• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험지역 예측

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Inundation Analysis of Agricultural Land considering Climate Change and Cultivation Environment Change (기후변화 및 재배환경 변화를 고려한 농경지 침수 분석 연구)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Jeong, Seok Je;Lee, Jaenam;An, Hyunuk;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.242-242
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    • 2021
  • 지구온난화에 의해 야기된 기후변화로 인하여 최근 국지성 집중호우의 발생 빈도와 강도가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 또한 기온, 강수량 등의 변화로 농경지 재배작물과 시설재배와 같은 재배방법의 변화 등 농경지의 재배환경이 빠르게 변화하고 있다. 이러한 극한기상의 발생 빈도 및 강도의 증가와 농경지 재배환경의 변화는 홍수로 인한 하천수 범람, 지하수위 상승, 배수불량, 도달시간의 감소 등 저지대 재배지 및 농경지에서의 침수 위험을 증가 시키는 원인이다. 이로 인해, 매년 농경지 침수로 인하여 많은 농가들이 피해를 겪고 있으며 피해 규모와 빈도 또한 증가하고 있는 추세를 보이고 있다. 따라서 농경지 침수 피해 저감을 위하여 다양한 관계기관과 연구자들이 배수개선사업 및 침수 예측 및 피해 저감을 위한 연구를 수행하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 및 재배환경의 변화가 농경지 침수에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 기상청 종관기상관측장비(ASOS) 및 방재기상관측장비(AWS)의 지점 강수량 자료를 수집하고 기후변화의 변동 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 과거 농경지 재배 현황 및 침수 피해 발생 자료를 수집하여 농경지 재배환경의 변화와 농경지 침수 피해를 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 수행된 기후변화 및 농경지 재배환경 변화 등 복합적인 요인에 의해 발생하는 농경지 침수 피해에 대한 분석을 통하여 추후 기후변화 및 재배환경 변화를 고려한 배수시설물의 효율적인 운영을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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A Study on the Factors Influencing the Number of Enforcement on Traffic Signal Violation - Focused on Daegu City - (신호위반 단속건수에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 - 대구시를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyuk;Jung, Youn-Jae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2010
  • This study examined the factors influencing the number of enforcement cases on traffic signal violation. The study collected enforcement data on traffic signal violation by multi-functional unmanned cameras across the Daegu metropolitan area, and analyzed the data to determine correlations among various factors including physical dimensions and engineering characteristics of the roadway as to how they would influence the number of violations. The resulting analysis provided a general model that assesses applicability for multi-functional unmanned cameras, and further shed helpful insights on efficient utilization of such traffic signal enforcement equipments in terms of installation thresholds and location. By identifying violation-prone features and characteristics and subsequent enforcement considerations, this research also supports safety efforts in reducing the number of traffic accidents as well.

Analysis of Continental Scale Spatio-Temporal Drought Propagation Using GPM Precipitation (위성강수 자료를 이용한 컨티넨탈 스케일 시공간적 가뭄 전이 분석)

  • Lee, Seung-Yeon;Park, Seo-Yeon;Kim, Jong-suk;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.308-308
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    • 2022
  • 가뭄은 지구 대기 형성만큼이나 오래된 현상으로 생태계, 수문학, 농업 및 경제에 중대한 영향을 주며 세계 어디에서나 발생할 수 있는 자연재해 중 하나이다. 가뭄에 의한 사회·경제적 피해를 줄이고 가뭄 위험을 관리하기 위해서는 가뭄의 시공간적 특성을 이해하는 것이 중요하다. 하지만, 기존의 가뭄 감시는 가뭄 지표를 계산하여 산정된 결과 값을 바탕으로 해당 지역의 가뭄 유무의 정보를 제공하는 1차원적 방법으로 가뭄 감시 및 관리를 위해서는 시·공간적 정보제공이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 시·공간적 가뭄 전이 분석을 위해 GPM(Global Precipitation Measurement) 자료를 활용하여 2000년부터 2020년까지 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)를 산정하였으며, 산정된 SPI를 Spatial drought tracking (S-TRACK) 방법을 적용하여 가뭄의 대륙규모(continetal scale) 시공간적 변화와 전이현상을 살펴보고자 하였다. 본 연구를 결과를 바탕으로 가뭄의 시·공간적 변화에 대한 이해 및 광역규모에서의 가뭄현상의 이동과정을 알아볼 수 있으며, 더 나아가 본 연구의 성과는 기존의 국지적 가뭄 감시 및 예측 방법에 적용하여 가뭄에 대한 효율적인 대응방안을 마련하는 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Comparative Study of Fuzzy Based Frequency Ratio and Cosine Amplitude Method for Landslide Susceptibility in Jinbu Area (빈도비와 Cosine Amplitude Method를 이용한 진부지역의 퍼지기반 산사태 취약성 예측기법 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kang Min;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.195-214
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    • 2017
  • Statistical landslide susceptibility analysis, which is widely used among various landslide susceptibility analysis approaches, predicts the unstable area by analyzing statistical relationship between landslide occurrence locations and landslide controlling factors. However, uncertainties are involved in the procedures of the susceptibility analysis and therefore, fuzzy approach has been used to deal properly with uncertainties. The fuzzy approach used fuzzy set theory and fuzzy membership function to quantify uncertainties involved in landslide controlling factors. Various fuzzy approaches were suggested in the procedure of the membership value determination and fuzzy operation in the previous researches. However, few studies were carried out to compare the analysis results obtained from various approaches for membership function determination and fuzzy operation. Therefore, in this study, the authors selected Jinbu area, which a large number of landslides were occurred at in 2006, to apply two most commonly used methods, the frequency ratio and the cosine amplitude method to derive membership values for each controlling factor. In addition, the integration of different thematic layers to produce landslide susceptibility map was performed by several fuzzy operators such as AND, OR, algebraic product, algebraic sum and Gamma operator. The results of the landslide susceptibility analysis using two different methods for the determination of fuzzy membership values and various fuzzy operators were compared on the basis of ROC graph to check the feasibility of the fuzzy based landslide susceptibility analysis.

Factors Influencing the Fear of Falling among Community-dwelling Elderly in Korea (지역사회 재가노인의 낙상 두려움 예측요인)

  • Park, Nan Ju;Shin, Yong Soon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.278-287
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to identify the predictors influencing fear of falling in community-dewelling elderly. A secondary data analysis was performed using data of 65 years or older elderly who participating in the 2014 Korean Elderly Survey(Jun. 11th ~ Sep. 4th 2014). Multivariated logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors of fear of falling. 81.5% of the elderly had fear of falling. There were significant factors, sex(OR=2.87, p<.001), education(OR=1.73, p<.001), presence of cohabiting spouse(OR=1.19, p<.001), experience of falling(OR=6.35, p<.001), arthritis(OR=1.83, p<.001), depression(OR=2.25, p<.001), cognitive deficit (OR=1.24, p<.001), instrumental activities of daily living (OR=1.98, p<.001), exercise(OR=1.29, p<.001) and the number of chronic diseases(over 3: OR=2.53, p<.001, 1~2: OR=1.73, p<.001), predicting fear of falling in community-dwelling elderly. Fear of falling was associated with multifactorial condition, and arthritis was an important factor in chronic disease. This study will provide fundamental information on programming and a policy proposal related to fear of falling.

Sewer overflow simulation evaluation of urban runoff model according to detailed terrain scale (상세지형스케일에 따른 도시유출모형의 관거월류 모의성능평가)

  • Tak, Yong Hun;Kim, Young Do;Kang, Boosik;Park, Mun Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.519-528
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    • 2016
  • Frequently torrential rain is occurred by climate change and urbanization. Urban is formed with road, residential and underground area. Without detailed topographic flooded analysis consideration can take a result which are wrong flooded depth and flooded area. Especially, flood analysis error of population and assets in dense downtown is causing a big problem for establishments and disaster response of flood measures. It can lead to casualties and property damage. Urban flood analysis is divided into sewer flow analysis and surface inundation analysis. Accuracy is very important point of these analysis. In this study, to confirm the effects of the elevation data precision in the process of flooded analysis were studied using 10m DEM, LiDAR data and 1:1,000 digital map. Study area is Dorim-stream basin in the Darim drainage basin, Sinrim 3 drainage basin, Sinrim 4 drainage basin. Flooding simulation through 2010's heavy rain by using XP-SWMM. Result, from 10m DEM, shows wrong flood depth which is more than 1m. In particular, some of the overflow manhole is not seen occurrence. Accordingly, detailed surface data is very important factor and it should be very careful when using the 10m DEM.

Capacity Spectrum Method Based on Inelastic Displacement Ratio (비탄성변위비를 이용한 능력 스펙트럼법)

  • Han, Sang-Whan;Bae, Mun-Su
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2008
  • In this study, improved capacity spectrum method (CSM) is proposed. The method can account for higher mode contribution to the seismic response of MDOF systems. The CSM has been conveniently used for determining maximum roof displacement using both demand spectrum and capacity curve of equivalent SDOF system. Unlike the conventional CSM, the maximum roof displacement is determined without iteration using inelastic displacement ratio and R factor calculated from demand spectrum and capacity curve. Three moment resisting steel frames of 3-, 9- and 20-stories are considered to test the accuracy of the proposed method. Nonlinear response history analysis (NL-RHA) for three frames is also conducted, which is considered as an exact solution. SAC LA 10/50 and 2/50 sets of ground motions are used. Moreover, this study estimates maximum story drift ratios (IDR) using ATC-40 CSM and N2-method and compared with those from the proposed method and NL-RHA. It shows that the proposed CSM estimates the maximum IDR accurately better than the previous methods.

Youth Crisis Forecasting by Youth Counseling Data Analysis (청소년상담데이터 기반 위기청소년 예측)

  • Lee, Yeon-Hee;Cheon, Mi-Kyung;Song, Tae-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.277-290
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    • 2015
  • The main purpose of study is to identify relevance between nature and types of risk factors that delinquent teenagers are exposed and types of methodologies implemented to prevent committing school violence, domestic violence, and suicide or to help recovering from violent activities and suicide attempts. The results show that school dropout has much relevance in risk factors such as probation, lawbreaking, smoking, drinking, runaway, domestic violence victim, and suicidal attempt. Risk rate of school dropout for those teenagers who smoke and drink in the period of runaway is 2.76 times higher than those teenagers who do not smoke or drink. More specifically, drinking increases more risk of school dropout than smoking. Contribution of this study is to identify empirical evidence that calls for comprehensive risk management for delinquent teenagers encompassing home, school, and community rather than focusing on risk itself.

Extraction of Road Surface Freezing Section using GIS (GIS를 이용한 도로의 노면결빙구간 추출)

  • Choi, Byoung-Gil;Kim, Joong-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.4 s.34
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2005
  • This study suggests a method for securing road safety by extracting the expected surface freezing section in planning a route using GIS. When planning a road construction in a mountainous area it is possible to confront surface freezing especially in the wintertime. In addition, it is required assessment data of surface freezing rates in the case of turnkey inspections of newly constructed or expanded roads. Consequently, an analysis method that can quantitatively estimate the surface freezing section and sunshine influence on each section of a road is needed. We can extract the expected surface freezing section which amounted to around 29km of the Donghae highway, with such techniques as three-dimensional modeling, sunshine simulation geographical database construction and spatial analysis using the overlay function of the GIS spatial analysis. This study can be used as a method to assess advance safety which has a direct influence on planning the blueprint that should be approved by a policy maker after efficiently understanding the expected surface freezing section in accordance with hill shade.

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Slope Behavior Analysis Using the Measurement of Underground Displacement and Volumetric Water Content (지중 변위와 체적 함수비 계측을 통한 사면 거동 분석)

  • Kim, Yongseong;Kim, Manil;Bibek, Tamang;Jin, Jihuan
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2018
  • Several studies have been conducted on monitoring system and automatic measuring instruments to prevent slope failure in advance in Korea and overseas. However, these studies have quite complex structure. Since most of the measurement systems are installed on the slope surface, the researches are carried on the measurement system that detects sign of slope collapse in advance and alerts are still unsatisfactory. In this study, slope collapse experiments were carried out to understand the slope failure mechanism according to rainfall conditions. The water content and displacement behavior at the early stage of the slope failure were analyzed through the measurement of the ground displacement and water content. The results of this study can be used by local government as a basic data for the design of slope failure alarm system to evacuate residents in case of slope failure or landslide due to heavy rainfall.