• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험 판단 알고리즘

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Development of 3D Impulse Calculation Technique for Falling Down of Trees (수목 도복의 3D 충격량 산출 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Chae-Won;Kim, Choong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study intended to develop a technique for quantitatively and 3-dimensionally predicting the potential failure zone and impulse that may occur when trees are fall down. The main outcomes of this study are as follows. First, this study established the potential failure zone and impulse calculation formula in order to quantitatively calculate the risks generated when trees are fallen down. When estimating the potential failure zone, the calculation was performed by magnifying the height of trees by 1.5 times, reflecting the likelihood of trees falling down and slipping. With regard to the slope of a tree, the range of 360° centered on the root collar was set in the case of trees that grow upright and the range of 180° from the inclined direction was set in the case of trees that grow inclined. The angular momentum was calculated by reflecting the rotational motion from the root collar when the trees fell down, and the impulse was calculated by converting it into the linear momentum. Second, the program to calculate a potential failure zone and impulse was developed using Rhino3D and Grasshopper. This study created the 3-dimensional models of the shapes for topography, buildings, and trees using the Rhino3D, thereby connecting them to Grasshopper to construct the spatial information. The algorithm was programmed using the calculation formula in the stage of risk calculation. This calculation considered the information on the trees' growth such as the height, inclination, and weight of trees and the surrounding environment including adjacent trees, damage targets, and analysis ranges. In the stage of risk inquiry, the calculation results were visualized into a three-dimensional model by summarizing them. For instance, the risk degrees were classified into various colors to efficiently determine the dangerous trees and dangerous areas.

COVID-19 Risk Analytics and Safe Activity Assistant Systemwith Machine Learning Algorithms (머신 러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 COVID-19 Risk 분석 및 Safe Activity 지원 시스템)

  • Jeon, DoYeong;Song, Myeong Ho;Kim, Soo Dong
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2021
  • COVID-19 has recently impacted the world with the large numbers of infected and deaths. The development of effective COVID-19 vaccine has not been successful. Hence, people have a high concern on the infection of this disease. The infection information from the governmantal public organizations are mainly based on simple summary statistics. Consequently, it is hard to assess the infection risks of individual person and the current location of the person. In this paper, we present a machine learning-based software system that analyzes COVID-19 infection risks and guidelines for safe activities.This paper proposes a suite of risk factors regarding COVID-19 infection and deaths and methods to quantitatively measure the individual and group risks using the proposed metrics. The proposed system utilizes a clustering algorithms and various software approaches that reflect the information and features of inviduals and their geograpical locations.

A Study of Ground Subsidence Risk Grade Analysis Based on Correlation Between the Underground Utility Structure Density and Recorded Ground Subsidence (지중매설물 밀집도와 이력지반함몰의 상관성 분석을 통한 위험도 등급 분석 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Changho;Kim, Jin-Young;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.9
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2022
  • Several studies have been conducted to analyze the risk of ground subsidence occurring in urban areas. Recently, the correlation between the density of underground utilities (i.e., the quantity of buried utilities in the analysis area) and the recorded ground subsidence has been explored to analyze such risk through. Choi et al. (2021) proposed an algorithm to optimize the correlation between the ground subsidence and normalized linear density of underground pipelines. In this study, the optimization algorithm was modified for analysis based on the risk grade. The analysis results using the modified optimization algorithm were compared with the correlation analysis results between the density of underground utilities and recorded ground subsidence presented by Choi et al. (2021). Compared with Choi et al. (2021), three analysis results showed equal or higher accuracy in the correlation analysis with recorded ground subsidence according to risk grade. In particular, for R100, it was divided into five grades and compared with the ratio of the recorded ground subsidence that occurred in grades 4 or higher. As a result, Choi et al. (2021) showed that 86% of recorded ground subsidence occurred in grades 4 or higher, whereas this study showed 93%. It was confirmed that the accuracy of the modified optimization algorithm was improved. The modified optimization algorithm can be applied to develop a ground subsidence risk map for each grade in an urban area, which can be used as basic data for decision-making for underground utility maintenance.

Recursive Probabilistic Approach to Collision Risk Assessment for Pedestrians' Safety (재귀적 확률 갱신 방법을 이용한 보행자 충돌 위험 판단 방법)

  • Park, Seong-Keun;Kim, Beom-Seong;Kim, Eun-Tai;Lee, Hee-Jin;Kang, Hyung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a collision risk assesment system. First, using Kalman Filter, we estimate the information of pedestrian, and second, we compute the collision probability using Monte Carlo Simulations(MCS) and neural network(NN). And we update the collision risk using time history which is called belief. Belief update consider not only output of Kalman Filter of only current time step but also output of Kalman Filter up to the first time step to current time step. The computer simulations will be shown the validity of our proposed method.

Study on Water Stage Prediction using Neuro-Fuzzy with Genetic Algorithm (Neuro-Fuzzy와 유전자알고리즘을 이용한 수위 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ki;Seo, Young-Min;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.382-382
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    • 2011
  • 최근의 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 유출량의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 방재의 측면에서도 역시 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 강우-유출 관계는 유역의 수많은 시 공간적 변수들에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에 매우 복잡하여 예측하기 힘든 요소이며, 과거에는 추계학적 예측모형이나 확정론적 예측모형 혹은 경험적 모형 등을 사용하여 유출량을 예측하였으나 최근에는 인공신경망과 퍼지모형 그리고 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 인공지능기반의 모형들이 많이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 유출량을 예측하고자 할 때 학습자료 및 검정자료로써 사용되는 유출량은 수위-유량 관계곡선식으로부터 구하는 경우가 대부분으로 이는 이렇게 유도된 유출량의 경우 오차가 크기 때문에 그 신뢰성에 문제가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 수위를 직접 예측함으로써 이러한 오차의 문제점을 극복 하고자 한다. Neuro-Fuzzy 모형은 과거자료의 입 출력 패턴에서 정보를 추출하여 지식으로 보유하고, 이를 근거로 새로운 상황에 대한 해답을 제시하도록 하는 인공지능분야의 학습기법으로 인간이 과거의 경험과 훈련으로 지식을 축적하듯이 시스템의 입 출력에 의하여 소속함수를 최적화함으로서 모형의 구조를 스스로 조직화한다. 따라서 수학적 알고리즘의 적용이 어려운 강우와 유출관계를 하천유역이라는 시스템에서 발생된 신호체계의 입 출력패턴으로 간주하고 인간의 사고과정을 근거로 추론과정을 거쳐 수문계의 예측에 적용할 수 있을 것이다. 유전자 알고리즘은 적자생존의 생물학 원리에 바탕을 둔 최적화 기법중의 하나로 자연계의 생명체 중 환경에 잘 적응한 개체가 좀 더 많은 자손을 남길 수 있다는 자연선택 과정과 유전자의 변화를 통해서 좋은 방향으로 발전해 나간다는 자연 진화의 과정인 자연계의 유전자 메커니즘에 바탕을 둔 탐색 알고리즘이다. 즉, 자연계의 유전과 진화 메커니즘을 공학적으로 모델화함으로써 잠재적인 해의 후보들을 모아 군집을 형성한 뒤 서로간의 교배 혹은 변이를 통해서 최적 해를 찾는 계산 모델이다. 이러한 유전자 알고리즘은 전역 샘플링을 중심으로 한 수법으로 해 공간상에서 유전자의 개수만큼 복수의 탐색점을 설정할 뿐만 아니라 교배와 돌연변이 등으로 좁아지는 탐색점 바깥의 영역으로 탐색을 확장할 수 있기 때문에 지역해에 빠질 위험성이 크게 줄어든다. 따라서 예측과 패턴인식에 강한 뉴로퍼지 모형의 해 탐색방법을 유전자 알고리즘을 사용한다면 보다 정확한 해를 찾는 것이 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선행우량 및 상류의 수위자료로부터 하류의 단시간 수위예측에 관해 연구하였으며, 이를 위해 유전자 알고리즘을 이용항여 소속함수를 최적화 시키는 형태의 Neuro-Fuzzy모형에 대하여 연구하였다.

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Predictive Modeling Design for Fall Risk of an Inpatient based on Bed Posture (침대 자세 기반 입원 환자의 낙상 위험 예측 모델 설계)

  • Kim, Seung-Hee;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2022
  • This study suggests a design of predictive modeling for a hospital fall risk based on inpatients' posture. Inpatient's profile, medical history, and body measurement data along with basic information about a bed they use, were used to predict a fall risk and suggest an algorithm to determine the level of risk. Fall risk prediction is largely divided into two parts: a real-time fall risk evaluation and a qualitative fall risk exposure assessment, which is mostly based on the inpatient's profile. The former is carried out by recognizing an inpatient's posture in bed and extracting rule-based information to measure fall risk while the latter is conducted by medical staff who examines an inpatient's health status related to hospital fall risk and assesses the level of risk exposure. The inpatient fall risk is determined using a sigmoid function with recognized inpatient posture information, body measurement data and qualitative risk assessment results combined. The procedure and prediction model suggested in this study is expected to significantly contribute to tailored services for inpatients and help ensure hospital fall prevention and inpatient safety.

Simulation of continuous snow accumulation data using stochastic method (추계론적 방법을 통한 연속 적설 자료 모의)

  • Park, Jeongha;Kim, Dongkyun;Lee, Jeonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.60-60
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 적설 추정 알고리즘과 추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용하여 관측 적설의 특성을 재현하는 연속 적설심 자료 모의 방법을 소개한다. 적설 추정 알고리즘은 강수 유형 판단, Snow Ratio 추정, 그리고 적설 깊이 감소량 추정까지 총 3단계로 구성된다. 먼저 강수 발생시 지상기온과 상대습도를 지표로 활용하여 강수 유형을 판단하고, 강수가 적설로 판별되었을 때 강수량을 신적설심으로 환산하는 Snow Ratio를 추정한다. Snow Ratio는 지상 기온과의 sigmoid 함수 회귀분석을 통해 추정하였으며, precipitation rate 조건(5 mm/3hr 미만 및 이상)에 따라 두 가지 함수를 적용하였다. 마지막으로 적설 깊이 감소량은 온도 지표 snowmelt 식을 이용하여 추정하였으며, 매개변수는 적설 깊이 및 온도 관측 자료를 활용하여 보정하였다. 속초 관측소 자료를 활용하여 매개변수를 보정 및 검증하여 높은 NSE(보정기간 : 0.8671, 검증기간 : 0.7432)를 달성하였으며, 이 알고리즘을 추계 일기 생성 모형으로 모의한 합성 기상 자료(강수량, 지상기온, 습도)에 적용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의하였다. 모의 자료는 관측 자료의 통계 및 극한값을 매우 정확하게 재현하였으며, 현행 건축구조기준과도 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 이 모형을 통하여 적설 위험 분석 분야뿐 아니라 기후 전망 자료와의 결합, 미계측 지역에 대한 자료 모의 등에도 광범위하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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A Study on the Improvement of Collision Prevention Algorithm for Small Vessel Based on User Opinion (사용자 의견 기반 소형선박 충돌예방 알고리즘 개선 연구)

  • Park, Min-Jeong;Park, Young-Soo;Lee, Myoung-Ki;Kim, Dae-Won;Kim, Ni-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.238-246
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    • 2021
  • Collision of small vessels such as fishing boats cause great personal injury. Prior to this study, the collision prevention algorithm was developed to assess the collision risk and make the collision alarm. However, a service provided for safety, such as a collision warning, not only prevents risks, but also requires a certain degree of user satisfaction to function effectively. In this study, the collision prevention algorithm for small vessels was improved to be more practical, and the effects of the improvement were confirmed by applying the algorithm. A survey conducted on the users of the collision warning service confirmed the user requirements for improving the accuracy of the collision warning system and reducing the volume and number of alarms. Accordingly, the algorithm was improved for user satisfaction, and the actual vessel experiment was performed applying the improved algorithm in an actual maritime environment. As a result, the frequency of alarm occurrence decreased compared to former algorithm, but the alarm was relatively steadily generated in dangerous situations. It was analyzed that the accuracy and practicality of the collision alarm were improved. If the practicality and reliability of the improved algorithm are verified in the further study, it will be able to effectively contribute to the prevention of collisions of small vessels.

Development of technology in estimating of high-risk driver's behavior (고위험군 운전자의 운행행태 판단기술 개발)

  • Jin, Ju-Hyun;Yoo, Bong-Seok;Lee, Wook-Soo;Kim, Gyu-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.531-538
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    • 2016
  • Driving behaviors such as speeding and illegal u-turn which violate traffic rules are main causes of car accidents, and they can lead to serious accidents. Bus drivers are less aware of dangers of illegal u-turn, and infrastructures such as traffic enforcement equipment and watchmen are deficient. This research aims to develop technology for estimating driving behaviors based on map-matching in order to prevent illegal u-turns. For this research, 23,782 of u-turn permit data and 146,000 of speed limit data are collected nationwide, and an estimation algorithm is built with these data. Then, an application based on android is developed, and finally, tests are conducted to assess the accuracy in data computations and GPS data map-matching, and to extrapolate driving behavior. As a result of the tests, the accuracy results in the map-matching is 86% and the assessment of driving behavior is 83%, while the display of the data output yielded 100% accuracy. Additional research should focus on improvement in accuracy through the development of a robust monitoring system, and study of service scenarios for technology application.

The Embody of the Direction Escape Algorithm for Optimization Escape (최적 비상대피로 유도를 위한 방향성 유도 알고리즘 구현)

  • Lee, Ki-Yeon;Kim, Dong-Ook;Kim, Dong-Woo;Mun, Hyun-Wook;Gil, Hyung-Jun;Kim, Hyang-Kon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.10
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2009
  • In this parer, we design the artificial intelligent direction escape light control system to improve/complete the defects of the existing fire fighting system, and sketch an optimum escape guide algorithm for its implementation. It intends to minimize human casualties and injuries by calculating/predicting moving line of the optimum emergency escape, by means of interlocking the sensor and the reception group and analyzing the data of the combustion point and the smoke movement. The optimum escape algorithm is designed by FLOYD algorithm which calculates the shortest distance. It consists of the measuring method which calculates the shortest distance by using hazardous factors for each condition in danger which is judged by the sensor installed in each area.