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Forecasting volatility index by temporal convolutional neural network (Causal temporal convolutional neural network를 이용한 변동성 지수 예측)

  • Ji Won Shin;Dong Wan Shin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2023
  • Forecasting volatility is essential to avoiding the risk caused by the uncertainties of an financial asset. Complicated financial volatility features such as ambiguity between non-stationarity and stationarity, asymmetry, long-memory, sudden fairly large values like outliers bring great challenges to volatility forecasts. In order to address such complicated features implicity, we consider machine leaning models such as LSTM (1997) and GRU (2014), which are known to be suitable for existing time series forecasting. However, there are the problems of vanishing gradients, of enormous amount of computation, and of a huge memory. To solve these problems, a causal temporal convolutional network (TCN) model, an advanced form of 1D CNN, is also applied. It is confirmed that the overall forecasting power of TCN model is higher than that of the RNN models in forecasting VIX, VXD, and VXN, the daily volatility indices of S&P 500, DJIA, Nasdaq, respectively.

A Scheme Reconfiguration of Whitelisting and Hyperledger Fabric for Cryptocurrency Integrity Transactions (암호화폐 무결성 거래를 위한 Whitelisting과 Hyperledger Fabric 재구성 기법)

  • Su-An Jang;Keun-Ho Lee
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2024
  • To trade cryptocurrency, traders require a personal cryptocurrency wallet. Cryptocurrency itself using blockchain technology is guaranteed excellent security and reliability, so the threat of blockchain hacking is almost impossible, but the exchange environment used by traders for transactions is most subject to hacking threats. Even if transactions are made safely through blockchain during the transaction process, if the trader's wallet information itself is hacked, security cannot be secured in these processes. Exchange hacking is mainly done by stealing a trader's wallet information, giving the hacker access to the victim's wallet assets. In this paper, to prevent this, we would like to reconstruct the existing Hyperledger Fabric structure and propose a system that verifies the identity integrity of traders during the transaction process using whitelisting. The advantage is that through this process, damage to cryptocurrency assets caused by hackers can be prevented and recognized. In addition, we aim to point out and correct problems in the transaction process that may occur if the victim's wallet information is stolen from the existing Hyperledger Fabric.

nhancing Anonymity Protection in RWA Token Trading Using Blockchain Exchange Platforms (블록체인 거래소 플랫폼을 활용한 RWA 토큰 거래에서의 개인정보보호 개선 방안)

  • Jaeseong Lee;Junghee Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.641-649
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    • 2024
  • This paper addresses the issue of anonymity protection in the trading of Real-World Asset (RWA) tokens, a prominent topic in the cryptocurrency market in recent years. The principle of transparency inherent in blockchain technology makes it challenging to ensure the anonymity of traders. Although there have been instances in existing blockchain research where mixer services have been utilized to protect the privacy of Fungible Tokens (FTs), and prior studies have explored the privacy protection for Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), RWA tokens, which can embody characteristics of both FTs and NFTs and are tied to physical assets, present a complex challenge in achieving the goal of anonymity protection through any single method. This paper proposes a hypothetical token trading platform, ARTeX, and describes the trading process to analyze measures for protecting the anonymity of RWA token transactions.

Correction of Latent Errors in Pavement Deterioration Data using Statistical Methods (통계기법을 활용한 포장파손자료의 잠재오차 보정)

  • Han, Daeseok;Do, Myungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.587-598
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    • 2012
  • Successful implementation of infrastructure asset management system can be started with rich and reliable data. However, measurement errors in the data have always existed in the real world caused for many unknown reasons. It disturbs maintenance activities of agencies, and makes negative effects to reliability of research results on forecasting deterioration process and life cycle cost. Above all, it makes a contradiction that road agencies cannot believe their inspection data surveyed by their hands. It is particularly serious in the road pavement management field. Although road agencies are well recognized the fact, inspecting without measurement error would be a great challenge. Considering the facts, this paper aimed to suggest statistical error processing methods to correct latent error included in pavement surface inspection data. As alternatives, this paper suggested two methods based on probability distribution to consider structure of error and reliability of the data. The suggested methods were empirically tested by using pavement inspection data from Korean National Highway. As the result, this paper confirmed that conventional error processing that just removes only visible errors is not enough to cover uncertainty in pavement deterioration process. The suggested methods would be useful for improving reliability of analysis results required for road infrastructure asset management.

Factors Influencing the Introduction of Mobile Security Technology (기업 모바일 보안기술 도입에 영향을 미치는 특성요인)

  • Choi, Woong-Gyu;Lee, Young-Jai
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.215-240
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    • 2013
  • This research has reviewed the major composition concepts and the positive research results in the selected studies which were theoretically based on IDT (Innovation Diffusion Theory), IRM (Model of Innovation Resistance), TAM(Technology Acceptance Model), and IAPA(Information Asset Protection Activity) in order to improve the theoretical explanation of major characterized factors influencing on the introduction of MST (Mobile Security Technology). The characterized factors for the adaptation of MST and 17 hypotheses on the MST study models in order to test the effects on the intention to use are empirically verified by utilizing the analysis method of structure equation model. As a result of a study, First, the most influential characterized factors of IRM are shown as compatibility, complexity, relative advantage, information asset protection in order. Second, the characterized factors affecting intention to use are shown as relative advantage, compatibility, innovation resistance, performance expectancy. The results of this study are relevantly significant to establish the theoretical foundation of the study on the adaptation of MST and The verification of the characterized factors provide strategic implication for the introduction of MST and policy direction which alleviates informational gap between new MST and previous Security Technology to diffusion agency.

Economic Crisis and Intergenerational Economy: Lessons from Korea's 1997~98 Economic Crisis (경제위기와 세대 간 경제: 1997~98년 경제위기의 교훈)

  • An, Chong-Bum;Lee, Sang-Hyop;Hwang, Namhui
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.27-49
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    • 2010
  • This paper provides insight into some important features of the intergenerational resource allocation in Korea, before and after the financial crisis in 1997-98. Data sets of three periods before and after the financial crisis (1996, 2000, and 2005) were used to compare the results. This research particularly addresses two related issues: i) the generational effects of economic crisis, and ii) the capacity of age reallocation systems to spread economic risks across generations. The results show tremendous consumption smoothing and resource reallocation by age, during and after the financial crisis. Private education and private health consumption decreased for children between 1996 and 2000. However, the decrease in private education and private health consumption was mitigated by the increase in public consumption. It appears that the public sector did not only mitigate the adverse impact of the economic crisis on consumption, but it also reduced the widening disparity amongst generations. Within transfers, the public transfers for the elderly increased substantially as the private transfers decreased rapidly. Finally, there was a big increase in the asset-based reallocation of the elderly. The increase in asset-based reallocation was mainly due to an increase in asset income between 1996 and 2000, but it was almost entirely due to a decrease in saving (i.e. an increase in dissaving) between 2000 and 2005. This suggests that Korean elderly seemed to have some degree of supporting system during the crisis, even without sufficient pension benefits. The increased reliance on asset accumulation will be critical in the long-run in Korea, as public pension funds diminish due to population aging.

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A study on the effect of brand recognition on brand personality, brand image and customer-brand relationship quality in the university contract foodservice industry (대학교 위탁급식업체의 브랜드 인지가 브랜드 개성, 브랜드 이미지, 소비자-브랜드 관계의 질(BRQ)에 미치는 영향연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Jung;Han, Kyung-Su;Choi, Duck-Joo;Kim, Yun-Kyeong
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.51-73
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    • 2011
  • Companies are required to invest in numerous intial marketing costs for establishing brand power, thus, many companies in the foodservice industry are increasing their budgets on communication to strengthen their own brand equity components such as brand recognition, brand royalty, perceived quality and associated image using mass media that has not been used before. For this study, 617 samples were analyzed by such analytic methods as a frequency analysis, cross-tabulation, a factor analysis and a reliability analysis for validity, and a confirmatory factory analysis, a model adequacy evaluation, and a path analysis using AMOS 17.0. The hypothesis verification by the AMOS analysis has revealed that all hypotheses positively influenced contract foodservice brands, and the brand recognition of a university contract foodservice company has an impact on sincerity and refinement. Therefore, positive brand image formation encourages strong brand establishment between a university contract foodservice business and customers, and this study strongly suggests continuous further studies about constructing a positive brand image.

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The Effect of Financial Condition in Saving Banks on Loan Portfolio (저축은행 재무상황이 대출포트폴리오에 미치는 영향)

  • Bae, Soo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of individual savings banks' financial conditions on their loan portfolio after savings bank restructuring. The analysis results are as follows. First, it was estimated that the relationship between the rate of change in the NPL Ratio and the ratio of household loans has a significant positive value. Second, it was estimated that the interaction effect between the rate of change in the ratio of fixed and below loans and the spread of the deposit-to-deposit rate has a significant negative (-) value with the household loan weight. Third, the relationship between the asset size and the proportion of household loans was estimated to have a significant positive (+) value. In other words, it was analyzed that the financial situation of the savings bank affects the loan portfolio, and it should provide important implications for establishing policies for each financial situation of the savings bank. Depending on the financial situation in the future, there is a need to avoid excessive asset expansion of specific loans and preemptive soundness management.

A Literature Review of Traditional Fishing Instrument with Bamboo Weir in the Southern Coast of Korea Peninsula (남해안의 전통적인 수산 어로방식인 죽방렴의 문헌적 고찰)

  • Lee, Kyung-Joo;Kwon, Hojong;Jeong, Dae-Yul
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.469-480
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to enhance the cultural heritage value of the Juk-Bang-Ryeum (Bamboo Weir) and prove the originality through the review of historical literature. The main industry of Korean was agriculture and fishery from ancient. In the ancient, fishery instruments are not enough due to the lack of fishing technology. The Juk-Bang-Ryeum was considered as important national resources and asset. It give us many implications about the wisdom of our ancestors because of it's scientific principle of the structure. It is surely a cultural heritage to preserve in the future because it is considered as important community asset as well as more natural and environment oriented fishing method. In the literature, the origin of 'Juk-Bang-Ryeum' can be found as 'Eo-Ryang' or 'Bang-Ryeum'. The records on this terminology go back to the Corea Dynasty, but their documentary records are rare, and most of them are records of the Chosun Dynasty. In this study, we surveyed mainly the literature records about the southern coast region in the period of Chosun Dynasty. This study contributes for preserving the cultural assets of our ancestors who pursued eco-friendly fishery method, and it is also of great significance to produce objective data based on records for the registration of the World Record Heritage.

Introduction To A New Created Scientific Discipline: Management Of allSelves' Enlightenment and Empowerment(MOSEE) with 5th Dimension Spirit Paradigm shift will conciliate the modern Management Philosophies(3rd Issue)-Creating Shared Value(CSV) of Michael Porter, Strategic Intent(SI) of Gary Hamel and Complexity Economics(CE) of W. Brian Arthur (새로운 과학적 학문분야를 창시 소개함: 깨달음경영학의 5차원 인간의식(영성)의 자원 자산화를 통한 현대 경영철학들의 통섭을 위한 고찰(3회)-마이클 포터의 공유가치론(CSV)과 게리 함멜의 전략적 의도(S I)와 브라이언 아서의 복잡계 경제연구(CE))

  • Lee, Jae-Yun;Lee, Jae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.109-110
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    • 2019
  • 자본주의 사회에서 기업은 이윤의 극대화라는 목표를 이루기 위해, 인간을 하나의 자원으로 간주하여 도구화 하는 경향이 있다. 그 결과 인간소외(alienation) 및 부의 양극화 현상이 심각한 사회적 문제로 거론되고 있다. 오늘날 경제성장에 따른 물질적 풍요와 번영이 인류사회에 행복을 가져다 줄 것이라는 통념은 '물질적 풍요 속의 정신적 빈곤'이라는 문제제기에 의해 그 위상이 흔들리고 있다. 자본주의가 인류사회의 행복과 공동번영에 기여하는 경제체제로서 역할을 다하려면, 자본주의 역시 시대의 변화에 맞추어 진화해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 새 시대에 걸 맞는 자본주의의 대안을 논의하고자, 저자 이재윤이 창시한 깨달음경영학(MOSEE;Management Of allSelves' Enlightenment and Empowerment)의 새로운 과학적 학문연구를 통해 새로운 실현성 영역을 추구하는 동시에, 깨달음경영의 새로운 5차원 요소인 의식(영성) 자원 및 자산(SRA:Spirit Resource and Asset)과 본질적으로 무(無)에서 유(有)를 창조하는 진성 창조경영(MOC:Management Of Creation)의 연구 및 인간의식 성장 방법론에 대하여 발표 하고자 한다. 이로써 현대의 주요한 여러 경영철학들 예컨대 CSV(마이클 포터) SI(개리 함멜) 복잡계 철학 美德경영 등의 내재된 구조적 제약들을 분석 평가하고 한계를 극복하는 방안들을 제시함으로써 21세기 우주 인류 신문명 창달을 위한 5차원의 깨달음경영 혁명을 성취 하고자 한다. 즉 2040년 전에 지구 인류의 고도 영성 초 과학기술 문명을 넘어서 우주 인류의 초 영성 초 과학기술 문명 창달을 선도하는 학문연구 교육 인류 사회활동을 지속적으로 해갈 것이다. 위와 같이 21세기 우주 인류의 영원한 평화 자유 지속적 번영을 이루고자 한다. 본 연구는 통섭 고찰 제2회로 미국의 마이클 포토와 막 클램머의 공유가치(CSV)와 영국의 게리 함멜과 프라할라드의 전략적 의도와 브라이언 아서의 복잡계 경영경제 이론을 통섭을 고찰한다.

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