• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사 결정 모델

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Estimation of Stand Growth and CO2 Removals for Juglans mandshurica Plantations in ChungJu, Chungcheongbuk-do in Korea (충북 충주지역 가래나무의 임목생장량 및 이산화탄소 흡수량 추정)

  • Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Rae Hyun;Kim, Young Hwan;Lee, Kyeong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.6
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    • pp.646-651
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    • 2009
  • In this study, it was intended to prepare a stem volume table (with or without bark) and a stand yield table for Juglans mandshurica, plantations in Chungju, located in Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea. For the calculation of stem volume, we applied Kozak's growth model, which showed the best fitness index (97%). With this model, it was able to prepare the first yield table for Juglans mandshurica in Korea. Site index model, an indicator of forest productivity, was derived by using the Chapman-Richard model, in which the basic stand age was set to 30 years. The resulted site index ranged between 16 and 22. Based on the yield table of Juglans mandshurica resulted from this study, the volume for a 70-year-old stand with a midium site index class was estimated to be $238m^3/ha$, which is $100m^3/ha$ higher than the volume estimated from the yield table of Quercus acutissima. The yield table of oak trees has been used in the estimation of most broadleaf stands in Korea. However, the result of this study indicated that it is necessary to generate a stand yield table for each broadleaf species. The annual $CO_2$ removals of 30-year-old Juglans mandshurica plantations in the ChungJu region was estimated to be $5.84tCO_2/ha$. The stem volume and stand yield table of Juglans mandshurica plantation resulted from this study would provide a good information in decision making for forest management in ChungJu region.

Taper Equations and Stem Volume Table of Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium Plantations in Indonesia (인도네시아 유칼립투스 및 아카시아 조림지의 수간곡선식 및 수간재적표 조제)

  • Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Hoon;Lee, Ho Young;Kim, Cheol Min;Kim, Cheol Sang;Kim, Jae Weon;Joo, Rin Won;Lee, Kyeong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.6
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    • pp.633-638
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to develop stem taper equations and stem volume tables for Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations in Kalimantan, Indonesia. To derive a most adequate taper equation for the plantations, three models - Max & Burkhart, Kozak, and Lee models - were applied and their fitness were statistically analyzed by using fitness index, bias, and standard error of bias. The result showed that there is no significant difference between the three models, but the fitness index was slightly higher in the Kozak model. Therefore, the Kozak model was chosen for generating stem taper equations and stem volume tables for the Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations. The resulted stem volume table was compared to the local volume table used in Kalimantan regions, but no significant difference was found in the stem volume estimation. It is expected that the results of this study would provide a good information about the tree growth in abroad plantations and support a reliable decision-making for their management.

Development of a Soil Distribution Method and Equipment Operation Models Using Worker's Heuristics (작업자의 휴리스틱을 적용한 토량배분 및 장비운영 모델 개발)

  • Lim, So-Young;Kim, Sung-Keun;Ahn, Seo-Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.551-564
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    • 2016
  • Earthworks are the fundamental steps in a construction job, and are mainly comprised of smaller tasks performed by construction machinery. The productivity of the construction job can be improved by optimizing excavation, filling, and other such operations. Earthworks involve a lot of mechanical work performed by the collaboration between various kinds of construction equipment, which in turn leads to higher fuel consumption. Actual earthworks depend mostly on the intuition and experience of the driver of the machines, thus leading to inefficiency and environmental problems caused by unnecessary emission of carbon, Recently automated and information-oriented technologies are consistently being researched towards the improvement of efficiency of earthworks in the construction industry. The present research involves the introduction and understanding of the decision-making elements of heuristics which can be applied to the earthwork planning. A method is also suggested for creating an effective work path for construction machine to perform task packages (TP) for cutting and filling processes. A simulation test is performed to verify the effectiveness of suggested methods in terms of space interference and total moving distance of construction equipment.

Establishing Diagnosis Systems for Impaired Stream Ecosystem using Stream/River Ecosystem Survey and Health Assessment (수생태계 현황 조사 및 건강성 평가결과를 활용한 수생태계 훼손원인 진단체계 구축)

  • Lee, Jong-Won;Lee, Sang-Woo;Hwang, Soon-Jin;Jang, Min-Ho;Won, Doo-Hee;An, Kyung-Jin;Park, Hye-Jin;Lee, Junga
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2020
  • The Stream/River Ecosystem Survey and Health Assessment has been carried out regarding the ecological health of the streams by the Ministry of Environment (MOE), South Korea. However, the sources of impairment of the stream ecosystem and the interactions between the sources, stressors, and the responses of impaired streams have not been taken into consideration. The purpose of this study is to propose the establishment of diagnosis systems for the impaired stream ecosystem because of the need to incorporate the same in the making of the policy to enable the recovery and improvement of the health of the impaired streams or river ecosystem. First, we define the concept of a diagnosis of the impaired stream or river ecosystem through a literature review. Second, through case studies [e.g., US CADDIS (Causal Analysis/Diagnosis Decision Information System), AUS. Eco Evidence, EU WFD (Water Framework Directive)], we try to develop the diagnosis system for the making of policy. In this study, the diagnosis system that is proposed consists of eight steps including the basic data collection, detecting or suspecting impairment, defining the impaired stream reach, identifying the biological impaired cases and listing the candidate causes, illustrating the interactive conceptual diagrams between stressors and responses, investigating the stressors-responses in the field, verifying causes and identifying the probable causes of the impaired cases, and summarizing and proposing the restoration of the streams. The results of this study will support and enable efficient decision-making for sustainable stream restoration and management based on the diagnosis of the probable causes for the impaired complex and the diverse stream ecosystem.

Optimal Location Modeling for Elementary Student's Care facility using Public Data (공공데이터를 활용한 초등학생 돌봄시설의 최적입지 선정)

  • Lee, Ji-Won;Kim, Ji-Young;Yu, Ki-Yun;Yang, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2019
  • The expansion of double-income households is increasing the social interest in child care. In particular, children's entrance into elementary school is considered to be the main cause of women's career break as well as childbirth. This study proposes an optimal location selection method for caring facilities for elementary school students. As a candidate for care facilities, we selected existing child care facilities. We proposed a dual structure evaluation method that considers locational characteristics as well as mathematical optimization when selecting the optimal location. The experiment was conducted in Songpa-gu, Seoul. A total of 36 optimal locations were selected from a total of 258 candidate facilities. First, the evaluation criteria were established using public data, and the primary candidate facilities were selected by ranking the location scores. At this time mesh resampling method was used to integrate various public data into one. Next, the final care facilities were selected using the p-median method. The results chosen are not only the optimal location considering total distance but also satisfy various location criteria considering the characteristics of the care facility. We expect that the proposed method will contribute to public data convergence or utilization and it will be helpful for policy decision when selecting the optimal location for public facilities.

A Study on the Design of a Fake News Management Platform Based on Citizen Science (시민과학 기반 가짜뉴스 관리 플랫폼 연구)

  • KIM, Ji Yeon;SHIM, Jae Chul;KIM, Gyu Tae;KIM, Yoo Hyang
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.39-85
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    • 2020
  • With the development of information technology, fake news is becoming a serious social problem. Individual measures to manage the problem, such as fact-checking by the media, legal regulation, or technical solutions, have not been successful. The flood of fake news has undermined not only trust in the media but also the general credibility of social institutions, and is even threatening the foundations of democracy. This is why one cannot leave fake news unchecked, though it is certainly a difficult task to accomplish. The problem of fake news is not about simply judging its veracity, as no news is completely fake or unquestionably real and there is much uncertainty. Therefore, managing fake news does not mean removing them completely. Nor can the problem be left to individuals' capacity for rational judgment. Recurring fake news can easily disrupt individual decision making, which raises the need for socio-technical measures and multidisciplinary collaboration. In this study, we introduce a new public online platform for fake news management, which incorporates a multidimensional and multidisciplinary approach based on citizen science. Our proposed platform will fundamentally redesign the existing process for collecting and analyzing fake news and engaging with user reactions. People in various fields would be able to participate in and contribute to this platform by mobilizing their own expertise and capability.

Performance Comparison of Column-Oriented and Row-Oriented Database Systems for Star Schema Join Processing (스타 스키마 조인 처리에 대한 세로-지향 데이터베이스 시스템과 가로-지향 데이터베이스 시스템의 성능 비교)

  • Oh, Byung-Jung;Ahn, Soo-Min;Kim, Kyung-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2011
  • Unlike in traditional row-oriented database systems, a column-oriented database system stores data in column-oriented and not row-oriented order. Recently, research results revealed the effectiveness of column-oriented databases for applications such as data warehouse and decision support systems that access large volumes of data in a read only manner. In this paper, we investigate the join strategies for column-oriented databases and prove the effectiveness of column-oriented databases in data warehouse systems. For unbiased comparison, the two database systems are analyzed using the star schema benchmark and the performance analysis of a star schema join query is carried out. We experimented with well-known join algorithms and considered early materialization and late materialization join strategies for column-oriented databases. The performance results confirm that star schema join queries perform better in terms of disk I/O cost in column-oriented databases than in row-oriented databases. In addition, the late materialization strategy showed more performance gain than the early materialization strategy in column-oriented databases.

Optimal Production Management Strategy for Non-timber Forest Products using Portfolio Approach - A case study on major fruit trees - (포트포트폴리오 기법을 이용한 단기소득임산물의 최적 생산관리 전략 - 주요 유실수를 중심으로 -)

  • Won, Hyun-Kyu;Jeon, Jun-Heon;Lee, Seong-Youn;Joo, Rin-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.2
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2015
  • This study applied the portfolio approach as a means to provide decision-making information for the establishment of the optimal production plan for non-timber products. The target items of non-timber forest product were Chestnut, Jujube, Walnut and Astringent Persimmon. The data used in this study were the annual report of forestry production cost survey which contains the annual production, annual gross income, and annual product cost from 2008 to 2013. These data were used to calculate the expected return of non-timber forest product. The objective function in the portfolio models was to minimize the expected return volatility, called risk and the constrain was to achieve the minimum expected return rate. Results indicated that the production ratio of the nuts and fruits in 2013 was 7% for Chestnut, 20% for Jujube, 5% for Walnut and 68% for Astringent Persimmon. Furthermore, portfolio presented that the production ratio was 10% for Chestnut, 9% for Jujube, 3% for Walnut and 78% for Astringent Persimmon in the near future. The cause was analyzed due to maintain stable production and income of Astringent Persimmon and Chestnut. Meanwhile, the revenue of Walnuts and Jujube was in great variation with relatively higher revenues.

Forming Shop Analysis with Adaptive Systems Approach (적응시스템 접근법을 이용한 조선소 가공공장 분석)

  • Dong-Hun Shin;Jong-Hun Woo;Jang-Hyun Lee;Jong-Gye Shin
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2002
  • In these days of severe struggle for existence, the world has changed a great deal to global and digital oriented period. The enterprises try to introduce new management and production system to adapt such a change. But, if the only new technologies are applied to an enterprise without definite analysis about manufacturing, failure fellows as a logical consequence. Hence, enterprise must analyze manufacturing system definitely and needs new methodologies to mitigate risk. This study suggests that the new approach, which is systems approach for process improvement, is organized to systems analysis, systems diagnosis, and systems verification. Systems analysis analyzes manufacturing systems with object-oriented methodology-UML(Unified Modeling language) from a point of product, process, and resource view. Systems diagnosis identifies the constraints to optimize the system through scientific management or TOC(Theory of constraints). Systems verification shows the solution with virtual manufacturing technique applied to the core problem which emerged from systems diagnosis. This research shows the artifacts to improve the productivity with the above methodology applied to forming shop. UML provides the definite tool for analysis and re-usability to adapt itself to environment easily. The logical tree of TOC represents logical tool to optimize the forming shop. Discrete event simulator-QUEST suggests the tool for making a decision to verify the optimized forming shop.

A Study on the Factors of Experience and Habit on Information Security Behavior of New Services - based on PMT and UTAUT2 (경험 및 습관이 신규서비스의 정보보호 행동에 미치는 요인에 대한 연구 - 보호 동기이론과 UTAUT2을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hong-Je;Kho, Hyeong-Seog;Roh, Eun-Hee;Han, Kyeong-Seok
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to present policy implications by analyzing information security behavior factors of internet users. The research model, based on PMT and UTAUT2, consists of perceived threat, severity, social influence, self-efficacy, experience and habits, PC and privacy behaviors, security behaviors on new services and set demographic characteristics, use places of internet, use of paid products, and experiences of accident as moderate variables to analyze the effect on security behavior. The results showed that perceived severity, self-efficacy significantly influenced on experience and habits, and experience and habits and self-efficacy had a high influence on PC and privacy behavior. Also, PC and privacy behaviors have a high impact on security behavior of new services. Age, income, use of paid products, and experience of accidents have a moderating effects on security behaviors. The results of this study are expected to help policy decision making to improve the level of information security of internet users.