• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일교통량

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The Effects of COVID-19 on Public Transportation Demand: The Case of Busan Metropolitan City (코로나19의 확산이 대중교통 수요변화에 미치는 영향요인 분석 - 부산광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Minjeong KIM;Hoe Kyoung KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • COVID-19 has caused the dramatic reduction of public transportation demand in Busan Metropolitan City, that is, daily public transportation trips in 2020 dropped by approximately 920,000 trips from 2019 based on the public transportation card data. This study investigated the underlying factors affecting the public transportation demand discrepancy between before and after COVID-19 at the primary administration unit(i.e., Eup, Myeon, Dong) level with Ordered Logistic Regression model. Finding of this study is as follows. The primary administration units characterized with high ratio of welfare recipients, industrial area, and day boarders were heavily dependent on public transit, indicating little change in public transportation demand. On the other hands, the primary administration units which have high ratio of urban rail transit uses experienced significant reduction of public transportation demand. In conclusion, transportation policies taken under emergent situation such as COVID-19 need to take into account the region-based characteristics rather than unilateral ones.

A Study for the Express Railway of Seoul Metropolitan Area(Kangnam$\sim$Ilsan) (수도권(강남$\sim$일산) 급행철도 도입에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang-Bok
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1269-1278
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    • 2009
  • The Seoul metropolitan area is generated the transportation problems of traffic congestion, delay of travel time, etc due to the increase of traffic demand at Seongnam area, Koyang/Paju area, Incheon/Bucheon area, etc, because that have not provided the urban surrounding railway network and live to be concentrated about 49% of the population of Korea. The Koyang/Paju route axis is required the urban surrounding railway network because the share percentage of public transportation is 51%, the automobiles is 48.8% and the subway is 27.3% and the housing development plan for 530,000 persons have provided. According to the result of the study for the introduction of the express railway between Kangnam to Ilsan of 37.8Km, in case of operation of 150Kmm at express railway, the scheduled speed between Kangnam to Ilsan is 103Km/h, the running time is about 23 minutes. The demand of traffic of this project was forecasted about 237,000persons by traffic analysis. This project which was analysed B/C of 1.08 by the result of the feasibility study have a economic feasibility.

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Simulation Analysis about Effects on Highway Network and Drivers under Information Providing Service (정보제공 서비스가 운전자 및 도로 네트워크에 미치는 영향에 대한 시뮬레이션 분석)

  • ;IIDA, Yasunori;;UNO, Nobuhiro
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.85-96
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    • 2003
  • To build traffic information providing services by ITS technology should be carried out effect analysis in the first step for social and individual advantages. The propose on this study is to make clear what influences of highway network by traffic information are, and what differences between drivers who use traffic information and drivers who do not use that for route choice are. For these propose. travel time and forecast error of travel time on network and traffic information dependence of driver are analyzed by simulation. As a result of analysis travel time and forecast error of travel time is that the efficiency and reliability of travel time were increased when getting more drivers using traffic information in network. Drivers who using traffic information had advantage of decrease of travel time and forecast error in only definite situation. traffic information dependence analysis presented that drivers are dependent upon information and reliability of traffic information is also increased when drivers using traffic information become on increasing in network. In conclusion, considering the range of the traffic information user ratio in this simulation, this study presents that the traffic information service provides an advantage to the highway network and the drivers, and increases the dependence of information.

Accident Rate Forecasting Model by Using Speed on Freeway (속도를 이용한 고속도로 구간 사고율 예측 모형)

  • Jeong, Eun-Bi;O, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2011
  • The speed is one of the significant factors affecting accident occurrence. In particular, freeway accidents are highly associated with the speed because vehicles travel on the freeway at higher speed leading to greater potential of severer injury. Efforts attempting to relating speed with accident occurrence have not been significantly made in Korea. The objective of this study is to model the relationship between speed and accident rate on freeways. Loop detector data and accident data obtained from a stretch of Kyungboo freeway during the recent five years, 2005-2009, were used to establish the model. Multiple linear regression analyses showed that median, minimum and standard deviation of speed were contributing variables in the model. The statistical significance identified by the analyses supports the feasibility of the model in evaluating various transportation policies and operations strategies in terms of traffic safety.

A Study to Predict the Traffic Accident Severity Level Applying Neural Network at the Signalized Intersections (인공신경망을 적용한 신호교차로 교통사고심각도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Kim, Seong-Ho;Cho, Jun-Han;Kim, Won-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2004
  • 교차로 안전성 진단과 관련된 기존의 연구는 교차로 상에서 발생한 사고 자료에 기초하여 교차로 기하구조 요소, 교통량 및 신호운영방법 등과 관련된 요인을 변수로 사용하여 교통사고건수 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구가 대부분이다. 그러나, 분석하고자 하는 대상 교차로의 사고건수 예측모형을 개발하기 위해 필요한 교통사고 자료의 경우 단 기일에 걸쳐 획득되지 않으며 몇 년간의 사고 자료를 요구할 수도 있다. 이러한 자료를 이용하더라도 사고 발생 기간동안 교차로 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인(교차로 운영방법, 기하구조 등)이 변화될 수도 있다는 문제점을 지닌다. 이와 같은 이유로 교차로 안전성을 진단하는데 있어 기존 교통사고 자료는 언제나 절대적인 자료가 될 수 없다. 이에 대한 보완책으로, 3일에서 5일정도의 조사 자료만으로도 안전성 진단이 가능한 상충자료를 이용하여 교차로 안전성 진단을 할 수 있다. 본 연구는 기존사고 자료를 이용하여 사고 발생에 기인하는 여러 변수들을 교통사고심각도와의 상관관계를 분석하고, 상관관계가 높은 변수를 이용하여 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하였으며, 모형 검증을 위해 다중회귀사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하여 비교 평가한 결과 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형의 예측력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 현장에서 조사된 상충자료를 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형에 적용하여 상충이 사고로 연결 될 경우 사고심각도를 예측하였으며, 예측된 사고심각도에 가중치를 부여하여 대상 교차로 위험우선순위를 결정한 결과 사고비용에 기초한 위험우선순위 결정법과 같은 순위의 결과를 도출하였다.

A Study on Characteristics of Highway Segments for Recreational Trips Using Principal Analysis (주성분분석을 이용한 고속도로의 여가성 도로구간 판별에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Chung, Jin-Hyuk;Kum, Ki-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.2 s.73
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2004
  • A five-day work week has a great impact on the life styles of employed persons and their families. At the same time, the changes also impact on the transportation system because travel patterns, demand, and pattern of congestion change during weekends. The negative impacts on the transportation system should be examined in order to conceive measures to maintain dependable levels of service during weekends. The first step to pursue the issue is to identify the road segments heavily affected by augmented leisure trips. In this study, characteristics of highway segments are engineered by principal analysis using data from TCS database. Scores from principal analysis are employed to distinguish highway segments for leisure trips from total 197 segments considered in this study. In addition, indexes from principal analysis are proposed to identify highway segments for leisure trips.

Inferring the Transit Trip Destination Zone of Smart Card User Using Trip Chain Structure (통행사슬 구조를 이용한 교통카드 이용자의 대중교통 통행종점 추정)

  • SHIN, Kangwon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.437-448
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    • 2016
  • Some previous researches suggested a transit trip destination inference method by constructing trip chains with incomplete(missing destination) smart card dataset obtained on the entry fare control systems. To explore the feasibility of the transit trip destination inference method, the transit trip chains are constructed from the pre-paid smart card tagging data collected in Busan on October 2014 weekdays by tracing the card IDs, tagging times(boarding, alighting, transfer), and the trip linking distances between two consecutive transit trips in a daily sequences. Assuming that most trips in the transit trip chains are linked successively, the individual transit trip destination zones are inferred as the consecutive linking trip's origin zones. Applying the model to the complete trips with observed OD reveals that about 82% of the inferred trip destinations are the same as those of the observed trip destinations and the inference error defined as the difference in distance between the inferred and observed alighting stops is minimized when the trip linking distance is less than or equal to 0.5km. When applying the model to the incomplete trips with missing destinations, the overall destination missing rate decreases from 71.40% to 21.74% and approximately 77% of the destination missing trips are the single transit trips for which the destinations can not be inferable. In addition, the model remarkably reduces the destination missing rate of the multiple incomplete transit trips from 69.56% to 6.27%. Spearman's rank correlation and Chi-squared goodness-of-fit tests showed that the ranks for transit trips of each zone are not significantly affected by the inferred trips, but the transit trip distributions only using small complete trips are significantly different from those using complete and inferred trips. Therefore, it is concluded that the model should be applicable to derive a realistic transit trip patterns in cities with the incomplete smart card data.

Lifetime Reliability Based Life-Cycle Cost-Effective Optimum Design of Steel Bridges (생애 신뢰성에 기초한 강교의 LCC최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang Min;Cho, Hyo Nam;Cha, CheolJun;Kim, Seong Hun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1A
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a practical and realistic Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) optimum design methodology of steel bridges considering time effect of bridge reliability under environmental stressors such as corrosion and heavy truck traffics. The LCC functions considered in the LCC optimization consist of initial cost, expected life-cycle maintenance cost and expected life-cycle rehabilitation costs including repair/replacement costs, loss of contents or fatality and injury losses, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. For the assessment of the life-cycle rehabilitation costs, the annual probability of failure which depends upon the prior and updated load and resistance histories should be accounted for. For the purpose, Nowak live load model and a modified corrosion propagation model considering corrosion initiation, corrosion rate, and repainting effect are adopted in this study. The proposed methodology is applied to the LCC optimum design problem of an actual steel box girder bridge with 3 continuous spans (40 m+50 m+40 m=130 m), and various sensitivity analyses of types of steel, local corrosion environments, average daily traffic volume, and discount rates are performed to investigate the effects of various design parameters and conditions on the LCC-effectiveness. From the numerical investigation, it has been observed that local corrosion environments and the number of truck traffics significantly influence the LCC-effective optimum design of steel bridges, and thus realized that these conditions should be considered as crucial parameters for the optimum LCC-effective design.

A Fundamental Study on Advanced VTS System through Statistic Analyzing Traffic Accidents in VTS area (해양사고 통계분석을 통한 VTS 개선방안에 관한 기초연구)

  • Lee, Hyong-Ki;Chang, Seong-Rok;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.519-524
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    • 2009
  • Although it is expected to provide fundamental data for advanced VTS system by analyzing traffic accidents in VTS area, there is no quantitative analysis to find it.. In this research, it is examined and analyzed marine casualties records(1999-2004), data of Port-MIS and data of each VTS center. The results of this research are as below. 1) It is necessary to reduce traffic accident and to improve VTS operating system. 2) It is discovered for statistical discrepancy between vessels controlled by VTS and vessels not controlled by VTS in accident cause, visibility, perception distance and cause of late perception in collision accidents 3) It is necessary for VTS assistance to be positive and to made in ample time consecutively. 4) As the result of traffic accident prediction model, it is necessary to develop a system improving VTS operators' ability to identify dangerous ships.

A Study on Trip Generation Model considering Trip-chaining by Behavioral Homogeneous Person Group ("유사 통행행태 집단"의 Trip-chaining을 고려한 통행발생 모형)

  • Lee, Seon-Ha;Yun, Jin-Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.709-716
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    • 2006
  • The rapid changes of family structure such as singles, working couples and so on have effects on a travel behaviour. One of the characteristics from this is the increasing portion of trip-chain, in which plural activities were conducted in a "single outgoing" travel. Therefore travel must be considered as location change to conduct various activities instead of pursuing single travel purpose. This paper specifies a behavioral homogeneous person group by a job, a possession of cars. Based on this classification of person groups and their activity diary, the sequence, time and travel mode of activities in a day can be verified. As a case study household survey was conducted in city Kongju. The survey result shows that the classification of behavioral homogeneous person group based on criteria like employment status and car ownership bring a good result to forecast trip generation in traffic zone.