• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일반균형모형

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An Analysis of the Causes of the Welfare Gain Achieved by Congestion Pricing and Transit Subsidies (혼잡통행료와 대중교통 보조금의 효용개선 원인 분석)

  • Rhee, Hyok-Joo;Yu, Sang-Gyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2013
  • We analyze the efficiency of congestion pricings and transit subsidies in the spatial micro-economic model based on a general equilibrium environment. In this setting, we decompose the total welfare change into component factors and identify the reason of the change in the efficiency caused by policy instruments; these component factors are divided into indirect factors and direct factors including of origin-destination and mode choices. We set up the model as adding mode choice to the standard format in the fashion of Anas and Kim (1996) and extend the methodology proposed by Yu and Rhee (2011) and Rhee (2012) for deriving theoretical and analytical solution. Most of welfare gain comes from the modal shift from car to bus. The relative efficiency of subsidies in relation to the first-best pricing is lower than it of congestion pricings although the change in bus share by subsidies is similar to it by congestion pricing. Subsidies give rise to more modal shift from a car to a bus for long-distance commuting than it caused by congestion pricings. As the increase of bus share for long-distance commuting leads to the increase of cross-commuters passing through CBD, the welfare gain by subsidies is lower than it by congestion pricings.

Reforming Environmentally-Harmful Subsidies in the Energy and Electricity Sectors in Korea (우리나라 에너지·전력 부문 보조금의 환경친화적 개편 효과 분석 : 연산일반균형분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seung-Rae;Kang, Man-Ok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.827-858
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    • 2011
  • In Korea, various environmentally harmful subsidies are granted in agriculture, fishery, energy, electricity, transportation, steel and shipbuilding industry. Examples include tax-exempt fuel for agriculture & fishery, VAT- exemption for briquette & anthracite, temporary subsidy for fuel, production stabilizing subsidy for coal mining, subsidy for briquette. Korea's yearly total subsidy in energy area is about 5,291 billion won, among them is 4,870 billion won. To reduce air pollutants and to mitigate climate change, Korea has to review the phase-out of environmentally harmful subsidies and the phase-in of environment-friendly subsidy. The reduction or removal of environmentally harmful subsidies will enhance economic efficiency and bring about environmental benefits. Economic efficiency means less use of inputs, which reduces environmental cost and improves social benefits. This paper applies the Shoven and Whalley's model to the Korean economy and analyzes the general equilibrium incidence effects of reforming environmentally harmful subsidies in the energy and electricity in Korea. We consider several counterfactual scenarios in which current environmentally harmful subsidies are reduced or abolished, compare them with the reference case in the economy, and evaluated the change in efficiency costs and distributional incidence of tax reforms related to subsidies.

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Existence Proffs of a Nash Equilibrium to a General Class of Differential Games (미분게임 일반모형에 대한 Nash 균형해의 존재증명)

  • Kim, Yang-Yul
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 1989
  • This paper extends the existence proofs of a Nash equilibrium to a more general class of differentila game models with constraints on the control spaces. With the assumptions of continuity, convexity, and compactness, the existence is proved using Kakutani Theorem and via a path-following approach. Furthermore, the proof for a period-by-period optimization of multi-period problems provides an insight to a numerical solution algorithm to differential game models with constraints.

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Industrial Effects of Tariff Removal between Korea and Japan (한·일 양국간 산업별 관세철폐 효과)

  • Lee, Hong Bae;OH, Dong Yoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.41-65
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    • 2009
  • This study based on international input-output model shows various static analyses of the effects by estimating the intermediary goods' trade volume that affects the industrial production. When concluding tariff removal between Korea and Japan, as intermediary goods import increases, Korea's trade balance deficit with Japan is expected to grow more than before. However, Korea's increase in export to the world is the largest benefit Korea can earn from tariff removal between the two countries.

분산한계검증(分散限界檢證)을 이용한 한국(韓國) 주식시장(株式市場)의 효율성(效率性) 분석(分析)

  • Na, Dong-Min
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 1993
  • Shiller에 의하여 개발된 분산한계검증모형(分散限界檢證模型)은 간결하고 명쾌한 모형유도(模型誘導)와 강력한 검증결과(檢證結果)에 의해 주목받아 왔으나 비현실적(非現實的)인 가정(假定)들을 통한 모형설계와 검증통계량(檢證統計量)의 통계적 오류로 검증결과의 신뢰성이 의문시되어 왔다. 이러한 문제점을 제거하기 위한 Mankiw-Romer-Shapiro(MRS)모형(模型) 역시 임의변수(任意變數)의 도입으로 인한 검증력(檢證力) 저하(低下)와 고정기대수익율가정(固定期待收益率假定)의 채택으로 결합가설검증(結合假說檢證) 형태를 취하게 되는 문제점을 드러냈다. 본고(本稿)는 MRS모형(模型)의 문제점을 제거하기 위하여 먼저 Lucas의 균형자산가격모형(均衡資産價格模型)을 이용하여 고정기대수익율가정(固定期待收益率假定)을 완화하였고, 이에 의하여 구해진 변수들을 사용하여 합리적(合理的) 기대이론(期待理論)의 일반관계식(一般關係式)으로부터 새로운 검증모형(檢證模型)을 유도하였다. 1982~92년까지의 종합주가지수(綜合株價指數)와 대응하는 배당액(配當額)의 연도별(年度別) 시계열자료(時系列資料)를 가지고 검증실험을 행하여 본 결과 한국(韓國) 주식시장(株式市場)에서 효율적 시장가설은 기각되었고, 이를 통하여 관련정보(關聯情報)가 시장가격(市場價格)에 제대로 반영되지 않고 있으며, 정보(情報)의 비대칭성(非對稱性)으로 인하여 주식시장은 금융자원(金融資源)의 중개기능(仲介機能)을 효율적으로 수행하지 못하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 한국 주식시장의 효율성을 제고하기 위하여 먼저 시장의 비효율성을 야기하는 요인(要因)들에 대한 분석(分析)과 이 분석을 통한 효율성(效率性) 장애요인(障碍要因)을 제거하는 것이 주식시장에 대한 정부정책(政府政策)의 우선순위(優先順位)가 되어야 할 것이다.

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Assessment & Implication on Ex-post Free Trade Agreements with respect to the Korean Agricultural Sector (기 체결 FTA 농업부문 사후영향평가와 시사점)

  • Han, Suk-Ho;Lee, Suhwan;Youm, Jung-Won;Ji, Seong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the impact of the implementation of 14 FTAs on the domestic agricultural sector through aneconomic post-impact assessment using the dynamic analysis method. As a result of the implementation of the FTAs, agricultural production decreased significantly, mainly in the livestock and fruit sectors. Most of the previous studieswere limited to the post-impact assessment of individual FTAs, which does not reflect the fact that the implementation of a number of FTAs results ina combinationof trade creation, trade transitions, and FTA accumulation effects. Therefore, this study provides amore objective and comprehensive evaluation of the effects of FTAs in the agricultural sector, and contributes to some extent to the evaluation of the policy directions necessary for revising and supplementing the domestic measures needed to supplement the FTAs. Of course, a more sophisticated analysis is needed to separate the impact of these complementary domestic measures and the performance of the general agricultural project.

Voluntary Agreements on Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction -Economic Analysis Using a Dynamic CGE Model- (자발적 협약의 에너지 절감과 온실가스 감축효과 -동태적 연산일반균형모형을 이용한 경제적 분석-)

  • Jo, Sunghan;Lim, Jaekyu
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.95-133
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    • 2006
  • This research first reviewed and analysed the current domestic situation of the voluntary agreement implementation and then it developed the policy implementation scenarios which will be applied to the model, KORTEM_ V.2. The model, consisted with 83 industries and commodities, examined the economic and environmental impacts of this policy instrument. Depending on the efforts of participating sectors and agents for fuel substitution and energy efficiency improvement, it has been evaluated that the voluntary agreement could be the "no-regret" policy. In other words, if the participating sectors and agents can achieve the voluntary energy conservation and emission reduction target without the negative impact on output level, the reduction of national emission will be achieved by creating the economic benefit, simultaneously. Therefore, for the successful implementation of voluntary agreement, this study emphasized the importance of expansion and strengthening of the current financial and institutional support for participating sectors and agents.

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Macroeconomic Consequences of Pay-as-you-go Public Pension System (부과방식 공적연금의 거시경제적 영향)

  • Park, Chang-Gyun;Hur, Seok-Kyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.225-270
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    • 2008
  • We analyze macroeconomic consequences of pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) public pension system with a simple overlapping generations model. Contrary to large body of existing literatures offering quantitative results based on simulation study, we take another route by adopting a highly simplified framework in search of qualitatively tractable analytical results. The main contribution of our results lies in providing a sound theoretical foundation that can be utilized in interpreting various quantitative results offered by simulation studies of large scale general equilibrium models. We present a simple overlapping generations model with a defined benefit(DB) PAYGO public pension system as a benchmark case and derive an analytical equilibrium solution utilizing graphical illustration. We also discuss the modifications of the benchmark model required to encompass a defined contribution(DC) public pension system into the basic framework. Comparative statics analysis provides three important implications; First, introduction and expansion of the PAYGO public pension, DB or DC, result in lower level of capital accumulation and higher expected rate of return on the risky asset. Second, it is shown that the progress of population aging is accompanied by lower capital stock due to decrease in both demand and supply of risky asset. Moreover, risk premium for risky asset increases(decreases) as the speed of population aging accelerates(decelerates) so that the possibility of so-called "the great meltdown" of asset market cannot be excluded although the odds are not high. Third, it is most likely that the switch from DB PAYGO to DC PAYGO would result in lower capital stock and higher expected return on the risky asset mainly due to the fact that the young generation regards DC PAYGO pension as another risky asset competing against the risky asset traded in the market. This theoretical prediction coincides with one of the firmly established propositions in empirical literature that the currently dominant form of public pension system has the tendency to crowd out private capital accumulation.

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SOM(State of Mind) Model for Emotional Judgement Asymmetry between Positive and Negative Information (감성판단에 대한 SOM(States of Mind) 모형 : 긍정적/부정적 정보의 비대칭성)

  • 임승락;김지혜
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2001
  • Positively biased asymmetry between positive and negative cognition is the basic assumption of heuristic human functioning. This article describes the SOM(states of mind) model for emotional judgement, a psycho-mathematical model built on affective-cognitive assessment research on the balance of positive and negative thoughts and feelings. The SOM model suggests that subjects on the average choose a positive over a negative pole with the probability 0.62 and the precise value of this constant coincides with algebraic “golden section”  .618:.382. Statistical analyses of 32 normal subjects shows that the mean of SOM ratios of self-referent judgement and incidental recall task for positive/negative emotional words are .62(SD=.08) and .58(SD=.4). Also, the SOM ratios are significantly correlated with self-referent judgement for positive/negative emotional words. Implications of cognitive balance and future research directions for emotional science are discussed.

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Monetary Unification in North East Asian Economies and Setting an Anchor Currency by CNY and JPY (한중일 3개국의 화폐통합과 기축통화 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.61-78
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    • 2010
  • The paper is basically attempted to reveal a possibility of monetary unification and setting an anchor currency in North East Asian economies such as South Korea, China, and Japan. The Cobb-Douglas utility function is tentatively built by a Walrasian economic framework. Korean Won(KRW) is represented for a numeraire in a structural model, and the estimation of a parameter is performed by 2SLS and GARCH-M models. Empirical evidence is found that not only monetary unification itself in this regime seems not to be practicable, but also setting an anchor currency by Chinese Yuan(CNY) or Japanese Yen(JPY) is also inappropriated due to the fact that the estimated parameter is not converged to a unity. Walrasian equilibria are enhanced by the convergence to a unity in the model. It also has to be mentioned that a number of necessary and sufficient conditions should be fulfilled prior to discuss a monetary unification in North East Asian economies. Instead, Asia currency unit(ACU) is more feasible in reality.