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Development of an AI-based Early Warning System for Water Meter Freeze-Burst Detection Using AI Models (AI기반 물공급 시스템내 동파위험 조기경보를 위한 AI모델 개발 연구)

  • So Ryung Lee;Hyeon June Jang;Jin Wook Lee;Sung Hoon Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.511-511
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화로 동절기 기온 저하에 따른 수도계량기의 동파는 지속적으로 심화되고 있으며, 이는 계량기 교체 비용, 누수, 누수량 동결에 의한 2차 피해, 단수 등 사회적 문제를 야기한다. 이와같은 문제를 해결하고자 구조적 대책으로 개별 가정에서 동파 방지형 계량기를 설치할 수 있으나 이를 위한 비용발생이 상당하고, 비구조적 대책으로는 기상청의 동파 지도 알림 서비스를 활용하여 사전적으로 대응하고자 하나, 기상청자료는 대기 온도를 중심으로 제공하고 있기 때문에 해당서비스만으로는 계량기의 동파를 예측하는데 필요한 추가적인 다양한 변수를 활용하는데 한계가 있다. 최근 정부와 공공부문에서 22개 지역, 110개소 이상의 수도계량기함내 IoT 온도센서를 시범 설치하여 계량기 함내의 상태 등을 확인할 수 있는 사업을 수행했다. 전국적인 계량기 상태의 예측과 진단을 위해서는 추가적인 센서 설치가 필요할 것이나, IoT센서 설치 비용 등의 문제로 추가 설치가 더딘 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 겨울 동파 예방을 위해 실제 온도센서를 기반으로 가상센서를 구축하고, 이를 혼합한 하이브리드 방식으로 동파위험 기준에 따라 전국 동파위험 지도를 구축하였다. 가상센서 개발을 위해 독립변수로 위경도, 고도, 음·양지, 보온재 여부 및 기상정보(기온, 강수량, 풍속, 습도)를 활용하고, 종속변수로 실제 센서의 온도를 사용하여 기계학습 모델을 개발하였다. 지역 특성에 따라 정확한 모델을 구축하기 위해 위치정보 및 보온재여부 등의 변수를 활용하여 K-means 방법으로 군집화 하였으며, 각 군집별로 3가지의 기계학습 회귀모델을 적용하였다. 최적의 군집 수를 검토한 결과 4개가 적정한 것으로 판단되었다. 군집의 특성은 지역별 구분과 유사한 패턴을 보이며, 모든 군집에서 Gradient Boosting 회귀모델을 적용하는 것이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 개발한 모델을 바탕으로 조건에 따라 동파 예측 알람서비스에 실무적으로 활용할 수 있도록 양호·주의·위험·매우위험 총 4개의 기준을 설정하였다. 실제 본 연구에서 개발된 알고리즘을 국가상수도정보 시스템에 반영하여 테스트 수행중에 있으며, 향후 지속 검증을 할 예정에 있다. 이를 통해 동파 예방 및 피해 최소화, 물절약 등 직간접적 편익이 기대된다.

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Evaluation of Supply Chain Performance Affected by Waste Level and External Risk (낭비수준과 외부위험에 영향을 받는 공급망 성과 평가)

  • Choi, Jong-Mun;Kim, Chae-Bogk
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.395-402
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    • 2016
  • Recently, firms confront to rapid environmental changes due to scientific development and demand change. Firms are trying to improve supply chain capability to react these environmental changes. Being in these improvement processes, it is important to collaborate with other partners in the supply chain. Firms have tried to outsource their in-house activity to other partners and have eliminated wasteful factors in their process and the supply chain is getting leaner. This study investigates the effect of waste factor degree on supply chain performance under external risks. Test results in this paper show that waste level has negative relationship with supply chain performance. The effect of waste level on the supply chain performance is influenced by external risk. As waste level increases, risk has moderating effect between waste level and supply chain performance. That means it is important to focus on utilization, productivity or integration properly for managing the external risk in order to improve the supply chain performance.

Development of Flood Risk Index using causal relationships of Flood Indicators (홍수지표의 인과관계를 이용한 홍수위험지수 개발)

  • Lim, Kwang Suop;Choi, Si Jung;Lee, Dong Ryul;Moon, Jang Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.1B
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2010
  • This research presents a methodology to define and apply appropriate index that can measure the risk of regional flood damage. Pressure-State-Response structure has been used to develop the Flood Risk Index(FRI), which allows for a comparative analysis of flood risk assessment between different sub-basins. FRI is a rational assessment method available to improve disaster preparedness and the prevention of losses. The pressure and state index for flood at 117 sub-basins from the year 1980s until the t 10s showed proportional relations, but state index did not decrease even though response index increased. This shows that pressures for flood damage relatively exceed countermeasure for flood. Thus this means we need to strengthen design criteria for flood countermeasure in the future. The FRI is gradually going down in consequence of continuous flood control projects. Flood risk of Han River and Nakdong River area is relatively lower than that of Geum, Seumjin, and Youngsan River area.

Analysis on Response System in US for Chemicals Driven Marine Pollution Accidents and Korean Response Policy Plan (화학물질 해양오염사고에 대한 미국의 방제체제 분석과 국내의 방제정책 방안)

  • Choi, Jong-Wook;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2009
  • With an entry into force of OPRC-HNS on June 14th 2007, response system against any large scale accidents related to HNS is required to respond rapidly and effectively in a national scale, US national response system and national contingency plan for any chemicals in operation were analyzed to understand the characteristics of management system and response system for any HNS driven accidents in the Us. Main characteristics of the US system were well described as an unified information window and an integrated incident command system supported by response facilities, manpower and technical support from other response organizations through good cooperation. In general, response activities are conducted by private sectors, however, the government will take over response activities in case large scale accidents occur in the Us. Expected expenses for response activities are covered by a type of Superfund in the Us. Several applicable ways are proposed to enable NGO to participate in and reorganize response system in ROK, and are feasible in collaboration with other response organizations and private sectors in the aspects of equipment, technology and manpower, Based upon the above activities, it is desirable to reorganize domestic rules and/or regulations related to response measures in ROK.

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Design of Network Attack Detection and Response Scheme based on Artificial Immune System in WDM Networks (WDM 망에서 인공면역체계 기반의 네트워크 공격 탐지 제어 모델 및 대응 기법 설계)

  • Yoo, Kyung-Min;Yang, Won-Hyuk;Kim, Young-Chon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.4B
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    • pp.566-575
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    • 2010
  • In recent, artificial immune system has become an important research direction in the anomaly detection of networks. The conventional artificial immune systems are usually based on the negative selection that is one of the computational models of self/nonself discrimination. A main problem with self and non-self discrimination is the determination of the frontier between self and non-self. It causes false positive and false negative which are wrong detections. Therefore, additional functions are needed in order to detect potential anomaly while identifying abnormal behavior from analogous symptoms. In this paper, we design novel network attack detection and response schemes based on artificial immune system, and evaluate the performance of the proposed schemes. We firstly generate detector set and design detection and response modules through adopting the interaction between dendritic cells and T-cells. With the sequence of buffer occupancy, a set of detectors is generated by negative selection. The detection module detects the network anomaly with a set of detectors and generates alarm signal to the response module. In order to reduce wrong detections, we also utilize the fuzzy number theory that infers the degree of threat. The degree of threat is calculated by monitoring the number of alarm signals and the intensity of alarm occurrence. The response module sends the control signal to attackers to limit the attack traffic.

Study on security method for scenario-based smartphone vulnerability (시나리오 기반의 스마트폰 취약점에 대한 보안방안 연구)

  • Lee, Jaeho;Son, Minwoo;Lee, Sang-Joon
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.835-844
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as the number of smartphone users has been increasing worldwide, various services such as electronic payment, internet use, and financial settlement are being used as a smartphone. In addition, researches for home appliance control and automobile control using smartphone are conducted. As such, smartphone users can enjoy a more convenient life, but by hacking smartphones, tapping texts and conversations on smartphones, tracking location through spy apps, DDoS attacks using smartphones, and malicious apps When a message is received at a specific telephone number when using a micropayment, the corresponding text message is transmitted to a remote server, thereby increasing the risk of leakage of personal information and the like. Therefore, in this paper, we define the risk factors of the smartphone that are caused by the internal and external environmental, physical, contents (apps) of the smartphone through the smartphone that we use in real life, We propose a method to check vulnerability of smartphone security solution such as CC evaluation and the most effective response technique for each risk of smartphone by defining the technique.

Improvement and Operation of Urban Inundation Forecasting System in Seoul (서울시 도시침수 예측시스템의 개선 및 운영)

  • Shim, Jea Bum;Kim, Ho Soung;Gang, Tae hun;Lee, Byong Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.481-481
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    • 2021
  • 서울시는 '10년, '11년, '18년의 기록적인 호우로 인해 막대한 재산피해를 기록하였다. 이로 인해 서울시는 수재해 최소화 대책의 필요성을 인지하여 방재시설물 확충 등의 구조적 대책과 함께 침수지역 예측, 호우 영향 예보와 관련된 비구조적 대책 수립을 위해 노력하고 있다. 그 일환으로 2018~2019년 『서울시 강한 비구름 유입경로 및 침수위험도 예측 용역』 수행을 통해 레이더 실황강우 기반의 강한 비구름 이동경로 추정 기술, 강우시나리오 기반의 침수위험지역추정 기술이 적용된 서울시 도시침수 예측시스템을 개발하였다. 또한, 침수피해에 선제적으로 대응하기 위해 2019~2020년 『서울시 내수침수 위험지역 실시간 예측기술 개발』을 통하여 이류모델 기반의 예측강우정보 추정 기술, 예측강우정보 기반의 실시간 침수위험지역 추정기술을 적용하였다. 현재 서울시 도시침수 예측시스템은 서울시 전역의 강우 및 침수정보를 제공하며, 관로 113,286개(전체 385,768개), 맨홀 106,097개(전체 272,133개), 빗물펌프장 117개소(전체 121개소)가 반영되어 있다. 서울시 도시침수 예측시스템에서는 서울시 25개 자치구를 대상으로 실황 및 예측 강우정보, 강한 비구름에 대한 이동경로정보, 시나리오 및 실시간 침수정보를 제공하고 있다. 강우정보는 10분 및 1시간 단위 AWS 실황정보와 10분 단위 이류모델 기반 예측정보, 1시간 단위 LDAPS 기반 예측정보를 제공한다. 또한, 레이더 실황정보를 통해 판별된 강한 비구름에 대해 10분 단위 1시간 예측경로를 제공한다. 침수정보는 총강우량, 강우지속기간, 빗물받이효율 조건을 반영한 강우시나리오 기반의 6m 고해상도 격자단위 침수시나리오 정보와 자치구별 침수위험정보를 제공한다. 또한, 이류모델 기반의 레이더 예측정보를 이용하여 실시간 침수 예측정보를 제공한다. 향후 서울시 내 모든 수방시설물의 적용, 관로 유출구별 기점수위 반영, 관측자료를 이용한 도시유출 및 도시침수 모델 최적화 등 지속적으로 고도화를 수행하고자 하며, 서울시 도시침수 예측시스템을 통해 서울시 및 자치구 풍수해 담당자가 침수피해를 대비, 대응할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Effect of Information Security Compliance and Crisis Management on Information Security Trust (정보보안 컴플라이언스와 위기대응이 정보보안 신뢰에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Il-han;Kwon, Sun-dong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.141-169
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    • 2015
  • Electronic financial accidents are constantly happening and these accidents are taking place by a combination of several causes such as technique, human, and structure. Among electronic financial accidents, personal information disclosure is most frequently happening and becomes big problems, because secondary damage like voice phishing causes great loss to society. This research model is that financial information security compliance affects the crisis response of financial institutions and financial authorities and these crisis responses affect financial information security trust. Research target is people who experienced the disclosure of their own financial information. For empirical verification, survey questionnaires were distributed and total 103 questionnaires were collected and analyzed. As results of data analysis, all hypotheses were accepted. First, financial information security compliance influenced the crisis response of financial institutions and authorities. Second, the crisis response of financial institutions and authorities affect financial information security trust. Third, at the moderating effect analysis, the importance of personal financial information moderated the effect of the crisis response of financial institutions on financial information security trust. And the disclosure level of personal financial information moderated the effect of the crisis response of financial authorities on financial information security trust.

Quantitative evaluation of collapse hazard levels of tunnel faces by interlinked consideration of face mapping, design and construction data: focused on adaptive weights (막장관찰 및 설계/시공자료가 연계 고려된 터널막장 붕괴 위험도의 정량적 산정: 가변형 가중치 중심으로)

  • Shin, Hyu-Soung;Lee, Seung-Soo;Kim, Kwang-Yeom;Bae, Gyu-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.505-522
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    • 2013
  • Previously, a new concept of indexing methodology has been proposed for quantitative assessment of tunnel collapse hazard level at each tunnel face with respect to the given geological data, design condition and the corresponding construction activity (Shin et al, 2009a). In this paper, 'linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are invariable, and 'non-linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are variable, are taken into account with some examples. Then, the 'non-linear' model is validated by using 100 tunnel collapse cases. It appears that 'non-linear' model allows us to have adapted weight values of influence factors to characteristics of given tunnel site. In order to make a better understanding and help for an effective use of the system, a series of operating processes of the system are built up. Then, by following the processes, the system is applied to a real-life tunnel project in very weak and varying ground conditions. Through this approach, it would be quite apparent that the tunnel collapse hazard indices are determined by well interlinked consideration of face mapping data as well as design/construction data. The calculated indices seem to be in good agreement with available electric resistivity distribution and design/construction status. In addition, This approach could enhance effective usage of face mapping data and lead timely and well corresponding field reactions to situation of weak tunnel faces.

Polymorphisms in the SERPINA1 Gene and the Risk of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in a Korean Population (한국인에서 SERPINA1 유전자 다형성과 만성폐쇄성폐질환의 위험도)

  • Cha, Seung-Ick;Choi, Jin Eun;Lee, Jong Myung;Yoo, Seung Soo;Kim, Chang-Ho;Lee, Won Kee;Jung, Tae-Hoon;Kim, Nung Soo;Park, Jae Yong
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2008
  • Background: We conducted a case-control study to evaluate the potential association between SERPINA1 genotypes ($M1_{Val}$, $M1_{Ala}$, S, and Z) and the risk COPD. Methods: The study population consisted of 93 patients with COPD and 112 healthy controls. The polymerase chain reaction and restriction fragment length polymorphism for detecting the SERPINA1 variants. Results: The M2 allele of the SERPINA1 gene was significantly associated with the risk of COPD in Koreans. The effect of the M2 allele on the risk of COPD was more pronounced in the subgroup<64 years. Conclusion: These results suggest that SERPINA1 polymorphisms may contribute to a genetic predisposition for COPD. However, additional studies with larger sample sizes are required to confirm our findings.