• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재해 모형

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A Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Wind Speed in Jeju using Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 제주지역 극치풍속의 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Kim, Kyoungmin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kwon, Soon-Duck
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.667-673
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    • 2019
  • Global warming may accelerate climate change and may increase disaster caused by strong winds. This research studied a method for a nonstationary frequency analysis considering the linear trend over time. The Bayesian method was used to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters for the extreme value distribution of the annual maximum wind speed at Jeju Airport. The nonstationary frequency analysis was performed based on the Monte Carlo Markov Chain simulation and the Gibbs sampling. The estimated wind speeds by nonstationary frequency analysis was larger than those by stationary analysis. The conventional frequency analysis procedure assuming stationarity is likely to underestimate the future design wind speed in the region where statistically significant trend exists.

Examining Velocity Estimation Equations of Debris Flow Using Small-scaled Flume Experiments (소형 수로실험을 통한 토석류 유동속도 추정식 평가)

  • Eu, Song;Im, Sangjun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.4
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    • pp.424-430
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    • 2017
  • With its rapid velocity and wide deposition, debris flow is a natural disaster that causes loss of human life and destruction of facility. To design effective debris barriers, impact force of debris flow should be first considered. Debris flow velocity is one of the key features to estimate the impact force of debris flow. In this study, we conducted small-scale flume experiments to analyze flow characteristics of debris flow, and determine flow resistance coefficients with different slope gradients and sediment mixtures. Flow velocity significantly varied with flume slope and mixture type. Debris flow depth decreased as slope increased, but difference in depth between sediment mixtures was not significant. Among flow resistance coefficients, Chezy coefficient ($C_1$) showed not only relatively highest goodness of fit, but also constant value ($20.19m^{-1/2}\;s^{-1}$) regardless the scale of debris flow events. The overall results suggested that $C_1$ can be most appropriately used to estimate flow velocity, the key factor of assessing impact force, in wide range of debris flow scale.

A Study on Curriculum to Improve Grief Counselor's Competency (애도상담자 전문역량 향상을 위한 교육과정 탐색)

  • Jeon, Hee-Chung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.602-615
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    • 2018
  • Loss has been expanded to include not only death but also the change that take place in the transition of life. In addition, the rate of direct and indirect experience of death around us has increased due to natural disasters and unexpected accidents. Therefore, there is a growing demand for grief counseling and a need for professional grief counseling. The purpose of this study was to investigate the competency of grief counselors and to review on the literatures what grief counselors should be trained to improve their professional competences. Specifically, there were grief counseling theory, evaluation of grief, death education, and counselor self-care. There were suggested that how to integrate into existing counselor curriculum and introduced experiential practice. This study can be used as a basic data for encouraging the attention of grief counselor education and competency model.

A Study on Making Map of Flood Using Digital Elevation Model (DEM) (수치표고모형 (DEM)을 이용한 침수재해 지도작성에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Hyun Taek;Kim, Jae Hwi;Lee, Hak Beom;Park, Sung Yong;Kim, Yong Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2017
  • Recent floodplain data are important for river master plan, storm and flood damage reduction comprehensive plan and pre-disaster impact assessment. Hazard map, base of floodplain data, is being emphasized as important method of non-structural flood prevention and consist of inundation trace map, inundation expected map and hazard information map. Inundation trace map describes distribution of area that damaged from typhoons, heavy rain and tsunamis and includes identified flood level, flood depth and flood time from flooding area. However due to lack of these data by local government, which are foundational and supposed to be well prepared nationwide, having hard time for making inundation trace map or hazard information map. To overcome this problem, time consumption and budget reduction is required through various research. From this study, DEM (Digital Elevation Model) from image material from UAVS (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle System) and numeric geographic map from National Geographic Information Institute are used for calculating flooding damaged area and compared with inundation trace map. As results, inundation trace map DEM based on image material from UAVS had better accuracy than that used DEM based on numeric geographic map. And making hazard map could be easier and more accurate by utilizing image material from UAVS than before.

Application of Geographic Database for Prediction of Flood Vulnerable Area (홍수에 의한 침수 취약지역 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Yoo-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2006
  • There has been tremendous increase of disaster related damages since 1990's. Especially flood occurred in summer season highly populated area has led to demolish a lot of facilities and buildings within a short time period. This is to figure out the way to predict the vulnerable flood inundation area by past records of inundation and and geographic information available. The comparative study on 1998 and 1999 flood inundation area in Munsan and Gokneung river shows that 5 degree of slope and 10 m elevation level are dividing index to draw the vulnerable area. This study is to suggest the relatively easy method to predict flood vulnerable area and to apply the results to prepare for protecting the facilities and the people with other thematic geographic database.

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Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics by Improvements to the Roughness Coefficient in a Storm Sewer System (우수관거 조도계수 개선에 따른 강우-유출 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Jo, Deok-Jun;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.282-286
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    • 2017
  • Rapid industrialization and urbanization have resulted in an increase in impervious areas and an increase in runoff, therefore, this causes more flooding and damage in urban areas. This study has analyzed the effects of improvements to the roughness coefficient in storm sewer pipes on flood runoff and outflow through rainfall-runoff simulations. The simulations are implemented by three scenarios to evaluate effects of improvements to the roughness coefficient for the improved length ratio to the total length, diameters and mainlines of sewer pipes. The size and length of the sewer mains are large and long to effectively increase the flow rate to the outlet, secure the passage discharge capacity of the pipe and reduce the overflow. It is effective for flood reduction that the improvement to roughness coefficient is first conducted in mainlines with longer lengths and larger diameters. The results from this study can provide a guideline for prioritizing of the sewer pipe replacement.

Analysis of Married Women's Return to the Workforce Following First Childbirth (젊은 여성의 첫 출산 후 노동시장 복귀에 관한 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Kyung;Cho, You Hyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.181-207
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to conduct a dynamic analysis of married women's return to the workforce following first childbirth. We have based our investigation on the data compiled by the KLIPS, where the workforce performance is the focal point of it's research, and by these materials, this study has analyzed the aspects of the factors that decide post-childbirth return to the workforce. We have applied the Cox Regression Hazard Model, where corroborative evidence are statistically applied. The following are the conclusions that were derived from this research: First, according to the study, academic background is a vital factor in reducing the gap and time of women's return to the workforce. Second, whether having active child-care after giving birth or not doubles the chances of women returning to the workforce. Third, if the pre-birth employment form was a wage-work and the rate of returning to the workforce was lower than the non-wage, relatively speaking, this reflects that the non-wage form of work, which provides a better possibility to return to the workforce after giving birth, could be another way to prevent women's career discontinuation.

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Inundation Accident Analysis Using Hydrodynamic Model and Consideration of Disaster Roots Using Cause and Effect Diagram (동수역학 모형을 이용한 침수사고 분석 및 특성요인도를 활용한 재해 원인 고찰)

  • Yoo, Dong-Hyun;Song, Chang Geun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.128-134
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the damages by typhoons and heavy rains are increasing due to the climate change. However, we are still vulnerable to inundation disaster due to various causes such as poor physical flood control and lacks of disaster and safety management. Therefore, it is necessary to establish systems to ensure safety and prepare practical countermeasures that can minimize damage when an inundation occurs, thereby minimizing economic loss and casualty. In this study, hydrodynamic inundation modelings were implemented to analyze the "Noryangjin reservoir inundation accident" and "Choryang No. 1 underground road inundation accident." and spatial risk was assessed by a quantitative hazard index. In addition, cause and effect diagrams were provided to present the risk causes in terms of physical and managemental aspects.

CALCULATION OF THE HEIGHTS OF STORM SURGES OF THE COAST SEA AREA OF JEJU ISLAND (제주도 연안해역의 폭풍해일고 산정)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Yang, Sung-Kee;Kim, Sang-Bong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1032-1035
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    • 2008
  • 제주도 연악해역의 해일재해의 현황을 파악하기 위하여 제주도 연안해역의 폭풍해일과 기상조에 등에 의한 해일발생 및 피해의 자료를 분석 검토하고 제주도 연안해일의 위험도를 분석하기 위하여 제주도 연안해역을 대상으로 과거 태풍 중 각종 기록경신과 많은 피해규모를 준 태풍들을 대상으로 바람장 및 해일고를 분석 검토하여 태풍의 진로에 따른 해수면 상승을 산정하기위해 폭풍해일 수치모형(POM) 실험을 실시하여 폭풍해일고를 산정하였다. 제주항과 서귀포항 주변해역의 폭풍해일고를 산출하기 위해 16년간($1987{\sim}2003$)까지의 우리나라에 영향을 미친 태풍 중 8개를 선정(Maemi, Rusa, Prapiroon, Olga, Yanni, Janis, Gladys, Thelma)하여 폭풍해일고를 산출하였다. 수치모의 한 결과를 보면, 제주와 서귀포 연안해역에서 발생한 8개의 태풍에 대한 폭풍해일고의 발생시각은 대체적으로 관측된 해일고의 발생시각 보다 약간 늦게 해일이 발생하였지만 전체적인 해일의 시간변화나 크기는 비교적 잘 재현된 것으로 나타났다. 제주항 연안해역의 서귀포항 연안해역보다 높은 해일고를 보였으며, 해일고는 제주항, 서귀포항 모두 1m를 넘지 않았다. 제주항이 서귀포항에 비해 약간 높게 나온 이유는 태풍의 위치, 지형 및 수심, 태풍이 통과할 당시의 조석상황 등의 차이인 것으로 사료된다. 또한, 제주항과 서귀포항 연안해역이 폭풍해일고가 서해안이나 남해안에 비해 작게 나타났는데, 이는 제주도 해안선이 비교적 평탄하고 평행하게 이루어 졌으며 남해안에 비해 수심이 깊고 만의 형태나 V자형 및 긴내만이 발달한 지형이 없기 때문인 것으로 사료된다. 보다 정밀한 예측을 위해서는 정밀한 수심자료 및 격자를 이용한 계산의 결과가 필요하며, 연안개발로 인한 지형과 수심변화에 따른 지속적인 수치해도 DB구축이 요구된다.

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A Study on the Flood Inundation Analysis using Autodesk Civil 3D and HEC-RAS (Autodesk Civil 3D와 HEC-RAS를 이용한 홍수범람 해석의 연구)

  • Moon, Chang-Geon;Lee, Jung-Sik;Park, Jong-Young;Cho, Sung-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1187-1191
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라는 기상이변에 따른 게릴라성 집중호우의 빈도 및 강우량이 해가 거듭할수록 증가함에 따라 이로 인한 피해지역의 범위 및 피해액이 계속 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 국가 및 각 연구기관들은 전국의 자연유역 및 도시유역에 대해 홍수범람의 예상지역 및 대피지도 작성 등을 통해 재해에 대한 사전 피해예방및 보험제도 등으로 그 피해를 경감하고자 각종 사업 및 연구를 활발히 진행하고 있다. 이러한 연구에 주로 이용되는 것이 지리정보시스템(GIS)으로서, 기존 수작업 과정 등을 통해 소요되는 많은 시간과 비용적 투자를 획기적으로 줄이면서도 보다 정밀도 있는 홍수범람지도를 작성하는데 크게 이바지 하고 있다. 하지만 강력하고 광범위적인 기능의 GIS 프로그램에 대한 이해 및 원시자료의 부족과 이 자료들을 이용한 실제 지형 구축 및 편집 등의 어려움으로 GIS를 이용한 홍수범람해석은 여전히 실무에서 널리 적용되지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 실무적 적용성 및 범용성을 고려하여 자연유역이 대부분 포함되는 지방2급 고부천 유역을 대상으로 최근 토목 전반의 평면적 2D설계 개념에서 입체적 3D설계로 변화하는데 중요한 역할을 하고 있는 Autodesk사의 Civil 3D를 이용하여 수치지형도 및 측량데이터 등 다양한 원시자료로부터 실제 지형과 매우 유사한 3D 지형을 구축하고, Civil 3D의 3rd Party 프로그램인 Engineered Efficiency사의 EE HEC-RAS Tool을 이용하여 하천정비 기본계획 및 소하천정비 종합계획 등 실무에서 홍수위 계산에 가장 많이 이용되는 1차원 수치모형인 HEC-RAS와 전 후처리를 연계함으로서 빈도별 홍수위에 따른 홍수범람 수심 및 범람지역 등을 산정하였다. 본 연구는 실무 설계에서 가장 많이 이용하는 Autodesk 프로그램의 적용을 통해 기존 GIS개념 및 프로그램의 이해부족과 편집의 어려움을 해소하여 실무적 홍수범람해석에 시간적, 비용적 효율성을 높이고 기존 수작업의 오류를 보완함으로서 보다 정밀한 홍수범람해석 및 치수경제성 분석에 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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