• The tire
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• s.230
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• pp.10-18
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• 2007

최근 세계 경제는 부동산 가격의 하락과 고유가로 인한 인플레이션 억제를 위한 금리 인상 등으로 성장이 둔화되고 있다. 이에 따라 경기에 민감한 자동차 수요가 선진국을 중심으로 감소하고 있으며, 이는 타이어 수요에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 전망이다. 그러나 세계 경제는 우려할 만한 수준으로 성장률이 둔화되지는 않을 전망이다. 미국이 일시적인 성장 둔화 국면에서 벗어날 조짐을 보이고 있고, 일본경제도 순항을 거듭하고 있으며, 중국 등 신흥개도국의 성장세도 이어질 예상이기 때문이다. 본 고에서는 2007년 세계 경제에 대해 조망해 본 후 세계 자동차산업과 국내 타이어의 수출을 전망해 보기로 한다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.55-62
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to investigate the transitory and permanent growth effects of human capital of the Korean economy based on the analysis of the New Normal Era during the period 1970-2014. For the transitory effects, we found out that all the coefficients of capital and labor are significant above the 5% level, whereas the coefficients of labor and human capital are significant only at the 10% level during the period 1999~2014. In particular, in the case of 1% increase in the human capital, the actual growth rate raised up with the rate of 0.15% over a 45-year period. For the permanent growth effects, the coefficients of capital and labor are significant above the 5% level. Furthermore, sum of the coefficients of the capital and labor showed approximately 0.96~0.99, approaching to a unit, which implies that there is a constant returns scale with respect to these inputs. In particular, the coefficient of human capital at 0.064 is significant at the 10% level. This implies that the permanent growth effect of an additional index of human capital is about 0.64% the previous 45-year period.

• TTA Journal
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• s.170
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• pp.108-109
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• 2017

인간은 왜 모여서 살까? 서로가 필요하기 때문이다. 혼자 모든 것을 다 하면서 살 수는 없다. 개인의 경제활동이 그러한데 기업의 경제활동도 마찬가지다. 서로 경쟁할 때가 많지만 경쟁사끼리도 때로 손을 잡아야 할 때도 있다. 서로 서로 좀 더 큰 이익을 창출해 나누기 위해 손을 잡는 '전략적 제휴'는 예전부터 있어왔지만, 이제 기업환경은 일시적 제휴가 아닌 지속적 성장 가능성을 내다본 협업이 대세다.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.87-114
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• 2012

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic effects of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) and human capital using VECM in Korea from 1970 to 2009. Empirical results through VECM show that the coefficients of GDP, GFO(gross fixed capital), LAB(total labor), EXO(export), PCDB(public and commercial loan) and FDI have had a positive impact on Korean economic growth. In contrast, the effects of PCDB and FDI were not as significant as the other variables. In particular, the interaction effect, $FDI^*EDU$(the college graduation variable), was more important than that of the FDI alone. However, the coefficient of $FDI^*EDU$ was not so big. Korean government needs to attract more FDI to enhance Korean economic growth rate by the improvement of investment environment. There are a big amount gap between notification FDI and arrival FDI in Korea. So Korean government and companies should actively persuade foreign investors to invest after their investment notification. Also the Korean college authorities should emphasize more on curriculum which adapts to company skill in the field work.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.3-46
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• 1997

본 논문은 우리나라 저축률(貯蓄率)의 결정요인을 실증적으로 분석하는 데 목적을 두고 있다. 특히 본 논문은 생애주기가설/항상소득가설(生涯週期假說/恒常所得假說)에 바탕을 두고 거시(巨視)시계열자료와 미시(微視)횡단면자료를 모두 분석함으로써 개별경제주체의 저축행위와 경제전체의 저축간의 일관된 관계를 밝히려고 하였다. 표준적인 생애주기가설/항상소득가설에 의하면, 저축은 소득(所得)의 일시적 변동으로부터 소비(消費)를 독립시키려는 개별소비자의 합리적 선택의 결과이다. 따라서 개별소비자의 저축은 단기적으로는 소득이 일시적으로 높은 해(년(年))에, 그리고 보다 장기적으로는 일생동안 가장 높은 수준의 소득을 벌게 되는 장년기간중에 가장 크게 된다. 본 논문의 실증결과는 이러한 생애주기가설/항상소득가설의 예측이 실제자료와 대체로 일치함을 보여준다. 거시자료 분석결과에 의하면 우리나라 저축률의 연간변동은 소득성장률(所得成長率)과 인구연령구조(人口年齡構造)의 변동에 의해서 잘 설명되는 것으로 나타난다. 또한 미시자료 분석결과를 보더라도 소득이 일시적으로 높은 가계나 경제활동연령인구의 비중이 높은 가계일수록 더 많은 저축을 하는 것으로 나타난다. 따라서 생애주기가설/항상소득가설은 우리나라 저축률의 결정을 설명하는 데 매우 유용하다고 판단된다. 본 논문은 또한 소득성장률이나 연령구조 외에 이자율, 유동성 제약, 그리고 예비적 저축동기 등이 저축에 미치는 영향에 대해서도 살펴보았다. 실증결과에 의하면 실질이자율은 저축률을 다소 증대시키는 효과가 있으나, 기타 요인들의 효과는 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.10
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• pp.259-267
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• 2008

This research will examine the probabilities of future global resource crisis and what significance and effect will come upon our economy through the rise of the cost of resources. From now on, the lack of the supply of global resources will dull the world economic growth. Not only that, but the direction of each country's economic development will be decided by the appropriate measure to the resource crisis. If we are to sustain this inefficient industrial structure, as a country with high dependancy on foreign resources, Korea might face macroeconomic shock and the loss of industrial competitiveness. Therefore, we must increase the efficiency of the resource usage in the manufacturing industry such as the chemical and steel industry, and now is a period when we must add high value to our products. Henceforth, the structural constraints of supply will be the root cause of resource crisis. Thus, we must lead the subject of the economic agencies, such as companies and consumers, so that they will be able to adapt to a new paradigm called the fundamental lack of resources, rather than temporal crisis management. The Korean economy must adjust the environment for industry transformation to be achieved.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.27-68
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• 2012

This study outlines measures related to fiscal policies aimed at responding to the financial crisis according to the timing of commencement and then examines impacts of expansionary fiscal policies on macro variables so as to extract policy implications. The size of expansionary fiscal policy to respond to the financial crisis is found to total 59.8 trillion won (6.1% of GDP in 2007), among which a total of 30.5 trillion won was the increased fiscal expenditure made by the 2008 supplementary budget, the 2009 revised budget and the 2009 supplementary budget. In addition, tax reductions are found to be a total of 29.3 trillion won, mainly driven by the tax reforms in 2008 and 2009. Examining dynamic changes in macro variables caused by the temporary increase in fiscal expenditure and the tax reductions reveals that the increase effect of the real GDP growth rate brought by a temporary rise in fiscal expenditure excluding tax reduction effects turned out to be 1.1%p in 2009 and 0.3%p in 2010, compared to the period without the increase in fiscal expenditure. Meanwhile, when taking into account the effect of expansionary fiscal policies including tax reduction effects, the increase effect of real GDP turns out to be much higher. In the case of 2009, the real GDP rose additionally by 1.9%p, in which 1.1%p by the increase in fiscal expenditure and 0.8%p by tax reduction. Based on these results, the expansionary fiscal policy conducted during the financial crisis since the second half of 2008 can be seen to have played a significant role in helping the Korean economy post a higher-than-anticipated recovery pace from the economic slowdown triggered by the crisis.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.215-250
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• 2013

The term, "resource curse", is widely used to describe how countries rich in natural resources, such as oil, natural gas, and certain minerals, are unable to utilize that wealth to boost their economies. Contrary to previous research on the topic, this study has demonstrated that natural resources have a strong positive correlation with a country's economy. It likewise confirmed that this result is robust with broad sets of exogenous variables, and that the positive impact of natural resources on the economy remains significant with the inclusion of capital stock per worker. In this sense, it is doubtful that resource curse actually exists in the long-run. On the other hand, this study tested whether the quality of institutions has any relation with natural resource endowments if the positive effect of natural resource endowments on the gross domestic product (GDP) is adequately controlled for. In contrast to findings of Alexeev and Conrad (2009), if the former Soviet Union (FSU) countries are included, it seems that there might be a negative and statistically significant relationship between large endowments of natural resources and the quality of institutions. However, this negative relationship loses its significance and some positive albeit insignificant relationships are confirmed in a considerable number of cases when the FSU countries are excluded in the sample. That is, the negative relationship results from the inclusion of the FSU countries. This result is believed to happen by a temporary coincidence of events, a natural resource windfall and political and economic instability during the transition of the FSU countries. Therefore, the argument that resource abundance harms the institutional quality is confirmed to be a little groundless.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.345-357
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• 2008

Korea has been one of the top ranked countries in the per capita and total consumption of Cu, Zn, Pb, and Ni since economic development based on manufacturing industries. The current instability of mineral demand and supply in Korea is likely to continue or exacerbate in accordance with economic growth in developing countries such as BRICs. Korea needs to increase the self-development portion of strategic mineral resources including Cu, Zn, Pb, and Ni. Our analysis of mineral demand and supply data predicts a long-run instability of supply and demand for main minerals used in the Korean manufacturing industries, and suggests a long range government policy for stable supply of core mineral resources.

• The Magazine for Energy Service Companies
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• s.84
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• pp.8-11
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• 2013

지난 5월 28일 국무회의에서 박근혜 대통령은 "과학기술을 통한 에너지 효율성을 제고하거나 낭비를 막는 방법도 있고 스마트 그리드 같은 IT기술을 이용해서 실시간으로 자신이 얼마를 소모하는지 알려줌으로써 스스로 아껴 쓸 수 있는 방법이 있는데, 그런 방안도 적극 연구해 달라"고 당부했다. 실제로 우리 산업은 현재 ICT기술과 전력시장을 창조적으로 융합하여 새로운 시장을 형성하고, 이를 통해 신(新)성장동력, 신(新)서비스업을 육성해야 하는 시점에 직면해 있다. 전력공급에 소요되는 사회적 비용이 급증하여 빠른 속도로 증가하는 수요를 충족시키는데 많은 어려움이 있는 것도 사실이다. 늘어나는 수요에 따라 공급을 확대하는 공급중심 정책에서 합리적으로 수요를 줄인 후 공급을 확대하는 수요관리 중심의 정책으로 전환이 필요한 때이다. * 연평균 전력소비증가율('00~'10년, %) : 한국 5.3('10년 10.1), 일본 0.2, 미국 0.7, OECD 평균 1.0 최근 다각도로 전력 사용을 줄이기 위한 이벤트가 실시되고 있는데 실내온도 제한 등 일시적 절약에서 벗어나, 세계적 수준의 우리 ICT기술을 활용하여 근본적이고 시스템적인 수요관리 추진이 필요하다. 한편 전력수급 위기를 새로운 시장창출의 기회로 만드는 발상의 전환을 통해 창조경제시대의 신성장동력과 일자리를 창출하게 되는 기회가 될 수 있다. 이는 전통적인 에너지산업에 2차전지산업, 소프트웨어 산업을 융합하여 ESS, EMS, LED 등 ICT기반 에너지 신산업 시장 진출을 의미한다. 이번호에서는 ESS(Energy Storage System)라고 불리는 에너지저장장치에 대해 살펴보고자 한다.