• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잠재특성모형

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An Experimental Study on Flow Characteristics Around Culvert According to Blocked Area (차단면적 변화에 따른 암거주변 흐름특성 실험연구)

  • Kim, Sung Joong;Yeo, Hong Koo;Kang, Jun Gu;Jung, Do Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.467-467
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    • 2016
  • 암거는 일반적으로 용수나 배수용의 수로가 도로, 철도, 제방 등의 아래에 매설 된 수로를 지칭한다. 이러한 암거는 산업발전으로 사회기반시설의 신설 및 확충, 재정비 등으로 많이 활용되고 있다. 최근 들어 기후로 인한 재해가 급증하면서 이러한 시설물에 대한 안정성 및 관리에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있는 것이 현실이다. 특히 소하천은 집수면적 및 유로연장이 짧고 하상경사가 급하기 때문에 홍수에 취약하다. 즉, 빨라진 유속으로 인해 구조물 주변의 세굴에 의한 유실, 토사유출로 인한 하상퇴적, 부유물로 인한 차단으로 인해 통수에 지장을 받아 피해가 발생하게 된다. 이러한 암거시설물 피해는 2차 피해로 이어질 수 있으며 사회기반시설 파괴로 도시기능이 마비되고 인근 주변지역에 침수로 인한 재산 및 인명피해까지 발생시킬 수 있는 피해 잠재능력을 보유하고 있다. 그러나 피해에 대한 예방대책은 유지관리를 통해 지속적으로 관리하는 것이 대부분의 지침 등에 소개된 내용들이다. 본 연구에서는 암거를 대상으로 암거의 폐색으로 인해 암거주변에서 변화되는 흐름특성을 축소모형을 통해 검토하고자 하였다. 암거 축소모형실험은 1.5m 폭을 갖는 직선수로에서 수행하였으며, 암거모형은 도로암거표준도(2008)를 참조하여 $3m{\times}3m$ 수로암거를 대상으로 1/10 축소모형을 제작하였다. 암거유입부 퇴적으로 인한 암거의 차단률(차단면적/암거단면적)은 차단이 발생하지 않는 0% 조건에서부터 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50% 조건에 대해 실험을 수행하였다. 실험결과 차단에 따른 암거 상류단의 수위는 차단이 없는 암거의 경우에 비해 차단율이 높아질수록 암거유입부 수위는 20.4% ~ 82.7% 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 암거의 차단률이 40% 이상일 경우 높아진 수위로 인해 암거통로의 윗상면부까지 다다르고 있으며 50%일 경우 암거를 통과하는 흐름이 자유수면흐름이 아닌 오리피스 흐름이 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 암거유입부 차단으로 인한 암거주변의 최대유속은 암거 직하류부에서 주로 발생하여 암거 유출부에서의 최대유속은 차단율이 증가할수록 선형적으로 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며 암거 유출부에서의 유속은 차단전의 조건(0%) 대비 4.2% ~ 35.5% 까지 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 결과를 토대로 고려하였을 때 대부분 산지부에서 설치되는 암거의 경우 유속이 불가피하게 증가하게 됨으로 유속에 따른 유속조절방안(차단 및 우회시설) 및 세굴대책을 세워야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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Analyzing Accessibility of Emergency Shelters Based on Service Population: The Case of Outdoor Evacuation Places for Earthquake in Jung-gu, Seoul (생활인구를 고려한 대피시설 접근성 분석: 서울 중구지역 지진 옥외 대피장소를 사례로)

  • Kim, Sang-Gyoon;Shin, Sang-Young;Nam, Hyeon-Jung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study analyzes accessibility of outdoor evacuation places for earthquake and the accessibility improvement effects when expanding the evacuation places in accessibility-deficient areas. In order to consider real-world evacuees, the accessibility analysis is based on service population not on resident population. Method: Location-allocation model as a GIS-based spatial optimization mode is used to analyze accessibility and vulnerable areas to evacuation places. Of location-allocation problem types, 'Maximize Coverage' method is chosen to allocate as many potential evacuees as possible to evacuation places. And impedence cutoffs or evacuation distances (times) are applied to three classes: 500m (7.5 minutes), 1,000m (15 minutes), and 1,500m (22.5 minutes). Case study area is Jung-gu areas, Seoul as a high-density downtown area. Result: Results show that accessibility-deficient areas and population to evacuation places are much more in service population than in resident population. Accessibility is significantly improved when increases when expanding the evacuation places in accessibility-deficient areas. Yet, accessibility-deficient areas are still remained since available lands are insufficient in the high-density downtown area. Conclusion: The study suggests that temporary evacuation facilities like outdoor evacuation places for earthquake need to consider real potential evacuees based not only on resident population but also on service population. Also, policy measures to provide emergency shelters need to more utilize spatial optimization tools like location-allocation model.

The parameter investigation for the development of model to predict responses of vegetation to hydrological conditions (수문생태 모델의 개발을 위한 요소 검토)

  • Hong, Il;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1076-1080
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    • 2007
  • 최근 국내에서는 하천변 생태계를 대상으로 생태구조 및 서식처 평가 등 많은 연구가 진행되었음에도 불구하고 생태적 변화를 예측하고 예측된 결과에 따라 생태복원 대책을 수립할 수 있는 연구는 현재까지 미흡하다고 볼 수 있으며, 이는 생태복원 연구에 있어 주요과제라고 할 수 있다. 이에 반해 유럽과 미국에서는 수문학적 서식처 조건에 따른 식생 반응 예측 등 수문생태 모형에 대한 연구가 꾸준히 이루어져 왔으며, 최근에는 습지, 홍수터 등을 대상으로 생태보전 복원분야에 널리 응용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국외의 수문생태모형 적용사례를 분석하여 국내 적용가능성 및 문제점에 대한 타당성을 제시하고자 하였다. 그 대상으로는 유역 내에 홍수량 분담을 위한 천변저류지를 적용하였으며, 의미상으로 홍수터(범람원), 습지 역시 해당 범위에 포함할 수 있다. 천변저류지는 홍수기와 비홍수기에 따라 활용 측면을 구분할 수 있으며, 이런 맥락에서 천변저류지의 수위변화는 식생 변화의 중요한 요소(factor)가 될 수 있다. 그 외 범람시기, 범람일수, 건조기간 등을 포함한 수문요소 역시 수문생태 모델의 예측 변수인 식생 성장에 영향을 미치게 된다. 이러한 수문/생태시스템의 상호관계를 활용하고 모형의 형태를 국내 식생에 대한 생리학적 특성에 맞게 변화시킬 수 있다면 국내 천변저류지에도 충분히 적용 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 잠재적으로 식생 성장에 영향을 줄 수 있는 다양한 환경조건 예를 들면 영양물질, 토양구조, 토사 퇴적 등을 적용대상지 환경에 맞게 포함하거나 고려할 수 있다면 모형의 재현성을 더욱 높일 수 있을 것이다.의 기대효과를 가져올 수 있으리라 생각되며 분석된 인자들은 수달 서식지를 위한 하천정비의 기초자료에 유용할 것으로 보인다.따른 유량측정망을 구축하는 것이다.의 의사결정 지원 도구가 될 것이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 도시유역의 물순환 해석을 위한 일련의 과정, 즉 자료의 조사 및 취득에서부터 물순환 해석 모형을 이용한 정량적 현황파악, 물순환 개선 기법 및 평가를 수행함에 있어 주요 착안점 및 실무에서의 기술적 가이드를 제공하고자 하였으며, 보다 세밀한 도시유역의 물순환 해석을 위하여 우리나라와 일본에서 적용이 활발한 물리적 기반의 분포형 모형(WEP, SHER, SWMM)의 적용사례를 통하여 국내 도시하천의 물순환 해석에 활용함에 있어서의 실질적인 적용절차 등을 제시하고자 하였다. 한다.호강유역의 급격한 수질개선을 알 수 있다.世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와 동년대에 동일한 목적으로 찬술되었음을 알 수 있다. $\ulcorner$경상도실록지리지$\lrcorner$(慶尙道實錄地理志)에는 $\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기소의 위치가 완전히 삭제되어 있다.

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A Study on the Effect of Walking Environment (Characteristics) on Apartment Housing Rental Prices using Multi-Level Model (다수준모형을 이용한 보행친화적환경이 공동주택 전세가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Seo, Minjung;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.905-914
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    • 2017
  • We examine 554 state basic districts and 1832 householders in Busan metropolitan city to see whether the physical and walkable characteristics of housing influence apartment housing prices. We use two-level models modeling for a more accurate analysis. Walkable characteristics in level 2 state basic districts potentially explain 77% of the variation in housing values, with the highest impact on crime safety characteristics. Overall, our spatial multi-level analysis based on new state basic districts in Korea explained price variation better than previous studies, which considered each householder. The results provide policy opportunities for planners and citizen groups to pursue strategies that encourage the development of walkable and sustainable neighborhoods.

Bridge Employment and Changes in Marital Satisfaction among Korean Baby Boomers (가교일자리에서의 근로가 베이비부머의 결혼만족도 변화에 미치는 영향)

  • Nah, Su-young;Han, Gyoung-hae
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.541-562
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    • 2016
  • The current study investigates the relationship and the mechanisms between bridge employment and change in marital satisfaction during midlife, using a three-wave panel dataset obtained from the Korean Baby Boomer Panel Study. A multivariate latent growth analysis reveals that the transition from career employment to bridge employment, compared to maintaining career employment, has an indirect negative effect on increase rate of marital satisfaction through the wage decrease. A steep decrease in wage following transition to bridge employment causes a lower increase in marital satisfaction. On the other hand, continuously engaging in bridge employment rather than career employment is associated with a higher increase in marital satisfaction via a higher increase in job commitment. This result implies that Baby Boomers adapt to bridge employment over time. Overall, the present study finds that the effect of bridge employment on the change in marital satisfaction during midlife varies with the duration of bridge employment. A future research needs to explore which factors can buffer the negative effect of decrease in wage during transition to the bridge employment on the change in marital satisfaction.

A Longitudinal Analysis of the Influence of Teachers' Achievement Pressure and Enthusiasm Perceived by Students on Academic Achievement in Mathematics: For Elementary and Middle School Students (학생들이 인지하는 교사의 성취압력과 열의가 수학 학업성취도에 미치는 영향력에 대한 종단적 분석: 초·중학생들을 대상으로)

  • Kim, YongSeok
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.135-156
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    • 2021
  • Achievement pressure and enthusiasm affecting mathematics academic achievement are constantly changing and affecting academic achievement. Therefore, a longitudinal study is needed to examine the influence of the change patterns of teachers' achievement pressure and enthusiasm on the change patterns of academic achievement. This study utilized student data from the 5th grade of elementary school (2013 year) to the third grade of middle school (2017 year) of the Korean Education Longitudinal Study 2013. The longitudinal change patterns of mathematics academic achievement were classified into similar subgroups and the influence of the longitudinal change patterns of the achievement pressure and enthusiasm of each group on the longitudinal change pattern of mathematics academic achievement and the path were compared and analyzed. As a result of the analysis, in all four subgroups with similar longitudinal changes in mathematics academic achievement, the teacher's achievement pressure showed little change from the fifth grade, while the teacher's enthusiasm continued to decline from the fifth grade. In addition, the influence of teachers' achievement pressure and enthusiasm perceived by students in each group on mathematics academic achievement was different. This suggests that in order to improve mathematics academic achievement, it is necessary to support teaching and learning reflecting the characteristics and dispositions of students.

Multiple Trajectories of Depressive Symptoms Among Older Adults (노년기 우울의 다중변화궤적에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Eun-Na;Choi, Jae-sung
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.387-407
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to identify the multiple trajectories of depressive symptoms and the characteristics of each trajectory group among the elderly. This study uses five waves of longitudinal data from the Korean Welfare Panel Study (KWPS, 2006-2010). Subjects were older adults aged 60 and over who had completed at least three waves between 2006 and 2010. A total of 4,181 respondents were analyzed. The latent growth mixture model and the multiple logistic regression model were mainly used for data analysis. The major findings were as follows: After controlling for the variables of gender, age, education, marital status, self-assessed health, and poverty, this study identified four different trajectory classes: stable low depressive symptoms (71.8%), high but decreased depressive symptoms (10.6%), moderate but increased depressive symptoms (7.9%), and an increased, then a decreased pattern of depressive symptoms (9.7%). The characteristics of theses trajectories as compared to previous studies were a lower percentage of 'stable low depressive symptoms', no 'persistently high depressive symptoms', and higher level of depressive symptoms. Also, the elderly in the stable low trajectory group had better health status, higher self-esteem and a good relationship with family members, having longer working periods, and more living in non-poverty. In addition, chronic health problems, loss of spouse, and household income differentiated the increased and then decreased pattern from the low stable pattern. Also, age and public pension differentiated the moderated but increased pattern from the low stable pattern. Based on the findings of this study, the researchers suggested political and practical implications for reducing depressive symptoms in later life.

A Exploratory Study on Multiple Trajectories of Life Satisfaction During Retirement Transition: Applied Latent Class Growth Analysis (은퇴 전후 생활만족도의 다중 변화궤적에 관한 탐색적 연구: 잠재집단성장모형을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Eun-Na
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.85-112
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to understand the developmental trajectories of life satisfaction among retirees and to examine what factors differentiate different trajectory classes. This study used three waves of longitudinal data from Korean Retirement and Income Study and data collected every two years(2005, 2007, and 2009). Subjects were respondents aged 50-69 who identified to be retired between wave 1 and wave 2. Finally, this study used 243 respondents for final data analysis. Life satisfaction was measured by seven items. The latent class growth model and multiple logistic regression model were used for data analysis. This study identified three distinct trajectory classes: high stable class(47.7%), high at the early stage but decreased class(42.8%), and low at the early stage and then decreased class(9.5%). This study founded that approximately 50% of the retirees experienced the decline of life satisfaction after retirement and about 10% of the sample was the most vulnerable group. This study analyzed what factors make different among the distinct trajectory groups. As a results, retirees who experienced the improvement in health change were more likely to be in 'high stable class' compared to 'hight at the early stage but decreased class'. In addition, retirees who were less educated, maintained the same health status rather than the improvement, worked as a temporary or a day laborer, and had less household income were more likely to belong to 'low at the early stage and then decreased class' relative to 'high stable class'. This study suggests that there are distinct three trajectories on life satisfaction among the retirees and finds out factors differentiating between trajectory groups. Based on these findings, the study discusses the implications for social work practice and further study.

A Study on the Feature of Using Media for Education through Longitudinal Data Analysis (종단자료 분석을 통한 청소년 미디어 교육 활용 특성 분석 연구)

  • Heo, Gyun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the changing trajectory of using educational media through longitudinal data analysis. We categorize the feature of using educational media as usage for learning, usage for information, and usage for the game. We explore the longitudinal changing patterns of usage for learning, usage for information, and usage for the game by LGM(Longitudinal Growth Modeling). We also find the gender difference between these longitudinal changing trajectories. We used 3,499 samples of KYPS middle school second-grade panel data. We found these results: (a) Both usage for learning and information are statically significant variability in initial level and rate of change. Both of the changing trajectories have increased. (b) Girls have a higher rate of the change both in the usage of learning and information than boys over time. (c) There is a statistically significant individual variability in initial levels and rate of change in the usage of the game over time. (d) Boys have a higher rate of initial value than girls in the usage of games, but there is no significant difference in the rate of changing trajectories.

Case Study: Groundwater Recharge Hydrograph in Pyeongchang River (평창강 지하수 함양곡선 연구)

  • Kwak, Jaewon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2021
  • It is important to extract and assess low-flow recession characteristics for water resources management in the upper reaches of a stream. It is difficult to express the groundwater flow recession characteristics for streamflow synthetically. The linear recession model has been widely used by baseflow recession analysis for reason of simplicity and convenience, but recent studies show that nonlinear recession models fit well, and the relationship between the reservoir storage of shallow unconfined aquifers and the groundwater discharge was to be identified as nonlinear in the literature based on the analysis of numerous streamflow recession curves. The objective of the study is to decode these nonlinear characteristics, including evaporation loss, storage, and recharge of groundwater using streamflow. By analyzing the observed time series of streamflow from the study area, which is the Pyeongchang River basin in Korea, the main components of the underlying groundwater balance, namely, discharge, evaporation loss, storage, and recharge, can be identified and quantified. As a result of the study, depletion of groundwater by evapotranspiration losses through the water uptake of tree roots was found to bias the recession curves and the estimated reservoir parameters. The seasonality of both rainfall and potential evaporation, analysis of the recession curves, stratified according to time of the year, allowed the quantification of evapotranspiration loss as a function of a calendar month and stored groundwater storage.