• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도 점수

Search Result 409, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Use of the Risk Score for the Effective Management of Cut Slopes (효율적인 절토사면 관리를 위한 위험도 점수 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan;Baek, Yong;Koo, Ho-Bon;Park, Keun-Bo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.223-231
    • /
    • 2012
  • Many cut slopes are located near national highways, resulting in large annual damage to infrastructure from the collapse of cut slopes. Therefore, to effectively maintain cut slopes, high-risk slopes should be identified and monitored. In this paper, we evaluate the effectiveness of the management of cut slopes using the risk score calculated from cut-slope inventory data. The inventory survey, as a simple assessment of the characteristics of various slopes, was performed to collect basic data that could be obtained visually in the field for the management of cut slopes. This method is not a precise survey, and it was composed of the general status and characteristics of cut slopes, the inspector's assessment, and inventory data in order to estimate a risk score for each slope. In this paper, we calculated the risk score by investigating the present status of cut slopes adjacent to 10,461 national roads. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of using risk score data, we compared the score for stable slopes with those of failed cut slopes. Failed cut slopes occurred in sections with the highest risk score. The results show that risk score derived from the inventory survey of cut slopes are useful in the management of cut slopes with risk of failure and in monitoring large numbers of cut slopes.

A Study on the Scoring Method for the Insurance Underwriting Using Generalized Linear Model (보험사 언더라이팅 기준 설정을 위한 스코어링 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung;Kim, Dong-Kwang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.489-498
    • /
    • 2009
  • Underwriting is the first step for the administration of an insurance contract, which may result in stable profitability or unexpected loss for insurance company. Adequacy of underwriting criteria determines underwriting result. Generally, quantitative scoring system is used for underwriting. Method of evaluating risk for the scoring system is summing up scores for risk factors of a potential policyholder in consideration. Scores for each risk factor is predetermined. Current business environment for insurance companies makes underwriting profit more important, which means that insurance companies need more efficient underwriting method. This study suggests a reasonable approach to estimate risk relativities based on generalized linear model. Real data were used to quantify risk levels of groups of insureds for the design of underwriting model. Finally, effects in business volume and profitability of reflecting estimated underwriting scoring system are explained.

집중관제 대상선박 선정을 위한 선박별 위험지수 개발 - 분석적 계층화 과정(AHP) 적용 -

  • Park, Seong-U;Seo, Hong-Yong;Heo, Hak-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2011.06a
    • /
    • pp.147-149
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 선박사고의 발생과 선박이 지닌 특성(선종/톤수/국적)간에 연관이 있을 것으로 가정하여 관제전문가를 대상으로 하는 설문조사 및 사고통계 분석을 통해 각 특성 별 가중치를 계량화하여 기준점수표를 마련하고자 하였다. 가중치 산정은 분석적 계층화 과정(AHP: Anlaytic Hierachy Process)를 거쳤으며 이를 통해 얻은 기준점수표를 바탕으로 인천항의 1일간 입항선에 적용하여 결과를 준사고이력 보유선박군의 점수와 비교하여 양 집단 간 높은 위험지수 해당선박 존재 비율을 비교하였다.

  • PDF

Individualism/Collectivism and Attribution Style in Dangerous Driving Situations: A Driving Simulation Study (위험 운전상황에서 운전자의 문화성향에 따른 귀인양식의 차이: 운전 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Jaesik Lee
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.367-388
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study examined how drivers of different cultural orientations(individualism vs. collectivism) attribute the cause(dispositional vs. situational) of four simulated driving situations which were varied in types(cutting-in and sudden-stop by the other driver) and differential emphasis on other the other driver's driving attitude or situational factor. The results showed the followings. First, the drivers generally showed higher attribution scores on the dispositional factor than the situational factor, except for the 'sudden-stop: situation emphasis' scenario condition. Second, when drivers' cultural orientation and attribution styles were considered together, it was found that, except for the 'cutting-in: disposition emphasis' scenario condition. the drivers of collectivism tended to attribute more to situational factor than the drivers of individualism, In contrast, the drivers of individualism showed higher attribution scores on dispositional factor than situational factor in all driving scenario conditions. Implication and suggestion were discussed.

  • PDF

The Effect of Positive Feedback and Reinforcement on the Enhancement of Performance and the Regulation of Anxiety (긍정적 사고가 운동 수행 능력의 향상과 불안조절에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Doug-Hyun;Cho, Kyu-Hyun;Min, Kyung-Joon;Na, Churl
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.107-112
    • /
    • 2007
  • Introduction : A positive thinking has been known to affect the enhancement of performance. One of temperament characters, harm avoidance is thought to be associated with anxiety related behaviors. Golfer showed highest anxiety and lowest score of harm avoidance, compared to any other sports. We hypothesized that positive feedback and reinforcement in golfer would decrease the anxiety and improve the performance. Methods : Fifty one golfers with the age from 15 to 19 were classified into two groups; 25 golfers who used Zinsser's Changing Negative thoughts to Positive thoughts and Beswick's positive self talk when exercise and competition (P-FB) and 26 golfers who had not (controls). Harm avoidance, Spielberg's Trait and State Anxiety, and Golf scores has been assessed at baseline and 6 months later. Results : There was no significant difference in baseline harm avoidance, anxiety, and golf scores between P-FB and controls. The total golf scores in both groups have improved after 6 month later. However, P-FB group showed greater improvement of total scores and putting scores, compared to controls. The state anxiety in PFB group has been decreased, while there was no change in controls. The change in the state anxiety was correlated with harm avoidance and the change in total golf scores. Discussions : The positive thinking has enhanced performance and state anxiety. The improvement of performance and anxiety in golfers was associated with high harm avoidance. The current study showed that the regulation of anxiety with positive thinking was helpful to the performance enhancement in subject with high harm avoidance.

  • PDF

An Evaluation of Working Postures for Musculoskeletal Disorders (근골격계질환에 대한 작업자세요인의 평가)

  • 배성규;박동현
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
    • /
    • 2002.05a
    • /
    • pp.199-205
    • /
    • 2002
  • 최근 산업안전/보건분야에서 누적외상성질환(Cumulative Trauma Disorders: CTDs)과 직업성요통(Low Back Injury)과 같은 근골격계질환은 산업현장에서 어렵지 않게 발견할 수 있는 신종 산업재해의 일종이다. 특히 미국의 경우, 발생건수와 그로 인한 인적/물적 손실이 급격하게 증가되고 있는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 그러나 미국과 같이 근골격계질환의 폐해를 일찌감치 인식하고 그 해결방안을 연구해온 나라들에서는 현재 환자관리 및 인간공학적인 기준 등을 포함하는 예방지침들이 잘 정착되어 있는 실정이다. 우리나라의 경우에는 작업환경 등의 조건과 상황이 미국과 같은 구미 선전국과 비숫하고, 특히 제조업의 생산체계가 그런 나라들과 매우 유사하여 근골격계질환의 발생과 그로 인한 인적/물적 손실이 적지 않을 것이라고 예상할 수 있지만 아직까지 CTDs에 대한 전반적인 이해가 부족하고, 정확한 실태가 파악되지 못하였으며, 따라서 체계적인 관리 대책 또한 마련되어있지 않은 실정이다. 본 조사에서는 서울 근교의 수송기계관련 사업장의 작업들에 대한 작업자세에 중심을 둔 인간공학평가를 통하여 조사 작업의 근골격계질환에 대한 상대적인 위험도, 위험요인 등을 파악하고, 그에 따른 개선 대책의 방향을 제시하고자 하였다. 특히, 각 부위별 위험점수와 부위별 증상호소율의 상환분석결과, 작업자 개인적 수준에서는 통계적으로 유의한 차는 없는 것으로 분석되었으나, 부서별로 분석한 결과, 작업시 주로 사용하는 오른쪽 상지의 경우, 오른쪽 어깨, 팔꿈치, 손목 순으로 통계적으로 유의하게 관련이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 증상호소율과 해당 신체부위의 위험도 점수는 서로 정적(positive)한 관계에 있는 것으로 나타났고, 상지 중 주로 사용하는 오른쪽 부담의 위험도 자세 점수와 증상호소는 비교적 높은 상관관계에 있는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 이와 같은 인간공학적 분석결과는 향후 인간공학적인 개선대책의 개발 뿐만 아니라 의학쪽에서 근골격계질환을 접근하는 초기단계에서 매우 유용한 역할을 할 수 있으리라 생각된다.

  • PDF

A Study on Correlation Analysis between Inventory Data and Danger Grade of Cut Slopes: Cut Slopes in Kangwondo and Chungcheongdo. (절토사면 현황조사 자료와 위험도간의 상관분석에 관한 연구: 강원도, 충청도 일대 절토사면)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan;Lee, Jeong-Yeob;Kim, Seung-Hyun;Koo, Ho-Bon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.25 no.12
    • /
    • pp.27-35
    • /
    • 2009
  • KICT (Korea Institute of Construction and Technology) and KISTEC (Korea Infrastructure Safety and Technology Corporation) have been carrying out inventory survey on cut slopes along national roads since 2006. Unlike precision safety check, cut slope inventory survey is a simple check about cut slope's characteristics with the naked eye to collect the data base of slope maintenance. Inventory survey is classified into general status, cut slope characteristics and inspector opinions. The inventory data are analyzed to identify dangerous slopes and decide a safety ranking. In this paper, we performed a correlation analysis using SPSS (ver.15) about the 10,461 cut slope inventory data which are collected in Kangwondo and Chungcheongdo from 2006 to 2008. We calculated the correlation coefficient between cut slope inventory data and the danger score derived from the data. And we evaluated cut slope inventory data which have the more influence on the danger degree of cut slope. According to results of correlation analysis, we found that inventory data influencing cut slope danger degree are stuck and fallen rock, orientation of discontinuity and angle of upper slope. And these data are slightly different by regionally. Later on, if inventory research is finished, we will understand regional characteristics of cut slopes.

Development of an Eating Habit Checklist for Screening Elementary School Children at High Risk of Energy Overintake (초등학생의 에너지 과잉섭취 위험 진단을 위한 식습관평가표 개발)

  • Yon, Mi-Yong;Hyun, Tai-Sun
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
    • /
    • v.41 no.5
    • /
    • pp.414-427
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of the study was to develop an eating habit checklist for screening elementary school children at high risk of energy overintake. Dietary habits, food intake, anthropometric data were collected from 142 children (80 boys and 62 girls) in the 4th to 6th grades of elementary schools. Energy intake, fat intake, and percentage of Estimated Energy Requirement (%EER) were used as indices to detect the risk of energy overintake of the children. Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated between dietary habit scores and energy overintake indices in order to select questions included in the checklist. TV watching during the meal, meal speed, meal amount, overintake frequency, eatingout frequency, snack frequency, frequency of eating Ramyun or fast foods showed significant correlations with energy overintake indices. Stepwise regression analysis was performed to give each item a different weight by prediction strength. To determine the cut-off point of the test score, sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values were calculated. The 7-item checklist with test results from 0 to 13 points was developed, and those with equal or higher than 5 points were diagnosed as a risk group of energy overintake. Among our subjects 13.4% was diagnosed as the risk group. Mean energy intake of the subjects in the risk group and the normal group were 2,650 kcal and 1,640 kcal, respectively. However, there were no significant differences of Index of Nutritional Quality (INQ) of the other nutrients except eating fiber between the risk group and the normal group. This checklist will provide a useful screening tool to identify children at high risk of energy overintake.

Risk Analysis for Cut Slope using Probabilistic Index of Landslide (사면파괴 가능성 지수를 이용한 절취사면 위험도 분석)

  • Jang, Hyun-Shic;Oh, Chan-Sung;Jang, Bo-An
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.2 s.52
    • /
    • pp.163-176
    • /
    • 2007
  • Landslides which is one of the major natural hazard is defined as a mass movement of weathered material rock and debris due to gravity and can be triggered by complex mechanism. It causes enormous property damages and losses of human lift directly and indirectly. In order to mitigate landslide risk effectively, a new method is required to develope for better understanding of landslide risk based on the damaged cost produce, investment priority data, etc. In this study, we suggest a new evaluation method for slope stability using risk analysis. 30 slopes including 10 stable slopes, 10 slopes of possible failure and 10 failed slopes along the national and local roads are examined. Risk analysis comprises the hazard analysis and the consequence analysis. Risk scores evaluated by risk analysis show very clear boundaries for each category and are the highest for the failed slopes and the lowest for the stable slopes. The evaluation method for slope stability suggested by this research may define the condition and stability of slope more clearly than other methods suggested by others.

Validity of the Self-report Assessment Forecasting Elderly Driving Risk (SAFE-DR) Applicable to Community Health Convergence (지역사회 보건 융합에 활용 가능한 노인 운전자용 자가-보고식평가(SAFE-DR)의 타당도 연구)

  • Choi, Seong-Youl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.6
    • /
    • pp.175-182
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to test the assessment validity and examine the cut-off scores for driving risk as a part of the Self-report Assessment Forecasting Elderly Driving Risk (SAFE-DR) development project. The 132 senior drivers were categorized as either risky of 58 or safe of 74 drivers through the Drivers 65 Plus. Based on this initial assessment, we analyzed the risk prediction cut-offs. Furthermore, we tested the construct, content, and predictive validity. The cut-off score for the prediction of driving risk was found to be 74.5 points. The positive predictive value was 88.6%, and the negative predictive value was 86.3% about the cut-off score, signifying an excellent level of discrimination. Convergent validity, nomological validity, and content validity were found to be appropriate. Therefore, this study confirms that SAFE-DR is an appropriate assessment that can be used to screen dangerous elderly drivers.