• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이상치 검지

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Development of An Automatic Incident Detection Model Using Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test (Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 기법을 이용한 자동돌발상황검지 모형 개발)

  • 이상민;이승환
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.81-98
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 기법을 이용한 자동 돌발상황 검지 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 본 연구의 수행을 위하여 고속도로에 설치된 루프 차량 검지기(Loop Vehicle Detection System)에서 수집된 점유율 데이터를 사용하였다. 기존의 검지모형은 산정하기가 까다로운 임계치에 의하여 돌발상황을 검지하는 방식이었다. 반면 본 연구 모델은 위치와 시간대 교통 패턴에 관계없이 모형을 일정하게 적용하며, 지속적으로 돌발상황 지점과 상·하류의 교통패턴을 비교 검정 기법인 Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 기법을 사용하여 돌발상황 검지를 수행하도록 하였다. 연구모형의 검증을 위한 테스트 결과 시간과 위치에 관계없이 정확하고 빠른 검지시간(돌발 상황 발생 후 2∼3분)을 가짐을 알 수 있었다. 또한 기존의 모형인 APID, DES, DELOS모형과 비교검증을 위하여 검지율 및 오보율 테스트를 수행한 결과 향상된 검지 능력(검지율 : 89.01%, 오보율 : 0.97%)을 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 그러나 압축파와 같은 유사 돌발상황이 발생되면 제대로 검지를 하지 못하는 단점을 가지고 있으며 향후 이에 대한 연구가 추가된다면 더욱 신뢰성 있는 검지모형으로 발전할 것이다.

A Time Series-based Algorithm for Eliminating Outliers of GPS Probe Data (시계열기반의 GPS 프로브 자료의 이상치 제거 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo;Jang, Jeong-A
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2004
  • A treatment of outlier has been discussed. Outliers disrupt the reliability of information systems and they should be eliminated prior to the information and/or data fusion. A time series-based elimination algorithm were proposed and prediction interval, as a criterion of acceptable value width, was obtained with the model. Ten actual link values were used and the best model was identified as IMA(1,1). Although the actual verification was difficult in a sense that the matching process between the eliminated data and model data was not readily available, the proposed model can be successfully used in practice with some calibration efforts.

Correction of Erroneous Individual Vehicle Speed Data Using Locally Weighted Regression (LWR) (국소가중다항회귀분석을 이용한 이상치제거 및 자료보정기법 개발 (GPS를 이용한 개별차량 주행속도를 중심으로))

  • Im, Hui-Seop;O, Cheol;Park, Jun-Hyeong;Lee, Geon-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2009
  • Effective detection and correction of outliers of raw traffic data collected from the field is of keen interest because reliable traffic information is highly dependent on the quality of raw data. Global positioning system (GPS) based traffic surveillance systems are capable of producing individual vehicle speeds that are invaluable for various traffic management and information strategies. This study proposed a locally weighted regression (LWR) based filtering method for individual vehicle speed data. An important feature of this study was to propose a technique to generate synthetic outliers for more systematic evaluation of the proposed method. It was identified by performance evaluations that the proposed LWR-based method outperformed an exponential smoothing. The proposed method is expected to be effectively utilized for filtering out raw individual vehicle speed data.

Development of Homogeneous Road Section Determination and Outlier Filter Algorithm (국도의 동질구간 선정과 이상치 제거 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Myung-Sik;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Bae, Hyun-Sook;Kim, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • The homogeneous road section is defined as one consisted of similar traffic characteristics focused on demand and supply. The criteria, in the aspect of demand, are the diverging rate and the ratio of green time to cycle time at signalized intersection, and distance between the signalized intersections. The criteria, in that or supply, are the traffic patterns such as traffic volume and its speed. In this study, the effective method to generate valuable data, pointing out the problems of removal method of obscure data, is proposed using data collected from Gonjiam IC to Jangji IC on the national highway No.3. Travel times are collected with licence matching method and traffic volume and speed are collected from detectors. Futhermore, the method of selecting homogeneous road section is proposed considering demand and supply aspect simultaneously. This method using outlier filtering algorithm can be applied to generate the travel time forecasting model and to revise the obscured of missing data transmitting from detectors. The point and link data collected at the same time on the rational highway can be used as a basis predicting the travel time and revising the obscured data in the future.

A Method of Generating Traffic Travel Information Based on the Loop Detector Data from COSMOS (실시간신호제어시스템 루프검지기 수집정보를 활용한 소통정보 생성방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Choul-Ki;Lee, Sang-Soo;Yun, Byeong-Ju;Song, Sung-Ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 2007
  • Many urban cities deployed ITS technologies to improve the efficiency of traffic operation and management including a real-time franc control system (i.e., COSMOS). The system adopted loop detector system to collect traffic information such as volume, occupancy time, degree of saturation, and queue length. This paper investigated the applicability of detector information within COSMOS to represent the congestion level of the links. Initially, link travel times obtained from the field study were related with each of detector information. Results showed that queue length was highly correlated with link travel time, and direct link travel time estimation using the spot speed data produced high estimation error rates. From this analysis, a procedure was proposed to estimate congestion level of the links using both degree of saturation and queue length information.

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A Heuristic Outlier Filtering Algorithm for Generating Link Travel Time using Taxi GPS Probes in Urban Arterial (링크통행시간 생성을 위한 이상치 제거 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Keechoo;Choi, Yoon-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.731-738
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    • 2006
  • Facing congestion, people want to know traffic information about their routes, especially real-time link travel time (LTT). In this paper, as a sequel paper of the previous non-taxi based LTT generating study by Choi et al. (1998), taxi based GPS probes have been tried to produce LTT for urban arterials. Taxis in itself are good deployment mode of GPS probes although it by nature experiences boarding and alighting time noises which should be accounted. A heuristic real-time dynamic outlier filter algorithm for taxi GPS probe has been developed focusing on urban arterials. An actual traffic survey for dynamic link travel times has been conducted using license plate method for the test arterials of Seoul city transportation network. With the algorithm, it is estimated that 70% of outliers have been filtered and the relative error has been improved by 73.7%. The filtering algorithm developed here would be expected to be in use for other spatial sites with some calibration efforts. Some limitations and future research agenda have also been discussed.

Estimation of Freeway Accident Likelihood using Real-time Traffic Data (실시간 교통자료 기반 고속도로 교통사고 발생 가능성 추정 모형)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Oh, Cheol;NamKoong, Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 2008
  • This study proposed a model to estimate traffic accident likelihood using real-time traffic data obtained from freeway traffic surveillance systems. Traffic variables representing spatio-temporal variations of traffic conditions were utilized as independent variables in the proposed models. Binary logistics regression modelings were conducted to correlate traffic variables and accident data that were collected from the Seohaean freeway during recent three years, from 2004 to 2006. To apply more reliable traffic variables, outlier filtering and data imputation were also performed. The outcomes of the model that are actually probabilistic measures of accident occurrence would be effectively utilized not only in designing warning information systems but also in evaluating the effectiveness of various traffic operations strategies in terms of traffic safety.

An Evaluation System For Freeway Traffic Data Processing Techniques (고속도로 교통자료 처리기법 통합평가 시스템 개발)

  • Oh, Dong-Wook;Oh, Cheol;NamKoong, Sung;Jeon, Se-Kil
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2008
  • Real-time traffic data are readily obtainable by traffic surveillance systems of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Such data greatly support further applications in the field of traffic operations, planning, and safety. However, traffic data should be appropriately processed to fully exploit the benefits of data collection capability. Rather than developing individual data processing techniques, which is major concern of existing studies, this study proposes a novel methodology for evaluating data processing techniques in an integrated manner. Also, a tool for implementing the proposed methodology is developed. Users can extract useful and more reliable traffic data based upon their ultimate purpose of data usage by the evaluation tool developed in this study. Actual freeway traffic data are, as an example, fed into the evaluation tool, and results are discussed.

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Development of Travel Time Estimation Algorithm for National Highway by using Self-Organizing Neural Networks (자기조직형 신경망 이론을 이용한 국도 통행시간 추정 알고리즘)

  • Do, Myungsik;Bae, Hyunesook
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3D
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    • pp.307-315
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    • 2008
  • The aim of this study is to develop travel time estimation model by using Self-Organized Neural network(in brief, SON) algorithm. Travel time data based on vehicles equipped with GPS and number-plate matching collected from National road number 3 (between Jangji-IC and Gonjiam-IC), which is pilot section of National Highway Traffic Management System were employed. We found that the accuracies of travel time are related to location of detector, the length of road section and land-use properties. In this paper, we try to develop travel time estimation using SON to remedy defects of existing neural network method, which could not additional learning and efficient structure modification. Furthermore, we knew that the estimation accuracy of travel time is superior to optimum located detectors than based on existing located detectors. We can expect the results of this study will make use of location allocation of detectors in highway.