• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일반크리깅

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Estimation of Near Surface Air Temperature Using MODIS Land Surface Temperature Data and Geostatistics (MODIS 지표면 온도 자료와 지구통계기법을 이용한 지상 기온 추정)

  • Shin, HyuSeok;Chang, Eunmi;Hong, Sungwook
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2014
  • Near surface air temperature data which are one of the essential factors in hydrology, meteorology and climatology, have drawn a substantial amount of attention from various academic domains and societies. Meteorological observations, however, have high spatio-temporal constraints with the limits in the number and distribution over the earth surface. To overcome such limits, many studies have sought to estimate the near surface air temperature from satellite image data at a regional or continental scale with simple regression methods. Alternatively, we applied various Kriging methods such as ordinary Kriging, universal Kriging, Cokriging, Regression Kriging in search of an optimal estimation method based on near surface air temperature data observed from automatic weather stations (AWS) in South Korea throughout 2010 (365 days) and MODIS land surface temperature (LST) data (MOD11A1, 365 images). Due to high spatial heterogeneity, auxiliary data have been also analyzed such as land cover, DEM (digital elevation model) to consider factors that can affect near surface air temperature. Prior to the main estimation, we calculated root mean square error (RMSE) of temperature differences from the 365-days LST and AWS data by season and landcover. The results show that the coefficient of variation (CV) of RMSE by season is 0.86, but the equivalent value of CV by landcover is 0.00746. Seasonal differences between LST and AWS data were greater than that those by landcover. Seasonal RMSE was the lowest in winter (3.72). The results from a linear regression analysis for examining the relationship among AWS, LST, and auxiliary data show that the coefficient of determination was the highest in winter (0.818) but the lowest in summer (0.078), thereby indicating a significant level of seasonal variation. Based on these results, we utilized a variety of Kriging techniques to estimate the surface temperature. The results of cross-validation in each Kriging model show that the measure of model accuracy was 1.71, 1.71, 1.848, and 1.630 for universal Kriging, ordinary Kriging, cokriging, and regression Kriging, respectively. The estimates from regression Kriging thus proved to be the most accurate among the Kriging methods compared.

A Study on Performance Evaluation of Various Kriging Models for Estimating AADT (연평균 일교통량 산정을 위한 다양한 크리깅 방법의 성능 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung Ah;Oh, Sei-Chang;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2014
  • Annual average daily traffic(AADT) serves as important basic data in the transportation sector. AADT is used as design traffic which is the basic traffic volume in transportation planning. Despite of its importance, at most locations, AADT is estimated using short term traffic counts. An accurate AADT is calculated through permanent traffic counts at limited locations. This study dealt with estimating AADT using various models considering both the spatial correlation and time series data. Kriging models which are commonly used spatial statistics methods were applied and compared with each model. Additionally the External Universal kriging model, which includes explanatory variables, was used to assure accuracy of AADT estimation. For evaluation of various kriging methods, AADT estimation error, proposed using national highway permanent traffic count data, was analyzed and their performances were compared. The result shows the accuracy enhancement of the AADT estimation.

New separation technique of regional-residual gravity anomaly using geostatistical spatial filtering (공간필터링을 이용한 중력이상의 광역-잔여 이상 효과 분리)

  • Rim, Hyoung-Rae;Park, Yeong-Sue;Lim, Mu-Teak;Koo, Sung-Bon;Lee, Young-Chal
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose a spatial filtering scheme using factorial kriging, one of geostatistical filtering methodin order to separate regional and residual gravity anomaly. This scheme is based on the assumption that regional anomalies have longer distance relation and residual anomalies have effected on smaller range. We decomposed gravity anomalies intotwo variogram models with long and short effectiveranges by means of factorial kriging. And decomposed variogram models produced the regional and residual anomalies. This algorithm was examined using by a synthetic gravity data, and applied to a real microgravity data to figure out abandoned mineshaft.

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Application and Comparison of Kriging Methods for Accurate Rainfall Estimation (정확한 강우 추정을 위한 크리깅 기법의 적용 및 비교)

  • You, Young Hoon;Lee, Myung Jin;Chae, Myung Byung;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.133-133
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    • 2018
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 국지성 호우와 도시화로 인한 불투수율 증가로 내수침수 및 홍수와 같은 피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있는 추세이다. 이로 인해 강우 관측의 정확도에 대한 논의가 지속되고 있으며, 공간적 분포를 고려할 수 있는 레이더의 활용성이 증가하고 있다. 하지만 레이더 자료는 지상강우 자료와 달리, 반사도와 강우강도 간에 관계식(Z-R 관계식)을 통한 추정치이기 때문에 실제 관측한 지상강우 자료와 함께 보정작업을 수행해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 지구통계학분야에서 제시된 공간 보간법중 하나인 크리깅 기법을 이용하여 강우의 공간적 분포를 추정하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 크리깅 기법으로는 일반적으로 많이 사용되는 OK(Ordinary Kriging), CK(Co-Kriging), KED(Kriging with External Drift)와 RK(Regression Kriging)기법을 사용하였고, 이를 이용하여 강우장을 생성하고, 생성된 강우장과 레이더값을 비교하였다. 지상강우와 관측소 위치에서의 실제 강우값과 추정된 강우값의 정량적 평가를 실시하였으며, 레이더 강우자료의 공간분포특성과 유사성을 확인하기 위해 각 기법에서의 베리오그램을 비교하였다. 본 연구를 통해 공간적 분포를 고려하여 강우장 분포의 정확도를 높일 수 있었고, 향후 다양한 레이더 보정기법과의 비교를 통해 강우 관측의 정확도를 높일 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Evaluating the Accuracy of Spatial Interpolators for Estimating Land Price (지가 추정을 위한 공간내삽법의 정확성 평가)

  • JUN, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2017
  • Until recently, regression based spatial interpolation methods and Kriging based spatial interpolation methods have been largely used to estimate land price or housing price, but less attention has been paid on comparing the performance of these spatial interpolation methods. In this regard, this research applied regression based spatial interpolators and Kriging based spatial interpolators for estimating the land prices in Dalseo-gu, Daegu metropolitan city and evaluated the accuracy of eight spatial interpolators. OLS, SLM, SEM, and GWR were used as regression based spatial interpolators while SK, OK, UK, and CK were employed as Kriging based spatial interpolators. The global accuracy was statistically evaluated by RMSE, adjusted RMSE, and COD. The relative accuracy was visually compared by three-dimensional residual error map and scatterplot. Results from statistical and visual analyses indicate that GWR reflecting the spatial non-stationarity was a relatively more accurate spatial predictor to estimate land prices in the study area than SAR and Kriging based spatial interpolators considering the spatial dependence. The findings from this research will contribute to the secondary research into analyzing the urban spatial structure with land prices.

A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Counts Based on Shortest Travel Path (최단경로 기반 교통량 공간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Man-Sik;Eom, Jin-Ki;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest a spatial regression model to predict AADT. Although Euclidian distances between one monitoring site and its neighboring sites were usually used in the many analysis, we consider the shortest travel path between monitoring sites to predict AADT for unmonitoring site using spatial regression model. We used universal Kriging method for prediction and found that the overall predictive capability of the spatial regression model based on shortest travel path is better than that of the model based on multiple regression by cross validation.

Application of Spatial Interpolation to Rainfall Data (강우자료에 대한 공간보간 기법의 적용)

  • Cho Hong-Lae;Jeong Jong-Chul
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.14 no.1 s.36
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2006
  • Geostatistical data are obtained only at selected sites even though they are potentially available at any location In a continuous surface. Therefore it is necessary to estimate the unknown values at unsampled locations based on observations. In this study we compared the accuracy of 5 spatial interpolation methods: local trend surface, IDW, RBF, ordinary kriging, universal kriging. These interpolation methods were applied to annual rainfall data. As the results of validation tests, universal kriging with gaussian variogram model showed the best accuracy in comparison with other interpolation methods. In the case of kriging, the predicted values were more accurate and within a more narrow range than other methods. In contrast with kriging, local trend surface analysis, IDW and RBF showed the wide range of predicted values and abrupt changes between neighbors.

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A Geostatistical Approach for Improved Prediction of Traffic Volume in Urban Area (공간통계기법을 이용한 도시 교통량 예측의 정확성 향상)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2010
  • As inaccurate traffic volume prediction may result in inadequate transportation planning and design, traffic volume prediction based on traffic volume data is very important in spatial decision making processes such as transportation planning and operation. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic volume prediction, recent studies are using the geostatistical approach called kriging and according to their reports, the method shows high predictability compared to conventional methods. Thus, this study estimated traffic volume data for St. Louis in the State of Missouri, USA using the kriging method, and tested its accuracy by comparing the estimates with actual measurements. In addition, we suggested a new method for enhancing the accuracy of prediction by the kriging method. In the new method, we estimated traffic volume data: first, by applying anisotropy, which is a characteristic of traffic volume data appearing in determining variogram factors; and second, by performing co-kriging analysis using interstate highway, which is in a high spatial correlation with traffic volume data, as a secondary variable. According to the results of the analysis, the analysis applying anisotropy showed higher accuracy than the kriging method, and co-kriging performed on the application of anisotropy produced the most accurate estimates.

A Study on Estimation of the Greenhouse Gas Emission from the Road Transportation Infrastructure Using the Geostatistical Analysis -A Case of the Daegu- (공간통계기법을 이용한 도로교통기반의 온실가스 관한 연구 -대구광역시를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Sang Woo;Lee, Seung Wook;Lee, Seung Yeob;Hong, Won Hwa
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2014
  • This study was intended to reliably predict the traffic green house gas emission in Daegu with the use of spatial statistical technique and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district on the basis of the accurately predicted emission. First, with the use of the traffic actually surveyed at a traffic observation point, and traffic green house gas emission was calculated. Secondly, on the basis of the calculation, and with the use of Universal Kriging technique, this researcher set a suitable variogram modeling to accurately and reliably predict the green house gas emission at non-observation point suitable through spatial correlation, and then performed cross validation to prove the validity of the proper variogram modeling and Kriging technique. Thirdly, with the use of the validated kriging technique, traffic green gas emission was visualized, and its distribution features were analyzed to predict and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district. As a result, regarding the traffic green house gas emission of each administration, it was found that Bukgu had the highest green house gas emission of $291,878,020kgCO_2eq/yr$.

Application of Kriging Methods and Runoff Analysis using Ground Rainfall and Radar Rainfall (지상강우와 레이더강우를 이용한 크리깅 기법의 적용과 유출해석)

  • Lee, Myungjin;Jang, Hongsuk;Joo, Hongjun;Kang, Narae;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.287-287
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    • 2016
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 돌발성 집중호우가 증가하는 추세로 홍수피해가 발생하고 있는데 이러한 피해를 예방하고 빠른 대처를 위해 강우의 정밀한 관측뿐만 아니라 강우의 정확한 공간 분포 파악에 대한 필요성이 중요하게 대두되고 있다. 그러나 일반적으로 지상우량계의 경우, 공간적인 강우분포 분석에 한계가 존재하여 레이더 강우자료와 함께 활용하는 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강우장 추정시, 공간보간 기법인 크리깅 기법을 적용하여 강우장을 추정하고 유출 해석을 통해 그 적용성을 확인하고자 하였다. 국내에서 일반적으로 사용되는 크리깅 기법인 OK(Ordinary Kriging), CK(Co-Kriging) 외에도 KED(Kriging with External Drift) 기법을 적용하여 강우장을 추정하고 분포형 수문모형인 $Vflo^{TM}$의 입력자료로 사용하여 유출해석시 정확도를 비교 분석하였다. 추정된 강우장의 정량적 평가 결과, 지상강우만을 이용하는 OK 기법이 가장 우수한 결과를 나타내었다. 하지만 강우의 공간 분포 특성 반영 측면에서는 KED와 CK가 보다 더 좋은 결과를 나타내었다. 또한 유출해석의 경우 지형학적 매개변수 조정에 의한 강우 입력자료의 왜곡을 배제하기 위해 검 보정은 실시하지 않았으며 오차분석 결과에서 KED, CK, OK, Radar 순으로 관측유량을 잘 재현하는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구를 통해 공간보간 기법의 수문학적 적용성을 확인하였으며 모형의 검 보정을 통해 수문모형의 입력자료로서 활용성을 가질 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한 이를 통해 생성된 강우장을 활용한다면, 관측망의 밀도가 낮은 지역과 미계측 유역 등에 적용하여 수문시스템해석에 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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