• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과 모형 분석

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A study on tourist satisfaction of the Daegu City Tour using a structural equation model (구조방정식모형을 이용한 대구시티투어 관광객의 만족도 연구)

  • Song, Mi-Jung;Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1075-1087
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    • 2011
  • We analyze the tourist satisfaction of the Daegu City Tour which plays a big role in the local tourism boosting through '2011 Visit Daegu Year'. To analyze a causal relation among factors, we proposed a structural equation model consisting of four latent variables of the tour: motivation, expectation, satisfaction, and future behaviors. Using data from the actual tourists of the Daegu City Tour, we found out that tourists' motivation before the tour does not affect tourists' satisfaction after the tour. However those who have higher motivation have positive future behavior and those who have the higher expectation are more satisfied with the tour. Meanwhile, the expectation before the tour does not lead the future behavior but the satisfaction after the tour influences the positive future behavior.

Monetary Unification in North East Asian Economies and Setting an Anchor Currency by CNY and JPY (한중일 3개국의 화폐통합과 기축통화 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.61-78
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    • 2010
  • The paper is basically attempted to reveal a possibility of monetary unification and setting an anchor currency in North East Asian economies such as South Korea, China, and Japan. The Cobb-Douglas utility function is tentatively built by a Walrasian economic framework. Korean Won(KRW) is represented for a numeraire in a structural model, and the estimation of a parameter is performed by 2SLS and GARCH-M models. Empirical evidence is found that not only monetary unification itself in this regime seems not to be practicable, but also setting an anchor currency by Chinese Yuan(CNY) or Japanese Yen(JPY) is also inappropriated due to the fact that the estimated parameter is not converged to a unity. Walrasian equilibria are enhanced by the convergence to a unity in the model. It also has to be mentioned that a number of necessary and sufficient conditions should be fulfilled prior to discuss a monetary unification in North East Asian economies. Instead, Asia currency unit(ACU) is more feasible in reality.

A Route Choice Model with Considering Fuel Cost by Travel Distance (통행거리에 따른 유류비를 반영한 경로선택모형 개발)

  • Park, Bora;Lee, Jaeyoung;Choi, Keechoo;Song, Pilyong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.599-604
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the value of travel time was estimated with reflecting the fuel cost according to travel distance. The main objective of this study is whether the addition of the fuel cost as a factor for route choice behavior is appropriate or not, through the stated preference survey. The route choice model was developed using SP survey technique with the consideration of level difference and the value of travel time, toll and fuel costs. Consequently, the fuel cost is identified as a main factor like travel time and toll cost in choosing routes from drivers' viewpoints. Nevertheless, since toll costs are recognized as out-of-pocket expenses whereas fuel costs as periodical expenses, it seems drivers are more sensitive to toll than fuel costs.

Impacts of the Building Permit Area Change on the Forest Products Import Quantities in Korea (건축허가면적(建築許可面積)의 변화(變化)가 임산물(林産物) 수입(輸入)에 미치는 영향(影響))

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.90 no.2
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2001
  • This study estimated the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities in Korea. The first objective of this dissertation is to analyze whether there is any causal relationship between change in the building permit area and changes in the import quantities of forest products in Korea. Assuming that there is any causal relationship, the second objective is to evaluate the dynamics of the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities in Korea. The relationship between the building permit area and the import quantity was represented by bivariate vector autoregressive or vector error correction model. Whether there is any causal relationship between change in the building permit area and changes in the import quantities of forest products was analyzed by the causality test of Granger. And the dynamics of the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities were evaluated by variance decomposition analysis and impulse response analysis. The import quantity of forest products can be explained by the lagged building permit area variables and the lagged import quantity variables in Korea. Change in the building permit area causes change in the high-density fiberboard import quantity in Korea. In the bivariate model of the high-density fiberboard import quantity, after six months, the building permit area change accounts for about ten percent of variation in the import quantity, and its own change accounts for about ninety percent of variation in the import quantity. On the other hand, the impact of a shock to the building permit area is significant for about six months on the import quantity of high-density fiberboard in Korea. That is, if the building permit area change indeed had an impact on the import quantity of high-density fiberboard in Korea, it was only of a short-term nature.

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A Structural Analysis of Learner on Adult Female Learners' Learning Outcome (성인여성학습자의 학습성과에 대한 구조분석)

  • Jang, Eun Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.364-372
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the multi-phrased effects and outcomes of adult female learners who participated in lifelong learning activities, as well as the proposed structural relationships among the five latent variables. Questions established to achieve the purpose of the study are as follow: What effects do the learner's characteristics, lifelong education institutions, learning flow, and learning satisfaction have on the learning come? The participants of the survey numbered 632, but 54 respondents who were unreliable or did not complete their survey were excluded. A total of 578 cases were analyzed for this research. The structural relationships among the five latent variables-learner's characteristics, lifelong education institutions, learning flow and learning satisfaction, and learning outcome of the adult female learners-AMOS 18.0 program were also used for structural analysis. The major findings of this research are as follows. First, the model fitness showed that the hypothetical model provided a reasonable fit to the data ${\chi}^2=224.267$ (df=69, p<.001), RMSEA=.062, TLI=.943, RFI=.920, CFI=.957, IFI=.957, NFI=.939. Second, the learner's characteristics ( =.218, p<.001) and lifelong education institutions ( =.301, p<.001) have a direct effect on the learning outcomes. The learning flow ( =-.149 p=.541) does not have a direct effect on the learning outcome. Learning satisfaction ( =.405 p<.001) have a direct effect on the learning outcome. To put findings above together, in respect to adult female learners' performances, the learning outcomes are influenced directly by the learner characteristics, conditions of the lifelong education institutions, and learning satisfaction, whereas satisfaction indirectly affects the learners' learning outcome.

Structural Influence and Relationship between the Environmentally-friendly Attitude and Purchase Intention based on the College Students' Values towards Organic Produces - Moderating Effect of Consumer Confidence - (대학생들의 친환경농산물에 대한 가치관이 친환경적 태도 및 구매의도간의 구조적 영향 관계 - 소비자 신뢰의 조절효과 -)

  • Kim, Jong-Suck;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2017
  • The fundamental objective of cultivating organic farm produces is to preserve the natural environment and protect eco system so as to maintain the environment where people can live. In the current social atmosphere, the value and attitude of the college students to the environment are significant as they will take the leading part in the future. College students in Busan participated in the survey for the study to prove the moderating effect of the confidence with organic farm produces by investigating the casual relationship among the purchase intention, the environmentally-friendly attitude, and the consumption value of college students. The questionnaires were distributed over the period from October $15^{th}$, 2016 to $30^{th}$.261 papers of the questionnaires were analyzed with SPSS (V 23.0) and AMOS (V 21.0) programs. The analysis on Confidence, Confirmatory Factors, Structural Equation Modeling was compared with Chi-square considering the degrees of freedom between the two models in order to investigate the moderating effect from the purchasing frequency. The result from the analysis confirms that there is a casual relationship between college students' values of organic farm products and the environmentally-friendly attitude. Consumer confidence has a moderating effect on the attitude and purchase intention. As it can be seen from the result of the analysis, it is necessary for municipal governments and the government to push ahead with the policies on organic farm products in the future as it is proved that there is a casual relationship among the attitude, purchase intention and the students' values of the organic farm products.

The Causal Effects Among Participants' Curiosity, Perceived Exertion, and Exercise Emotion on Exercise Adherence Behavior in Marine Leisure Sports (해양레저스포츠의 참여자 호기심, 운동강도, 운동정서가 운동지속행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sung Mun;Choi, Man Sik
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to clarify the casual effects among participants'curiosity, the perceived exertion and the exercise emotion on the exercise adherence behavior in marine leisure sports. The subjects for the study was 491 students who registered for the curriculum on marine leisure sports(SCUBA diving, Windsurfing, Yacht). They answered to 4 kinds of questionnaires. The descriptive analysis and the reliability analysis were accomplished through SPSS 18.0. The correlation analysis and the confirmatory factor analysis were conducted for verifying the validity of the research model with AMOS 18.0. The verification for the structure equation modeling was conducted to investigate the casual relationship among factors. The results was as follows. First, there was the causality between the participants'curiosity on the marine leisure sports and the exercise emotion, the emotion and the exercise adherence behavior, the curiosity and the behavior. Also, the exercise emotion was the partial mediating variable of the causality between the curiosity and the exercise adherence behavior. Seconds, when the exercise intensity was heavy, the rate of the positive emotion was low and the opposite was high. When the exercise intensity was heavy, the probability, predisposing and reinforcing were low. A strong will for doing exercise showed in case the exercise emotion was positive with high probability, predisposing and reinforcing. The exercise emotion was the partial mediating variable of the causality between the perceived exertion and the exercise adherence behavior.

TAM과 유비쿼터스홈서비스 수용 영향요인

  • O, Jae-In
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 디지털홈서비스의 실제 이용자들에 대한 실증분석을 통해 수용에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 밝히기 위한 연구이다. 디지털홈서비스의 특성에 맞게 기술수용모형 (TAM) 을 확장. 수정된 연구모형을 개발, 가설을 설정하여 분석하였다. 외부변수로 이용자의 특성을 채택하였으며, 디지털홈서비스가 가정 내 기술임을 고려하여 신념변수로 ‘지각된 이용용이성’과 ‘지각된 즐거움’ 외에 ‘지각된 편의성’, ‘지각된 안전성’, ‘지각된 삶의 질 향상’이라는 변수를 추가하였고 종속변수로는 ‘이용행동’을 설정하였다. 205명의 실제 이용자를 대상으로 한 설문조사 중 201개의 유효표본을 분석하였고, 신뢰성과 타당성 모두 통계적으로 적합한 것으로 나타났다. AMOS 4를 이용한 구조방정식 모형분석을 통해 24개의 가설검증 결과, 13개의 가설이 채택되었다. 이용자 개인의 특성 중 경험과 교육훈련은 지각된 이용용이성에 정(+)의 영향을 미쳤으며 혁신성은 지각된 즐거움, 지각된 편의성, 지각된 안전성, 지각된 삶의 질 향상에 대하여 정(+)의 영향을 미치고 있었다. 또한 지각된 이용용이성이 다른 신념변수인 지각된 즐거움, 지각된 편의성, 지각된 안정성, 지각된 삶의 질 향상에 정의 영향을 미치고 있었다. 종속변수인 이용행동에는 지각된 즐거움과 지각된 편의성, 지각된 삶의 질 향상이 긍정적인 영향을 미치나, 지각된 이용용이성과 지각된 안전성은 영향을 미치지 않았다. 가정에서 쉽게 이용할 수 있다는 것만으로는 적극적인 이용 행동을 기대할 수 없으며, 즐거움 및 실용적인 효익들의 제공 및 이를 위한 다양한 컨텐츠와 프로그램 개발 등이 매우 중요하다는 것을 시사하고 있다.수십억원의 추가적인 이익을 실현할 것으로 분석되었다. 본 알고리즘을 확장 적용할 경우 PBUC 문제 해결을 위한 새로운 해법으로도 그 효용성이 클 것으로 예상된다.자료이기 때문에 통계적 활용의 범위가 방대하다. 특히 개인, 가구, 사업체 등 사회 활동의 주체들이 어떻게 변화하는지를 추적할 수 있는 자료를 생산함으로써 다양한 인과적 통계분석을 할 수 있다. 행정자료를 활용한 인구센서스의 이러한 특징은 국가의 교육정책, 노동정책, 복지정책 등 다양한 정책을 정확한 자료를 근거로 수립할 수 있는 기반을 제공한다(Gaasemyr, 1999). 이와 더불어 행정자료 기반의 인구센서스는 비용이 적게 드는 장점이 있다. 예를 들어 덴마크나 핀란드에서는 조사로 자료를 생산하던 때의 1/20 정도 비용으로 행정자료로 인구센서스의 모든 자료를 생산하고 있다. 특히, 최근 모든 행정자료들이 정보통신기술에 의해 데이터베이스 형태로 바뀌고, 인터넷을 근간으로 한 컴퓨터네트워크가 발달함에 따라 각 부처별로 행정을 위해 축적한 자료를 정보통신기술로 연계${cdot}$통합하면 막대한 조사비용을 들이지 않더라도 인구센서스자료를 적은 비용으로 생산할 수 있는 근간이 마련되었다. 이렇듯 행정자료 기반의 인구센서스가 많은 장점을 가졌지만, 그렇다고 모든 국가가 당장 행정자료로 인구센서스를 대체할 수 있는 것은 아니다. 행정자료로 인구센서스통계를 생산하기 위해서는 각 행정부서별로 사용하는 행정자료들을 연계${cdot}$통합할 수 있도록 국가사회전반에 걸쳐 행정 체제가 갖추어져야 하기 때문이다. 특히 모든 국민 개개인에 관한 기본정보, 개인들이 거주하며

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Numerical analysis of the Sediment Pass-Through from Weirs by using CCHE2D (수치모형을 이용한 보의 토사토출 효과 분석)

  • Jang, Chang-Lae;Lee, Kyung-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.534-534
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    • 2012
  • 최근 집중호우 등으로 인하여 유역에 생산된 토사가 하도에 유입되면서 하상 및 지형변동을 일으키고 있으며, 보 및 댐 상류에서 유사의 퇴적으로 인하여 홍수위 변화와 저수지 기능감소 등 많은 변화를 가져오고 있다. 이로 인하여 댐 및 보의 지속적인 유지관리를 위하여 유사관리 방안이 절실하게 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강에 건설된 상주보와 구미보를 대상으로 CCHE2D모형을 이용하여 보의 상류에 퇴적된 토사의 토출(배출(排出), SPT)효과를 분석하였다. 토사 토출 효과를 예측하기 위하여 2차원 하상변동 수치모형인 CCHE2D를 이용한 하상변동 과정을 모의한 결과, 보 상류에서는 수문을 통과하여 흐르는 유속으로 인하여 하상이 저하 되었으며, 보 하류에서는 상류에서 유입되는 유사량과 지형적인 영향을 받아 세굴과 퇴적이 반복되는 경향을 보였다. 상류에서 2년빈도 유량, $1,500m^3/s$, $1,000m^3/s$, 풍수량으로 48시간 동안 상주보와 구미보로 유입될 때, 수문이 완전히 열린 상태로 있을 경우에, 상주보와 구미보에서 배사효과를 예측하기 위하여 유사 전달(Sediment delivery)을 분석하였다. 상주보와 구미보에서 배사효과를 예측하기 위하여 유사 전달을 분석한 결과, 상주보는 2년빈도 유량인 $3,857m^3/s$로 48시간 동안 상주보로 유입될 때, 보에서 하류로 전달되는 유사량은 약 4,400 tons 정도로 산정되었다. 유량인 $1,500m^3/s$일 때, 약 2,700 tons이 하류로 전달되지만, 최대 유사전달이 발생되는 지점은 보 하류에서 발생하였다. 풍수량 인 $207.4m^3/s$ 일 때, 1,357 tons이 하류로 전달되며, 최대 유사전달이 발생되는 지점은 상주보에서 발생하였다. 구미보는 2년빈도 유량인 $5,400m^3/s$로 48시간 동안 상주보로 유입될 때, 보에서 하류로 전달되는 유사량은 약 3,216 tons 정도로 산정되었다. 유량이 $1,500m^3/s$일 때, 약 73 tons이 하류로 전달되지만, 최대 유사전달이 발생되는 지점은 보에서 발생하였다. 유량인 $1,000m^3/s$일 때, 약 16 tons이 하류로 전달되며, 풍수량 인 $129.7m^3/s$일 때, 28 tons이 하류로 전달되었다. 상주보와 구미보 상류에서는 유사 전달이 감소하여, 유사가 약간 퇴적되는 경향을 보이지만, 전 구간에 걸쳐서 대체적으로 유사 전달이 크게 변하지 않고 있다. 보 상류를 제외하고는 전제적으로 하상고의 변화가 거의 없이 평형 상태를 유지하고 있는 것을 의미한다. 따라서, 상류에서 2년빈도의 홍수량이 유입될 때, 수문을 완전히 개방할 경우에 배사 효과가 크게 있는 것을 알 수 있다.

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A Structural Framework on Psychological Adaptation and Sequential Changes during the COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나19 팬데믹에 대한 심리적 적응과 연쇄적 변화의 구조 모형)

  • Ko, Dong-Woo;Seo, Hyun-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.351-389
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    • 2021
  • This qualitative study aimed to develop a structural framework that explains the process of psychological adaptation and sequential changes being perceived by Korean people under the COVID-19 Pandemic past year. Setting a tentative analysis frame induced from antecedent literatures about psychological phenomena during the COVID-19 pandemic, the qualitative data were collected from 6 Korean adults by semi structured individual interviews. For the data, content analysis applied from the grounded theory were performed. As a result, the initial framework was extended and revised to describe the psychological phenomena under the pandemic. This paradigm structure includes the process of 'causal factors ⇒ psychological main phenomena ⇒ sequential results' being intervened by personal contextual situations and psychological characteristics, as moderators. The category of causal factors were the COVID-19 pandemic, relevant critical incidents, and social distancing policy. The main phenomena reflected either positive, negative, or complicated experiences. The sequential psychological results included transformation of cognitive system or behavior patterns. Various variables such as psychological sense of community and social responsibility, psychological capability for leisure, and positive psychological capital were found out as moderating factors. In discussion and conclusion, theoretical/practical implications of the results and direction to study in the future were suggested.