• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과관계도

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Analysis of the Causal Relationship of Perspectives of Balanced Scorecard for SCM (균형성과표의 네 관점에 대한 인과관계 분석 : SCM 추진기업들의 경영성과를 중심으로)

  • Jang, Hyeong-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • This study constructs a causal relationship model of balance scorecard(BSC) performance in supply chain management(SCM). According to the results, the sample companies show the causal relationship of learning and growth performance, internal process performance, customer performance, and financial Performance indices in SCM. And this study implies that BSC performance indices gives, through direct causal relations among them, impact on the ultimate financial performance of firms.

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The Rise of Cognitive Science (인지과학의 대두)

  • Lee, Seung-Chong
    • Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.375-380
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    • 1997
  • "모든 사람은 죽는다"라는 믿음을 내용으로 하는 마음의 상태가 "그 사람도 죽는다"라는 믿음을 내용으로 하는 마음의 상태를 인과적으로 야기하는가? 두 믿음 사이의 미시적 얼개가 인과 관계를 골자로 하고 있다는 사실에서 그 미시적 얼개에 수반하는 거시적 얼개도 인과 관계라는 사실이 함축되는가? 거시적 얼개를 물리적 관점에서 보자면 두 믿음 사이의 관계는 인과적이다. 그러나 거시적 얼개의 포인트는 미시적 얼개와는 달리 물리적 인과성에만 맞춰져 있지 않다. 한 믿음에서 다른 믿음으로의 이행에서 그 포인트는 믿음의 신경생리학적 토대가 아니라 믿음의 의미에 있다. 따라서 양자 사이의 이행 관계는 추론이나 바램 등과 같은 인간의 해석적 의미 연관의 관점에서 서술되는 것이 더 자연스럽고 이치에 맞는다.

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The Longitudinal Relation between Stressors and Depression of Men in Baby Boom Generation (베이비붐 세대 남성의 스트레스 요인과 우울의 종단적 인과관계)

  • Sung, Jun Mo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.285-310
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    • 2012
  • This study examined the causal relationship of between stressors and depression using the wave 1~4 of Korean Welfare Panel Study by social stress theory. According to the result, the level of depression and depressed group was decreased in the course of time. As a panel regression analysis, Factors affecting the reduction of depression was upward of the income hierarchy, increase the satisfaction of family and social relationships, and residential satisfaction. Based on the results, the author suggested that social work policies and intervention direction should decrease social stress factors with causality to depression of the men in baby boom generation.

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Investing the relationship between R&D expenditure and economic growth (연구개발투자와 경제성장의 상호관계 실증분석)

  • hyunyi Choi;Cho Keun Tae
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.59-82
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this research is to conduct the empirical analysis of the short- and long-term causal relationship between public R&D investment, corporate R&D investment, and university R&D investment on economic growth in Korea. To this end, based on the time series data from 1976 to 2020, a causality test was conducted through the unit root test, cointegration test, and vector error correction model (VECM). As a result, it was found that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth in Korea, public R&D investment, corporate R&D investment, and university R&D investment, in which a causal relationship exists in the long run. Also, while public R&D investment has a short-term effect on economic growth, corporate and university R&D investment does not have a short-term effect on economic growth. In addition, the results shows that there is a bidirectional causal relationship between economic growth and public R&D investment, corporate R&D investment and public R&D investment, and university R&D investment and public R&D investment in the short term. Through this research, it was empirically found that a highly mutual relationship exists between public R&D investment, corporate R&D investment, university R&D investment and economic growth. In order to increase the ripple effect of R&D investment on economic growth in the future, R&D investment between universities and corporations should be mutually promoted, and R&D investment by corporations should have a positive effect on public R&D investment so that public R&D investment can contribute to future economic growth.

금리와 물가간의 인과관계 ("깁슨의 역설")분석 : VAR 및 VARMA 모형분석

  • Nam, Ju-Ha;Park, Jae-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.161-179
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    • 1993
  • 본 논문은 벡터자기상관(VAR) 모형과 벡터자기상관이동평균(VARMA) 모형을 사용하여 명목금리와 물가(도매물가)사이의 동태적 관계를 분석한다. 명목금리와 물가사이의 정(+)의 상관관계는 소위 $\ulcorner$깁슨의 역설$\lrcorner$로 불리워지고 있는데, 실증분석 결과에 의하면 한국의 경우 깁슨의 역설은 존재하지 않는 것으로 보여진다. 과거의 많은 연구들이 $\ulcorner$깁슨의 역설$\lrcorner$을 지지하는 실증결과들을 발견한 것은 관련변수들의 안정성(stationarity)을 고려치 않은 것으로 판단된다. 본 논문에서처럼 관련변수들의 안정성을 얻기위해 수준변수(예를들면, 도매물가지수) 대신에 차분되거나 증가율을 사용하고, 금리 및 물가이외에 두변수에 영향을 줄 수 있는 변수(예를들면, 통화변수)들을 포함하는 다변수 모형을 이용한다면 우리나라에서는 $\ulcorner$깁슨의 역설$\lrcorner$은 발견되지 않은 것으로 보여진다. 즉, 회사채 수익율과 도매물가상승율을 명목금리와 물가변수로 각각 사용하고, $1972.III{\sim}1991.III$사이의 분기별 자료를 대상으로 분석한 결과, 두변수 사이의 관계는 일방적 인과관계보다는 독립적인 관계로 나타나고 있다.

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A study on the time-varying causal relationship between the housing sales market and the jeonse market in Seoul (서울 주택 매매시장과 전세시장의 시간가변적인 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Chul hong;Park, Jinbaek
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the causal relationship between housing sales prices and jeonse prices in Seoul, specifically in the Gangnam and Gangbuk neighborhoods. The time-invariant Granger causality test showed bidirectional causality between the sales price and the jeonse price in Seoul and Gangbuk, but no bidirectional causality was found in Gangnam. However, the time-varying Granger causality test showed a Granger causal relationship between the housing jeonse price and the sales price for the entire period after 1993 in all three areas. Notably, the causal effect of jeonse prices on sales prices has been continuous in Gangnam since 2010. These analysis results suggest that an increase in liquidity supply to the jeonse market could increase volatility throughout the housing market, given the strong influence between the sales and jeonse markets in both directions.

Investigation on Granger Causality between Economic Growth and Demand for Electricity in Korea: Using Quarterly Data (한국의 경제성장과 전력수요간의 인과성에 관한 연구: 분기별 자료를 이용하여)

  • Baek, Moon-Young;Kim, Woo-Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the Granger-causality between economic growth and demand for electricity in Korea, using two quarterly time-series data (real GDP and electricity consumption) for 1970:Q1 through 2009:Q4. We apply Hsiao's sequential procedure to identify a vector autoregressive model to a decision of the optimal lags in the vector error-correction model because the two time-series data contain unit roots respectively and they are cointegrated. According to the empirical results in this study, we find that Hsiao's approach to the Granger-causality indicates a bidirectional causal relation between economic growth and demand for electricity in Korea. Following the Granger and Engle's approach, we also find the statistical evidence on (1) short-run bidirectional causality between real GDP and electricity consumption, (2) bidirectional strong causality between them, and (3) long-run unidirectional causality running from demand for electricity to economic growth. Our results show an inconsistency with the existing studies on Korea's case; however, the results appear to provide more meaningful policy implications for the Korean economy and its strategy of sustainable growth.

An Empirical Study on the Asymmetric Correlation and Market Efficiency Between International Currency Futures and Spot Markets with Bivariate GJR-GARCH Model (이변량 GJR-GARCH모형을 이용한 국제통화선물시장과 통화현물시장간의 비대칭적 인과관계 및 시장효율성 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2010
  • This paper tested the lead-lag relationship as well as the symmetric and asymmetric volatility spillover effects between international currency futures markets and cash markets. We use five kinds of currency spot and futures markets such as British pound, Australian and Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures markets. daily closing prices covering from September 15, 2003 to July 30, 2009. For this purpose we employed dynamic time series models such as the Granger causality based on VAR and time-varying MA(1)-GJR-GARCH(1, 1)-M. The main empirical results are as follows; First, according to Granger causality test, we find that the bilateral lead-lag relationship between the five countries' currency spot and futures market. The price discover effect from currency futures markets to spot market is relatively stronger than that from currency spot to futures markets. Second, based on the time varying GARCH model, we find that there is a bilateral conditional mean spillover effects between the five currency spot and futures markets. Third, we also find that there is a bilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effects between British pound, Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures market. However there is a unilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effect from Australian dollar futures to cash market, not vice versa. From these empirical results we infer that most of currency futures markets have a much better price discovery function than currency cash market and are inefficient to the information.

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Analysis on the Relationship between the San-Nong Expenditure and 'Quality of Life' of Rural Residents in China (중국의 삼농(三農)지출과 농촌주민 '삶의 질'간 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.237-250
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    • 2016
  • This paper is to explore the relationship between the San-Nong expenditure and Quality of life of rural residents in China for the period of 1978-2013, using the unit root test, the Granger causality test, the cointegration test, VAR model, and VECM. The results of a study on the relationship between two variables show that an obvious mutually causal relationship exits between the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) and gross output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery(apro) in China. But the case of per capita ploor space of newly built residential buildings in rural area(rho) and per capita consumption expenditure of rural households(rli) show that the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) press for improvement in the quality of life of rural residence, while rho and rli have not yet apparent effect to san. On the other hand, It showed that the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) and the number of medical personnel(prdo) do not have a causal relationship with each other. Therefore, the government needs to find ways for a variety of San-Nong expenditure to improve the quality of life of rural residents.

An Empirical Study on the Causalities and Effects between Inbound Tourism and Service Industry GDP in China (국제 인바운드 관광과 중국내 서비스 산업 GDP간의 인과관계 및 효과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.363-387
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    • 2010
  • This papers studies the causalities and effects on the relationship between inbound tourism(TOU) and the production amount of service industry in China, using the unit root test, the Granger causality test, the cointegration test, and VECM. we take their natural logarithm and define them as TOU and SGDP: these represent the distributed variable based the lagged values of the number of international tourists by continent and real production amount in service industry of China, respectively. The results of empirical study of this papers are as follows: Firstly, in the unit root test, we found that each time series was unstable one that has unit root. This result made me use 1st differenced data for this empirical study. Secondly, in the Granger casuality test, the study results show that there is unilateral casuality relation between DLSGDP-$DLTOU_i$ except DLSGDP-DLTOUL model for the same time, while no casuality relation between DLTOU-DLSGDP for all models of China. Thirdly, there is cointegration relation between all models for the period of 1980-2008.