• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구감소

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A Study of Hierarchical Stepwise Migration and Depopulation : focusing on city rank-size and NIR change, 1995~2014 (도시 계층성에 따른 단계적 이동과 과소화 검토 -1995~2014년 도시 순위-규모와 자연적 인구증가율 변화를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Chung Sup;Eun, Seog In
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.120-134
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the hierarchical stepwise migration and its influences on regions (metropolitan areas, cities and counties of Korea administrative district) through analyzing the city rank-size and the changes of natural increase of population. The result shows that the inter-regional migration has been associated to the decrease of the population and the decline of NIR in the regions where outflows have been persisted. Also, theses demographic events have sequentially occurred through the hierarchy of settlement system: gradually from rural (gun) and lower ranked regions in the system of city rank-size, to urban (si) and regions in the high ranks in the system. Based on the result of this study, it is possible to understand and expect the major origins of inter-regional migration, the presence of the hierarchical stepwise migration and most significantly, the spatial expansion of depopulation problems.

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Optimum Population of Korea from the Perspective of Social Welfare (사회복지적 관점에서 본 한국의 적정인구)

  • Kim, Seung-Kwon
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.241-268
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    • 2006
  • This study aim to examine the optimum population in Korea, which has the lowest fertility rate in the world. This study has significance because this rapid decline in the fertility rate is expected to bring the decrease of the population and unbalance in the population composition in Korea. From the social welfare perspective, the optimum population is guided by maximization of the social welfare level per person or the social welfare level in a society. The optimum population can be defined as follows: The proportion of older adults 65 and over is 15-17%, the proportion of work force is 64-69%, the index of aging is 72-104. Within the current population and population composition, the optimum population is estimated as 4.85-4.95 million. These findings imply that we need to remove causes of low fertility rate and prepare for policies encouraging immigration of labor force from foreign countries. In addition, policies and programs where children can be grown up in good environments and women and older adults can participate in labor force should be established.

The Factors Affecting the Population Outflow from Busan to the Seoul Metropolitan Area (지역별 수도권으로의 인구유출에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구: 부산시 사례를 중심으로)

  • LIM, Jaebin;Jeong, Kiseong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to review the trends of the population outflows in the metropolitan area of Busan and to investigate the factors that affect population out-migration to the Seoul metropolitan area. The following variables are considered for analysis: traditional population movement variables and quality of life variables, such as population, society, employment, housing, culture, safety, medical care, greenery, education, and childcare. The 'domestic population movement data', provided by the MDIS of the National Statistical Office, was used for this research. Out of the total of 57 million population movement data in the period 2012 - 2017, population outmigration from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area was extracted. Independent variables were drawn from public data sources in accordance with the temporal and spatial settings of the study. The multiple linear regression model was specified based on the dataset, and the fit of the model was measured by the p-value, and the values of Adjusted R2, Durbin-Watson analysis, and F-statistics. The results of the analysis showed that the variables that have a significant effect on population movement from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area were as follows: 'single-person households', 'the elderly population', 'the total birth rate', 'the number of companies', 'the number of employees', 'the housing sales price index', 'cultural facilities', and 'the number of students per teacher'. More positive (+) influences of the population out-movement were observed in areas with higher numbers of single-person households, lowers proportions of the elderly, lower numbers of businesses, higher numbers of employees, higher numbers of housing sales, lower numbers of cultural facilities, and lower numbers of students. The findings suggest that policies should enhance the environments such as quality jobs, culture, and welfare that can retain young people within Busan. Improvements in the quality of life and job creation are critical factors that can mitigate the outflows of the Busan residents to the Seoul metropolitan area.

An Empirical Study on the Location and Management Plan of Public Facilities in the Rural Center Place by Declining Population (인구감소에 따른 농촌지역 거점형 중심지 공공시설 입지 및 운영방안 개선에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Jin;Kang, In-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2018
  • This study investigated the public use of Myeon Location in Jeollanam - do where the population is at risk of declining. And discussed the rational provision and coordination of public facilities as a guarantee of fundamental rights. As a result of the study, the rational supply and adjustment directions of public facilities are as follows. First, there are problems such as high availability of management, finance, shopping, and health facilities, lack of culture, leisure, community facilities, and weakening of center function. Therefore, in the continuing declining population situation, face management, safety and health facilities should be upgraded to multifunctional facilities, and utilization efficiency and integration should be promoted. In addition, town center rehabilitation should be centered on multifunctional facilities. In addition, elementary schools will have to utilize and preserve them to take advantage of local cultural values as nostalgia storing place that provide incentives for young people and elementary school children in the future. Second, in order to cope with population decline, public facilities need to strengthen public services through complexity and multifunctionality, wide-area operation with neighboring areas, and user-centered operation management.

Study of Countermeasures of Population Decrease in Marginal Village in Japan (일본 '한계취락(限界聚落)'의 인구감소 대책방안 사례연구)

  • Joung, Kyung-Hee;Lee, Jae Hoon;Kim, Byung-Ryang
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2014
  • Korea is the most rapidly aging country in the OECD countries, becoming 'an aging society' in 2010, when over 12% of the population had reached the age 65 and beyond. Along with the population aging, problems of the elderly have become a social issue. Also, the elderly population in most farming villages is increasing due to the cityward concentration of younger generation and the rapid urbanization centered around the capital area. Yet no definite success in revitalization of these villages has been reported despite the acknowledgement of the problems arising from such phenomena. Therefore, by examining "marginal villages" (communities whose joint social activities are difficult to maintain as over 50% of the population is 65 years or older) in Japan, which at this point has entered "the ultra-aged society" before Korea, this study intends to compare and analyze the countermeasure plans for the population decrease in these villages. The case study has been done with the focus on the literary references published in Japan such as papers, various reports, statistics, newspapers, and journals.

농약은 왜 필요한가

  • 이승찬
    • The Bimonthly Magazine for Agrochemicals and Plant Protection
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.6-13
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    • 1986
  • 세계인구는 매년 8천 5백만명이 증가 총49억명에 달했으며 20세기말에는 60억을 돌파할 것으로 추정된다. 인구 증가율은 다소 감소했으나 사망률이 낮아진 반면 출산율이 계속 높은 수준을 보여 세계인구는 계속 증가하는 추세이다. 이에 반하여 세계 농업생산 증수율은 인구 증가에 비하여 점차 떨어지는 실정이다. 최근 우리나라의 식량 자급율(自給率)은 50$\%$를 밑돌고 있는 형편이다. 더구나 근래에 와서 세계적 기상이변(氣象異變)으로 특히 아프리카의 수단과 같은 나라는 수년간 한발(旱魃)이 계속되어 수백만의 사람들이 굶어 죽거나 굶주리고 있는 상황이다. 이와 같은 인구 증가에 따른 식량의 확보(確保)와 농산물의 증산(增産)은 이용 가능한 농경지(農耕地)가 제한되어 있는 한 단위 면적당(單位 面積當) 수량(收量)을 높이는 수 밖에 없다. 이 목적을 달성시키기 위하여는 품종개량(品種改良), 경종법(耕種法) 개선 등 여러 가지 방법을 들 수 있으나 그 중에서도 가장 간편하고 효과가 큰 방법으로는 병$\cdot$해충$\cdot$잡초(病$\cdot$害蟲$\cdot$雜草)의 피해(무방제시의 감수율 $40\sim60\%$)를 막아 수량을 올리는 것이다.

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Analysis on the Effect of Regional Characteristics and Housing Market Characteristics on Population Growth (지역 및 주택 시장 특성이 인구 증가에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Oh, Sang-Ho;Suh, Jeong-Yeal
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to grasp factors the increasing population growth rate of the region through the regional and housing market characteristics. This paper has used multiple regression as the dependent variable (average of the population growth rate of 85cities during the last five years) and the independent variables analyzed the regional and housing market characteristics on the average. The results of the analysis, The regional and housing market variables that have had a significant impact on the regional population growth rate over the last five years are birth rate, employment rate, production available population growth rate, apartment rate, resale rights rate, and apartment turnover rate and the number of businesses per thousand and has decreased. In other words, The regions where the population increased by region for the last five years were the ones with the transfer of public institutions (innovation cities) and land development among the Seoul metropolitan area and non-Seoul metropolitan area excluding Seoul and metropolitan cities. The results of this study is intentional to suggest Policy point of view for the balanced regional development presented at the government level for other the metropolitan area, such as the small and medium cities that are undergoing population decline.

Changes in Floating Population Distribution in Jeju Island Tourist Destinations Before and After COVID-19 Using Spatial Big Data Analysis (공간 빅데이터 분석을 활용한 COVID-19 전후 제주도 관광지의 유동인구 분포 변화)

  • Heonkyu Jeong;Yong-Bok Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.12-28
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to identify the trend of changes in tourist floating population before and after COVID-19 in major tourist destinations in Jeju Island through spatial analysis. Seongsan-eup and Andeok-myeon in Jeju Island were selected as the research area, and the research period was set at 1 year before and 2 years after the COVID-19 outbreak. For the analysis, mobile floating population data was refined and processed to calculate floating population distribution and floating population increase/decrease data. This was converted into spatial data and an overlay analysis was performed with location data of major tourist attractions. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the floating population of indoor tourist attractions and small facilities decreased immediately after COVID-19, and that in open coastal areas or large facilities, the floating population decreased less or actually increased. In conclusion, in tourism development, it is necessary to identify changes in floating population according to the characteristics of tourist facilities, and it is necessary to develop tourism facilities and strategies that can respond to risk situations such as pandemics when developing tourist destinations.

The Effect Analysis of Smart City Planning on Urban Dynamics Using System Dynamics Method - Focused on Anyang-city, Korea (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 스마트도시계획이 도시동태성에 미치는 영향 분석 - 안양시를 중심으로)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Yeo, Kwan Hyun;Kim, Chang Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2020
  • Recently, smart cities are attracting attention as a solution for a plethora of urban problems, including transportation, environment, safety, and energy. However, despite a substantial body of research dealt with the concept, trends, policy, and legal institutions of smart cities, few researchers have examined how the smart city services influence the cities from the dynamic perspective that considers the entire cycle of a city, including its growth, stagnation, and decline. Thus, it is vital to understand how the city changes with time from the view that a city is a system of sub-elements-population, industry, transportation, environment, housing, and land-closely interacting together. Within this context, this study explores how the urban dynamics of Anyang-city develop for the long term using the System Dynamics method and analyzes the effect of smart city project investment on the dynamics of Anyang-city. According to the result, Anyang-city is a "mature and stable" type, and its population is expected to decrease slowly by 2040. Specifically, the Anyang-city population will be reduced to 553,000 by 2030. It was analyzed that the number will decrease to 543,000 by 2040. It was also found that the investment in smart city projects in Anyang, based on the Plan for Anyang Smart City, would have the following effects: easing population decline, increasing number of businesses, improving urban safety index, and increasing average driving speed. The population will grow by 4,000 and the number of businesses will increase by 761 than before budget investment. The result of this paper is expected to contribute to identifying and predicting the effect of smart city policies from a long-term perspective.

Analysis of Changes in the Characteristics of Urban Spatial Structure in Korea through the Population Gradient Curve (인구밀도경사함수를 이용한 우리나라 도시공간구조의 지역별.규모별 변화특성 분석)

  • Yun, Kapsik;Lee, Gabjeong
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.445-457
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    • 2013
  • This paper aims to investigate changes in the characteristics of urban spatial structure in Korea by regional groups and city size between 2000 and 2010. The characteristics of urban spatial structure is analyzed by Clark's population gradient curve in this paper. Therefore key parameters in population gradient function, such as population density gradients and population density in CBD represent the characteristics of urban spatial structure. The result shows that most of cities in Korea have experienced suburbanization rather than concentration, but small-size cities have experienced concentration during the period.

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