• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정나무법(CART)

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The Development of Models and the Characteristics for Subway Noise Using the Classification and Regression Trees (CART 분석을 이용한 지하철 소음모형 개발 및 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Jae-Myung;Won, Jai-Mu;Song, In-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.480-486
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    • 2007
  • The subway is a necessary public transportation in big cities, which many citizens are using now. However, the demands for subway inner circumstance by citizens are growing recently. Among them, the noise problem is the hot issue to be solved. So, in this study we classified the characteristics of subway noise using the classification and regression trees (CART) based on noise level data in line No. 5 in Seoul. After that We developed the models for effect of subway noise and analyzed the characteristics through it. The result of this study is that we need to consider the type of geometry design and operational factors when the problem of subway noise improves, because the factors which weigh with subway noise are different by type of geometry and operational part.

Development of Traffic Accident Models in Seoul Considering Land Use Characteristics (토지이용특성을 고려한 서울시 교통사고 발생 모형 개발)

  • Lim, Samjin;Park, Juntae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.30-49
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    • 2013
  • In this research we developed a new traffic accident forecasting model on the basis of land use. A new traffic accident forecasting model by type was developed based on market segmentation and further introduction of variables that may reflect characteristics of various regions using Classification and Regression Tree Method. From the results of analysis, activities variables such as the registered population, commuters as well as road size, traffic accidents causing facilities being the subjects of activities were derived as variables explaining traffic accidents.

Development of Selection Model of Subway Station Influence Area (SIA) in New town using Categorical and Regression Tree (CART) (CART분석을 이용한 신도시지역의 지하철 역세권 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Yong- Taeck;Hwang, E-Pyo;Won, Jai-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.216-224
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    • 2008
  • In general, based on criteria of subway law, radius 500m from subway station is defined as SIA(Subway Station Influence Area). Therefore, in this paper, selection models of SIA are developed to identify appropriate SIA for recently developed 4 new towns based based on CART analysis. As a result, following outputs are obtained; (1) walking distance from subway station is the most influential factor to define SIA (2) SIAs vary with new towns (i.e., bundang city: 856m, ilsan sanbon city 508m, pyungchon city 495m), and (3) walking distance from subway station is influential to land price of SIA. In addition, bundang and pyungchon new town are more affected in land price and walking distance. Therefore, it is desirable for current definition of SIA (radius 500m from subway station) to reflect characteristics of land use and walking distance in the new towns.

Analysis and Estimation of Factors Affecting Travel Time Budget (통행시간예산의 요인분석 및 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Park, Je-Jin;Lee, Ki-Young;Park, Yong-Duk
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2009
  • The traveler's travel pattern has significantly changed due to the social and economic changes. The travel time among the traveler's pattern is the limited resource. The travelers are trying to maximize the utility of travel with the least travel cost. So, the travelers travel with their own travel time budget in mind, which they can pay or choose to pay for the optimal maximization of the utility of the individuals. This research is to group and extract the specific factors which affect the travel time budget by utilizing the CART analysis method, which enables the analysis of traveler's characteristics and their interrelationship based on the data collected from "2002 Household Travel Practice Research" and then try to derive a model for estimating the traveler’s travel time budget. The result of CART analysis shows that the factors which affect the travel time budget include the traveler's age, size of house, type of house, type of employment, job and relation to the head of household. Considering the affecting factors derived, I developed an estimation model. From that model, we found that the age, size of house and type of house were positively (+) related to the travel time budget while the homeworking people who have less travel frequency as a type of employment were negatively (-) related to it. In particular, from the point of type of job, the housewives, children not yet old enough to attend schools and people who are working in the agricultural, or marine product industries were found to have the negative (-) value while the people who have the administrative, office, management jobs were found to have the positive (+) value.

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Development of Trip Generation Type Models toward Traffic Zone Characteristics (Zone특성 분할을 통한 유형별 통행발생 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Rho, Jeong-Hyun;Kim, Young-Il;Oh, Young-Taek
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2010
  • Trip generation is the first step in the conventional four-step model and has great effects on overall demand forecasting, so accuracy really matters at this stage. A linear regression model is widely used as a current trip generation model for such plans as urban transportation and SOC facilities, assuming that the relationship between each socio-economic index and trip generation stays linear. But when rapid urban development or an urban planning structure has changed, socio-economic index data for trip estimation may be lacking to bring many errors in estimated trip. Hence, instead of assuming that a socio-economic index widely used for a general purpose, this study aims to develop a new trip generation model by type based on the market separation for the variables to reflect the characteristics of various zones. The study considered the various characteristics (land use, socio-economic) of zones to enhance the forecasting accuracy of a trip generation model, the first-step in forecasting transportation demands. For a market separation methodology to improve forecasting accuracy, data mining (CART) on the basis of trip generation was used along with a regression analysis. Findings of the study indicated as follows : First, the analysis of zone characteristics using the CART analysis showed that trip production was under the influence of socio-economic factors (men-women relative proportion, age group (22 to 29)), while trip attraction was affected by land use factors (the relative proportion of business facilities) and the socio-economic factor (the relative proportion of third industry workers). Second, model development by type showed as a result that trip generation coefficients revealed 0.977 to 0.987 (trip/person) for "production" 0.692 to 3.256 (trip/person) for "attraction", which brought the necessity for type classifications. Third, a measured verification was conducted, where "production" and "attraction" showed a higher suitability than the existing model. The trip generation model by type developed in this study, therefore, turned out to be superior to the existing one.