• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일반화선형모형

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Applicability Evaluation for Discharge Model Using Curve Number and Convolution Neural Network (Curve Number 및 Convolution Neural Network를 이용한 유출모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Song, Chul Min;Lee, Kwang Hyun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.114-125
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    • 2020
  • Despite the various artificial neural networks that have been developed, most of the discharge models in previous studies have been developed using deep neural networks. This study aimed to develop a discharge model using a convolution neural network (CNN), which was used to solve classification problems. Furthermore, the applicability of CNN was evaluated. The photographs (pictures or images) for input data to CNN could not clearly show the characteristics of the study area as well as precipitation. Hence, the model employed in this study had to use numerical images. To solve the problem, the CN of NRCS was used to generate images as input data for the model. The generated images showed a good possibility of applicability as input data. Moreover, a new application of CN, which had been used only for discharge prediction, was proposed in this study. As a result of CNN training, the model was trained and generalized stably. Comparison between the actual and predicted values had an R2 of 0.79, which was relatively high. The model showed good performance in terms of the Pearson correlation coefficient (0.84), the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) (0.63), and the root mean square error (24.54 ㎥/s).

A Study on Price Elasticities of mobile telephone Demand in Korea (국내 이동전화 통화수요의 요금탄력성 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Cho, Byung-Sun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.6B
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    • pp.390-401
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to estimate and analyze the price elasticities of demand for mobile calls. We used the data for the period from January 2000 to December 2005 on a monthly basis. Data used are call minutes to mobile-originating(ML+MM), tariff for dispatch of fixed and mobile calls($P_L,P_M$), income(Y), and subscriber for mobile(N). In order to provide robust estimates of price elasticities, we have used two different econometric models. One is a Dynamic model which includes a lagged dependent variable and so can differentiate between long-un and short-run price elasticities using the Generalized Method of Moments(GMM). The other is a Box-Cox transformation model which is one of the most useful methods. Box-Cox transformation model shows that elasticity changes with the lapse of time. The results are as follow : Not including the price indices for land-originating, the estimate is overestimated otherwise. In Box-Cox transformation case, price elasticity had been steadily declining. And this result shows that mobile services had been changed necessities increasingly in Korea.

Procedure for the Selection of Principal Components in Principal Components Regression (주성분회귀분석에서 주성분선정을 위한 새로운 방법)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Shin, Myung-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.967-975
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    • 2010
  • Since the least squares estimation is not appropriate when multicollinearity exists among the regressors of the linear regression model, the principal components regression is used to deal with the multicollinearity problem. This article suggests a new procedure for the selection of suitable principal components. The procedure is based on the condition index instead of the eigenvalue. The principal components corresponding to the indices are removed from the model if any condition indices are larger than the upper limit of the cutoff value. On the other hand, the corresponding principal components are included if any condition indices are smaller than the lower limit. The forward inclusion method is employed to select proper principal components if any condition indices are between the upper limit and the lower limit. The limits are obtained from the linear model which is constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis. The procedure is evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation in terms of the mean square error of estimator. The simulation results indicate that the proposed procedure is superior to the existing methods.

A study using HGLM on regional difference of the dead due to injuries (손상으로 인한 사망자의 지역별 차이에 대한 HGLM을 이용한 연구)

  • Kim, Kil-Hun;Noh, Maeng-Seok;Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we systematically investigate regional differences of the dead due to injuries in cities, towns and counties about transportation accidents, suicides and fall accidents, which have recently been an important issue of health problems in Korea, The data are from the Annual Report on the Cause of Death Statistics in Korea in 2008. They include the deaths over the age 19 from transportation accidents, suicides and fall accidents with the criterion of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases. Poisson HGLM is applied to estimate the mortality rate under the assumption that the number of deaths follow a Poisson distribution, by considering regions as random effects and by adjusting age, sex and standardized residence tax as fixed effects. Using the results of random effects prediction, the regional differences in cities, counties and towns are marked in disease mapping. The results showed that there were significant regional differences of mortality rates for transportation accidents and suicides, but no significant differences for fall accidents.

A Study on the Determinants of Housewives' Caregiving Behavior to Their Elderly Parents-in-Law : Estimation of Covariance Structure Models for Fathers-in-Law and Mothers-in-Law (노인부양행위의 결정요인에 관한 연구 : 시부 및 시모에 대한 공변량구조모형 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Yang, Chul-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.35
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    • pp.51-83
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    • 1998
  • This study is designed to find out the determinants of housewives' caregiving behavior to their elderly parents-in-law. For this purpose, a tentative path model, constructed with major socio-demographic variables in the caregiver's family as exogenous variables, is proposed to account for caregiver's behavior to elderly parents-in-law. The model is estimated with data collected from a probability sample of housewives in Kwangju, Korea. Estimation of the model, separately for caregiver's fathers-in-law and mothers-in-law, in terms of maximum likelihood(ML) procedures in LISREL8 reveals that housewives' educational attainment, father-in-law's age, father-in-law's health status, and family size have statistically significant causal. effects on care giving behavior to fathers-in-law, and that housewives' educational attainment, mother-in-law's age, family size, and caregiving attitude have significant causal effects on caregiving behavior to mothers-in-law. Comparison of the two estimated models indicates caregiver's educational attainment, caretaker's age, and family size are prominent determinants of caregiving behavior that can be commonly generalized to the two models. Except for these common determinants, however, a nonnegligible amount of differences is identified between the two models. The findings are discussed and interpreted with suggesting some salient theoretical and policy implications.

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Rice Yield Estimation Using Sentinel-2 Satellite Imagery, Rainfall and Soil Data (Sentinel-2 위성영상과 강우 및 토양자료를 활용한 벼 수량 추정)

  • KIM, Kyoung-Seop;CHOUNG, Yun-Jae;JUN, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.133-149
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    • 2022
  • Existing domestic studies on estimating rice yield were mainly implemented at the level of cities and counties in the entire nation using MODIS satellite images with low spatial resolution. Unlike previous studies, this study tried to estimate rice yield at the level of eup-myon-dong in Gimje-si, Jeollabuk-do using Sentinel-2 satellite images with medium spatial resolution, rainfall and soil data, and then to evaluate its accuracy. Five vegetation indices such as NDVI, LAI, EVI2, MCARI1 and MCARI2 derived from Sentinel-2 images of August 1, 2018 for Gimje-si, Jeollabuk-do, rainfall and paddy soil-type data were aggregated by the level of eup-myon-dong and then rice yield was estimated with gamma generalized linear model, an expanded variant of multi-variate regression analysis to solve the non-normality problem of dependent variable. In the rice yield model finally developed, EVI2, rainfall days in September, and saline soils ratio were used as significant independent variables. The coefficient of determination representing the model fit was 0.68 and the RMSE for showing the model accuracy was 62.29kg/10a. This model estimated the total rice production in Gimje-si in 2018 to be 96,914.6M/T, which was very close to 94,470.3M/T the actual amount specified in the Statistical Yearbook with an error of 0.46%. Also, the rice production per unit area of Gimje-si was amounted to 552kg/10a, which was almost consistent with 550kg/10a of the statistical data. This result is similar to that of the previous studies and it demonstrated that the rice yield can be estimated using Sentinel-2 satellite images at the level of cities and counties or smaller districts in Korea.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Patent Citations: Focused on Korea Medical Device Patents (특허 인용에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 국내의료기기 특허를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Jae Woong;Lee, Chang Seop;Lee, Suk Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.103-133
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    • 2016
  • The valuation of patented technology has been recently emphasized, and the patent citation is known as an important factor. This study performed a generalized linear model to find variables that effect the patent citation. We classified 13 variables as morphological, technological and conceptual factors and used them to find out effective variables in 14 medical devices classification. Through the empirical study, we found seven effective variables (assignee nationality, assignee character, the number of inventors, the number of application countries, the number of IPC, the number of references, the strength of bibliographic coupling). In order to apply to Korean industry, this study has significance that provides basic research to citation analysis model.

Statistical method for testing synergism among several compounds (여러 약제의 상승효과 검정을 위한 통계적 기법)

  • 김병수;김주항;김경미;최정주
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 1993
  • Interaction between anti-cancer agents and various modulators of multidrug resistance in producing their joint effects are of fundamental interest in the chemtherapeutic treatment of cancer. We generate a dose-response curve for each combination of several anti-cancer agents and modulators based on an in-vitro experiment on each of several human cancer cell lines. We employ a log-linear model developed by Wahrendorf et al (1981) and Piegorsch et al (1988) to detect synergism among several compounds. We show two examples of the data analysis and their results. We believe that these results encourage further experiment in-vivo studies.

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Excursion-Set Modeling of the Splashback Mass Function and its Cosmological Usefulness (Splashback 질량함수의 Excursion-Set Modeling과 우주론적 유용성)

  • Ryu, Suho;Lee, Jounghun
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.44.3-45
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    • 2021
  • 일반화된 excursion set 이론과 자기 유사 구형 유입(Self-similar spherical infall) 모형에 기반하여 Splashback 질량함수에 대한 해석적 단일 매개변수 모델을 착안하였다. Planck/WMAP7 관측결과를 토대로 구축된 EREBOS N-Body 시뮬레이션의 수치적 결과의 해석적 모델을 이용한 회귀분석을 통해 단일 매개변수이자 Splashback 경계의 확산적 특성을 수치화하는 확산계수(Diffusion Coefficient)의 추정치를 계산하였다. 계산된 확산계수를 적용한 해석적 모델과 수치적 결과가 5 ≤ M/(1012h-1 M) < 103의 질량범위에서 매우 근접히 일치하는 것을 보였으며 Baysian and Akaike Information Criterion 검정을 통해 0.3 ≤ z ≤ 3의 범위에서 기존의 모델들보다 본 모델이 선호 돼야함을 확인하였다. 또한 확산계수가 적색편이에 대하여 선형진화에 근접한 변화를 보임을 발견하였으며, 특정 임계 적색편이(zc)를 기준으로 확산계수가 0에 수렴함을 발견하였다. 더 나아가 두 Planck모델과 WMAP7모델에서 도출된 확산계수는 서로 상당한 차이를 보였다. 이 결과는 암흑물질 헤일로의 splashback 질량함수가 z ≥ zc에서 매개변수가 없는 온전한 해석적 모델로 설명되고 zc가 독립적으로 우주의 초기조건을 독립적으로 특정지을 수 있는 가능성을 지님을 시사한다. 이 초록은 The Astrophysical Journal의 Ryu & Lee 2021, ApJ, 917, 98 (arxiv:2103.00730) 논문을 바탕으로 작성되었다.

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Neural Networks-Genetic Algorithm Model for Modeling of Nonlinear Evaporation and Evapotranspiration Time Series 1. Theory and Application of the Model (비선형 증발량 및 증발산량 시계열의 모형화를 위한 신경망-유전자 알고리즘 모형 1. 모형의 이론과 적용)

  • Kim, Sung-Won;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.1 s.174
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 2007
  • The goal of this research is to develop and apply the generalized regression neural networks model(GRNNM) embedding genetic algorithm(GA) for the estimation and calculation of the pan evaporation(PE), which is missed or ungaged and of the alfalfa reference evapotranspiration ($ET_r$), which is not measured in South Korea. Since the observed data of the alfalfa 37. using Iysimeter have not been measured for a long time in South Korea, the Penman-Monteith(PM) method is used to estimate the observed alfalfa $ET_r$. In this research, we develop the COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) model for the calculation of the optimal PE and the alfalfa $ET_r$. The suggested COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) model is evaluated through training, testing, and reproduction processes. The COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) model can evaluate the suggested climatic variables and also construct the reliable data for the PE and the alfalfa $ET_r$. We think that the constructive data could be used as the reference data for irrigation and drainage networks system in South Korea.