• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험중요지수

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Extraction and Analysis of Construction Phase Risk Factors in High-rise Construction Project (초고층 건설공사 시공단계 리스크 요인 도출 및 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyong;Kim, Sunghyun;Yang, Jinkook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2016
  • High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

Development of Comprehensive Diagnostic System for Disaster in Decline Areas (쇠퇴지역 재난재해 종합진단 시스템 프로토타입 개발)

  • Shin, Yonghyeon;Lee, Sangmin;Yang, Dongmin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.479-479
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    • 2021
  • 최근 기상이변으로 인한 자연재해 발생이 증가하고 있고, 그에 따라 도시의 재난 대응력 강화가 국내에서는 물론 국제적으로도 중요한 이슈가 되고 있다. 특히 쇠퇴지역은 재난재해 발생 시 인적·물적 피해가 일반 지역 보다 상대적으로 크며, 복구에도 많은 시간과 예산이 소요되므로 대응책 마련을 위한 도시재생지역의 정밀한 재난재해의 위험성 분석 기술이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 도시재생사업 대상지(311개)에 대한 재난재해 유형별 위험성 및 회복성을 종합적으로 분석하는 종합진단 기법을 개발하고, 이를 적용한 프로토타입 시스템을 개발하였다. 재난재해의 범위는 「재난 및 안전관리 기본법」을 준용하여 이에 도시재생사업 시행에 영향을 받아 재난재해 발생에 따른 위험정도가 변화할 가능성이 높은 자연재해 (폭우, 폭염, 폭설, 강풍, 지진)5종과 사회재난 (화재, 붕괴, 폭발) 3종 총 8종으로 정의하였다. 종합진단 기법은 기후변화에 관한 정부간 협의체(IPCC) 위험도 평가 방법을 준용하여 위험요소 (위해성·취약성·노출성)와 대비·대응요소 (회복성)로 구분하고, 전문가 자문회의를 거쳐 재난재해에 특히 취약한 쇠퇴지역의 특성을 반영할 수 있는 종합진단지수 산정식을 개발하였다. 또한 쇠퇴지역 재난재해 종합진단 시스템은 도시재생 업무를 수행하는 사용자가 신속히 정보를 분석하고 활용에 용이하도록 Web-GIS 기반으로 설계하였으며, 종합진단 기법에 의해 산정된 분석결과를 100m × 100m 격자 단위의 등급으로 가시화한다. 분석 결과는 지속적인 연구 개발을 통해 최적의 도시재생사업 의사결정 지원 서비스를 위한 기초 분석 자료로 연계하여 활용되며, 분석 DB는 클라우드 서비스 기반의 도시재생 데이터 플랫폼을 통해 공유된다.

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Statistical Estimation for Hazard Function and Process Capability Index under Bivariate Exponential Process (이변량 지수 공정 하에서 위험함수와 공정능력지수에 대한 통계적 추정)

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Kang, Su-Mook;Park, Byoung-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.449-461
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    • 2009
  • Higher sigma quality level is generally perceived by customers as improved performance by assigning a correspondingly higher satisfaction score. The process capability indices and the sigma level $Z_{st}$ ave been widely used in six sigma industries to assess process performance. Most evaluations on process capability indices focus on statistical estimation under normal process which may result in unreliable assessments of process performance. In this paper, we consider statistical estimation for bivariate VPCI(Vector-valued Process Capability Index) $C_{pkl}=(C_{pklx},\;C_{pklx})$ under Marshall and Olkin (1967)'s bivariate exponential process. First, we derive some limiting distribution for statistical inference of bivariate VPCI $C_{pkl}$. And we propose two asymptotic normal confidence regions for bivariate VPCI $C_{pkl}$. The proposed method may be very useful under bivariate exponential process. A numerical result based on our proposed method shows to be more reliable.

Saddlepoint approximations for the risk measures of linear portfolios based on generalized hyperbolic distributions (일반화 쌍곡분포 기반 선형 포트폴리오 위험측도에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na, Jonghwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.959-967
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    • 2016
  • Distributional assumptions on equity returns play a key role in valuation theories for derivative securities. Elberlein and Keller (1995) investigated the distributional form of compound returns and found that some of standard assumptions can not be justified. Instead, Generalized Hyperbolic (GH) distribution fit the empirical returns with high accuracy. Hu and Kercheval (2007) also show that the normal distribution leads to VaR (Value at Risk) estimate that significantly underestimate the realized empirical values, while the GH distributions do not. We consider saddlepoint approximations to estimate the VaR and the ES (Expected Shortfall) which frequently encountered in finance and insurance as measures of risk management. We supposed GH distributions instead of normal ones, as underlying distribution of linear portfolios. Simulation results show the saddlepoint approximations are very accurate than normal ones.

Evaluation of factors affecting sensory neural hearing loss (감각신경성 청력손실에 영향을 미치는 제 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Seong-Chul;Bae, Seong-Wook;Lee, Jong-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.31 no.2 s.61
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 1998
  • Reports on a potential relationship between sensory neural hearing loss(SNHL) and cardiovascular or hematologic factor show that the results are controversial. A detailed analysis of risk factors in the development of SNHL was carried out in 3,050 non-noise exposed healthy worker. The mean hearing threshold of both ears at 500, 1000, 2000, 4000, 8000Hz was measured and the effect of age, possible cardiovascular risk factor and hematologic factor (blood viscosity and hemostatic factors) on SNHL were evaluated. first, each of these were associated with loss of hearing sensitivity when univariately and multivariatively analysed. In a multiple regression model, age, sex, body mass index, WBC and total cholesterol level were independently associated with the mean of hearing sensitivity decrease at 4000 and 8000Hz. Second, study subjects were divided into two group (normal vs SNHL) and we compare the possible risk between both groups, and analysed univariate and multivariative logistic model. In a multiple logistic regression model, age, sex, body mass index, WBC and total cholesterol level, total protein, platelet were independently associated with SNHL. Our results show that we have some reliable indices of susceptibility to SNHL using cardiovascular measures or biochemical factor, but future, more extensive studies are required.

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Sleep and Suicidal Risk Factors in Korean High School Students (고등학생 청소년들의 수면과 자살위험요인)

  • Jeong, Ja-Hyun;Jang, Yong-E;Lee, Hae-Woo;Shim, Hyun-Bo;Choi, Jin-Sook
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Sleep problems has been consistently reported as a suicidal risk factor in adults and, recently, also in adolescents. In this study, dividing study subjects by the previous suicidal behaviors (suicidal vs non-suicidal), we compared the group differences of suicidal risk factors, and examined the possibility of sleep as a suicidal risk factor. Methods: Study subjects were 561 (271 boys and 290 girls) from a community sample of high school students. Suicidal Risk Behavior Checklist, Center for Epidemiological Study-Depression (CES-D), Symptom Checklist-90-Revision (SCL-90-R) Anxiety and Aggression subscale, Pittsburg Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) were done. Results: Forty six students (8.1%) reported previous actual self-harm behavior as a suicidal attempt, 181 students (32.4%) reported having suicidal thought only. Three hundred thirty four students (59.5%) reported no previous suicidal behavior (thought and attempt, both). Suicidal behavior group showed higher score on risk behaviors such as school violence, substance use and internet addiction. CES-D, SCL-90-R, PSQI showed significant group difference. Logistic regression analysis showed suicidal risk were significantly associated with depression, stress in suicidal risk factors and sleep latency, daytime dysfunction in PSQI. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) shows the most prolonged sleep latency and increased index of all PSQI components except sleep efficiency in suicidal attempt group. Conclusions: Sleep Problems had a strong association with the suicidal risk behavior in adolescents. Sleep problems, especially, prolonged sleep latency, daytime dysfunction might be important markers for suicidal behavior. Screening for sleep problems in adolescents are encouraged for the parents, school teachers, and related medical physicians.

Development of Urban Flood Vulnerability Index for Urban Frequently Flooded Area -A Case Study of Dorim Stream- (도시 상습침수지역에 대한 도시홍수취약성지수의 개발 -도림천 유역을 중심으로-)

  • Kang, Hyun Woong;Kang, Ho Yeong;Hwang, Sung Hwan;Moon, Young Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.613-613
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    • 2015
  • 최근 전 지구적인 온난화로 인한 이상기후에 따라 강수량이 증가하고, 특정지역에만 국한되어 집중적으로 비가 내리는 국지성 집중호우의 발생 빈도가 증가하여 이로 인한 극한 홍수나 강우로 인한 산사태 등의 재해가 반복적으로 발생하고 있다. 홍수는 재산 및 인명에 이르기까지 막대한 피해를 야기한다는 점에서 이를 대비하기 위한 방안이 필수적이므로 국가적인 차원에서 홍수피해를 경감시키기 위한 여러 가지 구조적 또는 비구조적 대책들을 제시하고 있지만, 정확한 기상 변화의 예측이 어렵고 다양한 유발 원인들로부터 비롯된 홍수에 모두 대응할 수 있는 통합 대책 마련이 어려운 실정이다. 즉, 사전예방보다는 피해 복구에만 중점을 두고 있기 때문에 홍수 발생 유역의 지역적인 홍수피해 특성을 반영하지 못할 뿐만 아니라 어느 지역이 상대적으로 홍수피해의 위험성이 높은 지역인지도 파악하기 어렵다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 도시홍수피해 유형인 내수침수피해와 외수침수피해의 유형에 따라 사례들을 조사하고 관련문헌들로부터 도시 홍수 취약성 평가를 위한 대표적 인자들을 도출하였다. 도출된 인자들을 각각 IPCC의 취약성 평가 프레임에 따라 기후노출, 민감도 그리고 적응능력으로 구분하고 도시 상습침수지역인 도림천 유역을 시범 지역으로 하여 도시홍수 취약성 평가를 위한 지수를 개발하고자 한다. 본 연구를 통하여 향후 도시홍수피해의 잠재적 위험성이 높을 것으로 판단되는 유역에 대한 활용방안을 제시하고 유역의 특성 및 중요도에 따른 치수사업의 우선순위를 결정하는 등 유역의 특성을 반영한 구체적 적응정책의 방향성을 세우는데 기초자료로 제공될 수 있으며, 도시홍수로 인한 인명 및 재산의 피해를 최소화 하는 것에 목적이 있다.

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Analysis of the Spillover Effect of the Freight Rate Market and Commodity Market Using the Frequency Connectedness Method (주파수 연계성 방법을 적용한 해상운임지수와 상품시장의 전이효과분석)

  • Kim, BuKwon;Won, DooHwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.223-242
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the spillover effects of returns and volatility between the commodity market and the maritime freight market across various frequency domains (short-term, medium-term, long-term). The key findings of the study can be summarized as follows. First, from the perspective of returns, a high linkage is observed in the short-term between the commodity and maritime freight markets, with the metal commodities market playing a particularly significant role in information transmission effect of return series. Second, in terms of volatility, the total connectedness increases from the short- to the long-term, with substantial long-term risk transmission effects observed especially in the BDI, BDTI, agricultural, and energy commodity markets. Notably, during major global events such as the U.S.-China trade war, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine conflicts, a marked increase in the risk transmission effect in the energy commodities market was identified.

The Risk Factors of the Pre-hypertension and Hypertension of Rural Inhabitants in Chungnam-do (충남 농촌 지역 주민의 고혈압 전단계와 고혈압의 위험요인)

  • Eom, Ji-Sook;Lee, Tae-Ryong;Park, Seon-Joo;Ahn, Youn-Jin;Chung, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.742-753
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate risk factors of pre-hypertension and hypertension in rural residents. Nine hundred and ninety four subjects aged 40-70 yrs in Chungnam-do participated in this study. The subjects (n = 824) were classified into three groups of hypertensive, pre-hypertensive, and normotensive according to the Joint National Committee (JNC)-7 criteria. The weight, body mass index (BMI), waist-hip ratio (WHR), and serum total protein, albumin, BUN, and triglyceride (TG) were positively correlated with SBP and DBP. After adjusted by age, sex and BMI, the total protein, albumin and TG were significantly correlated with SBP and DBP (p < 0.01). There was no significant difference in eating habits according to the level of blood pressure. The serum albumin, creatinine, Glu-FBS, Glu-PP l20, and triglyceride were higher in both prehypertensive and hypertensive group than in the normotensive group. However, mean serum cholesterol was not different among three blood pressure groups. In this study, the common risk factors of pre-hypertension and hyper-tension were male, age of fifties, lower education level, ex-smoking, higher drinking frequency, higher BMI, body fat %, waist circumference, WHR, serum albumin and diabetes, even though the degree of risks in these variables were higher in the hypertensive group. The higher BUN was a risk factor of prehypertension, while the family history, prediabetes, serum total protein, Glu-PP l20 and higher alcohol drinking amount were the risk factors of hypertension. This result suggests that maintaining good health habit and normal range of blood parameters as well as controlling body weight have to be paid attention in order to prevent hypertention, and further reseasch on the relationship of blood pressure and BUN are needed.

A Study on the Ship's Performance of T.S. HANBADA(III) - The Evaluation of Maneuvering Performance with Actual Ship Trials - (실습선 한바다호의 운항성능에 관한 연구(III) - 실선시험을 통한 조종성능 평가 -)

  • Jung, Chang-Hyun;Lee, Hyong-Ki;Kong, Gil-Yong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2008
  • Various turning tests were carried out according to the rudder angle, turning direction, and the speed etc. with the ship's maneuverability measuring system on the training ship HANBADA. After that they were compared with each other on the turning circle, maneuvering performance index and the distance of new course, and then found out that they were satisfied with the IMO maneuvering standards. And the turning circles of port were smaller than those of starboard with all the rudder angles and maneuvering indexes such as K and T were relatively bigger than other vessels. Also, the distance cf new course was measured to $125{\sim}300m$ in case of the new course on $30^{\circ}{\sim}90^{\circ}$. All of these results will be helpful to escape from collision and to alter course on coastal voyage.