse of 2 weeks. The horizontal and midsagittal planes were constructed and its reproducibility was evaluated. There was no significant difference in the reproducibility of the horizontal reference planes, But, FH planes were more reproducible than other horizontal planes. FH planes showed no difference between the planes constructed with 3 out of 4 points. The angle of intersection made by 2 FH planes, composed of both Po and one Or showed less than $1^{\circ}$ difference. This was identical when 2 FH planes were composed of both Or and one Po. But, the latter cases showed a significantly smaller error. The reproducibility of the midsagittal plane was reliable with an error range of 0.61 to $1.93^{\circ}$ except for 5 establishments (FMS-Nc, Na-Rh, Na-ANS, Rh-ANS, and FR-PNS). The 3D coordinate system may be constructed with 3 planes; the horizontal plane constructed by both Po and right Or; the midsagittal plane perpendicular to the horizontal plane, including the midpoint of the Foramen Spinosum and Nc; and the coronal plane perpendicular to the horizontal and midsagittal planes, including point clinoidale, or sella, or PNS.

A Study on the Representation Characteristics of Yuanming New Garden in China by Traditional Landscape Creation Techniques (전통조경 조성 기법으로 본 중국 원명신원의 재현 특성 고찰)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted on Yuanming New Garden in China, which re-lighted the previously lost or damaged original space through representation from the perspective of creating traditional landscape. We looked at the composition of this place, the comparison of relevant literature and actual representation, and the characteristics of representation techniques. The results are as follows. First, TYuanming New Garden is a representation space with the motif of Yunamingyuan in Beijing. An advisory group of some 400 related experts discussed the prototype. The historicity of the real space was considered in the representation process. Second, New Yuanmingyuan garden was recreated based on the 'The Forty Scenic Views of Yuanmingyuan', and 31 of the scenic spots were created. The buildings in each precinct had a 1:1 scale response with structures that were previously constructed in Yuanmingyuan, Beijing. New Yuanmingyuan garden's way in which the main landscape is laid out around the Fuhai Lake(福海), which the landscape is drawn appeared was the same as Yuanmingyuan in Beijing. However, some of the facilities were reproduced on the basis of the 'The Forty Scenic Views of Yuanmingyuan', so they turned out to be different from what Yuanminyuan in Beijing looks like today. New Changchunyuan garden was represented around water landscape of the Western Mansins(Xiyang Lou, 西洋樓) area and the Haeakgaegum(海岳開襟), and the buildings and the facilities were reconstructed based on the 'Copper Print of Western Mansins'. Third, Yuanming New Garden made a prototype of the 'The Forty Scenic Views of Yuanmingyuan' and 'Copper Print of Western Mansins' during the process of synchronic changes in the garden. In addition, the original space and the ambiguous original space or exhibition space were clearly identified through the plant. On the other hand, due to the reenactment of buildings, the spatial composition and placeability of the original spaces of Yuanmingyuan garden and Changchunyuan garden in Beijing were not inherited, and the introduction of elements that did not match traditional landscaping spaces, and the introduction of garden elements that were not prototype and other variations for the use of tourism were found to be drawback.

Applicability of American and European Spirometry Repeatability Criteria to Korean Adults (한국 성인을 대상으로 한 미국 및 유럽 폐활량 검사 재현성 기준의 유용성)

  • Park, Byung Hoon;Park, Moo Suk;Jung, Woo Young;Byun, Min Kwang;Park, Seon Cheol;Shin, Sang Yun;Jeon, Han Ho;Jung, Kyung Soo;Moon, Ji Ae;Kim, Se Kyu;Chang, Joon;Kim, Sung Kyu;Ahn, Song Vogue;Oh, Yeon-Mok;Lee, Sang Do;Kim, Young Sam
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 2007
  • Background: The objective of this study was to evaluate the clinical applicability of the repeatability criteria recommended by the American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society (ATS/ERS) spirometry guidelines and to determine which factors affect the repeatability of spirometry in Korean adults. Methods: We reviewed the spirometry data of 4,663 Korean adults from the Korean National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (KNHANES) Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Cohort (COPD cohort) and the Community-based Cohort Study VI-Fishing village/Islands (community cohort). We measured the anthropometric factors and differences between the highest and second-highest FVC (dFVC) and $FEV_1$ ($dFEV_1$) from prebronchodilator spirometry. Analyses included the distribution of dFVC and $dFEV_1$, comparison of the values meeting the 1994 ATS repeatability criteria with the values meeting the 2005 ATS/ERS repeatability criteria, and the performance of linear regression for evaluating the influence of subject characteristics and the change of criteria on the spiro-metric variability. Results: About 95% of subjects were able to reproduce FVC and $FEV_1$ within 150 ml. The KNHANES based on the 1994 ATS guidelines showed poorer repeatability than the COPD cohort and community cohort based on the 2005 ATS/ERS guidelines. Demographic and anthropometric factors had little effect on repeatability, explaining only 0.5 to 3%. Conclusion: We conclude that the new spirometry repeatability criteria recommended by the 2005 ATS/ERS guidelines is also applicable to Korean adults. The repeatability of spirometry depends little on individual characteristics when an experienced technician performs testing. Therefore, we suggest that sustained efforts for public awareness of new repeatability criteria, quality control of spirograms, and education of personnel are needed for reliable spirometric results.

Outdoor Landscape Design Proposal for a Resort using the Baekje Traditional Garden as a Theme (백제정원을 주제로 한 리조트 외부 공간 계획)

  • Kim, Yun-Geum;Kim, Hai-Gyoung;Kim, Young-Mo;Chin, Yang-Kyo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2011
  • This study concerns the Baekje Traditional Garden, one of the open spaces in the Lotte Resort in the Baekje Historical Reappearance Complex, which is part of the comprehensive plan for specific areas in the Baekje cultural area. The Baekje Traditional Garden has historic value, and its excellent garden style influenced the ancient Japanese gardens. This study dealt with three issues: (1) The context in which Lotte Buyeo Resort accepted the Baekje Traditional Garden, particularly the background and process of such; (2) The original form of the Baekje Traditional Garden; and (3) How the Baekje Traditional Garden should be represented in the open space of the resort. Representation is accomplished in two ways: using the structure of the original garden and in the borrowing of elements. For representation using the structure of the original garden, Imrugak was used as the main entrance space, and Wolsunjung was represented from the Ganbuklee remains. In the rear garden are wave watercourses and other garden facilities of the Wanggungri site in Iksan. Borrowing of elements, on the other hand, was accomplished in the plant plan and detailed development. In addition, mountaintops (three mountains and five mountain summits), a clean stream between mountains, and a pine forest are visualized in the garden. This is the representative landscape of the Taoist hermit world that appeared in the Baekje Gilt Bronze Incense Burner and Landscape pattern. The significance of this study is twofold. First, the Baekje Traditional Garden is a fresh trail because there has been no previous research concerning it. Second, while past research concerning traditional spaces focused on the results of representation, this study focused on the process of representation. This means that this research work tried to extend the study concerning the representation of traditional spaces from the conceptual to the practical approach. This study, however, also has its limitations. The authenticity of the representation suggested in this study may be questioned later because efforts have been made to preserve the original Baekje Traditional Garden. In addition, this study should seek a balance between authenticity on one hand and amusement and diversity of experience on the other, because the site is a resort.

A Study on Revaluation of copy theory in Representational Gaps Extinction of CGI (CGI(Computer-Generated Imagery)의 재현적 간극 소멸에서 보여지는 모사이론의 재평가에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Kue-Hyung
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.29
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    • pp.103-128
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    • 2012
  • Study about existence of illusion which human beings feel from imitated image based reality have been continuing by copy theory and conventionalism for a long time. Traditional copy theory which had controlled representation theory from plato have explained illusion by similarity of image and representation objects. According to copy theory, image is natural sign unlike language but the late in the 20th century, conventionalism from N, Goodman insists they are not any special similarity between image and representation objects. They insist image and conventional sign just as language. These opposit theory rearranged conventionalism by the entrance on the cognitive science. The copy theory couldn't explain the problem of representational gap between reality and duplication, but photo media makes new paradigm about theory of the illusion. The problem of representational gap was disappeared by CGI images on the base of digital media. We are exposed exquisite duplication for a example, movie, advertisement, printings. Sometimes duplications are more real than the original works. Digital is a non-material object by 0 and 1. Specially real lighting skill and mechanism are copied perfectly by photon mapping skills and the duplications are produced more real than the original works. By disappearance of representational gap, we need new theory model for explaining of digital illusion and copy theory can be the key.

A Study on Ontology of Digital Photo Image Focused on a Simulacre Concept of Deleuze & Baudrillard (디지털 사진 이미지의 존재론에 관한 연구 -들뢰즈와 보드리야르의 시뮬라크르 개념을 중심으로)

  • Gwon, Oh-sang
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.51
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    • pp.391-411
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this thesis is to examine ontology of digital photo image based on a Simulacre concept of Gilles Deleuze & Jean Baudrillard. Traditionally, analog image follows the logic of reproduction with a similarity with original target. Therefore, visual reality of analog image is illuminated, interpreted, and described in a subjective viewpoint, but does not deviate from the interpreted reality. However, digital image does not exist physically but exists as information that is made of mathematical data, a digital algorithm. This digital image is that newness of every reproduction, that is, essence of subject 'once existing there' does not exist anymore, and does not instruct or reproduce an outside target. Therefore, digital image does not have the similarity and does not keep the index instruction ability anymore. It means that this digital image is converted into a virtual area, and this is not reproduction of already existing but display of not existing yet. This not-being of digital image changes understanding of reality, existence, and imagination. Now, dividing it into reality and imagination itself is meaningless, and this does not make digital image with technical improvement but is a new image that is basically completely different from existing image. Eventually, digital image of the day passes step to visualize an existent target, nonexistent things have been visualized, and reality operates virtually. It means that digital image does not reproduce our reality but reproduces other reality realistically. In other words, it is a virtual reproduction producing an image that is not related to a target, that is to say Simulacre. In the virtually simulated world, reality has an infinite possibility, and it is not a picture of the past and present and has a possibility as the infinite virtual that is not fixed, is infinitely mutable, and is not actualized yet.

Representation of Female Journalists in Korean Popular Films : (2011) and (2012) (한국 대중영화의 여기자 재현: <모비딕>과 <부러진 화살>을 중심으로)

  • Noh, Kwang Woo;Yong, Mi Ran
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.34
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    • pp.237-262
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    • 2014
  • Recent Korean popular films and television dramas represent journalist as the character who colludes with corrupt power to engage in scandals or completes one's goals by good or bad means. It matters that the negative discourse of journalists fosters audience's distrust on journalism. Representation of journalists in popular culture is related to the reliability of journalism. In relation, it is noticeable that popular media represent female journalists. This study examines how recent popular films deal with female journalists through the case of (2011) and (2012) to find improvement of discourse on journalists. In result, three female characters in these films represent positively 'reformative leadership' (Chief Cho in ), 'appropriation of information technology'(Seong Hyo Kwan in ), and 'emotional response' (Jang Eun Seo in ). Compared to representation of journalists through male, the positive representation of female journalists constributes to positive discourse on role and function of journalism. However, it may be considered that these positive representations are merely a part of whole journalists.