• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항 로짓 모형

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Research on China's Farmland Transfer (중국의 농지유동에 관한 연구)

  • Li, Yinhua;Kim, Hanho
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.23-40
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    • 2018
  • In the 2000s, China has been pushing the issue of San-Nong as a national priority. Farmland transfer, one of the solutions to the problem of San-Nong, has grown rapidly over the past decade. Especially, as farmland transfer was promoted, the rural economy developed and the living standards of the farmers improved greatly. However, the rigidity of farmland transfer type, which focuses on Zhuan-Bao method, hinders farmers' willingness to relocate to farmland transfer and ultimately acts as an obstacle in promoting massive farmland transfer. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the determinants of farmland transfer types and farmland transfer prices in Chinese farmers. Based on the results of the analysis, the following implications are suggested. First, farmers should be instructed to farmland transfer in a Ru-Gu manner; Second, the contract period must be long; Third, it is necessary to prepare countermeasures for the farmland transfer by crops; Fourth, Educational programs should be built for the farmers of farmland transfer.

Demand Analysis of Electric Vehicle by Household Type (전기자동차의 가구유형별 수요에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Won Suk;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.933-940
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    • 2018
  • The conversion of the internal combustion engine vehicle to the electric vehicle is suggested as a solution to the problem of global climate change and environmental pollution. Accordingly, this study was started to promote the use of electric vehicles. The purpose of this study is to identify the basic background knowledge and current status of electric vehicles in Korea and abroad, and expand from previous understanding on which factors affect ones choice on electric vehicles by considering individual characteristics and context in detail. In the analysis, a set of demand forecasting models were constructed by grouping the respondents based on the household characteristics as well as the vehicle ownership. At the time in need for better understanding of the feasibility of electric vehicles, it is expected that the research can assist the promotion of electric vehicles. In the follow-up study, I would like to continue the research on the activation of electric vehicles.

Freight Mode Choice Modelling with Aggregate RP Data and Disaggregate SP Data (집계적 현시선호자료와 비집계적 진술선호자료를 이용한 화물수단선택모형 구축)

  • Kang, Woong;Lee, Jang-Ho;Park, Minchoul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2017
  • For accurate demand forecasting of railway logistics, we estimated intercity freight mode choice models based on the binary logit model and using production-consumption data from the Korea Transport Database. We estimated two types of models and compared the results by major item of railway logistics, such as container, cement, and steel: 1) The aggregate freight mode choice models are based on the revealed preference (RP) data and 2) The disaggregate models are based on the stated preference (SP) data. With respect to the container, the travel time variable was found to be statistically significant; however, the travel cost variable was not statistically significant in the RP model, while the travel cost variable was statistically significant in the SP model. For cement and steel, the travel cost variables were statistically significant but the travel time variables were not statistically significant in either the RP or the SP models. These results are inconsistent with results from previous studies based on SP data, which showed that the travel time variables were significant. Consequently, it can be concluded that the travel time factor should be considered in container transport, but that this factor is negligible for cement and steel transport.

A Study on Providing Real-Time Route Guidance Information by Variable Massage Signs with Driver Behavior (운전자 행태를 고려한 VMS의 실시간 경로안내 정보제공에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-U;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2006
  • The ATIS(Advance Traveler Information System), as one part of ITS, is a system aiming to disperse traffic volume on transportation networks by providing traffic information to transportation users on pre-trip and en-route trips. One of tools in ATIS is usage of VMS(Variable Message Signs). It provides to the drivers with direct information about state of processing direction. which is considered as the most effective method in ATIS. The purposes of providing VMS information are classified two categories. One is to provide simple information to drivers for their convenience. The other is to manage traffic demand to improve transportation network performance. However, for more effective and reliable VMS information, several strategies should be taken into account. The main VMS management strategy is "Traffic Diversion Strategy for minimum delay" when traffic congestion or incident are occurred. For effective operation. firstly. reasonable diversion traffic volume is determined by network traffic condition Secondly, it is necessary to make providing information strategy which reflects driver response behavior for controling diversion traffic volume. This paper focuses on the providing real-time route guidance information by VMS when congestion is occurred by the incidents. This sturdy estimates time-dependent system optimal diversion rate that inflects travel time and queue lengths using traffic flow simulation model on base Cellular Automata. In addition, route choice behavior models are developed using binary logit model for traffic information variable by traffic system controller. Finally, this study provides time-dependent VMS massage contents and degree of providing information in order to optimize the traffic flow.

Factors Affecting on Suicidal Ideation in Public Assistance Recipients (공공부조 수급자의 자살생각 영향요인)

  • Lee, Ju Hyun;Kim, Min Ji;Lee, Byeong Hui;Noh, Jin-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2015
  • This study investigated what factors would affect suicidal ideation of the people who have received public assistance. For the purpose, the survey results of the 7th year(2012) of Korea Welfare Panel Study, which were conducted by Korea Institute for health and Social Affairs and Social Welfare Research Institute of Seoul National University, were used for analysis. In order to figure out the level of influence on the suicidal ideation, a binary logistic regression analysis using a binary logistic model was used as an analysis method. As a result, it was found that when the subjects are middle school graduates, and if they are married, there are low suicidal ideation. Also, the higher their self-esteem is and the higher their satisfaction with public assistance, the lower there they have suicidal ideation. Furthermore, it was proved that if they have depression, or in middle age, they have high possibility of suicidal ideation. It was proved that satisfaction with public assistance also can have influence on the suicidal ideation of the poor class, not only physical and psychological factors. Therefore, measuring the satisfaction of the recipients with public assistance can be one of the significant factors that affects suicidal ideation.

Access and Egress Patterns of Travel to a Regional Railway Station Based on Transit Smart Card Data (Case study: Seoul Station during Chuseok Holiday) (명절기간 중 서울역 철도 이용객의 접근통행 특성 연구)

  • Eom, Jin Ki;Lee, Jun;Lee, Kwang-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed passenger access and egress travel patterns related to a Korean regional railway station (Seoul station), then developed a binomial logit model. This model referred to bus and metro mode of access and egress during a national holiday (Chuseok 2009); obtained from transit smart card data. The results showed that 99% of passengers getting access to, or egress from, the regional railway station did so using less than two transfers, and that most passengers were more likely to choose a metro. However, the passengers that made access or egress trips near Seoul Station were more likely to take a bus. From the results of the mode choice model, it was found that the impact of travel time was greater than that of travel cost, in the choices made for both access and egress. Interestingly, the impact of travel time is much greater in choosing the mode of egress.

Empirical Examination of Determinants Affecting Safety Incidents in Building Construction (건축공사 안전사고에 대한 현장 요인별 영향력 분석)

  • Hur, Youn-Kyoung;Lee, Seung-Woo;Yoo, Wi-Sung;Song, Tae-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.583-593
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    • 2023
  • For a holistic and precise assessment of safety benchmarks within a construction venture, it's paramount to delineate between the intrinsic features of the construction and its real-time, on-site performance metrics. In this study, we delved into genuine accident instances to discern the interplay between these construction attributes and on-ground performance determinants in relation to safety mishaps, employing the binomial logit analytical framework. Our scrutiny underscored that construction expenditure profoundly modulates the likelihood of fatal occurrences. Notably, variables pertinent to on-site safety protocols wielded considerable influence over both fatal mishaps and accidents implicating multiple personnel. These revelations intimate that while ascertaining the safety quotient of a construction initiative, a mere classification and recalibration based on fiscal dimensions can elucidate much. Yet, a comprehensive safety appraisal necessitates transcending quantitative indices, such as frequency of mishaps or casualty rates, to encapsulate the multifaceted interventions and strategies adopted at the construction locale.

Estimation Study of Willingness to Pay for Low-Floor Seat Buses Introduction (저상 좌석버스 도입에 대한 지불의사금액 추정 연구)

  • Dong Jun Choi;Yongju Yi;Jeong Ah Jang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.66-76
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    • 2023
  • The government recently implemented policies to improve transportation for the disabled passengers. On the other hand, metropolitan public transport still lacks adequate services for these individuals. Many new cities lack urban rail lines and focus on high-floor buses for expansion. Wheelchair users can only access to double-decker low-floor seat express buses for intercity travel. This study examined the necessity and rationale for introducing low-floor seat buses by estimating the user's willingness to pay through a contingent valuation method. Two methods for eliciting the willingness to pay were adopted: open-ended and dichotomous choice questions. The binomial logit model was used to estimate the willingness to pay. The results indicated that the general public is willing to pay an additional 126.7 Korean won, while the disabled passengers are willing to pay an additional 117.5 Korean won. When translated into annual economic benefits, this amounts to approximately 35 billion Korean won.

Why can't Newly-Married Household be independent of their Parents Household? (신혼부부 가구는 왜 독립적이지 못하는가? - 주거경제적 요인을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jonghoon;Lee, Seongwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants of economic aid regarding housing and cost of living for the newly-married households. This study applied the binary logit model to figure out the determinants of economic aid from their parents for the households. With utilizing the Newly-Married Housing Survey data in 2015, this study found that housing characteristics and level of housing expenditure leads to the economic aid from their parents. In particular, the housing price and transportation condition increase probability the financial aid from parents when the newly-married household starts their housing career. In addition, this study found that the items of housing expenditure increase the probability of economic aid for their cost of living. To improve the independence of newly-married household, the government should adopt the housing policy for stable housing price and alleviate the burden of housing expenditure. The significance of this study is analyzing the economic aid from their parents on newly-married household regarding housing economic issues and suggest the policy for independence of living from their parents.

The Determinants of Korean Manufacturing Firms' Innovative Activity: Do Firm Size and Appropriabilities Matter? (한국 제조업체의 혁신활동 결정요인: 기업규모와 전유성의 역할)

  • Song, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.565-577
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    • 2020
  • This study empirically examined how a firm size affects the determinants of innovative activities using the data of the Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) 2016. With data from 2,003 firms in the manufacturing sector, we performed logistic regression analysis and zero-inflated negative binomial regression analysis. R&D expenditure and patent applications were used as proxies for innovative activity. The independent variables included the firm's characteristics variables such as the firm's age, tech-level industry, RDemp (R&D employee ratio), venture, export, and industrial characteristics variables such as networking, appropriability, and spillovers. The empirical findings are that there are some differences in firms' innovative activity determinants among the firms' size groups. Next, strategic appropriability has negative impacts on small firms' R&D expenditure and medium-firms' patents. Networking is an important determinant of innovative activity for all firms, except for large firms. Furthermore, in deciding R&D activities, small and medium-sized firms were significantly influenced by industrial characteristics as compared to that of large firms. Our findings suggest some R&D promotion policies. Policies fostering firms' technological interaction would allow firms to take advantage of technological spillovers and thus raise the probability of investing in R&D.