• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.3
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• pp.145-156
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• 2021

Forest fires have frequently occurred around the world, and the damages are increasing. In Korea, most forest fires are initiated by human activities, but climate factors such as temperature, humidity, and wind speed have a great impact on combustion environment of forest fires. In this study, therefore, based on statistics of forest fires in Gyeonggi-do over the past five years, meteorological and hydrological factors (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation, and drought) were selected in order to quantitatively investigate causal relationships with forest fire. We applied a partial least squares structural equation model (PLS-SEM), which is suitable for analyzing causality and predicting latent variables. The overall results indicated that the measurement and structural models of the PLS-SEM were statistically significant for all evaluation criteria, and meteorological factors such as humidity, temperature, and wind speed affected by amount of -0.42, 0.23 and 0.15 of standardized path coefficient, respectively, on forest fires, whereas hydrological factor such as drought had an effect of 0.23 on forest fires. Therefore, as a practical method, the suggested model can be used for analyzing and evaluating influencing factors of forest fire and also for planning response and preparation of forest fire disasters.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.1317-1321
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• 2010

기후변화의 영향으로 국지성 집중호우가 증가함에 따라 토석류 발생면적과 피해규모는 지속적으로 증가추세에 있다. 강우는 토석류의 유발 뿐 만 아니라 토석류 발생규모에 직접적인 영향을 미치므로 유발강우에 대한 분석은 향후 토석류 대응을 위한 경보기준이나 대책의 설계목표를 설정하는데 있어 매우 중요한 정보를 제공하며(김경석, 2008) 누가강우량, 강우강도, 강우지속시간 및 선행 강우량 등의 강우 특성과 토석류 발생과의 관계를 제시하기 위한 다양한 연구가 수행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 토석류를 유발하는 강우 특성을 레이더 강우와 분포형 수문모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 특정 격자안에 토석류 발생부가 많이 포함될수록 강우에 의한 영향이 컸을 것이라는 가정을 바탕으로 항공사진을 이용해 취득한 발달 단계별 토석류 맵핑 결과를 활용하였으며 지점강우를 이용하여 조건부 합성방법으로 보정된 1 km 해상도의 레이더 보정강우와 GIS와 연계된 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 HyGIS-GRM을 이용하여 격자별 강우량을 산정하고 강우특성을 비교하였다. 연구결과 토석류는 흐름누적수가 0인 능선부위에서 대부분 발생하였으며 발생부 포인트가 많이 포함될수록 2~3시간 동안의 강우강도가 매우 크게 제시되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.277-277
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• 2017

하천은 하도상황의 변경, 토지이용의 변화, 골재채취, 댐과 저수지 건설 등에 의한 인위적인 요인과 대규모의 홍수, 홍수시에 발생되는 산사태와 같은 자연적인 요인에 의해 하천의 특성이 변화되고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 기록적인 집중호우가 자주 발생하고, 탁수로 인한 피해가 심각해지면서 탁수에 대한 체계적인 연구 및 적적한 관리, 저감기술의 필요성이 대두되고 기후변화로 인해 하천 내 수리적인 환경을 변화시킴으로써 침식으로 인한 제방파괴 및 시설물 파괴나 퇴사에 따른 하천의 유지관리비용 절감을 위한 최적의 하천 하상변동 예측 기술 개발 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 남강에 적합한 유사량 추정공식과 장, 단기 하상변동을 정량적으로 제시하고자 한다. 국외에서 하도의 준 2차원적인 변화에 대한 적용성이 검증된 수치모형인 GSTARS를 이용하여 남강유역인 남강댐 하류 ~ 낙동강합류부 구간의 기후변화에 따른 유량의 변화에 따라 시나리오를 구성하였다. 유사량 공식, 준 2차원 모형 활용시 사용하는 수류튜브의 개수에 따른 민감도 분석을 수행하였으며, 연구의 결과는 하천의 물리적 변화에 따른 흐름 및 하상변동을 예측하는 방법에 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.635-644
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• 1994

A mathematical model was developed to predict the concentrations of various nutrients in supernatants during aerobic digestion which is suitable to be employed in small wastewater treatment plants with such advantages as low capital cost and stable process. Significant reactions were determined with observing the behavior of nitrgen and phosphorus, and the model equations were built up in the form of simultaneous differential equations considering Mass Balance. Laboratory batch experiments were carried out at $20^{\circ}C$ and pH $7.5{\pm}0.5$ on the aerobic digestion of waste activated sludge at different solid levels. Nonlinear regression analysis was performed to estimate various reaction rate constants. The developed model can predict the behavior of Biomass N, dissolved organic N, $NH_4{^-}$-N, $NO_x{^-}$-N, and Biomass P, dissolved organic P, $PO_4{^-}$-P in aerobic digestion process. In this study, the results of simulation showed that dissolved nutrients had more effects on supernatants than nutrients in biomass, and phosphorus was more effective on supernatants than nitrogen.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.55-62
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• 2019

This study analyzed the relationship between housing price, purchase price, Gini coefficient, interest rate, and the employment, considering that the change in housing price was an important factor influencing macroeconomic variables and income inequality. The panel VAR model was constructed considering the panel data, and the Granger causality, Impulse response and Variance dispersion analysis were performed. As a result, when compared to before and after the global financial crisis, it was shown that the rent price had an effect on income inequality, but in the following period, both the rent price and the selling price affected the income inequality. And that it has a large impact on inequality. In addition, the causality between income inequality and employment rate, interest rate, and tax rate was confirmed. Therefore, it is expected that it will be a desirable policy to mitigate income inequality considering the influence of policy variables for economic activation including government real estate policy.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.97-122
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• 2013

The ARDL(Autoregressive Distributed Lag) method is employed analyzes the long-run equilibrium relationships among environmental pollution($CO_2$ emissions) per capita, income levels per capita, and energy consumption per capita. The error correction model is employed to analyze the short-term effects of income and energy consumption on $CO_2$ emissions. The Toda-Yammamoto method is employed for causal analysis among the three variables. The results show that income levels, energy consumption, and $CO_2$ emissions are cointegrated. We found the N type relationship between income and $CO_2$ emissions. Long-term elasticities of income and energy consumption with respect to $CO_2$ emission were greater than their short-term elasticities. There were a bilateral causality between energy consumption and $CO_2$ emissions. There was a unilateral causality from $CO_2$ emissions to income and from energy consumption to income not vice versa. Energy consumption can be an important variable to contribute to forecasting $CO_2$ emissions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.199-200
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 모바일 간편결제 서비스의 수용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 살펴보기 위하여 연구모형을 설계하였으며, 중국의 서비스 사용자를 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하여 변수들 간의 인과관계를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 서비스 특성, 사회적 특성과 개인적 특성이 지각된 용이성과 지각된 유용성에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 지각된 용이성은 지각된 유용성에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 지각된 용이성과 지각된 유용성은 수용의도에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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• v.11 no.3 s.41
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• pp.155-166
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• 1996

소프트웨어 프로세스를 효과적으로 반복하고 자동화하여 소프트웨어 개발 주기의 단축과 품질 향상을 가져올 수 있다. 이러한 결과를 얻기 위해서는 프로세스를 형식화하여 구문화된 형태로 표현해 주는 프로그램 언어가 필요하게 된다. 본 고에서는 소프트웨어 프로세스 모형화 작업에 필요한 프로세스 정의 언어의 특징을 살펴보고, 현존하는 여러가지 프로그램의 언어들을 비교 분석하여, 소프트웨어 프로세스 정의에 적합한 프로그램 언어의 특성을 살펴보았다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.67-81
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• 2016

This paper examines the influence of Brexit on container volume of Korea, especially of macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate and industrial production of EU and United Kingdom. To do this, we use monthly time series data during 2000-2016, and introduce the analysis method of cointegration test and VECM, and analyze the influence of industrial production and exchange rate of EU and U.K. on container volume of Korea. The results are as follows. First, the container volume of Korea is influenced by the exchange rate and industrial production of EU in the long run. But the exchange and industrial production of U.K. influenced on only export container volume of Korea, and the influence of U.K. macroeconomic variables on container volume of Korea was not large in the long lun. Second, In the shot run, the influence of exchange rate on container volume of Korea, especially on export container volume was significant in EU and U.K. To sum up, the influence of EU macroeconomic variables on container volume of Korea is larger than that of U.K., and the influence of exchange rate variable is more significant than that of industrial production variable.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.5-13
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• 2015

In this study, the lateral overflow discharge coefficients for the curvatures of side weir on meandering channel were analyzed. The side weir installed in accordance with the variation of the radius of curvature of the central angle bends with $180^{\circ}$. FLOW-3D model is applied to calculate the discharge coefficients of the side-weir on meandering and straight channels and the characteristics of the discharge coefficients are analysed. In order to verify the numerical model, the results from the hydraulic experiment conducted by the former research are compared with the results simulated by FLOW-3D in the same conditions. The discharge coefficients are calculated for the ratio between curvature ($R_c$) and channel width (b), and the ratio between over flow discharge of the straight channel ($Q_{wc}$) and the meandering channel ($Q_{wc}$) are compared. As the result, the discharge coefficients depend on the weir depth on upstream, and the radius of curvature, so that the discharge coefficients of side weir on the meandering channel can be estimated by them on the straight channel.