• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잠재적 발생원

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Valuation of Air Quality in the Metropolitan Seoul (3중양분선택·개방형 CVM을 이용한 수도권 대기질의 편익가치)

  • Rhee, Hae-Chun;Chung, Hyun-Sik;Kim, Tae-Yung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.387-415
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    • 2004
  • This paper is intended to valuate air quality of the Seoul Metropolitan Area using triple-bound dichotomous choice (TBDC) contingent valuation method (CVM), supplemented by open-ended (OE) questionnaires. In the OE questionnaires, some respondents would state their willingness to pay (WTP) outside the limits of the WTP interval. It implies that WTP estimates based on the customary dichotomous choice (DC) questionnaires can be biased. We argue that the TBDC-CVM refined with OE questions is more efficient, because the latter helps purge the former of corrupted data that may have been collected by the TBDC interview process.

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Economic Valuation of Alternatives for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle Using Choice Experiments (다속성선택법을 적용한 물순환 건전화를 위한 대안의 경제적 가치추정)

  • Yoo, Jin-Chea;Kong, Ki-Seo;Lee, Kil-Seong;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.254-258
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    • 2006
  • 경제발전 과정에서 급격한 도시화로 인해 건기의 하천 수량은 줄어들고, 비점오염 발생량은 증가하였으며 심지어 하천이 복개되고 직강화되어 홍수 피해 및 수질오염은 더욱 증가하고 있다. 다행히 최근 소득수준의 증가와 여가시간이 확대됨에 따라, 그 동안의 도시화와 산업화로 인한 오염된 하천을 다시 복원하려는 운동이 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 안양천은 이 같은 하천 중 가장 대표적인 하천 중 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 다속성선택법(CE: choice experiments)을 적용하여 안양천이 어떠한 속성을 갖고 있으며 각각의 속성에 대해 안양천 유역주민들의 사회적인 경험과 인식, 그리고 각 속성의 수준간의 상쇄관계(trade-off)를 고려함으로써 소비자선호에 근거한 한계가치(marginal value)를 추정하였다. 2차례에 걸친 예비조사를 통해 안양천이 가진속성을 홍수피해위험, 가뭄시 하천유량, 수질등급, 하천형태로 설정하였고 설문지 작성을 위해 개별 속성들간의 직교성(orthogonality)을 보장해 주는 주효과 직교설계(orthogonal main effects design) 방법을 이용하였다. 작성된 설문지를 이용해 안양천 유역 10개 지자체 거주민을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였고 설문조사 결과를 통해 추정된 각 속성에 대한 가구당 매월 한계지불의사액은 하류구간의 잠재적 홍수피해(PFD가 0.5)가 보통일 경우는 1,764.8원/월, 낮을(PFD가 0.5이하) 경우는 1,783.8원/월, 가뭄시 하천수가 목표유지유량보다 는 작지만 매말라 있지 않은 경우에는 1,496.8원/월, 가뭄시 하천수가 목표유지유량 이상 유지될 경우에는 2,274.9원/월, 수질 등급 3등급일 경우 1,721.5원/월, 수질 등급 2등급일 경우 1,764.4원/월, 하천둔치를 체육공원과 산책로를 조성할 경우 2,078.1원/월, 하천둔치를 자연친화형 하천으로 보존할 경우 2,441.7원/월으로 분석되었다. 또한 추정된 가구당 매월 한계지불의사액을 통해 각 지자체별 정책대안의 기대효과에 대한 편익을 추정하였다. 각 기대효과는 치수, 수량확보, 수질, 생태로서 각각의 기대효과에 대해 가장 높은 편익을 나타내는 것은 부천시의 하수처리장 건설로서 이는 매년 926.8억원의 편익이 발생되며 그 다음으로는 부천의 하수관거정비(역곡)로서 이는 매년 601.5억원의 편익이 발생하는 것으로 추정되었다.

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Applying formal methods to Earthquake crisis manual (지진 위기대응 매뉴얼에 대한 정형기법의 활용)

  • Lee, Hyuk;Jeong, Kum-Taek;Choi, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2011.06d
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    • pp.302-305
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    • 2011
  • 최근 몇 년 동안 발생한 자연재해로 인한 인명피해 및 재산피해의 규모가 매우 크며, 발생빈도가 조금씩 늘어가고 있는 추세이다. 이러한 자연재해는 근본적으로 차단할 수 있는 방법이 없기 때문에 적절한 사전대비 또는 대응을 통해 그 피해를 줄이는 노력이 요구된다. 국가적 차원에서 이러한 자연재해 및 위기상황에 대한 대처방안을 정리하여 위기대응 메뉴얼을 만들어 배포하고 있다. 하지만, 위기대응 메뉴얼 자체에 대한 검증은 이루어진 바가 없다. 본 논문에서는 위기대응 메뉴얼이 포함할 수 있는 잠재적 문제점을 찾기 위해 위기대응 메뉴얼에 대해 정형언어를 사용에 모델링을 하고 모델체킹 기법을 통해 원하는 속성이 만족될 수 있는지를 살펴보았다.

Risk Analysis Based on Accident-Category for Railway Work Zones (철도건설현장의 사고유형기반 위험도 분석)

  • Park, Mi-Yun;Choi, Eun-Soo;Park, Joo-Nam;Choi, Seung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2009
  • The theory of risk is applied frequently in analysis of railway accidents. The aim of risk analysis is to search potential causes and contribution factors of accidents by checking the total system of construction field. This paper analyze a pattern and a cause of accident occupied in construction field, calculate risk index considering accident frequency and severity, and then provide the relative risk assessment. Based on this, this paper will provide the methodology of qualitative risk assessment guiding to reach a consistency of risk index with risk assessment.

Construction of Tsunami Inundation Map for Real-Time Quantitative Response (실시간 정량 대응을 위한 지진해일 침수예상도 작성)

  • Bae, Jae-Seok;Yoon, Sung-Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a method to construct tsunami inundation map corresponding to the earthquake location and magnitude was proposed for tsunami real-time quantitative response. This proposed procedure can be introduced as in the followings: Potential tsunami source locations expected to cause damage in an interested area was identified. And numerical simulations were performed for various earthquake magnitudes. Based on numerical simulation results, inundation maps were constructed according to each source location and magnitude of tsunami generating earthquake. In this study, inundation maps for Imwon harbor were constructed for the 11 source locations and 7 earthquake magnitudes on a trial basis.

Climate Change and Drought: Study on Shadow Price and Damage Cost of Water under Drought (기후변화와 가뭄: 가뭄시 물의 잠재가격 및 피해 추정연구)

  • Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Jang, Seok-Won;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.209-218
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    • 2011
  • This study is to estimate economic damages of water shortage, especially drought. we assume scenarios of water shortage and use water input-output linear programming. The result is that economic damage is about 6.4 trillion won in the case of 10% water shortage. According to water shortage scenarios, the shadow price of water in Korea is increasing from 2,462 won to 76,902 won. This study indicates that water has a significant influence on the industrial production in Korea and provides the necessity of the climate change policy for water management.

Properties of inorganic components in the specified waste (지정폐기물 내 미량 무기물질의 특성)

  • Kwon, Young-Hyun;Shon, Byung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.3327-3333
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    • 2011
  • The interest on the recovery of thermal energy using the industrial waste has been rising to solve the problems of continuous increase of waste generation and the depletion of the fossil fuel recently. To recovery from the waste among the new recyclable energies has been proved as the most favorable when the potential value of energy source is compared. The RDF made from the industrial waste has been approved as the most economical method. This research has analyzed the heavy metal components containing in the industrial waste. The concentration of Cl and S in the industrial waste generated in C-industrial complex are slightly high than that of the B- and A-industrial complex. The main components generated from A-industrial complex, B-industrial complex, and C-industrial complex are alumina-silicates, calcium alumina silicates, and the mixture of lime and calcium alumina silicate. These results could be used to reveal the origin of inorganic components in industrial waste and utilized as a basic data to improve the performance of the RDF as fuel.

An Architecture of One-Stop Monitor and Tracking System for Respond to Domestic 'Lone Wolf' Terrorism (국내 자생테러 대응을 위한 원-스톱 감시 및 추적 시스템 설계)

  • Eom, Jung-Ho;Sim, Se-Hyeon;Park, Kwang-Ki
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, the fear of terrorism due to 'Lone Wolf' terrorism is spreading in the United States and Europe. The lone wolf terrorism, which carries out terrorism independently, without an organization behind it, threatens social security around the world. In Korea, those who have explosive national/social dissatisfaction due to damage caused by national policies, and delusional mental disorders can be classified as potential 'Lone Wolf' terrorists. In 'Lone Wolf' terrorism, unlike organized terrorism, it is difficult to identify signs of terrorism in advance, and it is not easy to identify terrorist tools and targets. Therefore, in order to minimize the damage caused by 'Lone Wolf' terrorism, it is necessary to architect an independent monitoring and tracking system for the police's quick response. In this paper, we propose to architect response system that can collect information from organizations that can identify the signs of potential 'Lone Wolf' terrorism, monitor the continuity of abnormal behavior, and determine the types of 'Lone Wolf' terrorism that can happen as continuous abnormal behaviors.

Flood Damage Index regarding Regional Flood Damage Characteristics (지역별 홍수피해특성을 고려한 홍수피해지표 개발)

  • Park, Taesun;Yeo, Chang Geon;Choi, Minha;Lee, Seung Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4B
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2010
  • It would be helpful to evaluate the potential flood damage and compare quantitatively with each other when establishing the regional flood countermeasure and determining the execution of the restoration works and emergency action plans. The Flood Damage Index (FDI) in Korea, possible to estimate localized potential risks caused by flood damages, therefore, was proposed in this study. It was considered with the scale of regional flood damages including the regional characteristics and quantitative grounds. First, the four significant causes were categorized as natural, social, politic, and facilitative ones. And the eleven selected factors representing four causes were determined. Finally, the FDI was obtained by the weighting linear summation of the corrected 11 factors multiplied by the weighting values based on the professional questionnaires. Employing the FDI, the potential risk analysis about flood damages for 229 cities and counties in Korea was conducted. These results would be utilized as the essential basis for more rational and practical countermeasures and plans against flood damage.

Dispersal of potential habitat of non-native species tilapia(Oreochromis spp.) inhabiting rivers in Korea (국내 하천에 서식하는 외래종 틸라피아(tilapia)의 잠재적 서식처 확산)

  • Ju Hyoun Wang;Jung Soo Han;Jun Kil Choi;Hwang Goo Lee
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2023
  • Recently, in relation to climate change, many studies have been conducted to predict the potential habitat area and distribution range of tilapia and the suitability of habitat for each species. Most tilapia are tropical fish that cannot survive at water temperatures below 10 to 12℃, although some tilapia can survive at 6 to 8℃. This study predicted habitable areas and the possibility of spreading of habitat ranges of tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus and Oreochromis aureus) known to inhabit domestic streams. Due to climate change, it was found that habitats in the Geum River, Mangyeong River, Dongjin River, Seomjin River, Taehwa River, Hyeongsan River, and the flowing in East Sea were possible by 2050. In addition, it was confirmed that tilapia could inhabit the preferred lentic ecosystem such as Tamjin Lake, Naju Lake, Juam Lake, Sangsa Lake, Jinyang Lake, Junam Reservoir, and Hoedong Reservoir. In particular, in the case of tilapia, which lives in tributaries of the Geumho River, Dalseo Stream, and the Nakdong River, its range of habitat is expected to expand to the middle and lower of the Nakdong River system. Therefore, it is judged that it is necessary to prepare physical and institutional management measures to prevent the spread of the local population where tilapia currently inhabits and to prevent introduction to new habitats.