• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.13 no.7
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• pp.3244-3251
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• 2012

In the construction and operation of large marine structure, hazard risk analysis is one of important factors. Therefore, this paper investigates the hazard risk indexes and evaluates the risk level in the construction and operation of SFT on the basis of expert survey and Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Hazard risk is divided into natural hazard risk (earthquake, typhoon, tsunami, and ice collision) and human factor hazard risk (fire, explosion, traffic accident, ship or submarine collision). Also, the influence of hazard risk indexes on SFT was evaluated in tunnel tube, supporting system, ventilation tower, foundation, and connection part. As the hazard risk level of SFT is compared with those of bridge, underwater tunnel, and immersed tunnel, the intrinsic risk level of SFT was evaluated. Tsunami and earthquake had higher risk level in natural hazard risk, and the risk levels of fire and explosion were higher in human factor hazard risk. Hazard risk level of SFT was 1.4 times higher than immersed tunnel, and 3.2 times higher than bridge.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.21-40
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• 2003

A traffic accident analysis method was developed and tested based on the highway alignment risk indices using geographic information systems(GIS). Impacts of the highway alignment on traffic accidents have been identified by examining accidents occurred on different alignment conditions and by investigating traffic accident risk indices(TARI). Evaluative criteria are suggested using geometric design elements as an independent variable. Traffic accident rates were forecasted more realistically and objectively by considering the interaction between highway alignment factors and the design consistency. And traffic accident risk indices and risk ratings were suggested based on model estimation results and accident data. Finally, forecasting traffic accident rates, evaluating the level of risk and then visualizing information graphically were combined into one system called risk assessment system by means of GIS. This risk assessment system is expected to play a major role in designing four-lane highways and developing remedies for highway sections susceptible to traffic accidents.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.1-15
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• 2008

Recently, because of the various factors by uncertainty of underground, the risks in tunnelling have been occurred increasingly. Therefore, it is very important to estimate and control the risks considering geotechnical conditions for tunnel stability and environmental problems by tunnel construction. In this study, the risk analysis for tunnel stability was carried out by classifying the risk factors such as ground support capacity, ground settlement, the inflow of groundwater into the tunnel and the damage by the earthquake. Also, the risk assessment for the environmental problems was performed by calculating the vibration and noise by blasting and the drawdown of the groundwater level caused by tunnel construction. Each risk factor was evaluated quantitatively based on the probabilistic and statistic technique, then it was analyzed the distribution characteristic along overall tunnel site. Finally, it was evaluated that how much each risk factor influences on the construction cost with a period for tunnel construction, so it is possible to perform reasonable tunnel design which was capable of minimizing the risks in the tunnel construction.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.529-534
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• 2016

The paper suggests risk management methodology for alleviating casuality accidents at urban railway stations. Risk management deals with countermeasures for reducing accident probability or consequences to reach at the certain level of risk. First of all, Economic evaluations using cost and benefit for all the alternatives are performed. The alternatives exceeding B/C ratio greater than 1, each alternative is applied in the order of higher B/C ratio. this process is repeated when the level of risk is reduced as low as reasonably practical (ALARP). In order to determine the level of ALARP, Level of Service (LOS) for casuality risk at urban railway stations is proposed. The ALARP level is set to the LOS "C". Finally, a case study is applied to the Jongno 3-ga station, which is a highest risky station among all the stations operated by Seoul Metro and Seoul Metropolitan Rapid Transit Cooperation (SMRT).

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.131-153
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• 2008

This paper calculates the Risk Index of Korean securities industry that summarizes the information contained in seventeen financial indicators that represent risk categories such as capital adequacy(C), asset quality(A), earnings(E), and liquidity(L) by using the NBER statistical methodology. For the validation of Risk Index, expected default frequency has been used, and the result has been proved to be positive. According to the compiled Risk Index, the level of risks of Korean securities industry has been decreasing from the second quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2006 by 22 percent. But the risk has been increasing during the periods from the first quarter of 2002 to the first quarter of 2003 and from the first quarter of 2006 to the last quarter of 2006.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.555-562
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• 2023

The Railway Safety Act of 2014 strengthened the 'Railway Safety Management System' to establish autonomous safety management for railway operators and railway facility managers. Accordingly, it is required to establish and implement risk assessment and safety measures for risk management. However, the current risk assessment system is carried out at the fragmented safety management level within individual fields, which has caused difficulties in establishing and implementing risk assessment and safety measures. In addition, the technical standards of the safety management system stipulate that risk assessment of railway operators is mandatory, so standardized standards for risk assessment of railway facilities and railway vehicle maintenance are needed. Therefore, in this paper, we first verified railway risks by analyzing railway accident data for the last 10 years, and proposed a standardized framework to effectively assess and manage risks through a case study of a condition-based smart maintenance system developed based on railway vehicle maintenance data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.75-89
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• 1999

위험물차량사고는 일반차량의 교통사고시 발생하는 인명피해, 재산피해, 교통지체 외에 부가적으로 환경적 영향에 의한 엄청난 인명 및 재산손실을 유발시킬 수 있다. 따라서 이러한 위험물차량사고를 예방하고 피해를 최소로 줄이기 위해서는 위험물수송경로의 신중하고 체계적인 결정이 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 따라서, 본 연구는 위험물차량의 수송경로를 결정할 때 고려해야 할 여러 가지의 기준 및 목표에 따라 위험물수송경로를 설정하는 모형을 제시함으로써 위험물수송에 수반되는 위험을 최소화하면서 위험물차량의 통행시간, 거리, 비용 등을 최적화하여 위험물수송의 안전 및 운영효율성을 향상시키고자 한다. 먼저, 위험물 수송경로의 기준지표로 사용될 위험도를 나타내기 위해 사고율과 피해가능규모를 구하도록 사 고건수, 링크 주변노출인구, 링크상의 노출인구, 밀도 등을 변수로 하는 모형식을 제안하고, 두 번째로 위험물 수송을 위한 최적경로를 산출하기 위해 위험도와 통행시간을 목적함수로 하는 다목적계획모형을 제안하였고 기존의 최적경로 알고리즘을 적용하여 최적경로를 산출하였다. 마지막으로 실제 수도권지역을 대상으로 본 연구에서 제안한 모형을 적용하고 현재 일반적으로 사용되는 최단경로와 비교.분석하였다. 모형적용결과, 링크주변인구만을 고려하는 기존 모형에 비해 링크상의 인구를 함께 고려함으로써 좀더 실제적으로 교통상황을 충분히 반영한 피해규모를 산정하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서 제안한 위험도와 통행시간에 0.5의 비중을 주는 다목적모형이 기존의 위험도모형에 비해 충분한 안전성을 확보하면서 최소 4%, 최대 12%의 통행시간 개선의 효과가 있음을 나타냈다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.284-285
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 VTSO 관점에서 선박 충돌위험도 평가모델(CoRi)을 이용하여 부산항 관제구역내에서 발생한 일반 상선간 준사고 사례에 대한 충돌 위험도와 선종과 선박의 크기를 소형선박(유선 도선 어선 등)으로 가정할 경우 계산된 충돌 위험도를 비교함으로써 VTSO가 일반 상선과 다른 운항 특성을 가진 소형선박의 모니터링 및 충돌 위험 판단의 어려움을 수치적으로 분석 연구고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.565-569
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• 2009

제방붕괴에 의한 홍수범람파에 의한 제내지의 위험은 수치모의 및 수리모형에 의해 관측되는 수심과 유속에 의해서만 정의되기 어렵다. 현재, 국내의 비구조물적인 대책으로 수치모의에 의해 계산되는 최대침수심 만을 홍수위험도로 산정하여 도시화하고, 홍수위험도를 제작하고 있다. 미국과 일본의 연구 및 비구조물적인 대책도 수치모의에 의한 최대침수심 산정결과만을 홍수위험도에 반영하고 있으므로, 유수에 의한 위험도를 다양하게 반영하지 못하고 있는 상황이다. 유럽의 연구결과를 살펴보면, 제방붕괴에 의한 위험은 빠른 유속과 수심의 복합적인 결과로 나타남을 알 수 있다. 그러므로, 본 연구에서는 유럽의 연구결과를 참고하여 수심과 유속의 복합적인 결과인 범람강도를 산정하여 제방붕괴 발생 후, 구조물 주변의 위험도를 산정하였다. 구조물의 배열 및 월류수심을 다양하게 변화시키며 구조물 주변의 수심, 유속 및 범람강도의 증가비율을 산정하여 비교하였다. 흐름특성변화율을 산정하여 비교한 결과, 수심과 유속을 각각 산정하여 도시하여 고찰할 수 없었던 구조물 사이 및 구조물 주변의 위험도를 산정할 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.294-296
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• 2016

VTSO(Vessel Traffic Service Operator)는 양 선박의 충돌위험 정도를 판단할 때, 선박들의 침로와 속력, DCPA(Distance to CPA)와 TCPA(Time to CPA) 그리고 양 선박의 조우상황 등을 종합적으로 고려한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 VTS관점에서 선박충돌 위험도를 구하기 위하여 CPA에서의 양 선박 상대방위에 따른 조우상황 위험도와 선박의 길이를 고려한 양 선박의 범퍼영역에 대한 근접 위험도를 이용하여 두 선박의 다양한 교차상황에 따른 선박 충돌위험 값을 비교하였다.