• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.49-56
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• 2011

Understanding various casual factors affecting the occurrence of freeway traffic crash is a backbone of deriving effective countermeasures. The first step toward understanding such factors is to identify crash risks on freeways. Unlike existing studies, this study focused on the unsafe vehicle maneuvering that can be detected by in-vehicle sensors. The recent advancement of sensor technologies allows us to gather and analyze detailed microscopic events leading to crash occurrence such as the abrupt change in acceleration. This study used an accelerometer to capture the unsafe events. A set of candidate variables representing unsafe events were derived from analyzing acceleration data obtained by the accelerometer. Then, the crash risk was modeled by the binary logistic regression technique. The probabilistic outcome of crash risk can be provided by the proposed model. An application of the methodology assessing crash risk was presented, and further research items for the successful field implementation were also discussed.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.121-131
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• 2024

This research explores the potential of leveraging unstructured data from construction supervision documents, which contain detailed inspection insights from independent third-party monitors of building construction processes. With the evolution of analytical methodologies, such unstructured data has been recognized as a valuable source of information, offering diverse insights. The study introduces a framework designed to assess cost performance by applying advanced analytical methods to the unstructured data found in final construction supervision reports. Specifically, key phrases were identified using text mining and social network analysis techniques, and these phrases were then analyzed through binomial logistic regression to assess cost performance. The study found that predictions of cost performance based on unstructured data from supervision documents achieved an accuracy rate of approximately 73%. The findings of this research are anticipated to serve as a foundational resource for analyzing various forms of unstructured data generated within the construction sector in future projects.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.198-206
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• 2014

According to the statistics of the National Police Agency, red light running (RLR) crashes represent a significant safety issue throughout Korea. This study deals with the RLR crashes occurred at signalized intersections in Cheongju. The objectives of this study are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of between RLR crashes and the Non-RLR crashes, and to find out factors using a Binary Logistic Regression(BLR) model. In pursuing the above, the study gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups with the data of 2,246 RLR/ 3,884 Non-RLR crashes (2007-2011). The main results are as follows. First, many RLR crashes were occurred in the nighttime and in going straight. Second, the difference between RLR and Non-RLR crashes were clearly defined by crash type, maneuver of vehicle before crash, age of driver (30s, 50s), alcohol use and accident pattern. Finally, a statistically significant model (Hosmer and Lemeshow test : 7.052, p-value : 0.531) was developed through the BLR model.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.857-870
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• 2010

This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between the socio-demographic factors and the Korean consumers palatability evaluation grades with Hanwoo sensory evaluation data from 2006 to 2008 by National Institute of Animal Science. The dichotomy logistic regression model and the multinomial logistic regression model are fitted with the independent variables such as the consumer living location, age, gender occupation, monthly income, beef cut and the the palatability grade as the categorical dependent variable and tenderness, 리avor and juiciness as the continuous dependent variable. Stepwise variable selection procedure is incorporated to find the final model and odds ratios are calculated to nd the associations between categories.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.199-209
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• 2011

In the study of traffic safety, the analysis on factors affecting crash severity and the understanding about their relationship is important to be planning and execute to improve safety of road and traffic facilities. The purpose of this study is to develop a hierarchical binomial logistic model to identify the significant factors affecting fatal injuries and vehicle damages of traffic crashes on freeway. Two models on death and total vehicle damage are developed. The hierarchical structure of response variable is composed of two level, crash-occupant and crash-vehicle. As a result, we have gotten the crash-level random effect from these hierarchical structure as well as the fixed effect of covariates, namely odds ratio. The crash on the main line and in-out section have greater damage than other facilities. Injuries and vehicle damages are severe in case of traffic violations, centerline invasion and speeding. Also, collision crash and fire occurrence is more severe damaged than other crash types. The surrounding environment of surface conditions by climate and visibility conditions by day and night is a significant factor on crash occurrence. On the orher hand, the geometric condition of road isn't.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.277-290
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• 2014

We analyzed binary landslide data from the Boeun area with logistic regression. Since the number of landslide occurrences is only 9 out of 5000 observations, this can be regarded as a rare event data. The main issue of logistic regression with the rare event data is a serious bias problem in regression coefficient estimates. Two bias correction methods were proposed before and we quantitatively compared them via simulation. Firth (1993)'s approach outperformed and provided the most stable results for analyzing the rare-event binary data.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.354-354
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• 2021

2020년은 장마기간이 49일간 지속됨에 따라 침수, 산사태 등 많은 홍수피해가 발생하였다. 특히 서울에서는 한강 본류의 수위가 급격하게 증가함에 따라 둔치 및 도로 침수 피해가 발생하였다. 이처럼 하천의 수위증가로 인한 홍수피해에 대응하기 위해 홍수통제소 및 기초지자체에서는 홍수특보를 발령한다. 이 홍수특보는 수위관측소 지점별 계획홍수량의 50 %, 70 % 이상의 홍수량이 발생할 경우 홍수주의보와 홍수경보가 발령되며, 이 기준은 각 권역별로 동일하다. 하지만 2017년 의정부시에서는 중랑천 수위증가로 인해 주변 지역에 침수피해가 발생하였지만, 이때 홍수량은 계획홍수량 대비 약 30 %에 불과하였다. 이처럼 한강권역 내 하천수위 증가로 인한 홍수피해는 계획홍수량의 50 % 이내에서 발생하기도 한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 한강권역을 대상으로 현재 2단계로 발령되는 홍수특보를 3단계로 세분화하고자 하였다. 단계별 홍수량 위험기준을 산정하기 위해 과거 홍수피해 발생 이력이 있는 한강권역 내 43개의 수위관측소 지점을 선정하였으며, 지점별 홍수기 동안의 홍수량 및 피해액 자료를 수집하였다. 각 단계별 홍수량 기준을 산정하기 위해서는 로지스틱 회귀분석 방법을 활용하여 피해발생 확률을 산정하였다. 1단계 기준은 계획홍수량 대비 홍수량 비율과 홍수피해 발생여부를 고려한 이항 로지스틱 회귀분석 모델을 구축한 후 3계 도함수에 적용하여 홍수피해 발생확률이 급격하게 증가하는 특이점을 산정하였다. 2단계와 3단계 기준은 다항 로지스틱 회귀분석 중 계층형 로지스틱 회귀분석을 활용하여 지점별 피해액 비율이 60 ~ 80 %, 80 ~ 100 % 구간에 속할 확률을 산정하고, 1단계와 동일한 방법으로 특이점을 산정하였다. 그 결과 지점별로 기존 제공되고 있는 홍수특보 기준을 과거 발생한 홍수피해를 고려하여 세분화할 수 있었으며, 이 결과는 지역별 홍수피해 저감대책에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.29-42
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• 2016

Speeding is an important factor in traffic safety. Speed not only affects crash severity, but is also related to the possibility of crash occurrence. This study presents results from an analysis of 27,968 speed violation cases collected from 36 red light and speed enforcement cameras at signalized intersections in the city of Cheongju. Data included details of their violation history such as speeding tickets within a recent 3-year span and their demographic characteristics. The goal of this analysis is to understand the correlation between speed violations and various factors in terms of humans, vehicles and road environments. This study used descriptive statistics and Binary Logistics Regression(BLR) analysis with SPSS 20.0 software. The major results of this study are as follows. First, speed violations occurred at rural and suburban area. Second, about 25.6% of the violators committed to more than 20km/h over a speed limit. Third, the difference between speed violators and normal drivers clearly appeared in location of intersection(urban/rural/suburban area), gender and age. Finally, a statistically significant model(Hosmer and Lemeshow test: 11.586, p-value: 0.171) was developed through the BLR.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.53-66
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• 2013

The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.38 no.6
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• pp.887-894
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• 2018

An electric vehicle is emerging as an alternative to the response of global climate change and sustainability. However, an Electric vehicle has not been popular due to the constraints such as its price or technical limitations. In order to analyze the effect of purchasing electric vehicles, this study conducted a binary logistic regression model that demonstrates the relation between purchasing and influencing variables. Variables which have high correlation were excluded from the model through the correlation analysis to prevent multicollinearity. Socio-economic variables such as the number of owned vehicles, sex, ages are not significant. On the other hand, Variables related to prices, charging and policy are found to have a significant to effect on the purchase of electric vehicles. In accordance with the model estimated result, it seems to be necessary to improve the charging incentives, or to provide electric car information and to expand opportunities for experience electric vehicles. The result is also expected to be helpful for spreading electric vehicles and formulating policies.