• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.5-5
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• 2020

가뭄은 일반적으로 기상학적, 수문학적, 농업적 및 사회·경제적 가뭄으로 분류된다. 그 중 강수량 부족으로 인해 야기되는 기상학적 가뭄은 지역 사회에 직접적인 피해를 유발하는 도화선이 된다. 그러나 강우량 부족이 경제적, 사회적 피해로 전파되는 과정은 단순하지 않으며, 정량화가 어려운 실정이다. 가뭄 위험도는 수문기상학적 요인뿐만 아니라 자연재해에 대한 지역의 취약성의 맥락에서 파악되어야하므로, 가뭄 위험도 평가 방안은 위험도와 지역사회 사이의 관계를 규명하는 과정을 포함해야 한다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 가뭄 취약성(vulnerability)과 노출성(hazard)을 정량화하여 나타내는 지표를 적용한 가뭄 위험도 분석 방법이 주로 사용된다. 일반적으로 수용되는 취약성 개념은 개인 또는 그룹이 자연재해의 영향에 대처하고 이에 저항할 수 있는 능력을 의미하며, 노출성은 자연적 또는 인간이 유발할 수 있는 물리적 사건의 가능성을 나타낸다. 따라서 취약성은 지역의 문화적, 사회적 및 경제적 인자를 이용하여 정의된다. 반면 노출성은 주어진 시간 또는 영역 내에서의 특정 현상의 발생 확률에 따라 결정된다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄 취약성 지수 (Drought Vulnerability Index, DVI)와 가뭄 노출성 지수(Drought Hazard Index, DHI)를 이용하여 지역 가뭄 위험도를 평가하였다. 취약성 및 노출성 지수를 활용한 선행연구에서의 주요 쟁점은 연구자의 주관성을 배제하고 지역의 상황을 반영할 수 있도록 (1) 객관적이고 합리적인 변수의 선택과 (2) 각 인자들의 관계를 규정하는 가중치 정의 방법이다. 본 연구에서는 확률론적 접근방법을 적용한 위험도 평가 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. DVI를 산정 시 지역에서 지배적인 사회경제적 인자를 선택하기 위해 주성분분석(PCA) 기법을 활용하였으며, DHI는 이변량 가뭄 빈도 분석에 의해 산정된 특정 가뭄사상의 발생 확률로 정의되었다. 본 연구에서는 국내에서 가뭄 위험도가 가장 높은 것으로 평가되는 충청북도 및 충청남도를 대상지역으로 선정하고 지역 위험도를 평가하였다. 그 결과 가장 가뭄 위험도가 높은 지역은 충청북도에서는 청주시, 충청남도에서는 공주시로 분석되었다. 특히 청주시는 DVI가 매우 높지만 DHI는 상대적으로 작게 나타났으며, 반면 공주시는 DHI와 DVI가 지역 내에서 가장 높게 산정되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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• 2004.10a
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• pp.13-22
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• 2004

본 연구에서는 도심지 지하철 터널을 대상으로 지반공학적 위험요소가 공사비 및 공기에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하기 위하여 잔여 리스크 개념을 이용하여 조사개소의 증가에 따른 공사비 및 공기의 신뢰도를 분석하였다. 신뢰도 분석결과, 지반조사 개소가 증가함에 따라 공사비 및 공기에 대한 위험도가 축소됨을 확인하였으며, 이러한 결과를 통하여 도심지 지하철 터널에서의 지반공학적 위험도 분석의 유용성을 확인하였다.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.81-96
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• 2021

Purpose: Based on the preceding studies in supply chain management, factors were analyzed to verify the effect of risk assessment and risk management factors of the business continuity management system (BCMS) on management performance. The purpose of this study is to establish a systematic risk management plan by deriving the risk factors of BCMS and evaluating unpredictable risks, and at the same time, contributing to a company's competitive advantage without interruption of work. Method: The structural relationship between risk assessment, risk management and management performance of BCMS was derived. To this end, a questionnaire survey was conducted of 124 managers and managers in Korean companies. Frequency analysis, validity analysis, reliability analysis, correlation analysis, and simple regression analysis were performed. Result: First, risk assessment had a positive (+) effect on risk management. Second, risk management had a positive (+) effect on management performance. Finally, risk assessment had a positive (+) effect on management performance. Conclusion: BCMS's risk assessment and risk management capabilities should be managed through financial performance, and risk management activities should be managed through non-financial performance.

• Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.63-67
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• 2008

This study focuses on assessing the security ri sk or the terrorism in chemical process industries. This research modifies conventional method for assessing the terrorism risk. The risk assessment method is developed and it is implemented as software to analyze the possibility of terrorism and sabotage. This program includes five steps; asset characterization, threat assessment, vulnerability analysis, risk assessment and new countermeasures. It is a systematic, risk based approach in which risk is a function of the severity of consequences of an undesired event, the likelihood of adversary attack, and the likelihood of adversary success in causing the undesired event. The reliability of the program is verified using a dock zone case. The case dock zone includes a storage farm, a manufacturing plant, an electrical supply utility, a hydrotreater unit, many containers, and administration buildings. This study represents chemical terrorism response technology, the prevention plan, and new countermeasure to mitigate by using risk assessment methods in the chemical industry and public sector. This study suggests an effective approach to the chemical terrorism response management.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.5 no.4 s.16
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• pp.40-48
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• 2001

For a Liquified Petroleum Gas(LPG) station, the reliability analysis, such as Fussell-Vesely importance, risk decrease factor and risk increase factor, was carried out and the risk ranks of events were determined. In order to confirm the degree of the risks identified in the reliability analysis, the quantitative risk analysis was done for the equipments which had the large values of risk ranks. As a result of the importance analysis for the LPG station, the external event was identified as the most riskful event. The defect of construction structure and the pipe corrosion were riskful as well. The result of quantitative risk analysis showed that the length of 46.3 meters were estimated to damage the process equipments by the thermal flux from the catastrophic rupture of storage tank in Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.1-15
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• 2008

Recently, because of the various factors by uncertainty of underground, the risks in tunnelling have been occurred increasingly. Therefore, it is very important to estimate and control the risks considering geotechnical conditions for tunnel stability and environmental problems by tunnel construction. In this study, the risk analysis for tunnel stability was carried out by classifying the risk factors such as ground support capacity, ground settlement, the inflow of groundwater into the tunnel and the damage by the earthquake. Also, the risk assessment for the environmental problems was performed by calculating the vibration and noise by blasting and the drawdown of the groundwater level caused by tunnel construction. Each risk factor was evaluated quantitatively based on the probabilistic and statistic technique, then it was analyzed the distribution characteristic along overall tunnel site. Finally, it was evaluated that how much each risk factor influences on the construction cost with a period for tunnel construction, so it is possible to perform reasonable tunnel design which was capable of minimizing the risks in the tunnel construction.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.27-32
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• 2000

The assessment of wildland fire hazard is the first priority to be considered in the prevention, extinction and control of wildland fire. For the standard to measure wildland fire hazard, the wildland fire Warning System is currently being used in Korea which computes the wildland fire occurrence hazard index through a stick weight to moisture conversion formula. It shows the risk of fuel substance being exposed to fire by meteorological factors. For a comprehensive assessment of wildland fire hazards by area, the major factors'hazards need to be measured and the assessment of wildland fire needs to be conducted through historical statistic examination. Therefore, the wildland (ire outbreak frequency and its seriousness of damage are analyzed through historical statistic examination to conduct the assessment of a wildland fire hazard, and then the calorific value of a forest is analyzed through differential scanning calorimeter measurement which assesses the comparative calorific hazard according to the geographical distribution of vegetation.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.165-198
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• 2013

The purpose of the study is to identify risk factors and analyze risk impacts to increase R&D outcome by taking into consideration the activities undertaken in each phase of New Product Development(NPD) process. The paper builds on survey research that has been developed new IT products within the past 5 years at SAMSUNG and LG subsidiaries in the Republic of Korea. This study identified risk factors in accordance with NPD process and evaluated the identified risk factors with survey questionnaires. To analyze the risk impacts were used to perform a logistic regression analysis based on R&D output. The impact of risk factors were higher for the low-output group. High-output group took a risk into consideration unique undertakings in project management and managed risk factors effectively in order to increase R&D output. Consequently, with the aim of improving output of R&D, a risk management is necessary to identify the risk factors for each phase of NPD and focus on managing risk factors with great effect.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2011.11a
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• pp.502-505
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• 2011

국내 철도터널 방재관련 법규에는 정량적 위험성 분석을 수행하여 주요한 방재시설의 설치 여부 및 규모를 결정하도록 규정하고 있으나 위험성 분석을 수행하기 위해 필요한 세부 기준에 대해서는 정해진 것이 없어 이에 대한 검토가 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내 철도터널의 정량적 위험도 평가 사례를 수집하고 이를 분석함으로서 철도터널 방재시설의 위험도 감소효과를 분석하고자 하였다. 정량적 위험도 평가사례분석 결과 Risk Index에 가장 크게 영향을 미치는 인자는 터널의 경사도로 분석되었으며, 방재설비 중 대피통로와 배연설비가 위험도 저감효과가 가장 높은 것으로 분석되었다.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.31-38
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• 2006

The importance of the Security Risk Analysis has emerged as security breaches and information leaks has occurred in the companies and organization: threats toward information system and its vulnerabilities has grown up as the dependence on the information-communication systems goes higher as a result of technological advances in IT industry, A Risk Analysis Tool helps to mitigate overall risk of an organization by analysing and evaluating critical information systems and providing security measures against threats to systems and its vulnerabilities as a means to identify the inherent dangers and prevent security intrusion incident, This paper defines risk analysis process by introducing Common Criteria Scheme and suggest a risk analysis tool that can be easily implemented by an information security manager.