• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정 균형

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The Fleet Operating Strategies for Ocean Container Carriers in a East Asian Shipping Market: A Game Theoretic Approach (동아시아 해운시장의 컨테이너선사 선대 운항전략: 게임이론 접근법)

  • Park, Byungin
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.73-95
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    • 2013
  • This paper analyzes a competitive shipping market in East Asia in order to explore how container carriers make decisions on ship size, number of ships, service frequency, and service route. A sequential-move game based on non-cooperative game theory is applied to establish the models for the decision-makings involving the transportation volumes, freight rates, costs, and market shares of the service routes from Shanghai or Hong Kong to the ports in Busan, Gwangyang, and Incheon. According to the sub-game perfect Nash equilibrium solutions proposed by these models, carriers' decisions in such a competitive environment vary depending on sailing distance, transport demand, and freight rates. Therefore, carriers are recommended to reflect the optimal equilibrium solutions and a variety of decision factors when formulating strategies for transportation networks and operating fleets. Furthermore, ports should establish management strategies for these factors to provide optimal equilibrium solutions for carriers' transportation networks.

일상어휘를 기반으로 한 선물 가격 예측모형의 계발

  • 김광용;이승용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 1999
  • 본 논문은 인공신경망과 귀납적 학습방법 등의 인공지능 방법과 선물가격결정에 대한 기존 재무이론을 사용하여 일상어취로 표현되는 파생상품 가격예측 모형을 개발하는데 있다. 모형의 개발은 1단계로 인공신경망이나 기존의 선물가격결정이론(평균보 유비용모형이나 일반균형모형)을 이용하여 선물 가격을 예측한 후, 서로 비교 분석하여 인공신경망 모형의 우수성을 확인하였다. 귀납적 학습방법중 CART 알고리듬을 사용하여 If-Then 규칙을 생성하였다. 특히 실용적 측면에서 선물가격의 일상어휘화를 통한 모형개발을 여러 가지 방법으로 시도하였다. 이러한 선물가격 예측모형의 유용성은 일단 If-Then 규칙으로 표현되어 전문가의 판단에 확실한 이론적인 근거를 제시할 수 있는 장점이 있으며, 특히 의사결정지원시스템으로 활용화 될 경우 매우 유용한 근거자료로 활용될 수 있다. 이러한 선물가격 예측모형의 정확성은 분석표본과 검증표본으로 나누어 검증표본에서 세가지 기본모형(평균보유 비용모형, 일반균형모형, 인공신경망 모형)과 각 모형의 귀납적 학습방법 모형의 다른 3가지 어휘표현방법 3가지를 모형별로 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과 인공신경망모형은 상당한 예측력을 갖고 있는 것으로 판명되었으며, 특히 CART를 기반으로 한 일상어취 기반의 선물가격예측 모형은 예측력이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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IT Governance of the Korean Conglomerates: A Comparative Case Study (국내 대기업들의 IT 거버넌스: 비교 사례 연구)

  • Zo, Hang-Jung;Song, Chan-Hoo;Kang, Hyun-Goo;Lim, Dong-Won
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.335-359
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    • 2009
  • This study explores the IT governance structures of the Korean conglomerates. It investigates IT organization structures, decision making frameworks and processes, communication channels, implementation mechanisms, and performance evaluation methods around IT activities of the Korean conglomerates by analyzing four different cases. The results show that all of the conglomerates have an IT service firms as one of their subsidiaries, and all the subsidiaries in the conglomerates outsource their IT divisions to the IT service firms, The client firms in the conglomerates operate IT strategy and planning teams to coordinate their IT activities with their outsourcing partners. The IT governance archetype of the Korean conglomerates is found to be "business monarchy" because the client firms mostly make IT decisions. However, the IT service firms provide the information of IT trends and solutions to their clients, so the IT governance archetype of input framework for IT decisions can be "IT monarchy". In addition, the conglomerate which has the more centralized IT governance architecture appears to prefer the more integrated implementation mechanisms for IT decisions. The results of this study are expected to be used as a benchmarking model for the organizations which try to develop an effective IT governance structure.

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Difference of Decisional Balance and Confidence in the Stage of Adoption for Breast Self Exam in Married Women (유방자가검진 행위단계에 따른 의사결정균형과 확신성 비교연구)

  • Hur, Hea Kung;Park, So Mi
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.493-501
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was 1) to classify the stage of adoption 2) to compare the decisional balance and confidence by stage of adoption 3) to identify factors influenced the stage of adoption for breast self exam. Method: A comparative study using a survey method with convenience sample of 143 women was used. Decisional balance and confidence was measured using the CHBMS-K. Stage of adoption for BSE was measured by a single item modified by the researchers based on the Rakowski et al (1992). Result: 1) The number of women in each stage of adoption for BSE was as follows; maintenance phase, 7.7% (n=11), action phase, 49.0% (n=70), contemplation phase, 35.0% (n=50) and pre- contemplation phase, 8.4%(n=12). 2) The mean difference in the decisional balance (F=4.32, p=.006) and confidence (F=13.85, p=.000) according to the stage of BSE adoption was statistically significant. 3) Prevention education and confidence accounted for 32% of variance in BSE. Conclusion: Assessment of decisional balance and stage of adoption for BSE can guide planning for cancer prevention education. We must educate women to have confidence in BSE. Further, it is important to urge women to continually practice BSE.

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An Essay on the Balanced Regional Development and the Implications of Participation ('지역균형 발전과'과 '참여'의 의미)

  • Kim, Duk-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • Balanced regional development' is rehabilitated as contemporary national agenda by Roh government. The regional equity policies has been justified as insuring more 'even development opportunity'. It is required further examination that the intrinsic relationships between spatial equity and 'the participatory democracy' of the government. The participatory democracy was estimated an important method to achieve 'the alternative development' of the new social movement. But the rapid evolution of transportation and electronic nudes of communication technology strengthened spatial concentration, especially concentration of authoritative resources. These concentrations have a tendency of participation exclusion in the symbolic social practice such as ideological and political decision-making. In order to realize participatory democracy, It is not sufficient to decentralize administration authorities. The reallocation and upbringing policies of symbolic practices such as cultural industries and education facilities is very important.

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A Study of Call Admission Control Scheme using Noncooperative Game under Homogeneous Overlay Wireless Networks (동종의 중첩 무선 네트워크에서 비협력적 게임을 이용한 호수락 제어기법의 연구)

  • Kim, Nam Sun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes CAC method that is more efficient for RRM using game theory combined with Multiple Attribute Decision Making(MADM). Because users request services with different Quality of Service(QoS), the network preference values to alternative networks for each service are calculated by MADM methods such as Grey Relational Analysis(GRA), Simple Additive Weighting(SAW) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS). According to a utility function representing preference value, non-cooperative game is played, and then network provider select the requested service that provide maximum payoff. The appropriate service is selected through Nash Equilibrium that is the solution of game and the game is played repeated. We analyze two overlaid networks among four Wireless LAN(WLAN) systems with different properties. Simulation results show that proposed MADM techniques have same outcomes for every game round.

Collaborative Planning Model for Brownfield Regeneration (브라운필드 재생을 위한 협력적 계획 모델 연구)

  • Kim, Eujin Julia;Miller, Patrick
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2015
  • Unlike most other planning processes, brownfield planning generally requires a high level of technical and legal expertise due to potential site contamination. To successfully engage in inclusionary decision making, an adaptive collaboration strategy for brownfield planning is therefore critical. This study examines how a communicative planning approach can be used to overcome the challenge of enabling experts from different fields to work alongside lay people from the local community to achieve a properly balanced collaboration in brownfield planning. After identifying appropriate indicators for collaboration through a literature review of established communicative planning theory, these indicators are applied to the brownfield planning process, highlighting critical points of collaboration such as site prioritization, assessment, remediation, and redevelopment throughout. The results suggest the critical need for an adaptive model focusing on three aspects: 1. Facilitation of a balanced dialogue between the experts with social, cultural, and design-based knowledge and the ones with scientific and engineering-based knowledge, 2. Preparation of an appropriate tool for risk communication with the lay people, 3. Development of decision support system for the integration of expert-oriented technical data and public opinion-oriented subjective data.

A Two-tier Optimization Approach for Decision Making in Many-objective Problems (고도 다목적 문제에서의 의사 결정을 위한 이중 최적화 접근법)

  • Lee, Ki-Baek
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a novel two-tier optimization approach for decision making in many-objective problems. Because the Pareto-optimal solution ratio increases exponentially with an increasing number of objectives, simply finding the Pareto-optimal solutions is not sufficient for decision making in many-objective problems. In other words, it is necessary to discriminate the more preferable solutions from the other solutions. In the proposed approach, user preference-oriented as well as diverse Pareto-optimal solutions can be obtained as candidate solutions by introducing an additional tier of optimization. The second tier of optimization employs the corresponding secondary objectives, global evaluation and crowding distance, which were proposed in previous works, to represent the users preference to a solution and the crowdedness around a solution, respectively. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, decision making for some benchmark functions is conducted, and the outcomes with and without the proposed approach are compared. The experimental results demonstrate that the decisions are successfully made with consideration of the users preference through the proposed approach.

The Analysis of Priorities of Roads Investment Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 도로사업의 우선순위 분석)

  • 정병두
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2002
  • The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) has been widely used as a comprehensive evaluation method since it can include various evaluation standards of both the public and private sectors. It also provides the objective mathematics to process subjective and Personal preferences of an individual or a group in making a decision. This study tried to use AHP to determine the priority of roads investment, considering various effects in a hierarchy such as environmental effects, residential life, and regional development which has not been treated explicitly. As a case study, roads in Gyeongsangbukdo province have been chosen for the evaluation in this research. For the application, it used relative measurements to estimate the weight of upper level structure, and absolute measurement for low level structure instead of pairwise comparisons.

A Study on The Rational Decision-Making Support for Solving Conflicts through Analysis of Game Theory -Focused on Jirisan National Park - (게임이론 분석을 통한 갈등해결의 합리적 의사결정 지원에 관한 연구 -지리산국립공원에 대하여 -)

  • Kim, Eui-Gyeong;Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Shin, Hye-Jin;Kim, Dae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.6
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    • pp.669-679
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    • 2008
  • Jirisan National Park was designated on December 29, 1967 as the first national park in Korea and that caused continuous conflicts between the violation of the right to hold property in this area due to several regulations following the designation and the nature preservation for the value of heritage for descendants. Thus, the objective of this study is to find a proposal for making decision based on the rationality that is able to solve these conflicts. To achieve the objective of this study, this study applies a game theory that supports a reasonable decision making process for solving these conflicts between interest groups around Jirisan National Park in which the component of this game consists of Jirisan National Park, residents, and interest groups. The Nash equilibrium obtained by the analysis of the strategy of interest groups for the use and preservation of forests and its rewards from the strategy as an nonecooperative game showed a behavior that chases their own benefits and causes lots of troubles. However, in the case of the results obtained from a cooperative game based on the strategy that includes some public interests accepted by interest groups and its rewards, it represented an aspect that solves conflicts through achieving a strategical set, which shows a win-win outcome even though the results of this cooperative game may present less rewards than that of the Nash equilibrium. Whereas, if there exists the public interests accepted by interest groups and truth for protecting such public interests, it is considered that it becomes a way that solves present structural troubles in the National Parks in Korea due to the fact that there exist uncertainties caused by the human rationality.