• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잔여불확실성

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Scenario Planning을 통한 차세대휴대이동방송 KUF분석과 진입전략

  • Kim, Seung-Ho;Song, Yeong-Hwa;No, Ji-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Information Technology Applications Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 차세대 휴대이동방송 서비스를 대상으로 고객, 기술, 사업자, 규제 4대 이슈별로 환경 불확실성 요인을 규명하고, 핵심불확실성요인(KUF)를 도출하였다. 도출된 KUF를 중심으로 환경의 잔여불확실성 수준 평가를 통해 시나리오 분석을 실시하고, 차세대 휴대이동방송의 진입전략 수립을 위한 방향을 제시하였다.

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Deduction for Key Uncertainty Factors for the Next-generation Convergence Service (차세대 컨버전스서비스 핵심불확실성요인 도출에 관한 분석)

  • Sawng, Yeong-Wha;Park, Sun-Young;Lee, Jung-Mann
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.212-236
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    • 2009
  • This study is an attempt to deduct environmental uncertainties facing next-generation convergence services, in four areas including customer, technology, service provider and regulation. We assess the level of residual uncertainty with regard to key environmental uncertainty factors, and conduct a scenario planning analysis. Based on the results of this analysis, we provide suggestions on market entry strategy for providers of this next-generation convergence service. The strategic assessment of six scenarios developed in this study, each with two levels of residual uncertainty (alternate futures and a range of futures) resulted in two key success factors (KSF), namely, customer demand trends and easing of advertising restrictions. Four types of strategic scenarios were then discerned, for each of which we present response capabilities that may be required of service providers, along with strategic suggestions. The results of this study are rich in implications for both policy-makers and regulators seeking ways to create and stimulate a convergence service market and prospective providers of next-generation convergence services, as they provide concrete tips related to market entry strategy, including efficient resource allocation, types of market entry and time-frames for entry.

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