• Title/Summary/Keyword: 장기간 보정

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Detailing of regional evapotranspiration using temperature data and energy balance method (기온 자료와 에너지수지 방법을 이용한 지역 기준 증발산량 상세화)

  • Shin Uk Kang;Wan Sik Yu;Kyoung Pil Kim;Yong Sin Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.118-118
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    • 2023
  • 물순환 과정의 구성요소 중 하나인 증발산(증발과 증산)은 각종 수자원시설물의 운영관리, 수자원계획 수립, 농업용 시설의 개발 및 운영관리 등에 필요한 매우 중요한 요소이다. 한편, 기후변화 등으로 '14~'19년 장기간 가뭄, '17년 가뭄상황에서도 태풍 '차바'에 의한 국지적 홍수, '20년 역대 최장기간 장마에 의한 대규모 홍수, '22년 태풍 '힌남노' 이후 남부지역 극심한 가뭄 등 가뭄과 홍수가 반복되어 물관리 여건이 매우 어려운 상황이다. 이러한 홍수/가뭄에 효과적으로 대응하기 위해 강우-유출 모형을 사용한다. 신뢰적인 예측결과를 얻기 위해서는 상세하고 정밀한 증발산량 추정이 필요하다. Penman-Monteith(PM) 기법으로 기준 증발산량을 산정하기 위해서는 최고·최저기온, 이슬점온도, 풍속, 일조시간 등의 기상자료가 필요하다. 이러한 자료는 전국 95개 ASOS 지점에만 얻을 수 있다. 계산된 95개 지점의 기준 증발산량은 티센망 등 방법으로 공간평균하여 활용한다. 95개 지점 자료만으로는 지역적 기상 특성을 반영하여 기준 증발산량을 산정하는데 한계가 있으며, 결국 강우-유출분석의 신뢰도 저하로 귀결된다. 본 연구는 기상청 ASOS 지점 외 AWS 590개 지점을 추가하여 기준 증발산량을 산정하여 공간적으로 상세화하였다. ASOS 지점들에 대해 PM 기법과 Hargreaves(HS) 기법으로 22년간의 일단위 기준 증발산량을 각각 계산하였다. 이들의 상관계수는 평균 0.85로 매우 높아, HS 기법으로 산정된 AWS 지점 결과의 추가사용이 적정하였다. 기온만을 사용하는 HS 기법, PM과 HS의 상관성 및 풍속을 반영한 2가지 보정 HS 기법으로 기준 증발산량을 계산하여 비교·분석하였다. 보정된 HS의 결과가 기존 HS 기법에 비해 오차가 적고, 자료의 편향성이 줄어드는 등 더 좋은 결과를 나타내었다. 따라서, 각종 수문분석에 보정 HS 기법을 AWS 지점에 확대·적용하고, ASOS 관측소의 PM 기법과 병행해 상세화하여 활용하면 수문분석의 신뢰성을 더욱 높일 수 있을 것이다.

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Estimation of CMIP5 based streamflow forecast and optimal training period using the Deep-Learning LSTM model (딥러닝 LSTM 모형을 이용한 CMIP5 기반 하천유량 예측 및 최적 학습기간 산정)

  • Chun, Beomseok;Lee, Taehwa;Kim, Sangwoo;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Jung, Younghun;Do, Jongwon;Shin, Yongchul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.353-353
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 CMIP5(The fifth phase of the Couple Model Intercomparison Project) 미래기후시나리오와 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 모형 기반의 딥러닝 기법을 이용하여 하천유량 예측을 위한 최적 학습 기간을 제시하였다. 연구지역으로는 진안군(성산리) 지점을 선정하였다. 보정(2000~2002/2014~2015) 및 검증(2003~2005/2016~2017) 기간을 설정하여 연구지역의 실측 유량 자료와 LSTM 기반 모의유량을 비교한 결과, 전체적으로 모의값이 실측값을 잘 반영하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, LSTM 모형의 장기간 예측 성능을 평가하기 위하여 LSTM 모형 기반 유량을 보정(2000~2015) 및 검증(2016~2019) 기간의 SWAT 기반 유량에 비교하였다. 비록 모의결과에일부 오차가 발생하였으나, LSTM 모형이 장기간의 하천유량을 잘 산정하는 것으로 나타났다. 검증 결과를 기반으로 2011년~2100년의 CMIP5 미래기후시나리오 기상자료를 이용하여 SWAT 기반 유량을 모의하였으며, 모의한 하천유량을 LSTM 모형의 학습자료로 사용하였다. 다양한 학습 시나리오을 적용하여 LSTM 및 SWAT 모형 기반의 하천유량을 모의하였으며, 최적 학습 기간을 제시하기 위하여 학습 시나리오별 LSTM/SWAT 기반 하천유량의 상관성 및 불확실성을 비교하였다. 비교 결과 학습 기간이 최소 30년 이상일때, 실측유량과 비교하여 LSTM 모형 기반 하천유량의 불확실성이 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 CMIP5 미래기후시나리오와 딥러닝 기반 LSTM 모형을 연계하여 미래 장기간의 일별 유량을 모의할 경우, 신뢰성 있는 LSTM 모형 기반 하천유량을 모의하기 위해서는 최소 30년 이상의 학습 기간이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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On the Estimation Techniques of Hurst exponent (허스트 지수 산정 방법에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seoh, Byung-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.993-1007
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    • 2004
  • There are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent. However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. This study uses several techniques such as adjusted range, resealed range(RR) analysis, modified restated range(MRR) analysis, 1/f power spectral density analysis, Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE), detrended fluctuations analysis(DFA), and aggregated variance time(AVT)method for the Hurst exponent estimation. The generated time series from chaos and stochastic systems are analyzed for the comparative study of the techniques. Then this study discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the techniques and also the limitations of them.

Redefinition of the Original Benchmark Height using Long-term Tide Observations Analysis and GPS Levelling Methods (장기간 조위관측자료 분석과 GPS 수준측량 수준원점 성과 재정의)

  • Jung, Tae-Jun;Yoon, Hong-Sic;Hwang, Jin-Sang;Lee, Dong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we suggested the period of tide observations is proper to calculate the mean sea level(MSL) precisely on Incheon tide station using wavelet analysis, and newly determined then the vertical reference surface of Korea using the calculated MSL. In order to calculate the height difference between the calculated MSL and specific ground station (ICGP) near the Incheon tide stations, we performed the laser measurements directly to the sea surface where located below ICGP. The orthometric-height of ICGP was determined that corrected the height difference to the calculated MSL using linear interpolation method. Finally, we connected the orthometric-height of ICGP with the original benchmark (ORBM) using GPS leveling methods for determining the new orthometric-height of ORBM. As the results, there is a variation amount of 0.026m between the new MSL was calculated in this study and old MSL was calculated in 1910's. Also, there is a difference of 0.035m between the new and old orthometric-heights of ORBM. The connection (or leveling) error of 0.009m was revealed in new orthometric height of ORBM with consideration of MSL variation which may caused by the error of GPS ellipsoid height and/or geoid model. In this study, we could be determined precisely the orthometric-height of ORBM based on the new MSL of Incheon Bay using only GPS leveling method, not a spirit leveling method. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the vertical datum strictly using long-term and continuously tide observations more than 19 years and to use the GPS leveling method widely in the height leveling work for the effective changeover from the orthonormal to the orthometric in national height system.

The Study of Coastal Change Detection Ortho Aerial Photo and Hydrographic Survey: Parcels Submerged (정사항공사진과 해양조사측량을 이용한 해안선변화 탐지에 관한 연구: 포락지 중심으로)

  • Choi Chul Eung;Kim Youn Soo;Suh Yong Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2005
  • The coastal erosion and the look of a heap which are mainly occurred in the district along the coast are found for various forms such as the estuary closing, the estuary sand bar the development of the coast sand bar, and the modification of coastline. Recently, due to the coastal development, these transformations have been intensified. The change of coast, which has been made slow progress is required long-term study on a searching examination of the root cause and a suggestion of a counter measure. In this research, ortho aerial photos were produced to analyze volumes of topographical alternations that have been progressed fer the long run, by 10s cycle from 1940s through 1990s, to compute accurate volumes of coastline variation, through a datum point and G.C.P (Ground Control Point). Also in this study, without respect to water level, the coastline variation was analyzed by using comparatively analyzed a Idlest land map, a cadastral map. And to analyze topographical variation volumes, the tidal station's materials was used under consideration f3r tide. Finally, topographical variation volumes are comparatively analyzed through surveying and sounding and a point of fine of aviation photographing was calculated and revised. After this research, by using ortho aerial photos, We can understand efficiency of these in computing volumes of variations of coastline by analyzing quantitatively erosion and look of a heap. Besides, in the future, these will be used for information gathering of the coastline integration control system.

Validation of Sea Surface Wind Speeds from Satellite Altimeters and Relation to Sea State Bias - Focus on Wind Measurements at Ieodo, Marado, Oeyeondo Stations (인공위성 고도계 해상풍 검증과 해상상태편차와의 관련성 - 이어도, 마라도, 외연도 해상풍 관측치를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Do-Young;Woo, Hye-Jin;Park, Kyung-Ae;Byun, Do-Seong;Lee, Eunil
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2018
  • The sea surface wind field has long been obtained from satellite scatterometers or passive microwave radiometers. However, the importance of satellite altimeter-derived wind speed has seldom been addressed because of the outstanding capability of the scatterometers. Satellite altimeter requires the accurate wind speed data, measured simultaneously with sea surface height observations, to enhance the accuracy of sea surface height through the correction of sea state bias. This study validates the wind speeds from the satellite altimeters (GFO, Jason-1, Envisat, Jason-2, Cryosat-2, SARAL) and analyzes characteristics of errors. In total, 1504 matchup points were produced using the wind speed data of Ieodo Ocean Research Station (IORS) and of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) buoys at Marado and Oeyeondo stations for 10 years from December 2007 to May 2016. The altimeter wind speed showed a root mean square error (RMSE) of about $1.59m\;s^{-1}$ and a negative bias of $-0.35m\;s^{-1}$ with respect to the in-situ wind speed. Altimeter wind speeds showed characteristic biases that they were higher (lower) than in-situ wind speeds at low (high) wind speed ranges. Some tendency was found that the difference between the maximum and minimum value gradually increased with distance from the buoy stations. For the improvement of the accuracy of altimeter wind speed, an equation for correction was derived based on the characteristics of errors. In addition, the significance of altimeter wind speed on the estimation of sea surface height was addressed by presenting the effect of the corrected wind speeds on the sea state bias values of Jason-1.

Development of water quality and aquatic ecosystem model for Andong lake using SWAT-WET (SWAT-WET을 이용한 안동호의 수질 및 수생태계 모델 구축)

  • Woo, Soyoung;Kim, Yongwon;Kim, Wonjin;Kim, Sehoon;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.719-730
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study is to develop the water quality and aquatic ecosystem model for Andong lake using SWAT-WET (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Water Ecosystem Tool) and to evaluate the applicability of WET. To quantify the pollutants load flowing into Andong lake, a watershed model of SWAT was constructed for Andong Dam basin (1,584 km2). The calibration results for Dam inflow and water quality loads (SS, T-N, T-P) were analyzed that average R2 was more than 0.76, 0.69, 0.84, and 0.60 respectively. The calibrated SWAT results of streamflow and nutrients concentration was used into WET input data. WET was calibrated and validated for water temperature, dissolved oxygen, and water quality concentration (T-N, T-P) of Andong lake. The WET calibrated results was analyzed that PBIAS was +19%, -13%, +4%, and +26.5% respectively and showed that it was simulated to a significant level compared with the observation data. The observed dry weight (gDW/m2) of zoobenthos was less than 0.5, but the average value of simulation was analyzed to be 0.8, which is because the WET model considers zoobenthos with a broader concept. Although accurate calibration is difficult due to the lack of observed data, SWAT-WET can analyze the effects of environmental change in the upstream watershed on the lake based on long-term simulation based on watershed model. Therefore, the results of this study can be used as basic data for managing the aquatic environment of Andong lake.

Nutritional status and metabolic syndrome risk according to the dietary pattern of adult single-person household, based on the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (국민건강영양조사 자료에 의한 식이 패턴별 1인 가구의 영양 상태와 대사증후군 위험도)

  • Keum, Yu Been;Yu, Qi Ming;Seo, Jung-Sook
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study was undertaken to evaluate the health, nutritional status and metabolic syndrome risk according to the dietary pattern of adult single-person households, using information obtained from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). Methods: Data were collected from the 2013-2016 KNHANES, of adults aged 19-64 years, belonging to single-person households. Based on cluster analysis, the dietary patterns of subjects were classified into three groups. The dietary behavior factors, health-related factors, nutritional status, and prevalence of metabolic syndrome obtained from KNHANES questionnaires were compared according to the individual dietary pattern. The nutrient intake data of the subjects were calculated using the semi-food frequency questionnaire. Moreover, blood and physical measurement data of the subjects were analyzed to obtain the prevalence of metabolic syndromes. Results: The major dietary intakes of subjects were classified as 'Rice and kimchi', 'Mixed', and 'Milk·dairy products and fruits' patterns. Characteristics of subjects based on their dietary pattern, gender, age, and education level were significantly different. The 'Milk and fruits' pattern showed low frequency of skipping breakfast and eating out, and had higher intake of dietary supplements. Frequency of alcohol intake and smoking rates were highest in the 'Mixed' pattern. Maximum nutrient intake of fat, vitamin A, riboflavin, vitamin C, niacin, calcium, phosphorus, and potassium was obtained in the 'Milk·dairy products and fruits' pattern. According to dietary patterns adjusted for age and gender, the risk of metabolic syndrome was 0.380 times lower in the 'Milk·dairy products and fruit' pattern than in the 'Rice and kimchi' pattern. However, when adjusted for other confounding factors, no significant difference was obtained between dietary patterns for metabolic syndrome risk. Conclusion: These results indicate that the health and nutritional status of a single-person household is possibly affected by the dietary intake of subjects.

Analysis of the Relationship between the Seasonal Temperature Change and the Electrical Resistivity Value of Landfill Site (매립지의 계절별 온도변화와 전기비저항값의 상관성 분석)

  • Sim, Nak Jong;Ryu, Don Sik;Kim, Chang Gyun;Lee, Chul Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.39 no.9
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    • pp.534-541
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    • 2017
  • The bioreactor type of landfill is to operate to enhance waste decomposition by continuously supplying water such as leachate and wastewater within the landfill, which helps increase the landfill gas production, which in turn prematurely stabilize the landfill. Recently, the environmental law for the operation of the bioreactor type of landfill has been enacted and thereafter the bioreactor type of landfill has been introduced for the first time in Korea to the SUDOKWON landfill site. In order to properly apply for bioreactor to the landfill, it is necessary to investigate the water distribution inside the landfill so that water recirculation should be optimally allocated with the zone of concern. In this regard, electrical resistivity survey has been suitably performed to delineate the water distribution in the landfill. That is, it has surveyed for long-term of period that the recirculation of leachate has been properly reflected from electrical resistivity within the second landfill of SUDOKWON landfill site. As a result, the electrical resistivity immediately corresponded to the variation of the extent of the seasonal temperature dynamics. From this, a calibratrion could be accomplished by correlating between temperature and electrical resistivity obtained from this study that can be applicable for optimally monitoring to keep the ideal operating condition for the bioreactor type of landfill.

Optimal Micrositing and Annual Energy Production Prediction for Wind Farm Using Long-term Wind Speed Correlation Between AWS and MERRA (AWS와 MERRA 데이터의 장기간 풍속보정을 통한 풍력터빈 최적배치 및 연간에너지생산량 예측)

  • Park, Mi Ho;Kim, Bum Suk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2016
  • A Wind resource assessment and optimal micrositing of wind turbines were implemented for the development of an onshore wind farm of 30 MW capacity on Gadeok Island in Busan, Republic of Korea. The wind data measured by the automatic weather system (AWS) that was installed and operated in the candidate area were used, and a reliability investigation was conducted through a data quality check. The AWS data were measured for one year, and were corrected for the long term of 30 years by using the modern era retrospective analysis for research and application (MERRA) reanalysis data and a measure- correlate-predict (MCP) technique; the corrected data were used for the optimal micrositing of the wind turbines. The micrositing of the 3 MW wind turbines was conducted under 25 conditions, then the best-optimized layout was analyzed with a various wake model. When the optimization was complete, the estimated park efficiency and capacity factor were from 97.6 to 98.7 and from 37.9 to 38.3, respectively. Furthermore, the annual energy production (AEP), including wake losses, was estimated to be from 99,598.4 MWh to 100,732.9 MWh, and the area was confirmed as a highly economical location for development of a wind farm.