• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.81-105
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• 1998

본 연구는 우리나라 주거래은행이 거래기업의 재무곤경감소나 채무조정방법의 선택에 어떤 영향을 미치는 가를 검증해 보기 위한 것이다. 만성적 재무곤경상태에 빠져 있는 52개의 상장 기업을 대상으로 7년간의 누적투자율이나 매출액증가율 및 이익증가율을 조사해 본 결과 주거래은행관계의 척도라 할 수 있는 최대대출비율이나 주식소유 비율이 누적투자율이나 누적매출액증가율에 거의 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 드러났다. 그러나 대그룹소속기업들은 재무곤경기간에도 지속적인 투자나 매출액증대를 보여 그룹간의 내부금융이나 신뢰성이 중요한 역할을 하는 것으로 보여진다. 한편 재무곤경비용의 감소를 누적이익증가율이라고 간주한 경우는 주거래은행의 주식보유비율이 누적이익증가율에 (-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 부도공시기업의 검증결과와도 일치한다. 주거래은행관계의 유효성은 채무조정방법의 선택에서 잘 나타난다. 최대대출비율과 금융기관의 주식소유비율이 높은 기업일수록 사적협상에 성공할 확률이 높은 것으로 나타나 주거래은행을 위시한 주요 채권단들이 채무조정을 주도적으로 이끌어 워크아웃을 성공시킬 가능성이 높으며, 기업자체의 성장성이나 경영지배권 등의 소유구조는 그리 큰 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.217-223
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to examine the restructuring strategies that are selected according to the corporate life cycle and to provide evidence that restructuring strategies that are chosen when firms face financial difficulties can have a positive impact on corporate restructuring. This study is logistic regression analysis of 3,593 samples of companies listed on Korea Exchange from 2001 to 2016. The results of this study show that a company that is growing through the expansion of its size and investment can overcome the financial difficulties of the company. And this study finds evidence that the declining firms use the capital increase or debt issuance to revive the corporate regeneration. The results of this study suggest that it is important to consider the life cycle at the time of corporate restructuring and select the appropriate strategy accordingly.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.157-169
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• 1994

본 연구는 기업합병매수후 자산매각(資産賣却)이 기업가치에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 분석한다. 특히, 기업합병매수후에 자산이 매각될 때의 기업가치에 대한 영향과 기업합병매수와 관련이 없이 자산이 매각될 때의 기업가치에 대한 영향을 비교하여 어떠한 차이가 있는지를 파악하고자 한다. 이러한 분석을 위해 본 연구는 Shleifer와 Vishny(1991)가 정의한 자대매각(資臺賣却)의 유동성비용(流動性費用)(Liquidity Cost of Asset Sale)이라는 개념을 원용하였다. 그들은 자산매각의 유동성비용을 어떤 자산의 급매가치(急賣價値)와 최적활용시(最適活用時) 그 자산이 가져다주는 현금흐름의 순현재가치와의 차이(差異)라고 정의하고 있다. 또한 그들은 어떤 기업이 재무적(財務的) 곤경(困境)에 처해 있을 때 자산매각의 유동성비용이 매우 높다는 것을 보였다. 이러한 개념하에 자산매각이 기업합병매수후 발생할 때 자산매각의 유동성비용이 보다 높은지 여부를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 1982년부터 1989년까지 1,185개의 자산매각 사건들을 합병매수후 자산매각 사건과 합병매수와 관련이 없는 자산매각 사건으로 분류하여 시장위험조정수익률(市場危險調整收益率) 모형(模型)과 시장모형(市場模型)을 이용하여 두표본집단간의 주가변화의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 두집단모두 자산매각에 의해 통계적으로 유의한 정(正)의 초과수익(超過收益)을 보이지만, 기업합병매수후 자산이 매각될 경우가 기업합병 매수와 관련이 없는 경우에 비해 통계적으로 낮은 초과수익을 보이고 있다. 이러한 차이를 본 연구에서는 기업이 합병매수후 겪고 있는 재무적 곤경을 피하기 위해 자산을 신속히 매각하였기 때문에 발생한 유동성 비용이라 해석하고 있다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.545-558
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• 2022

The purpose of this study is to explore a prediction model for accurately predicting Financial Difficulties of Chinese Cultural Industry Enterprises through Traditional Statistics and Machine Learning. To construct the prediction model, the data of 128 listed Cultural Industry Enterprises in China are used. On the basis of data groups composed of 25 explanatory variables, prediction models using Traditional Statistical such as Discriminant Analysis and logistic as well as Machine Learning such as SVM, Decision Tree and Random Forest were constructed, and Python software was used to evaluate the performance of each model. The results show that the Random Forest model has the best prediction performance, with an accuracy of 95%. The SVM model was followed with 93% accuracy. The Decision Tree model was followed with 92% accuracy.The Discriminant Analysis model was followed with 89% accuracy. The model with the lowest prediction effect was the Logistic model with an accuracy of 88%. This shows that Machine Learning model can achieve better prediction effect than Traditional Statistical model when predicting financial distress of Chinese cultural industry enterprises.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.179-213
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• 1999

본 연구에서는 국내 주식시장에서 주식수익률의 횡단면 차이에 유의적인 설명력을 가지는 것으로 나타난 기본적 변수가 시장지수 베타에서는 측정되지 않은 또 다른 가격화된 위험에 대해 유용한 대용변수인지를 규명하였다. 기본적 변수들 중에서 기업규모와 장부/시장가치 비율은 주식수익률의 횡단면 차이를 설명함에 있어 독립적인 효과를 갖는 가장 유의적인 변수였다. 주식수익률의 횡단면 차이에 매우 유의적인 설명력을 가지는 깃으로 나타난 거시경제요인의 요인민감도는 기업규모, 장부/시장가치 비율을 포함시 더 이상 유의적인 설명력을 가지지 못하였다. 소규모, 높은 장부/시장가치 기업은 매우 지속적인 수익성 악화를 겪고 있는 곤경기업이며, 역시 배당감소위험, 레버리지위험 및 미래 현금흐름의 불확실성으로 측정된 기업특성적 위험이 보다 큰 곤경기업이었다. 따라서 이러한 실증결과는 소규모, 높은 장부/시장가치 주식이 대규모, 낮은 장부/시장가치 주식에 비해 높은 수익률을 보이는 원인이 보다 높은 위험에 따른 보상의 결과이며, 규모변수와 장부/시장 가치 비율은 이들 위험에 대한 유용한 대용치라는 '위험에 기초한 가설'을 지지하는 증거로 주장될 수 있다. 기업규모와 장부/시장가치 비율이 시장베타로는 측정되지 않는 주식가격결정에 있어 가격화 된 또 다른 위험을 대리한다면 수익률에 나타난 SIZE, B/M효과는 합리적 가격결정하 APT나 ICAPM과 같은 확장된 CAPM과 모순되지 않는 하나의 증거로 볼 수 있으며, 비록 이들 변수들이 관찰 불가능한 진정한 시장베타에 대한 보다 나은 대용치라고 할지라도 이들 두 변수와 관련된 요인을 포함한 다요인 가격결정모델이 시장지수만을 포함한 단일요인모델에 비해 보다 유용한 모형임을 기대할 수 있다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.7
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• pp.49-63
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• 2018

This study examines both the announcement effect of corporate real estate acquisitions and sales and long-term stock performance. Also, we analyze long-term stock returns on the basis of the amount and the purpose (business activities, financial activities, etc.) of real estate acquisitions and sales. The major findings are as follow. First, we find that there is no significant announcement effect on the real estate acquisitions. However, the announcement day of real estate sales shows significantly positive abnormal stock returns. Second, we find that both the real estate acquisitions and sales show negative long-term stock performance. We also find the same results from the case where we classify our sample on the basis of the amount and the purpose of real estate acquisitions and sales. Third, the amount of real estate acquisitions is significantly negatively related to long-term stock returns, whereas the relation between firm value and the amount of real estate sales is positive only under the business activities. Overall, long-term stock performance decreases after the announcement day of the real estate acquisitions and sales. This results can be explained by agency theory. Also, we conclude that a decline in stock performance after the real estate sales explain an information signal on financial distress.

• Korean small business review
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.23-42
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• 2020

In this paper, it is analyzed that the financial factors of successful/unsuccessful companies in restructuring among Korean SMEs. For this purpose, the cases of 494 SMEs that had been subjected to workout programs due to financial distress between 2008-2014 were collected from A bank which is a SME financing bank, and had been subjected to logistic regression and t-test. And the sample cases are categorized into two groups, companies subject to external audit and the others, to provide more reliability. The result suggests; First, in all sample cases of SMEs, those are success factors for workout in connection with smaller total assets, lager sales amount, lower ratio of intangible assets, higher ratio of operating profit, lower ratio of short-term debt, higher ratio of long-term debt, and longer corporation history. Secondly, several factors have different influence on companies subject to external audit and the others. Lastly, the success factors for workout in Korean SMEs turned out to be different from those suggested in previous studies that are focused on large company. Some of the financial factors that led financially distressed firm to a successful restructuring showed the same results as large companies, but some of them were not related to them or even had the inverse influence on SMEs. This implies that SMEs have their distinctive success factors.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.264-272
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• 2019

In this study, the rate of return on investment used as a proxy variable for the entity's value and financial structure (liability ratio) is related to positive balance. This is consistent with the Static Tradeoff Theory (STT) that the entity's value and financial structure are related to a positive balance because the capital expense of a debt (tax-saving effects) that is less than its equity cost before it is in financial difficulty. Also, operating profitability (EBITDA/Sales), investment safety, total asset growth, net working capital and depreciation expenses are related to negative (-) with financial structure (liability ratio). This is the result of an analysis consistent with the Pecking Order Theory (POT). Fuel costs, borrowing, total asset turnover, financial costs, and tangible asset ratios have a significant positive relationship with the debt ratio. This is consistent with the agency theory and confirms that excessive chartering expenses, such as the bankrupt H company, are the main factors that pressure the financial structure of Korean ocean carriers.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.81-111
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• 2007

The agency relationship between managers and shareholders has the potential to influence decision-making in the firm which in turn potentially impacts on firm characteristics such as value and leverage. Using an agency framework, we examine the relation between ownership structure and capital structure during post-IMF period. We used the balanced panel data for 378 korean listed companies during the 1999-2005. The panel data sets consist of time-series observation on each of 378 cross-sectional units. The results indicate a non-linear U-shaped relation between the level of managerial share ownership and leverage with the relation reaching a minimum at 58.48 per cent of management share ownership. As managerial share ownership increase from a low level, managers have incentive to reduce the debt level for decreasing the financial risk, resulting in a lower lever of debt. However, when corporate managers hold a significant proportion of a firm's shares, managers have incentive to increase the debt level for leverage effects, resulting in a higher lever of debt.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.1-11
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• 2014

This study examines the performance of the successful small and medium size firms in their early stage. No sign of widespread chasm or the death valley among the sample firm is identified. More than half the sample firms had made reasonable forecast on the uncertainty of their future business before they were incorporated. Overall results of empirical studies carried out in this article allow us to assert that the difficulties experienced in the early stage are mostly manageable within the organization. This implies that the Government support for start-ups in early stage should be discouraged. Empirical investigation across different periods reveals, however, that the Government may have significant roles to play when it comes down to controlling the macroeconomic shocks.